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Emerald Downs Picks & Predictions — July 10, 2026

July 10, 20267 racesAll Emerald Downs picks

This card ran on July 10, 2026.

Best bets at Emerald Downs, July 10, 2026

Race 12Mo GreyML 6/510:00 PM EDT

Race 2 is free with an account, and the other 5 races are for members.

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It's a beautiful Pacific Northwest afternoon at Emerald Downs — partly cloudy skies, 74°F, and conditions that set the table for honest speed figures on the dirt. Seven races are on the board today, and this card has a little something for everyone: short sprints, a one-miler, maiden action, and a handful of claiming battles where class angles can pay serious dividends.

The dirt strip figures to play fairly today. With no rain in the picture and mild temps, expect the surface to be consistent from wire to wire — which means early speed will be worth tracking closely, especially in the sprint races. Keep an eye on how the first few races unfold; if front-runners are holding on, that's valuable information for the second half of the card.

Best Bets

Race 1

10:00 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Mo Grey comes in as a dominant morning-line favorite in this 6-furlong dirt claimer, but Shiny Orb's elite career win rate makes this anything but a walkover.

win2Mo GreyML 6/5

Mo Grey carries the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 89.71 — a sizable gap over the next closest rival — and that edge is backed by the highest average speed figure in the race at 56. The 6/5 morning line reflects just how much the market respects this horse, and frankly, it's hard to argue. Jockey Silvio Ruiz Amador gets the call, giving Mo Grey a polished pilot to close out the deal in a sprint.

place5Shiny OrbML 9/2

Shiny Orb is the most interesting horse in this field from a win-rate standpoint — a 25% career win percentage is by far the best among all five starters and speaks to a horse who knows how to finish in front. Trainer Sarah Jennings also saddles Rocksalot in this same race, so she's double-shotgunning the field, which can sometimes signal confidence in a barn's overall form. At 9/2 on the morning line, Shiny Orb offers real value if Mo Grey stumbles.

show4Fruit LutesML 9/5

Fruit Lutes brings a 63.48 TrackWiz rating and a 12% career win rate, which slots in comfortably as the third-best profile in this field. Kevin Krigger is a capable rider and the 9/5 morning line suggests the market sees this horse as a legitimate threat, making it a solid underneath play in exactas and trifectas.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

10:26 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A wide-open maiden claimer going a mile on dirt — nobody in this field has ever won, so we're hunting for the horse showing the most upside on paper.

win1All About BabesML 7/2

All About Babes tops the TrackWiz ratings in this maiden claimer at 86.35, and trainer Blaine D. Wright puts up Javier Matias for the trip — a confident jockey booking. The 7/2 morning line is generous for a horse sitting at the top of the class ratings, which sets up potential value if the price holds into post time. The one-mile distance on dirt suits a horse that profiles as a stalker type, and an average speed figure of 54 is right in line with the pace of this field.

place6Rise Up and GoML 5/2

Rise Up and Go is the closest rival to our top pick at a 81.81 rating, and at 5/2 on the morning line the crowd is paying attention. The slight edge in average speed figures at 55 — best in the field — suggests this horse could be involved on the front end, which at a mile can set up a strong finish. Kiaman McGregor is the mount, and if there's any pace pressure early, Rise Up and Go could be the one closing the deal.

show2Honoring AutismML 3/1

Honoring Autism rates third in the field at 69.11 and goes as the 3/1 morning-line second choice, which is a bit of a disconnect from the ratings — meaning the crowd may be overrating this horse slightly. That said, a third-place finish here is entirely plausible if the top two get into a speed duel, and trainer Jorge Rosales keeps the horse eligible at this level. Worth including on the bottom of trifectas.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

The first three races are unlocked for every TrackWiz reader, and they give us a solid cross-section of the day's themes. Mo Grey opens the card in Race 1 as the morning-line favorite at 6/5 — our top-rated horse of the day at 89.71 — and the 6-furlong dirt sprint suits a horse with his profile. In Race 2, All About Babes stretches to a mile in maiden claiming company, a distance that can expose significant class and fitness gaps, and our analysis likes her at a workable 7/2 morning line. Then Tiz Grazen rounds out the free tier in Race 3 at 3/1, a fair price for a horse rated 87.08 in a short sprint where pace shape matters enormously.

