Delta Downs Picks & Predictions — November 11, 2026

Princess Peach is the fastest horse in this field on pure recent speed, clocking 12.61 sec/furlong — best in the race — and her workout line is sharp too, ranking second over the last month at 12.40. She's the second-highest-rated horse at 75.40 and wins 21% of our simulations, the top mark in the race. The concern is a rough recent stretch (no placings in the last 3 starts) and a modest sprint record of 1 for 4 on that surface-distance combo — but the raw numbers say she belongs.

Candy Girl Miss is an interesting longshot angle as the show pick at 20/1. She ranks third in the TrackWiz ratings at 62.29, posted a 12.92 sec/furlong recent race speed (third-fastest in the field), and her jockey Isaac Castillo has a 19% win rate and 52% in-the-money rate over the past year. The layoff concern is worth flagging — she's 32 days off a race where she prefers less rest — but at 20/1 she offers outsized exotic value if she fires fresh.

Mucino is the morning-line favorite at 7/5 for good reason — he's placed in all six of his most recent starts, an impressive streak of consistency. Harry Hernandez guides him, and that jockey has posted a 22% win rate and 57% in-the-money rate over the past year. He's won 3 times in 15 dirt starts and brings a 55% career in-the-money rate. The age concern (6 years old) is noted, but that form streak suggests he's still running well, and our sims credit him with 27% — actually the highest mark in the race.

Three Echoes looks like the right longshot to include in the bottom of your exotics. He ranks third in the TrackWiz ratings at 60.06, posted the third-fastest recent race speed at 12.30 sec/furlong, and the Cardoso-Hibdon combo has a 22% win rate and 60% in-the-money rate — the same combination that showed up in Race 1. The claiming price increase from $7,500 to $10,000 is a minor concern, but at 12/1 morning line the return justifies the risk in a trifecta.

Miss T brings the top workout figure of the past month — 12.45 sec/furlong, best in this field — which matters a lot in a maiden sprint where race shape is hard to project. She's rated second at 55.83 and wins 15.4% of our simulations, nearly matching the top pick. The honest caveat is her jockey Julio Ramirez Jr. has struggled, posting just a 6% win rate and 26% in-the-money rate over the past year — that's a real drag on her chances, and you should factor it in when deciding how much to bet.

Leo's Chic rounds out the picks with the second-fastest recent race speed in the field at 12.93 sec/furlong and a solid rating of 53.33 — third in the race. Trainer Keith Bourgeois grades out at A- and pairs with a B-graded jockey in Thomas Pompell. The claiming price jump from $20,000 to $32,000 is a flag and she didn't place last out, but she wins 14.75% of our simulations — the second-highest mark in the race — which makes her a worthwhile trifecta piece at 5/1.

Charge the Deal rates second in this field at 79.06 and owns the fastest recent race speed at 12.33 sec/furlong — the best number in the race. He's placed in his last two starts and has 3 wins in 16 dirt starts. Trainer Abel Ramirez-Rodriguez grades at A and jockey Kevin Roman at B, a capable combination. At 5/1 morning line with a 20.2% sim win rate, he's solid underneath and a natural exacta partner with Crusin Like a Cat.

Two Jet is the value add at 6/1 as the show pick. His dirt profile is deep — 9 wins and placed in 23 of 36 dirt starts — and trainer Eric Ramirez grades at A, a sharp conditioner for a five-furlong sprint. The jockey-trainer combo has connected at a 20% win rate and 60% in-the-money rate over the past year. The knock is three consecutive off-the-board efforts and a six-year-old age flag, but his 13% sim win rate and that trainer grade justify including him in the third spot of your trifecta.

Iron in the Fire rates second in the field at 72.84 and has placed in 4 of his last 6 starts — including 3 consecutive in-the-money efforts coming in. His recent race speed of 12.44 sec/furlong ranks third in the field, and trainer Juan Larrosa grades at A. The age concern (7 years old) mirrors several horses in this field, but his current form says he's running up to his numbers. At 3/1 morning line with a 22.9% sim win rate, he's a natural exacta play under Home Visit.

Mi Solution fills out the exotics nicely with a B+ jockey in Jose Luis Rodriguez and an A-minus trainer in Keith Bourgeois — that's a strong combination. He's placed in 4 of 5 sprint starts and has hit the board in his last two races. His sim win rate of 18.8% actually ranks second in the race, which is notably high for a 2/1 morning-line horse — he may well be a main player rather than just a show pick. The concern is recent race speed ranking sixth in the field, so he'll need the pace to set up for him.

Sassi Royal is the most dangerous rival and the horse to key underneath. She owns the top workout figure over the last month — a sharp 12.00 sec/furlong, best in the field — and the second-fastest recent race speed at 12.74. She's also dropping in claiming price from $10,000 to $5,000, a significant class relief that often sparks maiden winners. The honest concern is a rough recent stretch: just 1 placing in her last 6 starts, with 5 consecutive off-the-board efforts. At 2/1 morning line, the class drop angle makes her a solid place ticket.

Riddick is the show pick at 5/1 with an interesting profile — his claiming price drops from $7,500 to $5,000, he sports a B+ jockey in Erick Del Cid, and a TrackWiz rating of 58.28 (third in the field). The major caveat is a zero-for-career record on dirt, which is a real flag in a dirt sprint. That said, the class relief and his 11.96% sim win rate suggest he could surprise if he takes to the surface, making him worth including in the trifecta at a fair price.