Daily Picks

Finger Lakes Picks & Predictions — July 22, 2026

Wednesday, July 22, 20268 racesFinger Lakes

Finger Lakes is sending out an 8-race all-dirt card on Wednesday, July 22, and the overcast skies keeping temps in the mid-60s should mean a comfortable, consistent surface all afternoon. No heat-baked track, no rain-softened mud — just a clean, fast Finger Lakes main track that tends to reward horses who can get to the front and stay there.

The card leans heavily claiming, which is Finger Lakes bread and butter, but Race 7 serves up a step up in class with an Allowance going a mile and 70 yards — and that's where some of the most interesting pace dynamics of the day are hiding. Sprints, routes, maiden claimers — there's something for every handicapping style across these 8 races.

TrackWiz has full ratings on every horse in the field. Three races are available to all readers today, with the full 8-race breakdown unlocked for subscribers.

Best Bets

Race 1

4:55 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Doc Advantage's TrackWiz rating towers over this claiming field, but Lady's Golden Guy draws the rail at a short price — expect a pace scenario that separates the contenders early in this 5½-furlong sprint.

win2Doc AdvantageML 2/1

Doc Advantage (No. 2) owns the highest TrackWiz rating in this field at 88.54 — a significant edge over the next-best contender. His average speed figure of 55 is the best on the board, and with Paul W. Barrow saddling, he's a horse whose form profile fits this claiming level. At 2/1 on the morning line, he's not a gift price, but the raw numbers back him as the most logical win choice.

place3Paint the LineML 5/1

Paint the Line (No. 3) carries a solid 68.1 rating and a 22% career win percentage — among the better marks in this field. Trainer Timothy P. Murphy keeps him competitive, and a 5/1 morning line on a horse with those win numbers represents a fair place-ticket anchor. If Doc Advantage gets caught up in early pace trouble, Paint the Line has the profile to inherit the advantage.

show5Charging AeroML 6/1

Charging Aero (No. 5) might be the most interesting price play in the race — a 25% career win percentage is the best on the entire entry list, and he's sitting at 6/1 on the morning line. Joel Cruz gets the call, and at this short distance, a horse with that win rate often shows up to earn a check. Round out your exotics with him.

Race 2

5:24 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A wide-open maiden claiming mile where Plex tops the TrackWiz ratings but Broken Record offers a legitimate price challenge — this one could hinge on which horse handles the longer route distance best.

win2PlexML 7/5

Plex (No. 2) sits atop this maiden field with a 89.42 TrackWiz rating, the highest in the race and a meaningful gap above the second-ranked Broken Record at 68.86. Jose Baez picks up the mount for trainer Dana Saul, and his average speed figure of 53 is tied for second-best in the field. In a field where no one has yet broken their maiden, Plex's form profile stands out as the most polished — he's our best bet in Race 2.

place4Broken RecordML 9/5

Broken Record (No. 4) is the key alternative at 9/5 on the morning line, trained by Paul W. Barrow who also saddles a contender in Race 1. His 68.86 rating is a clear second in this field, and his average speed of 52 is respectable for the mile. Oscar Gomez takes the ride, and Barrow's barn has shown it can get maiden runners to fire on target — Broken Record should be on your place ticket.

show3Jamaica ReddML 7/2

Jamaica Redd (No. 3) checks in with a 58.07 rating and a 52 average speed figure, which is right in the competitive range for this field. Steven Fret pilots for trainer Marvin Richards, and at 7/2 on the morning line, he offers reasonable show value in an unpredictable maiden event. For multi-race exotic players, he's a solid third leg in your trifecta.

Race 3

5:53 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Mia Nipotina dominates the ratings in this claiming mile but carries a low career win percentage — the pace could be set by others, making this a race where the closers rule and value lurks in the mid-field.

win5Mia NipotinaML 3/1

Mia Nipotina (No. 5) posts an 87.08 TrackWiz rating that dwarfs the competition — the next best, Turnupthemusic, comes in at 64.47. Luis E. Perez takes the mount for trainer Rachel Sells, and her average speed of 54 is the best in the field. The only caution flag is an 8% career win rate, which is modest, but in a race where the ratings gap is this wide, TrackWiz analysis still makes her the clear top choice.

place2TurnupthemusicML 8/1

Turnupthemusic (No. 2) is a sneaky-good place play at 8/1 on the morning line — a 20% career win percentage is second-best in this field, and Kevin Navarro has a live mount for Jonathan B. Buckley's barn. His 64.47 rating puts him solidly in contention, and if Mia Nipotina has any trouble in traffic (fitting, given In Traffic also runs here), Turnupthemusic has the win rate to capitalize. The price makes him a must-use in exotics.

show4That's FunnyML 2/1

That's Funny (No. 4) carries a 61.73 rating and an 18% career win percentage — respectable numbers for a claiming mile. Trainer Ilkay Kantarmaci sends out Heman K. Harkie, and at 2/1 on the morning line, this is a horse the market respects. He's our show pick and a safe trifecta anchor if the top two run their races.

