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Delta Downs Picks & Predictions — August 13, 2026

August 13, 20268 racesAll Delta Downs picks

This card ran on August 13, 2026.

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Best bets at Delta Downs, August 13, 2026

Race 12Cm Heart of an EagleML 6/57:15 PM EDT

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Last 30 days at Delta Downs: our top pick won 17 of 68 races (25%) and finished in the money in 35.

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It's a scorcher at Delta Downs today — clear skies, 91°F, and a fast dirt strip that should play right into the hands of early speed. Eight races are on the card this Thursday, mixing Claiming, Maiden, Maiden Claiming, and Allowance company across distances ranging from a blistering 220 yards all the way out to 770 yards. There's something for every kind of bettor on this card.

The heat is a real factor to keep in mind. Louisiana summers are no joke, and horses stretching out in distance — particularly in the longer Maiden routes — can fade late when the temperature is pushing into the low 90s. Our TrackWiz models are factoring in surface firmness and pace sustainability accordingly, so lean toward horses that can get to the front cheaply and hold on.

Three races are fully unlocked for all readers today, and they're a solid cross-section of the card. The premium half features some of the most intriguing pace scenarios and wagering opportunities of the afternoon, including a wide-open Allowance sprint and a Claiming race where our top pick is a double-digit morning line price.

Best Bets

Race 1

7:15 PM EDT

Claiming · 550 yd · Dirt

A clear top-two standout in this 550-yard claiming opener, with a massive ratings gap separating the contenders from the rest of the field.

win2Cm Heart of an EagleML 6/5

Cm Heart of an Eagle is the most dominant figure in this field by a wide margin, carrying a TrackWiz rating of 89.71 — more than 19 points clear of the third-ranked horse. The 6/5 morning line reflects the market's confidence, and a 33% career win rate is elite for quarter horse racing at this level. With jockey Noe Castaneda in the irons for trainer Jose U. Lopez, this looks like a confident connections play. Hard to make a case against this one.

place3Ah Mr MajessticML 7/2

Ah Mr Majesstic rates third in the field with a 70.89 TrackWiz score, and the 7/2 morning line offers a touch of value for a horse that figures to be in the hunt. The 10% career win rate is modest, but trainer Martin Trejo has put this runner in a winnable spot, and jockey Ubaldo Luna should keep him in contention late in the 550-yard dash.

show1Cherry Cola BlingML 4/1

Cherry Cola Bling draws the rail with Francisco Giles up for trainer Salvador G. Flores and rates just below Ah Mr Majesstic with a 66.55 score. A 18% career win rate shows this horse knows how to hit the board, and the inside post is a useful advantage in a 550-yard sprint where the gate break is everything. Worth including underneath in exactas and trifectas.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

7:40 PM EDT

Maiden · 770 yd · Dirt

A maiden 770-yard sprint where two horses separate themselves from a field full of first-time starters and winless runners, setting up a potential one-two punch at the top.

win1Meantothebone EagleML 5/1

Meantothebone Eagle is our top pick at 5/1 morning line and leads this field with an 84.17 TrackWiz rating — notable because this horse also carries a 25% career win rate, which stands alone in a field where most entrants have never broken their maiden. Trainer Ralph Montet has Russell Leblanc aboard, and that experience edge over a field of winless rivals could be decisive at 770 yards, a route distance where seasoning matters.

place4San Lorenzo DreamML 2/1

San Lorenzo Dream is the morning-line favorite at 2/1 and rates just behind the top pick at 82.13, showing that the market has identified these two as the class of the field. Trainer Juan C. Garcia sends out Leonardo Rodriguez, and while this horse is still chasing that first win, the proximity in ratings to our top selection makes a one-two finish a logical outcome worth structuring in exactas.

show7Jess a Sunny PilotoML 3/1

Jess a Sunny Piloto grades out at 66.65 — a meaningful step below the top two but well clear of the rest of the field — and the 3/1 morning line suggests the public sees some upside here. Randy Edison Jr. takes the mount for trainer Phillip Calais Jr., and in a maiden field where chaos is always possible, having a third horse rated this cleanly above the pack is a solid foundation for underneath tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Our three free previews today cover a nice range of race types and distances. In Race 1 — a 550-yard Claiming sprint — Cm Heart of an Eagle (6/5 ML, TrackWiz rating 89.71) stands out as the class of the field and our strongest number on the entire card. At that rating, you're not looking at a hidden gem, you're looking at a horse that should be difficult to beat if sent to the front early on this fast surface. Race 2 stretches things out to 770 yards with a Maiden field, and that's where our longshot lean kicks in — Meantothebone Eagle opens at 5/1 on the morning line but carries an 84.17 rating, suggesting there's real underlying ability that the crowd may be underestimating. Race 3 is a quick 350-yard Maiden dash, and Amys Game Changer (7/2 ML) earns an 86.35 rating — a number that should make the 7/2 morning line look like a mild overlay if the early pace sets up right.

