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Fairmount Park Picks & Predictions — June 9, 2026

June 9, 20267 racesAll Fairmount Park picks

This card ran on June 9, 2026.

Best bets at Fairmount Park, June 9, 2026

Race 16Dominant CaitlinML 5/12:30 PM EDT

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It's a warm Tuesday at Fairmount Park — 87°F under partly cloudy skies — and the dirt strip figures to be playing fast all afternoon. Seven races are on the board, covering a mix of maiden specials, claiming battles, and an allowance optional claiming feature that should draw the best horses on the grounds today.

This is a compact but sharp little card. You've got maiden first-timers trying to break their eggs in Race 1, a pair of six-furlong sprints early that should set up some useful pace reads heading into the back half of the card, and a mile route in Race 4 that gives us our first real test for stretch runners today. Plenty to dig into.

TrackWiz has ratings and analysis on all seven races. Races 1 through 3 are fully unlocked — free for every reader. Races 4 through 7 are reserved for subscribers, where the card really starts to get interesting.

Best Bets

Race 1

2:30 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

A wide-open MSW sprint where the morning line favorite is a distant second in our ratings — this could be a prime beat-the-chalk situation right out of the gate.

win6Dominant CaitlinML 5/1

Dominant Caitlin tops our TrackWiz ratings at 84.17 despite being listed at 5/1 on the morning line — that's a meaningful gap that screams value. She posts an avg speed figure of 52 in a field where the top horses are clustered between 52 and 53, meaning she's right in the mix on raw pace. Trainer Scott Becker also saddles the morning line favorite, which tells you this barn is loaded in Race 1 — but our model likes Dominant Caitlin best of the two. With Alexander Bendezu in the irons, this is a dangerous price in a field of first-time starters.

place1Army MedicML 2/1

Army Medic carries our second-highest rating in the field at 83.45 and is the morning line second choice at 2/1 under jockey Ademar Santos for trainer Heather Irion. His avg speed of 53 leads the field and in a maiden sprint, early foot can be everything. If Dominant Caitlin hits any traffic, Army Medic has the raw numbers to swoop in for the win — at minimum he looks like a solid place play.

show2Sweet SkylarML 4/5

Sweet Skylar is the public's choice at 4/5 and while our rating of 60 trails the top two horses by a significant margin, the morning line rarely lies about public expectation. Trainer Scott Becker has a horse at the top of the market for a reason, and in a wide-open maiden field you want to make sure you're covered underneath. Sweet Skylar's avg speed of 53 is on par with the field leaders, making her a reasonable show anchor in your exotic tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

2:55 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A claiming sprint with a clear top two on paper, but the pace scenario could get spicy with several runners posting identical avg speed figures — the setup may benefit closers.

win6Verrazano FirstML 8/5

Verrazano First heads into this spot with the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 89.12 and a career win rate of 26%, which stands as the best in today's bunch. That 26% clip tells you this horse knows how to finish the job — it's not just a paper profile. Trained by Pat Clay and ridden by Johanis Aranguren, the connections here have a horse that is legitimately better than its 8/5 morning line suggests on the ratings front. The avg speed of 54 matches the field leaders, and the combination of top rating plus best win percentage makes this our strongest play of the early card.

place1Mr. ChivasML 5/2

Mr. Chivas comes in with an 85.88 rating — just a tick behind Verrazano First — and posts an 18% career win rate over his career. Trainer Steve Manley sends him out with Travis Wales up, and the avg speed of 54 puts him right in the thick of the pace battle. If Verrazano First gets pressured early, Mr. Chivas is well-positioned to pick up the pieces and hit the board.

show3Good ScoutML 3/1

Good Scout at 3/1 carries the third-best rating in the field at 64.83 and a career win percentage of 23% — only Verrazano First bests that figure today. Trainer Fernando Bahena and jockey Javier Tavares are a familiar combination at this meet. His avg speed of 54 keeps him competitive, and at 3/1 he's not a throwout — he's a legitimate contender to round out your exacta or trifecta tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Our free selections today are led by Dominant Caitlin in the Race 1 maiden special weight, and she's a legitimate reason to tune in early. At 5/1 on the morning line with a TrackWiz rating of 84.17, she grades out as the top figure in the field and offers real value if the tote board cooperates. Races 2 and 3 both go six furlongs on the dirt as well, and Verrazano First (Race 2, 8/5 ML, 89.12 rating) is the highest-rated free pick on the card — a horse who warrants respect even at a short price.