The three free races give you a nice sampler of what today's card has to offer. Race 1 kicks things off at 5½ furlongs on the dirt, where Doc Advantage (88.54 TrackWiz rating, morning line 2/1) sits at the top of our model — a horse worth watching right out of the gate, literally. Race 2 stretches out to a mile for maiden claimers, and Plex carries the highest TrackWiz rating on the free card at 89.42, making that morning-line favoritism at 7/5 look justified. Race 3 stays at a mile in the claiming ranks, where Mia Nipotina at 3/1 offers a touch more morning-line value relative to her 87.08 rating.

One thread connecting all three free races: they're all dirt routes or near-routes, so horses with clean tactical speed and the ability to settle early are going to have an edge. Keep an eye on how the early pace shapes up — a contested front end in any of these could set the table for a closer making a big late run.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

6:22 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Diva Banker dominates the TrackWiz numbers in this six-furlong claiming test for fillies and mares, but a compact mid-field could make pace a factor — this is a premium race, so check TrackWiz for the full breakdown.

win1Diva BankerML 2/1

Diva Banker (No. 1) leads all entrants with an 88.54 TrackWiz rating — the highest number in a field of seven. Michael A. Davila Jr. takes the rail post for trainer David Oyola, and her average speed of 53 matches the top tier in this sprint. At 2/1 on the morning line, she's a fair-priced favorite given how clearly she separates from the rest on the numbers — she's the race's most logical win bet.

place6Dolce SeraML 5/2

Dolce Sera (No. 6) posts a 64.61 rating that slots her as a clear second choice by the TrackWiz model — but her 3% career win percentage is a real concern and worth noting honestly. What she does offer is a 5/2 morning line price on a horse that Luis E. Perez picks up for trainer Michael S. Ferraro, a barn capable of getting horses to fire at the right moment. She looks like a potential place-ticket play if Diva Banker handles the pace duty.

show5Grand Lady IndyML 5/1

Grand Lady Indy (No. 5) sits at 5/1 on the morning line with a 60.96 rating and a 12% career win percentage, which is in range for this level. Luis Pena rides for Samuel Morales, and she's the type that can sneak into the money in a six-furlong race where pace dynamics sort things out late. Include her in your trifecta box as a value show option.

Race 5

6:51 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

Nine runners stretch out past a mile in this claiming test, with La Dinamita and Jayce and Liam heading the TrackWiz ratings but starting prices in the 5/1 to 9/2 range — this shaping up as a wide-open betting race with real exotic potential.

win8La DinamitaML 5/1

La Dinamita (No. 8) carries an 84.17 TrackWiz rating — the highest in a nine-horse field — and at 5/1 on the morning line, she's being underestimated by the oddsmakers. Andre Shivnarine Worrie takes the mount for Jeremiah C. Englehart's barn, a trainer with a solid reputation for getting horses ready to run. Her average speed of 52 is competitive for this level, and the distance of a mile and 70 yards plays right into the hands of a horse whose form profile suggests she's a closer who should appreciate ground to run.

place6Jayce and LiamML 9/2

Jayce and Liam (No. 6) is an intriguing place play — a 73.4 rating that ranks second in the field, paired with a 9/2 morning line. Trainer Chris J. Englehart (note: a different Englehart barn from the win pick) saddles Reylu Gutierrez, a capable rider who handles route races well. The low 5% career win rate is honest cause for pause, but the TrackWiz number says the ability is there — she just needs things to set up cleanly.

show4Soho NightsML 8/1

Soho Nights (No. 4) rounds out our top three with a 70.29 rating and a 12% career win percentage, which is the best win rate among the top-rated horses in this race. Nazario Alvarado picks up the mount for Thalia Areche, and at 8/1 on the morning line, the show price on a horse this highly rated could offer excellent value. She's your trifecta anchor and a horse to watch throughout the field.

