Delta Downs Picks & Predictions — July 9, 2026

Carry On Moon rates just below at 82.07 and draws the 9/5 morning line favorite — she's the one the crowd will hammer. Trainer David Bustamante puts Rolando Cabrera up from post 2. The 16% career win rate is modest, but in a short-field optional claimer, the public money is speaking for a reason. She's a solid place pick, though we prefer the value of White Rose Runnin to beat her at the wire.

Dynasty Blood rates third at 73.55 and goes at 3/1 under Randy Edison Jr. for trainer Jose Carrizales from post 5. The 11% career win rate is the lowest of the top three, but the rating still puts him well ahead of the bottom half of this field. In a race where the top two could battle each other hard to the wire, Dynasty Blood has the numbers to sneak in for a show check. Solid trifecta inclusion.

Jrs Innocent Girl is the hidden gem on this ticket at 10/1 on the morning line despite carrying the second-best rating in the field at 76.88. Trainer Jose D. Barron saddles her with Leonardo Rodriguez from post 9 — wide draw, but at 300 yards that's manageable. The 10/1 price against a 76.88 rating screams value. This is the place pick you want to build exactas around under the favorite.

Kj Man Elealicious rates third at 63.27 and draws post 7 with Eddi Emanuel Martinez up for trainer Luis R. Martinez, Jr. at 5/1. That's a reasonable price for the third-best horse on our board in a wide-open maiden field. Martinez Jr. has multiple runners on this card, suggesting the barn is firing. Good trifecta show piece at a fair number.

Sheza Fast Piloto rates second at 80.65 for trainer Danny Hoda with Rene Hernandez up from post 4 at 7/2. A 13% career win rate is workmanlike, but the rating puts her firmly in contention. She draws inside of Full Vision, which could set up a pace duel or allow her to draft and close — either way, she figures to be involved late in this longer sprint. Strong place selection.

Leaving At Noon rates third at 75.64 and goes at 5/2 on the morning line — the second-lowest price in the field despite being third on our board. Trainer Phillip Calais, Jr. puts Leonardo Rodriguez up from post 2, and an 18% career win rate is the best of the top three contenders. The public clearly respects this one, and rightly so. At 550 yards, an 18% winner belongs in every trifecta combination.

Distinctive One is our place pick at 5/1, rating 81.95 from the rail for trainer Francisco Campos Sr. with Rene Hernandez. The 10% career win rate pairs with a strong enough rating to be dangerous in this spot, and the outside horses will need to work to run him down from the gate in a 350-yard dash. At 5/1, there's real place value here — the crowd is sleeping on this one.

Mucho Flameado rates 81.60 — just a hair behind Distinctive One — and goes at 6/1 under Jorge Javier Garcia for trainer Josue Ponce out of post 3. A 25% career win rate is the best strike rate among our top three, which tells you this horse knows how to finish in front. In a race this competitive, 6/1 for the third-best horse on our board with the best win percentage is excellent trifecta value.

Shez Flashy rates second at 55.83 and draws the rail under Ubaldo Luna for trainer Martin Trejo at 7/2. Post 1 in a dash this short can be an advantage — clean air, no traffic. The rating gap between her and Uncle Benny is razor-thin, and she's priced just a half-tick higher. Legitimate threat to flip the top two, and a natural exacta partner.

Aint the Favorite rates third at 53.33 and goes at 5/1 under Rolando Cabrera for trainer Santiago Villaseca out of post 2. The name might be tongue-in-cheek, but the rating says she belongs in the mix — and at 5/1, she's priced as if the market has forgotten about her. In a maiden sprint where the top three horses are separated by only 4.5 rating points, any of them can hit the board. She's the trifecta hedge at a price.