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Fairmount Park Picks & Predictions — October 27, 2026

October 27, 202610 racesAll Fairmount Park picks

This card ran on October 27, 2026.

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Best bets at Fairmount Park, October 27, 2026

Race 16Dandy RubyML 6/12:30 PM EDT

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Fairmount Park kicks off a Tuesday afternoon under cloudy skies with a full 10-race card, all on the main dirt track. Temperatures are sitting at a comfortable 70°F, and with no rain in the picture, we're expecting a consistent, fair surface for handicappers to work with today.

The card leans heavily on sprints — seven of the ten races go at six furlongs — so pace scenario is going to be the name of the game. When speed figures are close, the horse that controls or stalks the right pace will have a massive edge. Keep that in mind as you build your tickets today.

The headliners are a pair of Allowance Optional Claiming sprints in Races 5 and 7, where our TrackWiz ratings flagged both Then Now 'n Always and Frankie P at a perfect 90.0. Those two races alone make today's card worth watching closely. We've also got a marathon Starter Allowance at 2 1/16 miles in Race 6 — a rare long-distance test that should separate the grinders from the pretenders.

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Race 1

2:30 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A wide-open maiden special weight going a mile and 70 yards on the Fairmount dirt, with zero career wins across the entire field — making TrackWiz ratings the clearest separator in what shapes up as a guessing game.

win6Dandy RubyML 6/1

Dandy Ruby draws the top TrackWiz rating in this field at 82.71, which stands out in a race where the morning line favorite My Last Escapade comes in just a tick below at 80.32. Trainer Scott Becker puts her in with Alexander Bendezu, a reliable pilot at this circuit. She's going long at a mile and 70 yards, and in maiden fields like this one, staying power over inexperienced rivals is a real edge. At 6/1 on the morning line, there's legit value here if she runs to her rating.

place7My Last EscapadeML 5/2

My Last Escapade is the public's choice at 5/2 with trainer Adrian M. Salazar, and that morning line price tells you the connections believe. Her TrackWiz rating of 80.32 is nearly identical to our win pick, so this is genuinely a horse-for-horse decision at the top of the field. Pairing her underneath Dandy Ruby in exactas and doubles makes a lot of sense given the uncertainty of a maiden sprint at a mile-plus.

show3Position Our LuckML 4/1

Position Our Luck sits third in our ratings at 69 and draws a manageable 4/1 on the morning line with Brody Martinez in the irons for Robert Pompell. In a field this green, a horse with a double-digit rating advantage over the bottom half of the field holds solid exotic value. She rounds out the superfecta nicely and gives you show coverage at a price that won't kill the ticket.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

2:55 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A deep twelve-horse claiming sprint at six furlongs where Dang It Dan's eye-popping 25% career win rate screams overlooked closer angle, while Man of Quality leads on TrackWiz ratings — creating a legitimate pace and class debate.

win11Man of QualityML 4/1

Man of Quality heads our ratings at 82.88 and comes in at a fair 4/1 morning line for trainer Dawn Martin and jockey Brody Martinez. His average speed figure of 53 matches the top tier of this field, and in a twelve-horse sprint, getting a horse with clean ratings at that price is worth jumping on. Martin has put him in a spot where the class level looks manageable, and if Martinez can get him a good trip off the pace, he's dangerous late.

place6Ima Chunky MonkeyML 8/1

Ima Chunky Monkey at 8/1 is exactly the kind of play that separates sharp bettors from casual ones — an 80-rating horse going off at double-digit morning line odds. Trainer Duane Wells sends her out with Alvin Ortiz and her TrackWiz score of 79.79 is second only to our win pick in this race. The 8/1 price on a horse this close to the top of the ratings is a value discrepancy worth exploiting in the exacta.

show3Dang It DanML 5/1

Dang It Dan brings a 25% career win rate that is the best of anyone in this field — and that's not a typo. Trainer Scott Becker puts him in at 5/1 with Alexander Bendezu, and a horse that wins one in four starts deserves respect in a claiming sprint. His rating of 72.64 is third-best, and he rounds out a solid top-three ticket at a price that won't hurt your payout.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

Our three free previews cover Races 1, 2, and 3 — a nice cross-section of the early card spanning a maiden special weight route, a six-furlong claiming sprint, and a maiden claimer. Dandy Ruby draws our eye in the opener at 6/1 on the morning line, offering real value in a maiden field going a route of ground. In Race 2, Man of Quality lands at 4/1 in a claiming sprint where our model likes his profile. And in Race 3, W W Nolan comes in as the short-priced favorite at 3/2 with the top TrackWiz rating of the trio at 85.72 — a number that stands out in maiden claiming company.

