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Delta Downs Picks & Predictions — August 14, 2026

August 14, 20269 racesAll Delta Downs picks

This card ran on August 14, 2026.

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Best bets at Delta Downs, August 14, 2026

Race 17Ivory ChynaML 3/17:15 PM EDT

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Last 30 days at Delta Downs: our top pick won 17 of 68 races (25%) and finished in the money in 35.

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It's a hot one at Delta Downs today — partly cloudy skies and a sizzling 90°F on the Louisiana-Texas border, and that kind of heat can play games with both horses and bettors alike. Nine races are on the docket, all on the dirt, ranging from a quick 250-yard maiden claimer to a longer 870-yard allowance test that'll separate the finishers from the faders.

The card leans heavily toward the short quarter-horse distances that Delta Downs does best, with most races packed into that 250–440 yard range. That means we're talking explosive, blink-and-you'll-miss-it sprints where gate speed and reaction time are everything. In this heat, a clean break isn't just an advantage — it's the whole ballgame.

Three races are free for all TrackWiz readers today, with our top-rated picks already loaded up. The full nine-race breakdown is available to subscribers, and with a card this compact and explosive, the multi-race exotics are absolutely worth a look.

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Race 1

7:15 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 250 yd · Dirt

A wide-open maiden claiming sprint at 250 yards where TrackWiz ratings separate the contenders sharply from the field — one horse stands well above the rest on paper.

win7Ivory ChynaML 3/1

Ivory Chyna draws the eye immediately with a TrackWiz rating of 87.08 — the highest in this field by a comfortable margin and well clear of anyone who could realistically challenge at this maiden claiming level. Bobby Ransom takes the mount, and at 3/1 on the morning line, the market agrees this is the one to beat. In a 250-yard dash, there's no pace to sit off — every horse fires from the gate, and Ivory Chyna's rating advantage suggests she has the raw ability to simply outrun this group. In a maiden field where past performance data is limited, rating edges like this carry real weight.

place9CindrellaachievementML 8/1

Cindrellaachievement checks in with a 73.21 TrackWiz rating — second-best in the field and a solid cut above the mid-pack runners. Trainer Emily Jeane sends her out at 8/1 on the morning line, which represents real overlay potential if she runs to her rating. In a 250-yard sprint with no margin for error, her profile as a secondary contender makes her a logical exotics play underneath Ivory Chyna.

show2Lynns Sweet AngelML 4/1

Lynns Sweet Angel posts a 59.83 rating and draws the inside post at #2 under Adrian X. Morales — a clean trip in a sprint this short is hugely valuable. At 4/1, the morning line reflects some market respect, and her rating gives her a legitimate case to hit the board in what is otherwise a thin maiden field. She's the third-best horse on paper and worth including in trifecta combinations.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

7:40 PM EDT

Allowance · 870 yd · Dirt

This allowance at 870 yards features a clear TrackWiz top selection but genuine depth behind it — several horses post respectable ratings and career win percentages that keep the race honest.

win1Steam EngineML 3/1

Steam Engine tops the TrackWiz ratings at 87.08 and comes in at a fair 3/1 morning line under Jose Ariel Rodriguez for trainer Kenneth L. Roberts, Sr. What stands out beyond the rating is a 12% career win percentage — meaningful in an allowance field where consistency matters. At 870 yards, there's more race to run than in the short sprints, and Steam Engine's profile suggests he can sustain his effort over the longer distance. This is the most complete package in the field.

place3Dash Master PopML 4/1

Dash Master Pop rates second-best in the field at 77.64 and logs a 5% career win percentage — modest, but he's been competitive enough to earn his allowance conditions. Trainer Nason Eschete sends him out at 4/1 under Juan Francisco Garcia, Jr., a jockey who knows this track well. His rating gap over the rest of the field — outside of Steam Engine — makes him a natural place horse and a key piece in exacta and trifecta tickets.

show5Jc Double ShottML 8/1

Jc Double Shott rates 75.44 — just a tick below Dash Master Pop and well within striking distance in a field where the pace will string out over 870 yards. A 6% career win percentage is modest, but at 8/1 on the morning line, the value is real if he runs to his number. Trainer Danny Hoda also has Fluf Fluf Goose in this race, so the barn clearly knows the conditions, and Pedro Chavarria Espinosa has been active at this meet.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Our three free races today cover a nice spread of the card — a pair of allowance sprints and a maiden claimer — and a clear theme emerges: TrackWiz ratings are clustering near the top of our scale for these early picks. Lm Ms Apollitical in Race 3 leads the free selections with an 89.71 rating and draws attention as the morning-line favorite at 6/5, suggesting the crowd and our model are largely in agreement. When the numbers and the public line up like that on a short sprint, it usually means there's a legitimate standout in the field.

