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Del Mar Picks & Predictions — August 20, 2026

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It's a beautiful Thursday at Del Mar — partly cloudy skies, 80 degrees, and the Pacific breeze doing its thing out on the turf course. Eight races are on the board today, split evenly between the green stuff and the main track, giving us a nice variety of pace scenarios and surface angles to work with.

Today's card leans heavily on maiden and claiming company, but don't let that fool you — there's plenty of money to be made in the lower conditions if you know where to look. TrackWiz analysis has flagged some intriguing prices throughout the card, including a big-odds play in Race 3 that could be the best value of the afternoon.

With turf racing at Del Mar in late August, the going tends to be firm and fast, which rewards horses with tactical speed and efficient strides. That's a key lens for reading today's turf contests in Races 1, 3, and 8.

Best Bets

Race 1

Allowance Optional Claiming · 5 fur · Turf

A short 5-furlong turf sprint with a clear top-rated standout, but two 4/1 shots on the morning line keep this from being a rubber-stamp single — pace and post position will matter on the tight Del Mar turf course.

win3Wiki KaneML 5/2

Wiki Kane is the class of this field and it's not particularly close — an 87.81 TrackWiz rating leads everyone by double digits, and a 66% career win rate is genuinely elite for any level of competition. Emisael Jaramillo gets the call for Adam Kitchingman, a pairing worth watching in short turf sprints. At 5/2 on the morning line, the price isn't generous, but you're backing a horse that legitimately dominates this spot on paper.

place4Cal's GoalML 4/1

Cal's Goal mirrors Wiki Kane's 66% career win rate, which tells you this horse knows how to close out races — it just has to deal with a superior rival today. Tim Yakteen sends out Cal's Goal with Antonio Fresu up, and the 77.56 rating is strong enough to beat everyone except the top pick. At 4/1, Cal's Goal is a legitimate place anchor for your exotics and a real threat to steal the win if Wiki Kane has any issues in traffic.

show6Killourney ReignsML 4/1

Killourney Reigns is the second D'Amato runner in the race — trainers rarely double up without a reason, and Philip D'Amato is one of the sharpest turf conditioners on the West Coast. Umberto Rispoli is an excellent turf pilot, and at 4/1, this is solid show-bet value. The 55 rating and zero career wins are modest, but the connections and the pace scenario give Killourney Reigns a path to hitting the board.

Race 2

Maiden Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A wide-open maiden claiming mile on the dirt — twelve runners, every single one still looking for that first career win, with two horses separating themselves significantly in the ratings but neither a cinch in a race this deep.

win5Lady RuthML 2/1

Lady Ruth sits atop the field with an 88.54 TrackWiz rating — the highest mark in the race by more than five points — and Joel Rosario in the irons is as reliable a pilot as you'll find at Del Mar. Trained by O.J. Jauregui, this filly is the morning-line favorite at 2/1, and that public support looks well-founded given how cleanly she profiles. In a maiden field this large, having the top-rated horse with a Hall of Fame-caliber jockey is exactly where you want to be.

place2Dancing With ShariML 4/1

Dancing With Shari has an 83.42 rating — second-best in the field — and Kyle Frey has been a reliable handler for trainer Tim McCanna in spots like this. At 4/1, there's genuine place value here if the favorite hits any trouble in what figures to be a chaotic 14-horse gate break on the dirt. The gap between Dancing With Shari and the third-rated horse in the field (Dame It Dani at 64.08) is big enough to suggest this runner profiles as a clear second-best.

show3Dame It DaniML 5/1

Dame It Dani at 5/1 checks in third on the TrackWiz ratings at 64.08 and gets Emisael Jaramillo — one of the more in-form jockeys on the Southern California circuit — for trainer Alfredo Marquez. In a large field of maidens, pace scenarios can get messy and closers sometimes pick up the pieces. Dame It Dani's profile fits a horse that can range up and hang on for a share of the purse at a fair price.

Race 3

Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi · Turf

A deep maiden special weight mile on the turf with a top-rated pick at 8/1 — this is a rare spot where our top selection is bucking the morning line, making it a value-heavy card for exotics players willing to go against the public.

win1InstinctivelyML 8/1

Instinctively carries the highest TrackWiz rating in this field at 70.43, yet the morning line has this runner posted at 8/1 — that's the kind of discrepancy that gets TrackWiz users excited about value. Cesar Belmont partners with Steven Miyadi, who also runs Tuddy in this race, suggesting the barn believes in both runners. At a mile on turf, Instinctively's rating edge over the 3/1 morning-line favorite Lying Zero (56.67) is meaningful enough to make this a legitimate win play at a generous price.

place5Lying ZeroML 3/1

Lying Zero is the public's choice at 3/1 with Kazushi Kimura aboard for Doug O'Neill — a trainer who consistently fires live runners fresh. The 56.67 rating puts Lying Zero solidly in the conversation, and Kimura has been running hot at Del Mar. As a place pick, this one profiles as the natural landing spot for chalk bettors, and it's hard to ignore O'Neill/Kimura in a turf maiden.

show9Missed FortuneML 7/2

Missed Fortune draws the Umberto Rispoli/George Papaprodromou combo at 7/2, a team that knows how to set up horses for turf routes. The 55.83 rating is right in the cluster of horses just below the top two, and Rispoli's course knowledge at Del Mar is a legitimate edge. As a show play and an exotic inclusion at fair morning-line odds, Missed Fortune fills out a nice trifecta underneath the top two.

Our three free races cover both surfaces and give you a solid foundation for the day. Wiki Kane opens the card on the turf sprint in Race 1 as a morning-line 5/2 shot with a TrackWiz rating of 87.81 — a number that stands out in this field. On the dirt, Lady Ruth is our top pick in the Race 2 maiden claimer, coming in as the 2/1 favorite with the highest free-race rating of the three at 88.54. Then Race 3 is where things get interesting: Instinctively is going off at 8/1 in a maiden special weight turf mile, and our rating of 70.43 reflects a wide-open field where the right pace scenario could spring a big upset at a juicy price.

One angle connecting today's free picks — the turf course is playing to form-speed types with clean trips, so watch how the early fractions shape up in Race 1 before committing hard to your Race 3 ticket. The dirt, meanwhile, has been consistent enough that class and recent work patterns are the primary drivers. Lady Ruth fits that bill cleanly.

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Bottom line for today: Lady Ruth is the most confident top pick on the free card, Wiki Kane is a solid play to open the day, and Instinctively is the longshot worth a few dollars at 8/1. The premium side of the card is where the real value hunting happens — Fumano's Magic and Lil's Coffee both have TrackWiz ratings that suggest the morning line is leaving money on the table. Full analysis, pace maps, and exotic tickets are all waiting for subscribers. Good luck out there today — Del Mar's putting on a good one.