One thread connecting all three free picks: they're all on a dirt track that should be playing fair and relatively fast today. Early pace pressure in the sprints could favor stalkers, but in the maiden route, it's anyone's guess how the pace develops. Maiden routes can be messy — just something to keep in mind before going deep on exotics in Race 1.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

3:20 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The morning line tells a pretty clear story in this maiden claiming sprint — W W Nolan opens at 3/2 and backs it up with the top rating in the field, but Richochet Rick and Cheater are close enough to make the exotics very playable.

win6W W NolanML 3/2

W W Nolan is the most dominant top-rated horse on the card today, scoring an 85.72 while the next closest competitor, Richochet Rick, sits at 82.71. Trainer Scott Becker puts him with Victor Santiago, and the 3/2 morning line reflects wide public recognition of his edge. His average speed figure of 53 ties the field's best, and in a maiden claiming race where the field is largely unproven, a horse with this kind of ratings gap is a strong play to run them down.

place5Richochet RickML 6/1

Richochet Rick at 6/1 is genuinely interesting — his 82.71 rating is just three points off the top horse and trainer Arthur A. Coontz puts him in with Cory Orm, a combo worth watching. The 6/1 price on a horse this high in the ratings suggests the public is anchoring on W W Nolan and letting Rick slip. He's a natural place play and a strong exacta partner.

show4CheaterML 7/1

Cheater opens at 7/1 and brings an 81.25 rating that rounds out a tight top three in this field. Trainer Heather Irion sends him out with Brody Martinez, and the name-aside, this horse has the numbers to hit the board in a maiden claiming sprint. At 7/1 in a race where the top three ratings are bunched within five points of each other, he's your show hedge and a key piece of any superfecta.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 4

3:45 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Last Moon's gaudy 37% career win rate headlines this twelve-horse claiming sprint, but Warrior of Gold leads the TrackWiz ratings and packs the best average speed figure in the field — setting up a marquee matchup at the top.

win6Warrior of GoldML 7/2

Warrior of Gold tops our ratings at 86.35 and puts up an average speed figure of 55, tied for the field's best alongside Mr. Sweets. Trainer James M. Watkins teams with Reynier Arrieta, a combination that has strong familiarity at this level, and the 7/2 morning line is a price you can work with. In a race where pace may be contested with several speed horses drawn in, a horse with both the top rating and elite speed figures has exactly the profile you want.

place2Last MoonML 5/1

Last Moon is a fascinating horse at 5/1 — a 37% career win percentage is the kind of number that makes you sit up straight. Trainer Eduardo Rodriguez puts him with Alexander Bendezu, and his rating of 83.12 is second in the field with an average speed figure of 54. A horse that wins more than one-in-three career starts is a winner regardless of rating, and he belongs right underneath Warrior of Gold in your exotics.

show5Mr. SweetsML 7/1

Mr. Sweets rounds out our top three with a 77.41 rating and an average speed of 55, which matches Warrior of Gold for the field's best. Trainer Armando Hernandez puts him with Johanis Aranguren, and at 7/1, there's real value in a horse with that kind of foot speed in a 6-furlong sprint. If the pace gets honest early, he has the tools to close into a spot.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

Race 5

4:10 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Then Now 'n Always opened at 4/5 and anchors this allowance optional claiming sprint as a prohibitive favorite, but Beer Goggles' stunning 66% career win rate makes this far more than a one-horse race for exotic players.

win6Then Now 'n AlwaysML 4/5

Then Now 'n Always sits atop our ratings at 90 — the maximum TrackWiz score — and her 4/5 morning line makes her the strongest public choice on the entire card today. Trainer Larry Rivelli sends her with Julio E. Felix, and she carries a 28% career win percentage that is respectable but modest compared to her stablemates in this field. Her average speed figure of 54 is tied for the field's best, and at this rating level, you're essentially betting against a generational edge. The price won't be pretty, but she's the standout.

place3Beer GogglesML 3/1

Beer Goggles at 3/1 might be the most statistically unusual horse on the Fairmount card today — a 66% career win rate is remarkable at any level, and trainer Eddie M. Essenpreis clearly knows what she likes. Her TrackWiz rating of 86.21 is second only to the near-maximum score of Then Now 'n Always, and Reynier Arrieta is a strong pick-up in the irons. If the favorite stumbles or gets into traffic trouble, this is the horse who buries the field.