With three straight six-furlong dirt sprints to open the afternoon, pace scenario is everything early. On a warm, potentially sealed-up surface like this, horses that can get out and control the tempo from the gate have historically done well at Fairmount. Keep that bias in mind as you watch the first few races — it may carry through to the premium half of the card as well.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

3:20 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The top two horses in this claiming sprint are separated by just 1.5 rating points, setting up a potential duel between the chalk and a rival our model actually prefers — find your angle before post time.

win4SomnusML 4/1

Somnus lands at the top of our TrackWiz board with an 85.62 rating despite going off at 4/1 on the morning line — the public is leaning toward the chalk, but the model says otherwise. Trainer Jose G. Rodriguez puts him out with Javier Tavares, a jockey who has multiple mounts on today's card, suggesting strong barn support. His avg speed of 53 is solid and his 11% career win rate is respectable for this level. The value here is real — when your top-rated horse is available at morning line odds of 4/1, that's worth highlighting.

place1Manny's KatML 4/5

Manny's Kat is the public favorite at 4/5 and carries an 84.11 TrackWiz rating that puts her just behind Somnus in our standings. The 14% career win rate and a field-best avg speed of 55 give her every reason to be respected — she won't be easy to beat. Trainer Mark W. Anderson sends her out with Angel Ortega Stanley, and at that speed figure she could easily flip the result on Somnus. Even if she runs second, you want her in your exactas.

show5CogML 9/2

Cog rounds out our top three at a 74.72 rating and posts an avg speed of 54 — the best in the field behind Manny's Kat. The 9/2 morning line makes him an interesting show alternative, and trainer Anthony Blea III's runner figures to be in the pace picture early. His 6% career win rate is modest, but in a race where the top two are expected to battle, a closer-type running third behind them is a realistic outcome worth covering.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 4

3:45 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Stretching to a mile on the dirt, this claiming field has a standout on paper — but a pair of interesting price horses could disrupt if the favorite gets caught wide or tangled in traffic.

win1W W StarML 8/5

W W Star owns the highest rating in the field at 89.12 and draws the rail for jockey Victor Santiago under trainer Scott Becker — a barn that's active all night at Fairmount. The 8/5 morning line feels fair, maybe even generous, given that our rating leads the next closest horse by more than 24 points. His 11% career win rate is respectable in the claiming ranks, and his avg speed of 53 is competitive over a mile. Post 1 at a mile on dirt can mean a clean trip with no traffic to deal with — a real plus for the top selection.

place5Rag TreeML 10/1

Rag Tree at 10/1 is the value angle in this spot, carrying a 64.95 rating that actually grades out as the second-best in the field — a wide gap to her morning line odds. Trainer Heather Irion saddles Reynier Arrieta, and the 5% career win rate looks modest but the rating suggests she's been competitive. In a race going a full mile where pace can get complicated, a horse with the second-best TrackWiz number at double-digit odds is exactly the kind of overlay you hunt for in exotic plays.

show2Army HeroML EVN

Army Hero is the co-favorite at even money, but our model has him rated third at 48.71 — a notable departure from what the market implies. Trainer Steve Manley gives him to Alexander Bendezu, and the 5% career win rate is the lowest among the expected contenders. That said, at a mile the pace can set up for a variety of closers, and even money in the show spot is reasonable coverage. He fits better underneath in trifectas than on top.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 5

4:10 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The morning line points to two co-favorites, but our model sees a clear top horse posting a significantly higher rating — fade the chalk and follow the numbers.

win7South of BirminhamML 3/1

South of Birminham tops the TrackWiz ratings at 87.08 and is available at a very reasonable 3/1 morning line alongside a co-favorite priced lower on our board. Trainer Ben Delong puts Javier Tavares up — a rider with multiple live mounts tonight — and the avg speed of 53 matches the field's best. A 6% career win rate is the one thing to acknowledge, but the rating edge over the field is meaningful, and 3/1 on your top-rated horse in a six-furlong claiming sprint is a number you play.

place6Playground WarriorML 5/1

Playground Warrior rates second on our board at 79.37 and goes off at 5/1, which makes him arguably the best value play on the ticket tonight. Trainer Dennis Hornbostel sends him out with Ademar Santos, and his avg speed of 53 is right in the mix. His 7% career win rate is similar to South of Birminham's, so the patterns align. If this shape is right — top-rated horse gets the win, second-rated follows — you're cashing a nice exacta with two underpriced horses.

