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Fairmount Park Picks & Predictions — June 16, 2026

June 16, 20268 racesAll Fairmount Park picks

This card ran on June 16, 2026.

Best bets at Fairmount Park, June 16, 2026

Race 15Raz On FireML 4/52:30 PM EDT

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Fairmount Park is open for business on a beautiful Tuesday, with partly cloudy skies and a comfortable 72°F keeping conditions ideal for racing. The dirt should be in great shape today — no weather concerns to complicate your handicapping — which means speed figures and pace scenarios can be taken at face value.

Eight races are on the card, stretching from quick 5½-furlong sprints all the way out to a mile and a sixteenth. It's a claiming-heavy afternoon with a pair of Maiden Special Weight bookends — Race 1 and Race 8 — adding a little intrigue at both ends of the card. Several morning-line favorites are sitting at even money or odds-on, so finding value in the right spots will be the name of the game today.

Best Bets

Race 1

2:30 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi · Dirt

A maiden sprint going a mile on the dirt, and one horse towers above the field on the TrackWiz ratings — but the second half of the ticket offers some live price horses worth keying underneath.

win5Raz On FireML 4/5

Raz On Fire draws the eye immediately with a TrackWiz rating of 90 — a full 15 points clear of the next rival — and posts the field's top average speed figure at 52. The morning line of 4/5 says the connections and the market agree this horse is the one to beat. Trainer Eddie Essenpreis puts a horse in here at odds-on for a reason, and with Alexander-caliber connections aboard in Ademar Santos, expect this horse to be quick into stride and hard to peg. In a maiden field where no one has broken their maiden yet, a dominant rating edge like this is about as reliable a signal as you'll find.

place7Last CandyML 7/2

Last Candy (7) checks in with a 75.06 rating — second-best in the field — and an average speed figure of 54, which is actually the highest in the race. Trainer R. Terry Young saddles this one, and if Raz On Fire gets shuffled in the early going or doesn't handle the mile distance, Last Candy has the raw speed numbers to capitalize and hit the board.

show1Fancy FeetML 9/2

Fancy Feet (1) carries a 68.45 rating and draws the rail in a one-mile maiden event, which matters for position early. Trainer Steve Fridley keeps this horse competitively priced at 9/2 on the morning line, and as the third-best rated horse in the field, Fancy Feet looks like a solid exotic anchor for show tickets and trifecta bottoms.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

2:55 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A short and sharp 5½-furlong claiming sprint where the morning line favorite and the top-rated horse don't actually match — setting up an interesting pace battle between horses with very different profiles.

win5One Putt RichieML 5/2

One Putt Richie (5) sits atop the TrackWiz leaderboard with an 87.81 rating despite going off at 5/2, meaning there's real value here relative to what the model sees. Trainer Ralph Martinez and jockey Alexander Bendezu are a sharp combo to watch, and with a 14% career win rate providing a baseline of class, this horse has the numbers to overcome a field that looks beatable underneath the top two. The 5½-furlong distance on dirt suits horses with quick early speed, and One Putt Richie's average speed figure of 54 puts him right in contention.

place6Danza TaxiML 7/5

Danza Taxi (6) is the morning-line favorite at 7/5 and owns a jaw-dropping 41% career win rate — the highest in the field by a wide margin. A TrackWiz rating of 71.35 and an average speed of 53 keep this horse squarely in the mix, and that win percentage alone makes Danza Taxi a near-certain board horse even on a less-than-career-best day.

show3Full MagazineML 8/1

Full Magazine (3) is a sneaky inclusion here at 8/1 on the morning line with a 67.64 rating — highest-rated horse in the race that isn't the top two picks. Trainer Eddie Essenpreis doubles up in this race alongside Lookin for Bala, and an average speed figure of 54 matching the top horses means Full Magazine won't be far off the pace when the gates open. At those odds, tossing a show ticket or using in trifecta exotics makes clear sense.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

The first three races are unlocked for every TrackWiz reader, and there's plenty to work with. Raz On Fire opens the card as a heavy 4/5 favorite in the Maiden Special Weight at a mile — that kind of morning-line confidence from the oddsmakers doesn't come without reason, and our analysis backs the buzz. In Race 2, One Putt Richie looks like a sharp play at 5/2 in a 5½-furlong claiming sprint, offering a touch of value while still sitting at the top of our ratings. Then Awesome Sunday rolls into Race 3 as the 6/5 favorite going six furlongs — on a fast, dry dirt surface, that natural pace setup should suit front-runners and closers alike, so watch for how the trip unfolds early.