show1Arose for LilyML 5/1

Arose for Lily brings the third-best rating at 82.86 and an even more eye-catching 50% career win percentage for trainer Eddie M. Essenpreis — same barn as Beer Goggles, which is a noteworthy tactical consideration. Jockey Johanis Aranguren is a solid partner, and at 5/1, she offers meaningful show value in a race where the top three ratings are separated by only about seven points. Don't ignore the barn-mate dynamic when structuring your exotics.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 6

4:35 PM EDT

Starter Allowance · 2 1/16 mi · Dirt

A rare marathon at over two miles on the Fairmount dirt in a starter allowance, where Code Runner's near-perfect rating clashes with Two Hearted's proven 17% win rate at this distance-demanding level — stamina is the name of the game.

win4Code RunnerML 6/5

Code Runner leads our ratings at 89.71 — the second-highest score on the card today — and opens at a short 6/5 for the Hugo Rodriguez barn with Alexander Bendezu up. His 18% career win percentage is solid, and for a two-mile-plus test, trainer Rodriguez has clearly aimed this horse at a stamina-based spot where his overall quality can dominate a short field. The price is short but the rating gap over the rest of this seven-horse field is real.

place6Two HeartedML 2/1

Two Hearted carries an 86.07 rating and a 17% career win rate that nearly matches our top pick's numbers for trainer Gene J. Sandrowski. The 2/1 morning line slots him right behind Code Runner in the public's eye, and with Julio E. Felix aboard, this is a horse who knows how to run long. At a distance where class and fitness trump raw speed, he's a legitimate threat to upset and a must-use in exactas.

show3City of GodML 6/1

City of God offers show value at 6/1 for trainer Gene J. Sandrowski — and it's notable that Sandrowski saddles both the second pick and this one, which means he's well-represented in this race. His TrackWiz rating of 74.8 is a clear third in the field, and a 13% career win percentage speaks to a horse who has consistently hit the board. At 6/1, he makes sense as a show play and a hedge in your trifecta.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 7

5:00 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Frankie P is the dominant figure in this allowance optional claiming sprint — opening at even money with a 90 rating and a 40% career win rate — but Rockdust at 4/1 brings a 25% win mark and the second-best score, setting up a two-horse battle at the top.

win6Frankie PML EVN

Frankie P earns the maximum TrackWiz rating of 90 and opens at even money for trainer Eddie M. Essenpreis — the same barn that dominated Race 5 on this card. Johanis Aranguren picks up the mount, and a 40% career win percentage is elite for any claiming-level horse at a regional track. His average speed figure of 55 is the field's best, and in a six-furlong sprint, combining peak ratings, elite speed, and a winning pedigree makes him a strong play even at a short price.

place9RockdustML 4/1

Rockdust at 4/1 is the most attractive alternative in the field — his 84.12 rating is a natural second behind Frankie P, and a 25% career win rate for trainer Eddie M. Essenpreis is no fluke. Reynier Arrieta is a strong jockey, and his average speed figure of 54 keeps him in pace range of the favorite. If Frankie P gets into any kind of trouble in traffic, Rockdust is positioned to inherit the lead and hold.

show7Big N SlowML 6/1

Big N Slow at 6/1 brings a 22% career win rate and a TrackWiz rating of 77.83 that separates him from the middle of a nine-horse field. Trainer Pat Clay sends him out with Brody Martinez, a pair that knows how to get horses to the wire competitively. He's the logical third horse in any trifecta ticket and gives you solid coverage if the top two go wide or get into a speed duel.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 8

5:25 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The morning line favorite Fiery Songbird carries a flashy 50% career win percentage, but our analysis puts Code of Conduct and Spicy Cantaloupe significantly ahead on the ratings — making this a case where the public's choice may be undervalued against the top of the field.

win4Code of ConductML 6/1

Code of Conduct sits atop our TrackWiz ratings at 77.08 and opens at 6/1 — nearly five times the morning line price of the favorite — which is a classic value discrepancy worth exploring. Trainer Pat Clay pairs him with Alexander Bendezu, and in a claiming sprint where the public is loading up on Fiery Songbird, a horse ranked several ticks higher on our model is exactly the kind of overlay you want to target. His average speed figure of 52 is competitive, and at 6/1, the payoff potential is real.