show3Big WaltML 8/5

Big Walt draws attention as the 8/5 morning line favorite, but our model has him rated third at 59.72 — a full 27 points behind South of Birminham. That kind of rating gap versus public perception is worth noting. Trainer Jose G. Rodriguez and jockey Emmanuel Giles get a horse that's competitive in terms of avg speed at 53, and the 8% career win rate isn't alarming. He'll likely be well-backed, but we'd rather use him to fill out the trifecta than anchor an exacta.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 6

4:35 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

An allowance optional claiming sprint at 6 furlongs featuring a pair of stablemates from the Reavis barn — when one trainer runs two strong horses in the same race, the pace dynamics and trainer intent make this one genuinely interesting to unpack.

win4Then Now 'n AlwaysML 2/1

Then Now 'n Always carries the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 88.54 and a jaw-dropping 50% career win rate — that's not a typo. No other horse in tonight's card comes close to that career record, and it signals a horse that consistently knows what to do when the gate opens. Trainer Michael L. Reavis and jockey Ademar Santos are the combination, and the avg speed of 55 leads the field outright. At 2/1 morning line on a horse rated above the presumptive chalk, this is our best bet of Race 6.

place5Disguised DevilML 3/5

Disguised Devil is the 3/5 morning line favorite and rates 85.41 on our board — second-best in the field but behind stablemate Then Now 'n Always in both our ratings and career win percentage (22%). Trainer Michael L. Reavis runs both horses in the same race, which often signals the barn believes both are live. With an avg speed of 55 matching Then Now 'n Always, Disguised Devil is absolutely dangerous — she just looks like the slightly worse bet at heavier odds-on chalk. She's a strong place play and a must-use in all exotics.

show7CoalyML 10/1

Coaly at 10/1 is the most intriguing third wheel in this race, rating 72.28 — notably ahead of everyone else in the field outside the Reavis duo. Trainer John C. Wainwright puts Javier Diego up, and a 16% career win rate shows this horse has cashed before at this level. If the two Reavis horses collide and compromise each other's trips, Coaly has the rating to sneak in for a piece of it. At 10/1, he's worth a small show bet and definitely earns a spot in your trifecta.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 7

5:00 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A nine-horse maiden claiming closer that features a wide spread in TrackWiz ratings — one horse stands well clear on our numbers despite being priced as a mid-range overlay on the morning line.

win8BelleinthetempleML 8/1

Belleinthetemple is our top-rated horse in the field by a significant margin at 79.79, yet she comes in at 8/1 on the morning line — making her the most underrated horse on tonight's full card relative to her rating. Trainer Ralph Martinez sends her out with Ademar Santos, a jockey who's been active all night, and her avg speed of 52 is right in the pack. In maiden claiming company, a horse that grades out nearly 20 points clear of the second-best option is a serious contender regardless of the public's assessment. This is the longshot angle worth building your ticket around.

place2Wildwood OvertimeML 7/5

Wildwood Overtime is the 7/5 morning line choice and rates second in the field at 59.33 — the public clearly likes her, and the avg speed of 53 leads the field. Trainer Scott Becker has been saddling live horses all night and Victor Santiago gets the call. She's a logical place horse if Belleinthetemple gets up for the win, and she's the one to beat if the public is right and our model's top pick underperforms.

show3Whitelick RoadML 7/2

Whitelick Road checks in at 7/2 on the morning line with a 49.32 rating — third-best in the field but with an avg speed of 51 that's a step below the leaders. Trainer Ben Delong and jockey Angel Ortega Stanley give her competent connections. In a wide-open maiden field where the chalk and our top pick may battle out front, Whitelick Road has the profile to pick up a piece of the purse if she gets a clean run. A solid trifecta fill in a tricky race.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

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Bottom line: a solid seven-race card at Fairmount with fast conditions, a morning of sharp sprints, and a few spots where TrackWiz analysis sees real value. Dominant Caitlin and Verrazano First headline the free selections — and the premium card looks even more interesting from Race 4 on. Unlock the full analysis at TrackWiz Premium and don't miss the pace breakdowns and exotic ticket builds for the back half of the card. Good luck out there.

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