Evangeline Picks & Predictions — June 13, 2026

Channelfortynine rates second in the field at 76.18 and shows a solid 12% career win rate — the highest among horses outside of Wabash in this stakes field. Carlos Perez picks up the mount for trainer Ronnie P. Ward at a 5/2 price that's tighter than ideal but still workable in exotics. He's a reliable place candidate if Wabash handles the favorite's pressure.

Unaffiliated at 6/1 morning line is worth a look as a show play and exotic piece. A rating of 73.15 places her third in the field, and trainer Aubrie Suarez keeps the book tight by also running Simplicated — a barn that's clearly pointed for this turf route. The 7.5-furlong distance on grass is an interesting test, and at morning-line odds of 6/1, there's show overlay here.

Charge the Deal sits just a whisker behind at 84.06 with a 20% career win rate and an average speed of 54, making him legitimately dangerous. Isaac Castillo rides for Juan A. Larrosa, a combo worth monitoring throughout the card. At 3/1 morning line, he's actually the public's top choice, and you can make a case he runs the top two. He's a strong place ticket either way.

La Palabra checks in at a 67.31 rating with a 16% career win rate and an average speed of 54 — matching Charge the Deal on raw quickness. Jose Luis Rodriguez steers for trainer Isai V. Gonzalez, who has multiple runners on the card. At 8/1 morning line she offers show overlay in a field where the top two are tightly matched and someone has to run third. Good show and trifecta spot.

Single Shot is an intriguing place play at 12/1 morning line, rating 65.63 — third in the field — with Timothy Thornton up for trainer David Terre. A 3% career win rate sounds alarming, but in a turf route where pace can get complicated in a full field, a closer with strong ratings can sneak into the exacta at big odds. This is your value play for the place position.

Bob's Channel rates 62.13 with a 12% career win rate, sitting fourth in our rankings and going for trainer Sam B. David, Jr. with Colby J. Hernandez aboard. At 9/2, he's not a huge price, but in a 13-horse field where chaos is possible, having a mid-rated horse with a solid win percentage gives you a sensible show hedge. He rounds out the trifecta nicely.

He's Exaggerating rates 70.37 with a 14% career win rate, and trainer Allen Landry has two horses in this race — which tells you the barn is serious about the outcome. Casey Fusilier rides, and at 3/1 morning line there's some juice here as the main competition to the barn's other entry. A horse with those ratings in a claiming sprint typically runs his race, and second is very much in play.

Running Bayou at 7/2 rates 56.35 for trainer Isai V. Gonzalez with Jose Luis Rodriguez up — a trainer who has plenty of action on this card. The 5% career win rate is low, but her average speed of 53 is solid for the trip, and in a short sprint format she could sprint to the lead early and hang tough for a piece. Show value in a race where the top two are fairly obvious.

Sabi rates 82.71 — essentially a dead heat with E Lion at the top — and shows a 27% career win rate that underscores his quality. Jamison Mudd rides for trainer Emile Schwandt, and at 6/1 morning line there's genuine overlay on a horse this close to the top of our ratings. He's not a longshot — he's a legitimate win threat being underestimated by the morning line. Strong place bet.

Ambridge rates 76.35 with a 23% career win rate, third in the field and well-positioned for a turf mile as Isaac Castillo rides for trainer Jonathan Wong. At 7/2 morning line he's the public's second choice, and the ratings support that — though in a race this tight at the top, getting him third is the safest assumption. He's a solid show anchor and a necessary piece of any trifecta.

Mangum rates 86.21 — just a step below the top pick — and his 24% career win rate speaks to consistent form. Harry Hernandez rides for trainer Jeff Delhomme, and at 5/2 morning line he's right there as a main contender. If Letmikefigureitout faces any pace pressure from the outside horses, Mangum has the class and numbers to close it out for second or better.

Sounds Like Power rates 80.95 with an 18% career win rate and an average speed figure of 56 — the highest in the entire field. Jansen Melancon rides for trainer Keith G. Bourgeois at 5/1 morning line, offering a touch of value. That raw speed number suggests he could be involved early, and in a sprint, pace participants have a way of hanging on for a share. Solid show ticket.

Samuel rates 86.99 — second in the field by a clear margin — and goes off at 5/2 morning line with Julio Ramirez, Jr. in the irons for trainer Randy Degeyter, Jr. The rating gap between Samuel and the third horse in our rankings (The Petitioner at 57.81) is significant, making this an effective two-horse race at the top. Samuel is the clear place play and a necessary part of any exacta.

The Petitioner rates 57.81 — a notable jump down from the top two, but well clear of the rest of the maiden field. C.J. McMahon rides for trainer Henry West, Jr. at 4/1 morning line, and the five-furlong sprint on dirt favors horses who can break cleanly and settle into a rhythm. In a maiden race where anything can happen, having the third-best rating at a workable price makes The Petitioner a sensible show play and trifecta closer.