A common thread across all three free races: the fast, dry Delta Downs surface today strongly favors horses that don't need to rally from behind. In short sprints especially, the gate-to-wire runners are your friends. Keep that pace bias in mind when you're looking at the full card.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

8:05 PM EDT

Maiden · 350 yd · Dirt

An intriguing maiden 350-yard dash where the morning-line favorite and our top-rated pick are two different horses, creating a split in opinion that could make for a juicy ticket.

win1Amys Game ChangerML 7/2

Amys Game Changer tops the TrackWiz ratings at 86.35 despite being posted at 7/2 on the morning line — meaning our model sees more here than the early odds suggest. Trainer Gregory O. Williams sends out Donell Blake, and in a field of first-time maiden runners, rating separation this large tends to be meaningful. Getting a top-rated horse at better than even money is exactly the kind of spot TrackWiz analysis is built for.

place7Margarita TlcML 6/5

Margarita Tlc comes in as the 6/5 public choice and earns that respect with an 80.59 rating — second best in the field. Trainer Trey Ellis pairs this runner with jockey Bobby Ransom, a combination that shows up twice on this card, suggesting a confident barn. The short price means she's not a value win play, but she's a reliable place horse and belongs in all your exotics.

show5Jla Time to ShineML 9/2

Jla Time to Shine checks in at a 58.75 rating — a noticeable step below the top two but clearly above the lower half of this field — and the 9/2 morning line gives you something to work with. Trainer Trey Ellis also conditions this runner, giving him two horses in the race, and jockey Juan Francisco Garcia Jr. provides capable handling. In a short maiden dash where the gate break can scramble the order in an instant, Jla Time to Shine is a sensible show bet and trifecta anchor.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 4

8:30 PM EDT

Claiming · 550 yd · Dirt

A solid 550-yard claiming heat with two legitimate contenders at the top and a deep supporting cast that opens up the trifecta — this is a race where the exotics could pay.

win6Diamond in the RuffML 9/5

Diamond in the Ruff leads all comers with an 88.83 TrackWiz rating and goes as the 9/5 favorite for trainer Rogelio Huitron with Leonardo Rodriguez up. The rating is the highest in any non-maiden field on this card, suggesting a horse whose past performance line screams class at this claiming level. Even with a modest 5% career win rate, the analytical edge here is sharp enough that this looks like the right horse at a reasonable price.

place4Hamlet On the MoveML 3/1

Hamlet On the Move is a strong second in our model at 82.16, and trainer Mardonio Flores Jr. has jockey Juan Francisco Garcia Jr. — who rides extensively on this card — in the saddle. The 3/1 morning line is fair for a horse this close to the top pick in the ratings, and an 8% career win rate at this level suggests he's competitive but likely to fill the board more than win outright.

show8Cj Vodka Money PopML 5/1

Cj Vodka Money Pop grades out at 61.16 and sports a 14% career win rate, which is actually one of the stronger win percentages in this field outside the top two. Trainer Preston Jourdan has Rey O. Hernandez aboard, and at 5/1 on the morning line this is a live underneath horse who could fill the trifecta and provide some payout. Don't overlook him in multi-leg sequences.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 5

8:55 PM EDT

Claiming · 350 yd · Dirt

She Aint Jivin looks like a class standout in this 10-horse, 350-yard claiming sprint, but there's enough pace and depth in the field to make the underneath tickets interesting.

win6She Aint JivinML 5/2

She Aint Jivin is the most compelling win play on the entire card — an 87.81 TrackWiz rating in a field where no other horse breaks 70, and she's going off at a workable 5/2 morning line. Trainer Trey Ellis conditions her with Bobby Ransom in the irons, a combination that fires multiple times today. In a 350-yard dash, this level of rating separation tends to translate directly to the outcome — horses this far ahead of their rivals usually win.

place10Tm Grand DynastyML 7/2

Tm Grand Dynasty is the second-ranked horse in this field at 68.35 and draws the outside post 10 for jockey Pedro Chavarria Espinosa and trainer Jose Estrada. The 7/2 morning line is fair, and while the gap to the win pick is wide, second place is a realistic landing spot for a horse with this kind of analytical edge over the rest of the field. A solid place play in any horizontal ticket.

show3Pilot MemoryML 10/1

Pilot Memory rates third in the field at 53.58 and comes in as a 10/1 morning-line option, which is where the value angle lives. Trainer Dustin Rhodes has Adrian X. Morales up, and while the 4% career win rate isn't flashy, the rating puts this horse squarely in the mix for a board finish. At double-digit odds, Pilot Memory is the kind of show horse that can balloon a trifecta payout.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 6

9:20 PM EDT

Allowance · 220 yd · Dirt

A wide-open allowance sprint at 220 yards with ten runners and no clear morning-line standout — this is the toughest card to structure, but our model finds a clear top-three cluster worth targeting.