place9Spicy CantaloupeML 12/1

Spicy Cantaloupe at 12/1 is a standout value in this race — her rating of 66.73 is second only to our win pick, yet she opens at double digits on the morning line. Trainer James M. Watkins puts her with Johanis Aranguren, and a 14% career win rate says she's no stranger to hitting the board. If you're looking for an exotic bomb in a claiming race, pairing Code of Conduct over Spicy Cantaloupe in the exacta is exactly the kind of overlay play that builds a bankroll.

show7Fiery SongbirdML 6/5

Fiery Songbird is a tricky one — she's the public's favorite at 6/5 with a 50% career win rate, and trainer Scott Becker clearly has her coming into this spot sharp. But her TrackWiz rating of 59.67 ranks third in our model, which is why we slot her in the show position rather than on top. At 6/5, you're taking a lot of risk for a modest reward, so using her underneath as a show hedge and show-bet hedge while keying the higher-rated horses on top is the sharper approach.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 11 runners

Race 9

5:50 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A wide-bodied twelve-horse claiming sprint where Khozan's Valentine and Twirling Roses are separated by just 0.35 rating points at the top — and both offer morning line prices that represent legitimate value against a deep but beatable field.

win6Khozan's ValentineML 9/2

Khozan's Valentine leads our ratings by a whisker at 84.52 and opens at 9/2 for trainer Clay Laux with Alexander Bendezu, one of the circuit's sharper jockeys. Her 26% career win percentage is among the field's best, and her average speed figure of 54 is tied for the top of the pack. In a race with twelve horses, a horse this far up the ratings scale at better than 4/1 morning line odds is the kind of play you circle early.

place2Twirling RosesML 5/1

Twirling Roses is essentially a dead heat with our win pick on the ratings — 84.17 to 84.52 is splitting hairs — and she opens at 5/1 for trainer Eduardo Rodriguez with Johanis Aranguren. Her average speed of 55 is the best in the entire twelve-horse field, which means she has the natural ability to control pace or run past tiring rivals late. The 5/1 price on a horse with the field's best speed figure is a spot-on value play.

show3Smart JokerML 5/1

Smart Joker rounds out a very strong top three with an 81.9 rating and a 19% career win percentage for trainer Hugo Rodriguez and jockey Julio E. Felix. He's within shouting distance of the top two and his average speed of 54 keeps him in the mix throughout the six furlongs. At 5/1 on the morning line, the show position barely does him justice — he's genuinely capable of winning this race if the pace sets up right.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

Race 10

6:15 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

The finale at Fairmount stretches back to a mile and 70 yards for an allowance optional claiming field, where Governing Party at 3/1 and Sound of Victory at 7/2 form a clear class tier above a twelve-horse field that offers meaningful longshot price gaps.

win10Governing PartyML 3/1

Governing Party tops our ratings at 87.08 and draws the 3/1 morning line — a reasonable price for the highest-rated horse going a distance that separates true stayers from sprinters. Trainer Dennis Higgins sends him out with Johanis Aranguren, and his average speed figure of 54 is among the field's best. His 16% career win rate is consistent, and for a route race in the nightcap, a horse with the top rating and the right connections is exactly the play.

place11Sound of VictoryML 7/2

Sound of Victory opens at 7/2 with trainer Armando Hernandez and jockey Frank Reyes, and his rating of 82.53 makes him the natural backup to Governing Party. Posting a 16% career win rate mirrors our top pick almost exactly, and his average speed of 53 keeps him competitive over the extra ground. The exacta pairing of Governing Party over Sound of Victory is a logical foundation ticket to build your closing race around.

show7RunningforcashML 9/1

Runningforcash at 9/1 is the most intriguing third option in the finale — a 21% career win rate that is actually stronger than either of the top two horses, and trainer Ralph Martinez puts him with Brody Martinez for the late card. His rating of 64.75 jumps ahead of the middle pack, and at 9/1, a horse who wins better than one in five starts on his career record is well worth including in your trifecta at a price that could make the ticket pop.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

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It's a workmanlike Tuesday card at Fairmount, but there's real value hiding across these ten races if you know where to look. Then Now 'n Always and Frankie P are the marquee names, but Code of Conduct at 6/1 in Race 8 is a longshot angle worth a look for value players. The free analysis on Races 1–3 is a solid starting point — subscribers get the rest of the card, the exotic breakdowns, and the full pace scenarios. Good luck out there today.

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