Fairmount Park Picks & Predictions — June 13, 2026

Don't Tell Kim is the value play that casual bettors might scroll past at 6/1 on the morning line, but a 33% career win rate is a number that demands attention — best in the field by a wide margin. Trainer Ben Delong hands the reins to Cory Orm, and while the TrackWiz rating of 57.14 puts this horse behind the favorite, that career win percentage suggests a horse that knows how to finish. In exactas and trifectas, Don't Tell Kim could be the key to a big score if the favorite does its job on top.

Go Jack Go posts an 11% career win rate and a TrackWiz rating of 53.48 with a 5/1 morning line that slots in naturally as a show play. Frank Reyes rides for Elias Lopez, and this horse's avg speed of 54 ties for the best in the field — the raw numbers say Go Jack Go can run. The show position here is a hedge against any pace collapse; if Galantini and Don't Tell Kim tangle on the lead, Go Jack Go could be rolling late.

Chasing Numbers is the interesting angle here — a TrackWiz rating of 82.05 is legitimately strong, but the 5/2 morning line makes this horse look like the second choice when our model actually has it second-best as well. Ricardo Jaime pilots for Anthony Blea III, and with a 12% career win rate, this horse's ceiling is a bit lower than the top pick — but the rating is close enough that any trouble for Epic Prankster could flip the result. A strong place play.

Mindy's Union is the other Watkins entry in this race, and while the TrackWiz rating of 76.65 puts her third in the field, there's no dismissing a horse from the same barn that's running two live contenders tonight. Julio E. Felix rides, and the 5/2 morning line means the public likes this one too. As a show play, Mindy's Union is a safe landing spot for trifecta tickets — trainer Watkins rarely saddles horses without a plan.

Sassy Katie is the morning line favorite at 6/5 despite being second in the TrackWiz ratings at 74.71 — a legitimate contender, but one that's being overbet relative to Commissioner Gulch. Javier Tavares rides for Robert Pompell, and a 24% career win rate is a strong foundation. The place slot feels like the right spot — Sassy Katie has the ability to hit the board but faces a legitimate ratings gap against the top pick in a route that could expose any weaknesses over the longer haul.

Irish Kitten is the genuine value play in this race — a 20/1 morning line and a TrackWiz rating of 53.46 that's notably higher than what you'd expect from a horse at that price. Travis Wales rides for Wesley Cook, and while a 5% career win rate raises eyebrows, the model sees something worth noting here. In a route race where pace can be brutal and favorites can get tired, a horse like Irish Kitten landing third at 20/1 would make for a monster trifecta payout — this one's worth a small show wager or a savvy trifecta construction.

Fiveo'clockcharlie rates second in the field at 83.3 with an 18% career win rate and a 3/1 morning line that makes this horse an attractive exacta partner alongside the top pick. Ademar Santos rides for James M. Watkins, and this barn has been active and competitive throughout tonight's card. The avg speed of 54 is among the best in this field, and a horse with this kind of rating consistency in a six-furlong sprint usually finds a way to be involved at the top of the stretch.

Takeitaway draws the rail at 8/5 on the morning line and posts the highest avg speed figure in the entire field at 56 — that number stands alone. Luis H. Colon rides for trainer Michele Boyce, and while the TrackWiz rating of 74.7 puts this horse third among the top three, that speed figure advantage is real and could translate to front-end pressure that controls the race early. The show position might be underselling Takeitaway's raw speed, but with Onthewayjimmy and Fiveo'clockcharlie posting stronger overall ratings, third is the prudent slot in multi-leg wagers.