Del Mar Picks & Predictions — August 28, 2026
Best bets at Del Mar, August 28, 2026
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It's a beautiful Friday at Del Mar — 85 degrees, not a cloud in the sky, and the Pacific breeze doing its thing out at the Turf Club end. Conditions are about as good as it gets on the Southern California coast, and that matters when you're sorting through a mixed-surface card like today's eight-race program.
We've got a healthy split between dirt and turf action, with maiden claimers kicking things off and an Allowance Optional Claiming feature in Race 7 giving us some of the classiest horses on the afternoon. Four of the eight races run on the turf, so surface preference is going to be a real factor when you're building multi-race tickets today.
TrackWiz has ratings on every horse in the field — three races are open to all readers, and five more are waiting for you in full-card premium coverage. Let's break it down.
Best Bets
Race 1
Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt
A maiden claimer on the dirt with Copper Luna scratched leaves five to sort out — TrackWiz ratings create a clear top tier, but two horses are separated by only about four points, making the exacta box worth a look.
Smokin Hot Stuff sits atop our TrackWiz ratings at 89.42 and draws the morning-line favoritism at 7/5, suggesting the market agrees this is the most complete horse in the field. Trainer George Papaprodromou runs a sharp operation at Del Mar and Kyle Frey gets the call, a reliable pairing for a horse that's expected to be forwardly placed. The average speed figure of 54 is on par with most of the field, so the edge here is overall rating dominance — nearly a five-point gap over the second-best horse. In a maiden field with no experienced winners, that kind of separation is meaningful.
Debby's Gal checks in with an 85.01 TrackWiz rating — second in this field — and comes in under Tyler Baze for trainer Richard Baltas, a duo that knows how to get the most out of a horse in its debut or early starts. Her average speed of 54 matches the top of the field, and at 4/1 morning line, she offers real value relative to her rating. If the favorite underperforms for any reason, Debby's Gal looks like the most natural heir to the top spot.
Sensational Dream carries a 71.73 rating and draws Joel Rosario — one of the best jockeys on the grounds — which is never a stat to overlook when trainer Adam Kitchingman sends one out. Her average speed of 55 actually ties for the field's best, giving her a legitimate pace angle in a race where raw speed could matter early. At 3/1, she's a fair price and a sensible exotic inclusion to round out tickets.
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Today's a card worth playing top to bottom — good weather, genuine pace diversity, and a few spots where the morning line leaves money on the table. Smokin Hot Stuff in Race 1, Tam's Little Angel in Race 2, and I Know Nothing in Race 3 are your free best bets to get started. The full story — pace scenarios, exotic breakdowns, and every race on the card — is all available to TrackWiz subscribers. Good luck out there, and let's make Friday count.