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Delta Downs Picks & Predictions — July 4, 2026

July 4, 202610 racesAll Delta Downs picks

This card ran on July 4, 2026.

Best bets at Delta Downs, July 4, 2026

Race 11Annies CoronaML 8/17:15 PM EDT

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Last 30 days at Delta Downs: our top pick won 17 of 68 races (25%) and finished in the money in 35.

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Happy Fourth of July from Delta Downs, where the fireworks aren't the only thing lighting up the Louisiana sky tonight. We've got a full 10-race card on the dirt, and Mother Nature is adding some drama — rain is falling at post time with temperatures sitting at 89°F, making for a sticky, potentially cuppy surface that could scramble the pace scenarios in a hurry.

Quarter horse racing is the name of the game at Delta tonight, with distances ranging from a blink-and-you'll-miss-it 250 yards all the way out to 870 yards. The card is loaded with variety — two Maiden races, a pair of Claimers, an Allowance, an Optional Claiming, and then the marquee stuff to close things out: a Derby in Race 8, a Futurity in Race 9, and one more Maiden to cap the night in Race 10.

The wet track is the story heading in. At these ultra-short distances, even a slightly off or rain-softened strip can shift a result. Horses that have shown they can handle a compromised surface — or simply fire out of the gate fastest — are going to get an extra look in our TrackWiz analysis today.

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Race 1

7:15 PM EDT

Maiden · 400 yd · Dirt

A wide-open maiden sprint over 400 yards where the morning line favorite is a longshot by TrackWiz ratings — and the real standout comes at a juicy price. Expect chaos at the break with seven first-timers all looking to establish themselves.

win1Annies CoronaML 8/1

Annies Corona opens at 8/1 on the morning line but carries the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 79.79 — a significant 23-point gap over the second-best horse. That kind of rating separation in a maiden sprint is hard to ignore, and trainer Vann E. Haywood also saddles Lotta Fast Gold, suggesting the barn has a read on this group. Bobby Ransom gets the call, and this looks like a spot where the public may underestimate the top-rated runner while chasing the morning line chalk.

place6Life On the TrainML 3/1

Life On the Train draws post 6 and comes in as the morning line third choice at 3/1 with a TrackWiz rating of 56.67 — second-best in the field. Jockey Everardo Rodriguez gives this one a live outside post in a short sprint where a clean break can be decisive. The morning line suggests the market respects this one, making it a sensible place anchor in your exotics.

show4TemptininthefastlaneML 4/1

Temptininthefastlane lands the 4-hole at 4/1 on the morning line with a 55.00 rating, slotting in as the third-best rated horse in the race. Trainer Kenneth L. Roberts Sr. has a long track record at Delta, and Randy Edison Jr. is one of the more reliable hands in this jock colony. In a wide-open maiden sprint, a 4/1 shot with above-average rating is solid show insurance.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

7:40 PM EDT

Maiden · 870 yd · Dirt

The morning line favorite San Lorenzo Dream at 6/5 clashes with a stablemate of trainer Gary Shane Mason, who saddles both the top-rated Mda One Sweet Storm and longshot Air Med Pilot. When a barn splits its ammo at opposite ends of the price spectrum, it pays to look closely at who gets the better of the deal.

win1Mda One Sweet StormML 4/1

Mda One Sweet Storm posts the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 85.62 — a full 16 points clear of the morning line favorite San Lorenzo Dream — yet opens at 4/1. That's a significant overlay if the rating holds up. Trainer Gary Shane Mason clearly has two irons in the fire here, but Donell Blake aboard Storm suggests that's likely the stable's preferred runner. At nearly four times the price of the favorite with a higher rating, this is the best value play on the board in Race 2.

place4San Lorenzo DreamML 6/5

San Lorenzo Dream is the public's choice at 6/5, and it's not hard to see why — a 69.55 TrackWiz rating from the Juan C. Garcia barn is respectable in this field. Leonardo Rodriguez rides, a jockey who tends to handle favorites well at this circuit. At short odds it's tough to play on top, but using it underneath in exactas makes plenty of sense given the market support.

show6Z TooML 6/1

Z Too sneaks into the show spot at 6/1 with a 60.54 rating — third-best in the race and well clear of the rest of the field below. Randy Edison Jr. takes the mount for trainer Robert Meche, and at 6/1, this runner offers real exacta and trifecta value. In an 870-yard dirt test that favors horses with a sustained run, Z Too's rating profile sets it apart from the bottom half of the field.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Our three free races tonight — Races 1, 2, and 3 — give you a great cross-section of the card to work with before we get into the premium stuff. In the opener, Annies Corona stands out at a juicy 8/1 morning line, carrying a TrackWiz rating of 79.79 in a wide-open Maiden field over 400 yards. Longshot angles on debut fields in wet conditions? That's exactly the kind of spot where value hides. Race 2 stretches out to 870 yards — a genuine distance test by Delta standards — and Mda One Sweet Storm (4/1, 85.62 rating) looks like the class of the field with the kind of profile that should handle the extra ground. Race 3 drops into Claiming company over the 440, and Mr Blues Jammin matches that same 85.62 rating at 4/1 on the morning line, giving us a consistent number across two of our three free picks.