win6La ChepinaML 8/1

La Chepina leads the TrackWiz model in this 10-horse allowance field at 79.79 — and at 8/1 on the morning line, this is a genuine overlay. Trainer Rene Saias Vidana sends her out with Ubaldo Luna up, and a 14% career win rate adds some credibility to the profile. In a chaotic 10-horse field at a lightning-quick 220 yards, picking the highest-rated horse at 8/1 is exactly the kind of value play that separates winning tickets from losing ones.

place7Tdz JesflyhigherML 5/1

Tdz Jesflyhigher rates second in the field at 71.70 for trainer Nason Eschete, who has multiple runners on tonight's card — a sign of a barn in good form. Jockey Jose Ariel Rodriguez handles the riding duties, and a 9% career win rate at allowance level is respectable. The 5/1 morning line is fair-to-generous for a horse this close to the top of the model, making him a sensible place ticket and exacta companion with La Chepina.

show3Fast Dashin BloodML 6/1

Fast Dashin Blood grades out at 69.15 and is just a tick below our place pick in the ratings, creating a tight cluster at the top of this field. Trainer Riley S. Aguilar has Jorge Javier Garcia aboard, and the 4% career win rate suggests a horse that finds the board more than the winner's circle — which is exactly what you want from a show pick. The 6/1 morning line adds value to what's already a logical trifecta selection.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 7

9:45 PM EDT

Claiming · 300 yd · Dirt

A contentious 10-horse claiming sprint at 300 yards where our model's top pick is a double-digit morning-line price — this is the best longshot value play on the card.

win9Rios PatriotML 10/1

Rios Patriot tops the TrackWiz model in Race 7 at 76.88 while sitting at 10/1 on the morning line — a significant overlay that our analysis can't ignore. Trainer Carlos Gabriel Castro has Rene Hernandez in the saddle, and a 33% career win rate is outstanding for a claiming horse at this level. When a horse carries that kind of win percentage and still goes off at double digits, it's usually because the market is sleeping — we're not.

place7LazarusML 5/1

Lazarus rates second in the field at 75.67 for trainer Luis R. Martinez Jr., with Eddi Emanuel Martinez handling the riding duties. The 5/1 morning line is attractive for a horse this close to the top of the model, and a 25% career win rate shows consistent competitiveness. With Rios Patriot as the win play, Lazarus makes a natural exacta partner given the tight ratings gap between them.

show10Sheza Sneakin BayouML 2/1

Sheza Sneakin Bayou is the public choice at 2/1 morning line with a 72.04 rating — ranking third in the field behind our top two. Trainer Wendy Alejandra Garcia pairs with Juan Francisco Garcia Jr., who is one of the busiest jockeys on this card tonight. The 25% career win rate adds legitimacy to the short price, and even if our longshot win play hits, Sheza Sneakin Bayou is likely to be in the mix for a trifecta slot.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 8

10:10 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 250 yd · Dirt

A 10-horse maiden claiming sprint at 250 yards where the morning-line chalk and our model's top pick are two very different horses — creating a prime opportunity to beat the favorite.

win10Real Sweet DashML 6/1

Real Sweet Dash leads the entire field with an 82.71 TrackWiz rating while going off at 6/1 on the morning line — a classic overlay in a maiden claiming event where our model is significantly higher on this runner than the public. Trainer Carlos Gabriel Castro sends out Rene Hernandez, a jockey-trainer combination that also appears in Race 7 tonight, suggesting a barn in strong form. In a field of first-time maiden claimers, this ratings edge at a generous price is the best bet of the nightcap.

place5Rc TooML 4/1

Rc Too grades out at 70.86 — second best in the field — and goes off at 4/1 as a reasonable public choice. Trainer Kenneth L. Roberts Sr. has Jose Ariel Rodriguez in the saddle, and while every horse in this race is still looking for their first win, Rc Too's analytical profile puts him squarely in board contention. Pair him underneath Real Sweet Dash in exactas for a solid value ticket.

show2Rf Rampaging BloodML 5/2

Rf Rampaging Blood is the morning-line favorite at 5/2 but rates third in the TrackWiz model at 57.5 — a meaningful gap below our top two picks. Trainer Jose U. Lopez has Leonardo Rodriguez up, and while we prefer the horses above him in the model, the public support means he'll likely run somewhere near the front of the pace scenario. A show bet is reasonable, but the value lies in using him deeper in exotic structures rather than at the win window.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

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Bottom line for August 13 at Delta Downs: it's a fast-track, speed-favoring afternoon under heavy Louisiana heat. Cm Heart of an Eagle in Race 1 is our strongest single of the free card, while Meantothebone Eagle and Amys Game Changer both offer sneaky value at their morning line prices. The premium card adds two double-digit longshot angles and a full exotic wagering roadmap — all the detail you need to make the most of this eight-race card. Good luck at the windows, and as always, bet smart.

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