One theme connecting these free picks: all three are on a clean, fast-playing dirt surface with no weather interference. Consistent footing tends to reward horses with reliable recent form, and that's exactly what our ratings are keying on today.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

3:20 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Awesome Sunday looks like a heavy single in this six-furlong claiming sprint, but the value hiding in this field is real — particularly with a double-digit-rated longshot angle buried in the middle of the pack.

win5Awesome SundayML 6/5

Awesome Sunday (5) is the class of this field, plain and simple — a 89.71 TrackWiz rating, a 23% career win rate, and a morning line of 6/5 that reflects exactly what the numbers show. Trainer Ralph Martinez and jockey Alexander Bendezu are back together, a combo worth noting given their presence throughout the card today. Six furlongs on dirt is a pace-honest distance, and a horse with a 23-win percentage at this level has proven it can close out races under pressure.

place8Anna After MidniteML 10/1

Anna After Midnite (8) is the real find on this ticket at 10/1 on the morning line, carrying a 74.48 TrackWiz rating that stands well clear of every horse in the field except the favorite. Trainer Frank C. Randazzo Jr. sends this one in at a price, and a horse this well-rated at double-digit odds in a claiming sprint is exactly the kind of overlay that makes exactas and place bets worthwhile. Don't let the odds fool you — the number is legitimate.

show2Life of SaturdaysML 6/1

Life of Saturdays (2) checks in at 6/1 with a 61.79 rating and a 15% career win rate — respectable baseline form for a claiming horse at this level. Trainer Teddy Randazzo places this one in a spot where it can find a pace scenario that suits a stalker type, and at 6/1, the show ticket here adds value to any exotic construction around the top two.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 4

3:45 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Win With Color comes in as the even-money morning-line choice and the top-rated horse in the field, but this one-mile claiming route features a couple of live contenders that could make the exacta interesting.

win7Win With ColorML EVN

Win With Color (7) draws the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at a perfect 90 and goes postward as the even-money choice — the market is firmly in agreement with our model here. Trainer Scott Becker teams with jockey Alexander Bendezu, who has been one of the busiest and most effective riders on today's card, and an average speed figure of 53 is tied for the best in the field. In a one-mile claiming route, a horse with this rating cushion over the field rarely needs much pace help to get the job done.

place6Girls Knicks NowML 5/2

Girls Knicks Now (6) rates second in the field at 72.38 and goes at 5/2 on the morning line, giving bettors a clear second choice with a meaningful cushion over the rest. Trainer Charles Davis Jr. keeps this one in form with an average speed of 53, and a 6% career win rate in a tough class context still leaves room for a strong placing effort at a competitive distance.

show3Risky SpiritML 4/1

Risky Spirit (3) slots in at 4/1 with a 59.58 rating — third-best in the field — and brings a 52 average speed figure that matches the top horses in raw pace ability. Trainer Scott Becker actually doubles up in this race with Win With Color, and it's worth noting when a barn controls two of the top-three rated horses. Risky Spirit's presence in the show hole makes trifecta tickets with the top two a logical construction.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 5

4:10 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Govenor Hank is the even-money morning-line single in a wide-open six-furlong claiming sprint, but Shortstop and Red Speedo both carry strong ratings that make this race more competitive than the favorite's price suggests.

win2Govenor HankML EVN

Govenor Hank (2) comes in with the top TrackWiz rating of 90 alongside a 16% career win rate — the highest in the field — and the even-money morning line reflects a horse the connections feel very good about. Trainer Steve Manley drops this one in at a distance — six furlongs — where early pace setters and speed-figured horses tend to thrive on Fairmount's dirt. Jockey Alexander Bendezu picks up the mount and continues what's been a productive day in the irons, adding another strong booking to his card.

place5ShortstopML 5/2

Shortstop (5) rates just behind the favorite at 82.98 and goes at 5/2, making this a clear value play for the place spot in any exotic. Trainer James Watkins sends this one out with a 12% win rate and an average speed figure of 53 that matches the upper tier of the field. If the pace gets fast early in this sprint and Govenor Hank overexerts, Shortstop has the figure to be finishing hard in the final furlong.

show7Red SpeedoML 5/1

Red Speedo (7) is quietly the most compelling show-slot horse on today's card — a 23% career win rate, an 80.08 TrackWiz rating, and an average speed figure of 54 that is tied for the best in the race. Trainer Harry Lynch rolls out two horses in this race, and Red Speedo's win percentage suggests a horse accustomed to running in the money consistently. At 5/1 on the morning line, this is a legitimate value option in trifectas and show parlays.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 6

4:35 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

Gold Smoke draws in as the morning-line favorite and the top-rated horse in a one-mile-and-70-yard claiming route, but Tapinyourbluejeans and Midnite Alex both bring credentials that make the exacta and trifecta worth building carefully.