The wet track thread running through all three races is worth keeping in mind. In short-distance quarter horse racing, the gate break is everything — and a slick surface punishes any horse that stumbles or hesitates. Our free picks tonight all show the kind of gate quickness in their profiles that should hold up even if the strip gets a little tricky.

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Race 3

8:05 PM EDT

Claiming · 440 yd · Dirt

This 440-yard claiming sprint is tightly contested at the top, with three horses rated 79 or better by TrackWiz — and the morning line doesn't fully reflect where the value lies. The pace should be honest given the quality of speed in the field.

win2Mr Blues JamminML 4/1

Mr Blues Jammin earns the top TrackWiz rating at 85.62 and opens at 4/1, making it the class of the field on our numbers despite not being installed as the morning line favorite. Federico Vargas picks up the mount for trainer Rene Saias Vidana, and the 6% career win rate — while modest — speaks to a horse that has competed consistently. In a claiming race with legitimate contenders bunched near the top, getting the highest-rated runner at a fair price is exactly the kind of spot TrackWiz analysis looks for.

place1Diamond in the RuffML 3/1

Diamond in the Ruff (82.99 rating, 3/1 morning line) is just a nose behind Mr Blues Jammin on the numbers and gets the services of Leonardo Rodriguez — one of the more in-demand riders at Delta Downs. Trainer Rogelio Huitron has a 5% career win rate with this runner, and at 3/1, the place payoff likely won't be enormous, but the horse's consistency in the ratings profile makes it a safe place anchor in the exacta.

show7RaiseyourglasshigherML 2/1

Raiseyourglasshigher sits third in the TrackWiz ratings at 79.00 and is the morning line favorite at 2/1 — meaning the public likes it more than our numbers suggest is warranted at that price. Still, Arturo Alvarez is a capable jockey, trainer Trey Ellis has an 11% career win rate with this horse, and you don't fade a 2/1 shot in a 440-yard sprint without a solid reason. Using it in the show slot keeps you covered if the crowd is right.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 4

8:30 PM EDT

Allowance · 300 yd · Dirt

A compact 300-yard allowance sprint — the shortest distance on today's card — where reaction time at the gate and a bullet break often decide the outcome. The TrackWiz leader is clear on ratings but faces a field littered with horses boasting impressive career win percentages.

win1Kb Fabulous EagleML 4/1

Kb Fabulous Eagle leads all comers with a 85.62 TrackWiz rating and has won 33% of career starts — a respectable mark for a horse facing allowance company. Leonardo Rodriguez takes the reins for trainer Jose U. Lopez, a combination that knows how to win in this spot. At 4/1 on the morning line with the top rating, this is a legitimately priced value leader, and at 300 yards there's almost no room for error — you want the horse with the edge on pure ability, and the numbers say that's Eagle.

place8LazarusML 5/1

Lazarus (64.28 rating, 5/1) slots in as the second-best rated horse in the race, a notable gap above the 62.82 of Unbullevabull Train. Trainer Luis R. Martinez Jr. and jockey Eddi Emanuel Martinez make this a family barn affair, which often signals strong motivation. At 5/1 with a solid rating, Lazarus offers real place value and a nice exacta key underneath Kb Fabulous Eagle.

show3Unbullevabull TrainML 6/1

Unbullevabull Train comes in third on our ratings at 62.82 and goes off at 6/1 — the third choice in the morning line. Pedro Chavarria Espinosa rides for trainer Paul R. Rigdon, and the 33% career win rate stands out in a field where win percentages vary widely. In an ultra-short sprint, any horse with that kind of winning record deserves respect in the show slot of your trifecta.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 5

8:55 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 350 yd · Dirt

Ten runners go to the gate in this 350-yard maiden claiming affair, and the TrackWiz ratings tell a story the morning line only partly reflects — the top-rated horse sits at 6/1 while the public piles onto a 9/5 shot rated nearly 26 points lower. Value hunters should be circling.

win2Special Macho ManML 6/1

Special Macho Man is the TrackWiz top pick at 82.71 in a field where the next-best horse (Jess Gold Heart at 65.06) is nearly 18 points back — that's a commanding margin in a maiden claiming sprint. Despite that edge, Special Macho Man opens at 6/1, a significant overlay against the 9/5 morning line chalk. Arturo Alvarez handles the riding duties for trainer Jose Luis Sanchez III, and at a distance of 350 yards where sheer ability often wins out, this is among the best value plays on the entire card.