Ivory Chyna (Race 1) and Steam Engine (Race 2) both carry identical 87.08 ratings and share a 3/1 morning line, which is an interesting coincidence worth noting — similar profiles, similar odds, similar upside. If the dirt plays fast in this heat, both have the profile to fire early and hold on. Keep an eye on how the first race comes off the gate; it can tell you a lot about how the surface is playing all day.

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Race 3

8:05 PM EDT

Allowance · 350 yd · Dirt

A short-field allowance at 350 yards anchored by a heavy morning-line favorite who looks like the real deal — the question is whether any longshot can steal a share of the purse at generous odds.

win2Lm Ms ApolliticalML 6/5

Lm Ms Apollitical is priced at 6/5 for a reason — her TrackWiz rating of 89.71 is the best in this field by a wide margin, and a 22% career win percentage at the allowance level tells you she delivers on that promise more often than not. Jorge Javier Garcia takes the reins for trainer Luis R. Martinez, Jr., a combination worth noting in quarter-horse sprints at Delta Downs. At 350 yards, this is a full-throttle race from the break, and her rating advantage makes her the horse to beat.

place4Ace Fortunes N EagleML 9/2

Ace Fortunes N Eagle rates 64.04 — a meaningful step below the favorite but a comfortable gap ahead of most of the field. A 12% career win percentage for trainer Trey Ellis suggests he can find the winner's circle, and Juan Francisco Garcia, Jr. is a capable hand at this distance. At 9/2, he's a reasonable price for a horse who profiles as the clear second-best on paper.

show7Apollitcal Heart VML 3/1

Apollitcal Heart V carries a 52.51 rating and comes in at 3/1 morning line — slightly overlaid relative to his rating, perhaps reflecting the Apollitical bloodline connection that sharp bettors chase in quarter-horse racing. Trainer Bradley C. Bolen puts Francisco Giles aboard, and a 10% career win percentage shows he's no slouch. If Lm Ms Apollitical gets all the money and drifts at the windows, backing Apollitcal Heart V to show at 3/1 becomes a very reasonable hedge.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 4

8:30 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 250 yd · Dirt

A 10-horse maiden claiming sprint at 250 yards where two horses separate themselves from a wide-open bottom — the pace will be instant and the margins razor-thin.

win6Rm Invasor PatriotML 7/2

Rm Invasor Patriot leads all horses in this maiden claiming field with a TrackWiz rating of 86.35 — a big number in a race full of first-time starters and unproven runners. Ubaldo Luna takes the mount for trainer Martin Trejo, and despite a 0% career win percentage (reflecting maiden status), that rating says the talent is there. At 7/2, this is a fair price for the top-rated horse, and in a 250-yard sprint, raw ability tends to show itself immediately off the gate.

place7The Carters BackML 9/5

The Carters Back is the morning-line favorite at 9/5 and rates 78.99 — second-best in the field and within striking range of the top pick. Jorge Javier Garcia pilots for trainer Josue Ponce, and the market has clearly identified this pair as dangerous. The tight gap between the top two horses makes The Carters Back a natural place horse — if Rm Invasor Patriot gets away cleanly, The Carters Back looks well-suited to chase him down for second.

show8Ima Gold JewelML 6/1

Ima Gold Jewel checks in with a 60.91 rating — a clear third-best in this field and a significant step up from the muddled middle of the pack. Trainer Kenneth Weeks sends Servando Ramirez to the gate at 6/1, offering genuine value for a horse whose rating justifies board consideration. In maiden sprints, fireworks at the gate can reshuffle the order fast, and Ima Gold Jewel has the profile to benefit if either top pick stumbles.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 5