win7Gold SmokeML 6/5

Gold Smoke (7) posts a 89.71 TrackWiz rating — the highest in this eight-horse field — and goes off at 6/5 on the morning line, pairing elite form numbers with a 20% career win rate that confirms consistent performance at the claiming level. Trainer Eddie Essenpreis, one of the more active conditioners on this card, sends this one out at a distance that rewards horses with stamina and steady pace — and Gold Smoke's average speed of 52 keeps it right in the tactical hunt. Jockey Ademar Santos gets the call, and with Gold Smoke's rating edge as wide as it is, this looks like a confident single.

place6TapinyourbluejeansML 5/2

Tapinyourbluejeans (6) is a legitimate contender here, not just a place filler — a 72.81 TrackWiz rating, a 26% career win rate (third-best in the field), and a morning line of 5/2 say this horse can win outright. Trainer Ralph Martinez fields this one with confidence, and jockey Alexander Bendezu's day-long presence in top spots suggests the barn is live. If Gold Smoke falters or gets caught wide, Tapinyourbluejeans has the win percentage and rating to steal this.

show4Midnite AlexML 9/2

Midnite Alex (4) brings an 18% career win rate — solid for this level — and a 55.25 TrackWiz rating that edges out the rest of the field outside the top two. Trainer Terry Burdess places this one at 9/2 on the morning line, and the longer distance of 1 mile and 70 yards could suit a horse with a closing profile. Solid third wheel for trifecta tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 7

5:00 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

The morning-line favorite and the TrackWiz top pick don't align in this 1 1/16-mile claiming route — Bernin Tune is the even-money choice, but our model prefers Arky Road and the value hiding at 7/2.

win6Arky RoadML 7/2

Arky Road (6) rates tops on the TrackWiz model at 82.89 despite being the second choice at 7/2 — and that gap between market price and model score is exactly where value lives. Trainer Scott Becker keeps this one sharp with a 20% career win rate, which is the joint-highest in the field, and jockey Alexander Bendezu takes yet another top booking on today's card. At 1 1/16 miles on dirt, a horse with this rating running at a price against the morning-line favorite is a situational edge worth pressing.

place7Mystic PowerML 10/1

Mystic Power (7) is the longshot angle in this race's place spot, going at 10/1 with a 76.88 TrackWiz rating that is actually second-best in the field — that's a meaningful overlay. Trainer Jose Rodriguez sends this one out with a 13% career win rate, and in a route race where pace can scramble things late, a well-rated horse at big odds makes for an outstanding exacta partner underneath Arky Road. Don't overlook this one.

show1Bernin TuneML EVN

Bernin Tune (1) is the even-money favorite and carries a 76.15 TrackWiz rating alongside a 14% career win rate — steady form that explains why the morning line has it as the likely single for most bettors. Trainer Steve Manley and jockey Victor Lara team up here, and in a race where we're siding against the favorite, Bernin Tune belongs in the show spot as a hedge given its form and market support. A wide-open trifecta with Arky Road on top and Bernin Tune underneath could pay nicely.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 8

5:25 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A massive 12-horse maiden field at 5½ furlongs where the top two on the morning line are actually flipped from the TrackWiz ratings — making this one of the day's most interesting betting opportunities.

win6MilaalahML 6/1

Milaalah (6) tops the TrackWiz ratings in this sprawling field at 65.47 while going off at a generous 6/1 on the morning line — that's a clear overlay relative to what our model sees. Trainer Harry Lynch, who's had multiple runners on today's card with strong metrics, sends this one out with jockey Victor Lara, and an average speed figure of 52 puts Milaalah right in the speed sweet spot for a 5½-furlong maiden sprint. In a field this large with no previous winners, a horse with the top rating and an above-fair price is the exact profile we want to lead our ticket.

place8KarazestML 8/5

Karazest (8) is the morning-line second choice at 8/5 with a 59.00 TrackWiz rating and an average speed of 53 — the highest in the field among horses with a recorded speed figure. Trainer Scott Becker and jockey Alexander Bendezu bring another sharp connection to the table here, and while the market respects this horse, our model actually prefers Milaalah at a bigger price. Karazest is still a must-include underneath for exactas given the raw speed figure.

show1Turtle PaceML 5/2

Turtle Pace (1) draws the rail at 5/2 on the morning line with a 57.50 TrackWiz rating and an average speed of 53 — third-best speed number among horses with figures in this field. Trainer Scott Becker saddles two horses in this race (Turtle Pace and Karazest), which is a barn worth monitoring for live runners. At 5/2, Turtle Pace isn't a huge overlay, but the rail in a sprint and the speed figure make it a logical trifecta closer if the top two hold their spots.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

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Clean conditions, a full eight-race card, and several live pace scenarios make this a solid Tuesday at Fairmount Park. Raz On Fire, One Putt Richie, and Awesome Sunday anchor the free picks — but the most interesting decisions of the day may well be hiding in the premium races. Grab the full analysis and multi-race wager breakdowns with a TrackWiz subscription and come prepared. Good luck out there.

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