place1Jess Gold HeartML 7/2

Jess Gold Heart (65.06 rating, 7/2) is the second-best rated runner and gets Rey O. Hernandez aboard for trainer Orlando Orozco. The morning line respects this one at 7/2, which makes it a bridge between the win contenders and the field. As a place play, it sits in a sweet spot — high enough rated to be a real contender, priced generously enough to provide meaningful return.

show9Justa Kool CosML 9/5

Justa Kool Cos opens as the public's 9/5 favorite despite a 57.09 TrackWiz rating — 25 points below Special Macho Man. Leonardo Rodriguez rides for trainer Andre Brooks, and the market clearly sees something they like here. Don't fight the crowd entirely — using this one in the show slot of your trifecta is reasonable insurance given the public backing, but at 9/5 it's hard to justify playing on top when the numbers point so strongly elsewhere.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 6

9:20 PM EDT

Claiming · 350 yd · Dirt

Jazzin Ivory James dominates the TrackWiz ratings in this 350-yard claiming race by a wide margin, and the morning line at 8/5 reflects that — but there's still a case to be made for exotics underneath. A rare scenario where the favorite is also the smart play.

win6Jazzin Ivory JamesML 8/5

Jazzin Ivory James is the class of this field by a wide margin — an 89.12 TrackWiz rating that stands 13 points above the nearest rival. Jorge Javier Garcia picks up the mount for trainer Josue Ponce, and the 10% career win rate doesn't diminish what the ratings are saying about this horse's ability profile. At 8/5 this isn't a price play, but it's the kind of number that earns a spot as a win single — you're backing the quality, not chasing a price.

place5Shez About Her CandyML 7/2

Shez About Her Candy (75.76 rating, 7/2) is a clear second in the ratings and offers legitimate place value at a fair morning line price. Pedro Chavarria Espinosa rides for trainer Alex P. Clark, who is active throughout today's card and clearly has horses ready to fire. The 9% career win rate is solid for claiming company, and at 7/2 on the place ticket, this makes for a clean exacta combination with the top pick.

show2Rh El ChinoML 4/1

Rh El Chino rounds out the top three on our ratings at 68.37, and Rene Hernandez — one of the busiest riders in this colony — gets the call for trainer Erica Arteaga. A 4/1 morning line is reasonable for a horse this far back in the ratings pecking order, and in a 350-yard sprint any horse can close a gap with a perfect break. Use it to round out trifecta tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 7

9:45 PM EDT

Optional Claiming · 440 yd · Dirt

A full ten-horse optional claiming field at 440 yards, and there's a legitimate battle shaping up between three horses rated 73 or better — with the TrackWiz top pick coming from outside the top three on the morning line. Pace should be honest with this much speed on the board.

win9Scoop of PowerML 7/2

Scoop of Power tops all TrackWiz ratings in this race at 86.35 and opens at a fair 7/2 — not a steal, but a legitimate overlay when you consider the next-best horses are 9 or more points back. Rene Hernandez, one of the most active and successful riders at Delta Downs, takes the mount for trainer Danny Hoda. The 17% career win rate in optional claiming company shows this horse has performed at this level before, and the rating edge gives strong confidence in a top finish.

place8Fast Dashin LouML 3/1

Fast Dashin Lou carries a 77.8 TrackWiz rating and morning line of 3/1 — the public's second choice, and fairly so. Leonardo Rodriguez climbs aboard for trainer Larry D. Keith, a pairing with solid credibility at this track. At 440 yards, a horse with this rating profile figures to be in the thick of things at the wire, and the 11% career win rate confirms it can get there.

show4Leaving At NoonML 9/2

Leaving At Noon (73.04 rating, 9/2) fills out the top three on our numbers and gives Arturo Alvarez a solid shot at a minor award under trainer Phillip Calais Jr. The 18% career win rate is the strongest of the three top picks — a horse that wins nearly one in five starts in optional claiming company is no pushover. At 9/2, this one adds real trifecta depth and shouldn't be left off tickets.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 8

10:10 PM EDT

Derby · 350 yd · Dirt

The night's featured Derby at 350 yards brings ten runners together in the most compelling race on the card — two horses with strong TrackWiz ratings battle at opposite morning line prices, and the favorite on our numbers is not the morning line chalk. This one sets up for a dramatic finish.

win9Won Salty CoronaML 6/1

Won Salty Corona posts a 82.71 TrackWiz rating but opens at 6/1 on the morning line — a significant overlay in a Derby where the public is gravitating toward Shiny Cowgirl at 5/2. Adrian X. Morales gets the mount for trainer Esau H. Hernandez, who also saddles Apolitical Reason Mv, suggesting the barn is double-entered but confident in their chances. The rating edge here is real, and at twice the price of the morning line co-favorite, this is the value play in the feature.