8:55 PM EDT

Claiming · 330 yd · Dirt

A 10-horse claiming sprint at 330 yards with genuine depth — multiple horses sport solid career win percentages, setting up a competitive race where the TrackWiz top pick carries a decisive rating edge.

win8Scoop of PowerML 4/1

Scoop of Power rates 85.62 — comfortably the highest mark in this claiming field — and brings a 16% career win percentage that suggests he's no paper tiger. Rene Hernandez gets the call for trainer Danny Hoda, and Hernandez has been a fixture in the winner's circle at this meet. At 4/1, there's legitimate value on a horse who outrates the field by a wide margin, and in a 330-yard sprint, that kind of raw ability advantage tends to translate directly to the wire.

place1Nitro VisionML 6/1

Nitro Vision logs a 21% career win percentage — one of the strongest records in this field — and rates 67.27 for trainer Dondrick London. Bobby Ransom takes the mount, and at 6/1, the market may be underestimating how often this horse hits the board. His career win rate is the kind of sustained consistency that makes him a safe place play, particularly in a competitive claiming field where he could easily slot into second behind the top-rated Scoop of Power.

show3Wicked and FastML 5/2

Wicked and Fast rates 60.02 and draws a morning-line of 5/2, which puts her as the second choice on paper despite ranking third in our ratings. A 13% career win percentage for trainer Ramiro Barajas Villarreal with Jorge Javier Garcia up is a respectable combination. The tighter market price reflects public respect, and she's a logical show play — just be aware the shorter odds mean less return if she does hold third.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 6

9:20 PM EDT

Allowance · 350 yd · Dirt

The allowance at 350 yards features a hidden gem at the top of the TrackWiz ratings going off at a price — the morning-line favorite isn't the horse our analysis likes best, which creates a real overlay opportunity.

win8One Big StormML 6/1

One Big Storm rates 82.71 — best in this allowance field — yet the morning line has him at 6/1, well behind the 2/1 favorite Smokeshow V. That's a meaningful disconnect. Trainer Luis R. Martinez, Jr. pairs with Eddi Emanuel Martinez, and while a 4% career win percentage looks modest, in short sprint conditions that number can be noise — what matters is the raw rating, and One Big Storm brings the highest number to the gate. At 6/1, if he runs anywhere close to his rating, this is excellent value.

place3Smokeshow VML 2/1

Smokeshow V is the morning-line favorite at 2/1 and rates 77.18 — second-best in the field — with Juan Francisco Garcia, Jr. up for trainer Larry D. Keith. A 7% career win percentage in allowance company is functional, and the market clearly respects this horse. Even as our second pick, he's the logical place horse: if One Big Storm fires, Smokeshow V has the profile to hold second, and the trifecta combination of those two with any live closer becomes attractive.

show10Jp Icy CoronaML 8/1

Jp Icy Corona is the wild card here — a 66% career win percentage is an eye-catching number, and while it may reflect a small sample size in softer conditions, you can't ignore that kind of strike rate. Jorge Javier Garcia takes the mount for trainer Fernando Lopez at 8/1, and a 68.43 TrackWiz rating puts him in the mix. If he's returning from a conditioned edge, the win percentage history makes him dangerous to leave off your exotics.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 7

9:45 PM EDT

Allowance · 440 yd · Dirt

A full 10-horse allowance field at 440 yards — longer than most on today's card — with a clear 1-2 punch at the top of the TrackWiz ratings that should shape the early wagering and the race itself.

win2Tc Silencio UpML 3/1

Tc Silencio Up tops the TrackWiz ratings at 87.08 and brings a 25% career win percentage — the strongest winning record among the top contenders in this field. Trainer Ricardo Saul Castillo sends him out at 3/1 under Ubaldo Luna, and that win rate speaks to a horse who shows up when it counts. At 440 yards, there's a bit more distance to work with than the typical short Delta sprint, and Tc Silencio Up's profile suggests he can sustain his speed through the longer run.

place5Sl SomethingML 7/2

Sl Something rates 83.4 — a strong second on TrackWiz ratings — and checks in at 7/2 on the morning line with Humberto Vital up for trainer David Bustamante. A 10% career win percentage is solid in allowance company, and at a price that represents near-equal odds to the top pick, he offers real exacta value. If the two top-rated horses run 1-2 in some order, the exacta payoff using both sides should be worthwhile.