Race 6

7:20 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Carol Said No is the TrackWiz overlay of the card — a top-rated horse sitting at 5/1 while the morning-line favorite Irish Jackson has a lower rating, setting up a price battle in this 5½-furlong dirt sprint.

win3Carol Said NoML 5/1

Carol Said No (No. 3) carries an 84.17 TrackWiz rating — the highest in this seven-horse field — yet the morning line has her listed at 5/1, giving bettors real overlay value. Trainer Ralph D'Alessandro sends out Andre Shivnarine Worrie, and her 20% career win percentage is among the top marks in the race. Add in an average speed figure of 54, tied for the best in the field, and Carol Said No makes a compelling case as both the top pick and the best value play on today's card.

place5Irish JacksonML 8/5

Irish Jackson (No. 5) is the market's morning-line favorite at 8/5 and checks in with a 79.93 TrackWiz rating — strong, but meaningfully below Carol Said No's number. What makes him a place-ticket lock is that 23% career win percentage, the best in the field, and Christopher Elliott in the irons for Robert N. Falcone Jr.'s stable. He's a horse who finds ways to finish close, even when he doesn't top the speed figures.

show4Blue Eyed ScoutML 4/1

Blue Eyed Scout (No. 4) posts a 61.43 rating and a 17% career win percentage for trainer Dana Saul, and Steven Fret picks up a live ride. He's sitting at 4/1 on the morning line — reasonable value for a show play — and in a sprint where pace can scramble the order quickly, a horse with solid consistency numbers is worth including in your trifectas.

Race 7

7:49 PM EDT

Allowance · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

An allowance field going a mile and 70 yards where Reign It In heads the TrackWiz ratings at 5/2, but Sweet Tone at 4/1 and Caddiemaster at 8/5 create a fascinating three-way battle — the class of the day's card.

win5Reign It InML 5/2

Reign It In (No. 5) tops the TrackWiz ratings at 87.81, a clear edge over the rest of this allowance field. Andre Shivnarine Worrie rides for trainer Charlton Baker, and at 5/2 on the morning line, the price is fair for the top-rated horse in an allowance spot. His 9% career win percentage is modest, but the rating gap over the field at this level — where horses are generally more consistent than claiming types — makes him our strongest play in Race 7.

place7Sweet ToneML 4/1

Sweet Tone (No. 7) makes a compelling place case with a 78.78 TrackWiz rating that slots him clearly second in this field. Luis E. Perez picks up the mount for Rafael Jose Rohena, and at 4/1 on the morning line, the price is genuinely attractive for a horse with that rating. His 2% career win percentage is the honest concern, but at a mile and 70 yards, a horse who runs big but doesn't always close the deal can still earn a place check — that's exactly the profile here.

show3CaddiemasterML 8/5

Caddiemaster (No. 3) is the morning-line favorite at 8/5 with a 67.89 TrackWiz rating — third in the field — trained by the respected Linda Rice. Oscar Gomez is up, and an 8% career win percentage at the allowance level suggests he's faced tougher company before. He's the horse the public will back hardest, and while our ratings rank him third, he's a reasonable show anchor for conservative bettors building exotics.

Race 8

8:18 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Breaking Stones and Limit Up give this 5½-furlong closing-day sprint a genuine two-horse dynamic at the top — both carry big TrackWiz ratings in a field where the rest are clustered far below, making pace and post position the deciding factors.

win5Breaking StonesML 5/2

Breaking Stones (No. 5) leads the field with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating and checks in at 5/2 on the morning line — well priced for the top-rated runner. Jeremias Flores takes the mount for Paul W. Barrow, whose barn has live runners all afternoon. A 16% career win percentage and an average speed of 54 round out a profile that screams reliability in a sprint. This is a horse who should be pressing the pace or sitting just off it, and Flores is the right jockey to place him perfectly.

place3Limit UpML 3/1

Limit Up (No. 3) is very much in this with an 83.28 TrackWiz rating — only a hair below Breaking Stones — and the best average speed figure in the race at 55. Reylu Gutierrez rides for Chris J. Englehart, a barn with a sharp eye for placing horses where they can fire. At 3/1 on the morning line, Limit Up has the raw speed to set or press the pace and be very tough to catch in the stretch.

show7Father WalshML 6/1

Father Walsh (No. 7) might be the best value in the race for exotic players — a 53.55 rating sits third among this group, and his 15% career win percentage is solid for the claiming ranks. Chris Russell rides for Michael T. Sabine at 6/1 on the morning line, and in a sprint where two horses are likely to battle each other hard on the front end, a horse who stalks from just off the pace can sneak into the show spot. He's a must-include in trifectas.

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Bottom line: Doc Advantage, Plex, and Mia Nipotina headline the free card and give you three solid angles to start the day. The full picture — including that intriguing 5/1 shot in Race 6 and the Allowance pace breakdown in Race 7 — is waiting for subscribers. Check out our TrackWiz subscription plans to unlock the complete card. Good luck at the windows.

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