Across these three free races, the thread connecting our picks is consistency — horses whose recent figures line up well for today's conditions, not just horses who "look good on paper" after one big effort. That distinction is what separates value from noise, and it's the foundation of how TrackWiz builds every card.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

10:52 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Two horses dominate the TrackWiz ratings in this 5.5-furlong dirt claimer, setting up a likely match race between Tiz Grazen and Nation of Faith with Peter Flies lurking as a value threat.

win4Tiz GrazenML 3/1

Tiz Grazen posts the field's top rating at 87.08 and comes in at a fair 3/1 morning line — not chalk, not a longshot, just a horse the data strongly supports. The 19% career win rate is solid for a claiming horse at this level, and Adrian Castellanos gets the mount, a jockey who knows how to navigate 5.5-furlong sprints. Trainer Jorge Rosales also saddles Nation of Faith in this race, which suggests the barn is firing on multiple cylinders today.

place6Nation of FaithML 5/2

Nation of Faith is our place pick at 5/2 and rates second in the field at 82.87 — only 4 points behind Tiz Grazen. Talliyah Timentwa rides for trainer Alexis Silva-Martinez, and this horse's 12% career win rate might undersell how competitive it's been. In a sprint like this, if the pace sets up right, Nation of Faith has the profile to grab a piece.

show2Peter FliesML 7/2

Peter Flies is the show horse we like here, and the 21% career win rate is the best of anyone in this field — a number that jumps out in a claiming race at this level. The 7/2 morning line offers genuine value for a horse that closes at a solid clip, and trainer Charles Essex has this one pointed right. Include Peter Flies underneath in your exotics as a high-floor option.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 4

11:18 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

This 6-furlong dirt claimer features a legitimate pace battle brewing, with a morning-line favorite that doesn't hold the top TrackWiz rating — creating a real overlay opportunity.

win1Prancin LadyML 5/1

Prancin Lady tops the TrackWiz ratings at 84.17 and yet goes off at 5/1 on the morning line — that's meaningful value against a 6/5 morning-line choice who rates considerably lower. The 27% career win rate is excellent for a claiming horse, and trainer Steve C. Fisher puts Frank T. Alvarado up for the ride. At the 6-furlong distance on dirt, this is a horse that profiles as capable of pressing or tracking the pace and finishing strongly.

place4Kristin LeeML 5/2

Kristin Lee is a fascinating place play — a 38% career win percentage is flat-out elite for this class of race, the best in the field by a wide margin. Silvio Ruiz Amador rides, the rating is 83.31, and the 5/2 morning line makes sense. If Kristin Lee fires her best race, she wins; if anything goes slightly wrong, she still figures to hit the board.

show2Ms Flashy HarborML 4/1

Ms Flashy Harbor brings the field's top average speed figure at 56, matching Kristin Lee on that metric and edging out the rest of the field. The 4/1 morning line is fair value for a horse that's clocked the fastest average times, and trainer Steve Bullock hands the reins to Karlo Lopez. Speed figures (a measure of how fast a horse runs adjusted for track conditions) favor this one showing up in the exacta or trifecta.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 5

11:44 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The morning-line favorite isn't the top-rated horse in this 6-furlong dirt claimer — Ginger in Charge carries the best TrackWiz number at 7/2 and looks like the play of the race.

win5Ginger in ChargeML 7/2

Ginger in Charge leads the field with an 86.35 TrackWiz rating and a 22% career win percentage, yet somehow goes off at 7/2 while Union Coach is the 6/5 choice. That's a significant value gap our analysis favors. Adrian Castellanos gets the ride for trainer Howard F. Gibson, and with matching average speed figures of 55, this is a horse that can sit right in the pace and pounce. When the top-rated horse isn't the favorite, that's exactly the kind of spot TrackWiz was built to find.