show1Six Streakin BloodML 9/2

Six Streakin Blood rates 66.45 and draws post 1 — a clean inside gate in a 440-yard race can be a genuine advantage, as there's less distance for a horse to drift or get shuffled back early. Rene Hernandez rides for trainer Danny Hoda, a combination active throughout today's card, and a 6% career win percentage at allowance level means he's earned his conditions. At 9/2, he slots neatly as the third piece of the trifecta.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 8

10:10 PM EDT

Allowance · 300 yd · Dirt

The 300-yard allowance late on the card looks top-heavy — the TrackWiz top pick carries the best rating on today's full card and pairs it with a career win percentage that commands serious respect.

win8San Lorenzo BossmanML 5/2

San Lorenzo Bossman posts a 87.81 TrackWiz rating — the highest individual rating on today's entire card — and backs it up with a 33% career win percentage that tells you this horse knows how to close the deal. Trainer Juan C. Garcia puts Leonardo Rodriguez in the irons, and at 5/2, this is the kind of morning line that still offers value when the credentials are this strong. In a 300-yard sprint where everything happens in a blink, having the horse with the best raw ability and proven winning habits is exactly what you want.

place9Lm President CartelML 7/2

Lm President Cartel rates 76.39 and also carries a 33% career win percentage — matching San Lorenzo Bossman's win rate and making him the most dangerous horse in the field to the top pick. Trainer Luis R. Martinez, Jr. puts Eddi Emanuel Martinez up at 7/2, and that trainer-jockey combo is active and competitive today. The tight rating gap between first and second in this race means the exacta both ways is worth considering, but Lm President Cartel looks like the clear place horse.

show1Rogues Fast PrizeML 6/1

Rogues Fast Prize rates 68.24 and brings a 21% career win percentage — strong enough to suggest he consistently competes near the front of fields at this level. Jorge Javier Garcia pilots for trainer Riley S. Aguilar at 6/1, which is an appealing price for a horse with legitimate board credentials. With the top two horses so close in profile, a pace duel or wide trip for either could open the door for Rogues Fast Prize to swoop in and grab third.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 9

10:35 PM EDT

Maiden · 300 yd · Dirt

The card closes with a maiden sprint at 300 yards — a relatively blank slate of first-timers and lightly raced runners, but one horse stands out so sharply on the TrackWiz model that the only real question is the price.

win8A Guerrero SecretML 6/5

A Guerrero Secret draws the 6/5 morning line and earns it with a TrackWiz rating of 89.71 — the top number in this maiden field and a mark that rivals the best ratings on today's entire card. Trainer Santiago Villaseca sends Rolando Cabrera to the gate, and the combination of a dominant rating and a favorite's price tells you the connections believe in this horse. In a 300-yard maiden dash, first-time or lightly raced horses live and die by raw talent, and A Guerrero Secret appears to have plenty of it.

place3Ba Little WarriorML 4/1

Ba Little Warrior rates 55.00 — a meaningful step below the top pick but a comfortable distance ahead of the rest of this maiden field. Trainer Larry D. Keith puts Leonardo Rodriguez up at 4/1, and the morning line reflects appropriate respect for a horse who could slot cleanly into second behind the heavy favorite. In a maiden sprint, if the top choice gets away clean and clears, Ba Little Warrior has the profile to hold second without much pressure from behind.

show9Takin On LorenzoML 6/1

Takin On Lorenzo rates 51.67 — third-best in the field — and draws a 6/1 morning line with Ubaldo Luna in the saddle for trainer Jaime E. Gonzalez. The rating is close enough to Ba Little Warrior to keep him in the conversation for third, and at 6/1, the show price could offer solid return if things shake out as the ratings suggest. In a wide-open maiden race, including this horse in trifecta tickets makes sense as a cost-effective third leg.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

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Delta Downs is serving up a tight, fast nine-race card in the Louisiana summer heat, and our best bets today start with Lm Ms Apollitical in Race 3 as the marquee free play. For the full card — pace projections, exotic tickets, and every angle on all nine races — the complete breakdown is available to TrackWiz subscribers. Good luck at the windows, and as always, bet smart.

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