Delaware Park Picks & Predictions — September 24, 2026

Winston Wolf is listed at 2/1 on the morning line — actually the shortest price in the race — yet our rating of 75.98 slots him behind Santinni. That gap matters. Still, a 13% win rate with Emanuel Rosario aboard for Monica McGoey is a solid combination, and this horse's avg speed of 54 matches Santinni stride for stride. If Santinni gets into any trouble, Winston Wolf is perfectly positioned to pick up the pieces.

King of Hollywood opens at 6/1 and holds a 71.72 TrackWiz rating — respectable enough to land exotics coverage. A 24% career win rate is legitimately strong, and Jesus M. Rios gets the assignment for trainer Blake Kelly. Sitting in post one at a mile, this horse could get a stalking trip just off the leaders and be dangerous late if the pace heats up between the top two. A worthwhile show or trifecta piece at the price.

J D Factor is an interesting place play at 9/2 — a 22% career win rate and 76.21 TrackWiz rating for trainer Timothy C. Kreiser suggest a horse that consistently competes without always grabbing the brass ring. Angel R. Rodriguez takes the mount, and the avg speed of 53 in a field where several others post 55 and 56 means this horse may need to sit just off the pace and make a sustained run. That's a profile that often yields strong place and show numbers.

Bold Diversion is the morning-line favorite at 8/5 but our ratings have her third at 74.52 — that's a horse whose price may not reflect the actual hierarchy on paper. Forest Boyce gets the call for Joanne Shankle, and a 24% career win rate is nothing to dismiss. The top avg speed figure in the field at 56 means she can control the tempo if she wants it, but if the pace is contested, fading into the show hole is a very realistic outcome. She's a solid show anchor in your exotics.

Mega Moxie is the morning-line third choice at 3/1 and posts a 56.67 TrackWiz rating — strong enough to be in the mix. Trainer Erin C. McClellan, who also saddles Lastchance Romance earlier on the card, is a barn worth following when they show up in maiden routes. Inoel Beato takes the mount, and the avg speed of 51 might not jump off the page, but the trainer angle here is the real story. Solid place coverage in what figures to be a chaotic maiden scramble.

Atlantic Pearl draws Paco Lopez for trainer Michael Stidham — and that pairing alone warrants inclusion in any exotic ticket. A 55.00 TrackWiz rating and an avg speed of 54 rank her among the more experienced-looking entrants in this field. Stidham is a respected conditioner whose maiden runners often improve sharply second out, and a 4/1 morning line for Lopez's mount in a MSW suggests the connections believe they have a live one. Good show anchor and a key in your trifecta.

Leonids is the place pick at 8/1 and holds a 79.79 TrackWiz rating — the second-highest in the race by a meaningful margin. Trainer Jonathaniel Badillo-Casado sends out Marvin Fernandez, and a 21% career win rate in a spot like this is solid. The avg speed of 54 leads the field alongside the favorite, suggesting Leonids can keep pace with the top horse and likely runs second if Surprise Package is as good as advertised. At 8/1 on the morning line, this is legitimate overlay territory for the place pool.

Seeking Unity ties Skimble Shanks with a 63.16 TrackWiz rating but holds a clear edge in career win percentage at 22% versus 14%. Jesus M. Rios takes the mount for Jonathan Maldonado, and the 12/1 price makes this a genuinely attractive show play or trifecta piece. In a small field where the top two are closely matched, the third finisher often comes from the next cluster — and Seeking Unity's experience profile fits that bill nicely.

Lundi Loot checks in with a 73.53 TrackWiz rating and an avg speed of 56 — the top figure in this field — which tells you this horse has the raw foot to compete even if the career win rate of 6% looks modest. Trainer Lynn A. Ashby has Jose A. Batista in the irons, and a horse with a top speed figure that doesn't translate into wins often signals a consistent runner that hits the board at a higher rate than the win column shows. At 9/2, the place price should be generous.

Caseofthemondays sits third in our ratings at 71.63 and goes for the well-regarded Jamie Ness barn with Jaime Rodriguez — a combination that consistently delivers at Delaware. An 8% career win rate might seem light, but the avg speed of 54 and the class of the connections suggest this horse is capable of a fast-closing run in a pace-honest six-furlong sprint. At 3/1, the show price won't be juicy, but this is a reliable trifecta anchor.

Rebellution at 10/1 is the value play in this race — a 57.98 TrackWiz rating is the second-highest in the field by a clear margin, and trainer Jack Abrams sends out Francisco Martinez in what looks like a live longshot scenario. The avg speed of 53 is mid-pack, but in a maiden claiming sprint where several horses have no published figures, any consistent clocker has an edge. If Chappelle hits any traffic or gets beat at the gate, Rebellution has the profile to grab the place spot. Good exotic inclusion at the price.

Mesopotamia opens at 4/1 for trainer Michael V. Pino with Jaime Rodriguez in the irons — and a 55.00 TrackWiz rating puts this horse third in the field. There's no avg speed figure on record, which adds uncertainty, but a first-time or lightly-raced runner in maiden claiming can outrun expectations when the trainer and jockey combo is strong. Rodriguez has been active throughout this card, and Pino clearly has a well-intended runner here. A sensible show play or trifecta piece in an unpredictable spot.