place4Union CoachML 6/5

Union Coach is the morning-line favorite at 6/5 and rates second in the field at 80.8, so it absolutely belongs in the exotics — we just think it's slightly overbet. The 22% career win rate matches our top pick, and trainer Faustino Patino is a consistent presence at Emerald Downs. Alex M. Cruz rides, and if Union Coach presses the pace, a place finish is very much on the table.

show6Nan ElizabethML 3/1

Nan Elizabeth rounds out our top three with a 71.61 rating and the field's best career win percentage at 23% — a number that screams consistency on the board. Kevin Krigger takes the mount for trainer Sergio S. Perez, and at 3/1 this horse is fairly priced. A third-best rating with the best win rate in the field makes this a logical show play and trifecta anchor.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 6

12:10 AM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A seven-horse 5.5-furlong sprint with a clear form standout at a generous price — Flyin By's TrackWiz rating towers over the morning-line favorite, setting up one of the better value scenarios on the card.

win5Flyin ByML 9/2

Flyin By tops the field with an 84.9 TrackWiz rating and goes at 9/2 while Can'tdealwithit is bet down to 7/5 — that's a substantial overlay our analysis can't ignore. The 21% career win rate and a top-of-field average speed figure of 56 make this a horse that should be on the front half of a 5.5-furlong sprint. Silvio Ruiz Amador is one of the sharpest riders on the Emerald Downs circuit and gets the call for trainer Kimberley Johnston.

place6Can'tdealwithitML 7/5

Can'tdealwithit's 33% career win percentage is the best in the entire field by a wide margin — for context, only one other horse here is above 23%. That kind of consistency hitting the winner's circle justifies the short price, even if our ratings suggest Flyin By is the better bet on form today. Adrian Castellanos rides for trainer David B. Martinez, and this horse likely hits the board.

show1Bobby's GenieML 6/1

Bobby's Genie draws the rail and rates third in the field at 62.48, with a 21% career win rate and the best average speed figure of any horse in the top three on our show line at 56. Trainer Vince Gibson is a familiar name at Emerald Downs and Kevin E. Orozco rides. At 6/1, this is a legitimate trifecta inclusion — speed figures and post position both work in its favor at 5.5 furlongs where early position matters.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 7

12:36 AM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A maiden claimer at 6 furlongs where nobody has a win to their name — but My Sweet Forza's dominant rating and morning-line favoritism make this look like a potential wire-to-wire score.

win5My Sweet ForzaML 2/1

My Sweet Forza comes in with an 88.54 TrackWiz rating — the highest in this field by more than 12 points — and trainer Jorge Rosales doubles up in this race with Flight Ryder as well, which can signal a barn in peak form. Adrian Castellanos gets the mount, and at 2/1 on the morning line the crowd is clearly on board. With a 55 average speed figure matching several rivals but a substantial rating edge, My Sweet Forza is the clear top selection in what shapes up as a vulnerable maiden field.

place6Kris's GoldML 3/1

Kris's Gold is the logical backup at 75.83 and goes as the 3/1 second choice — trainer Patty Leaney also runs Count Dalia in this race, so she's got coverage in the field. Alex M. Cruz rides Kris's Gold, and the rating gap between this horse and the rest of the field below suggests a top-two finish is the most likely outcome. In maiden races, having two horses from the same barn competing can sometimes create pace dynamics that set things up nicely for the more talented runner.

show7Another LiferML 6/1

Another Lifer rates third in the field at 52.06 and goes at a fair 6/1 morning line, with Silvio Ruiz Amador up for trainer James L. Gilmour. In a maiden race where nobody has broken their maiden, form lines can be volatile — and the 55 average speed figure keeps this one competitive in the speed-figure department. As a trifecta hedge under the top two, the price and profile make sense.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

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Bottom line: Mo Grey is the marquee play of the day, the free card gives you three strong starting points, and the back half of the card has legitimate value hiding in some overlooked spots. Full-card analysis — including pace projections, exotic tickets, and premium picks — is available to TrackWiz subscribers. Check out our subscription options and get the complete breakdown before the first race goes off. Good luck out there.

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