place5Ocho RojoML 7/2

Ocho Rojo is the standout on the traditional stats sheet — a 57% career win rate is elite for any horse at any level, and trainer Ramiro Aboytes-Suarez knows how to get horses ready for derbies. The 79.64 TrackWiz rating keeps it firmly in contention, and a 7/2 morning line reflects deserved public respect. In a 350-yard derby, a horse that wins more than half its starts is never far from the wire.

show6Shiny CowgirlML 5/2

Shiny Cowgirl (58.97 rating) is the morning line co-favorite at 5/2 alongside a field that includes stronger-rated rivals, which means the public may be giving this one a touch too much credit. That said, trainer Santiago Villaseca delivers a horse with a 37% career win rate, and Jorge Javier Garcia is a sharp rider in short sprints. Show tickets on a 5/2 horse in a Derby aren't exciting on price, but Shiny Cowgirl's consistent record makes it a reliable trifecta anchor.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 9

10:35 PM EDT

Futurity · 350 yd · Dirt

The Futurity brings the youngest, fastest talent to the gate at 350 yards, and the TrackWiz top pick Mucho Man Lady is backed by a staggering 60% career win rate — one of the most dominant profiles on the entire card. But a 7/2 runner with a perfect record lurks underneath.

win1Mucho Man LadyML 5/2

Mucho Man Lady leads all Futurity entrants with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating and has won 60% of career starts — a remarkable figure for a young horse in stakes company. Jorge Javier Garcia rides for trainer Jose A. Garcia, and the morning line at 5/2 confirms the market and our numbers are in agreement. At 350 yards, a horse with this win rate and the top rating is exactly the kind of runner you build your Futurity ticket around.

place7Kissin WhatML 8/1

Kissin What (62.81 rating, 8/1) is the value play in the place spot — a horse rated above the midfield and priced as a longshot. Trainer Viviane Hill is very active today with multiple runners, and Francisco Calderon keeps the mount. The 33% career win rate adds to the case that this is a horse who knows how to finish, and at 8/1 in a place ticket, the price is simply too good to ignore.

show4The King MarfaML 6/1

The King Marfa (60.89 rating, 6/1) has won half his career starts — tied for the second-highest win rate in this field among horses with multiple starts. J.R. Ramirez rides for trainer Santiago Villaseca, a combination that showed up in Race 8 as well. In a Futurity, experience and a winning pedigree matter, and a 50% career win rate at 6/1 morning line is solid show value in the trifecta.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 10

11:00 PM EDT

Maiden · 250 yd · Dirt

The finale is a 250-yard maiden sprint — the shortest race on the card and the one most decided by the starting gate. Three horses rated 83 or better by TrackWiz make this the deepest top-end maiden field of the night, even if the public is split between two of them.

win9One Fast KjML 5/2

One Fast Kj shares the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 87.81 with Mucho Man Lady from Race 9, making it a statistical elite in this maiden context. Bobby Ransom takes the mount for trainer Kenneth L. Roberts Sr., a combination that shows up frequently in the Delta program. At 5/2 on the morning line, the public and our numbers are aligned — this is the right favorite, and at 250 yards, there's barely time to blink before the wire arrives, so the best horse needs to leave the gate fast.

place6Beaujolais BloodML 7/2

Beaujolais Blood (85.44 rating, 7/2) is just a whisker behind the win pick on our numbers, and Humberto Vital gets the call for trainer Carlos Castro. The separation between Beaujolais Blood and the next-best rated horse (Royal Rogue at 83.06) is narrow, which makes the top three on our ratings genuine co-contenders. At 7/2, this is a horse that could just as easily win as place — it's priced fairly and warrants use across all positions.

show2Royal RogueML 9/2

Royal Rogue (83.06 rating, 9/2) completes a TrackWiz top three that are all rated within five points of each other — a genuinely tight race at the top. Eddi Emanuel Martinez rides for trainer Luis R. Martinez Jr., the same barn connection that sent out Blue Blizzard in Race 7 today. In a 250-yard maiden sprint where fractions of seconds separate the field, three horses this close in ability makes the trifecta box of 9-6-2 the natural play to close out the card.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

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Bottom line: tonight's Delta Downs card is a wet, fast, and unpredictable holiday slate with real opportunities from Race 1 all the way through the Futurity in Race 9. Our top free plays — Annies Corona, Mda One Sweet Storm, and Mr Blues Jammin — are visible to all readers, and Jazzin Ivory James in Race 6 is the premium pick we feel best about on the whole card. For pace projections, exotic structures, and the full 10-race breakdown, subscribe to TrackWiz Premium and make the most of your Fourth of July at the track.

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