Colonial Downs Picks & Predictions — June 26, 2026

Miss Mo Town (8) gets the Paco Lopez booking for trainer Jamie Ness — a jockey you want to see on a horse with legitimate ambitions in a spot like this. Her 68.71 rating is second-best in the field, and she goes as the 2/1 second choice on the morning line. The 53 avg speed figure matches the pack, but with Lopez finding a ground-saving trip from the outside post, she could close into a comfortable place position.

Blumoon Fire (6) comes in with the best avg speed figure in the field at 55, which is worth flagging even when her overall rating of 56.67 slots her third. Trainer Angel M. Rodriguez — who also runs Deever Encounter in this race — appears to be sending his better horse here, and Jareth Loveberry is a capable pilot. At 3/1, she's fair value for trifecta usage as a horse who could outrun her position if the pace sets up right.

Poll Position (7) draws the 2/1 morning-line chalk and a 58.33 rating for Michael J. Trombetta, who also saddles Royal Companion — a barn that clearly likes its horses in this spot. The lack of an avg speed figure suggests a debut runner here, which adds uncertainty, but Trombetta's steady hand with young horses and Mychel J. Sanchez in the irons makes this a reasonable underneath play.

Peak Perspective (9) is the third price on the morning line at 5/2 and shows a 57.50 rating alongside an avg speed of 54 — solid marks for a maiden runner. Trainer Ben Colebrook sends Dylan Machado out from the nine-hole, and while the outside post in a sprint can be tricky, the horse has the speed figure foundation to suggest he belongs near the front. He rounds out a trifecta combination well.

Outrunner (11) comes in as the 9/5 morning-line second choice with a 76.16 rating and Paco Lopez in the irons for trainer Jorge Duarte Jr. — a respected combination on the Colonial grass. His 14% career win rate is modest, but in a race this deep, a horse piloted by a jockey of Lopez's caliber who lands near a pace that can set up for closers has every reason to fill the exacta slot. The avg speed of 54 fits right in the pack.

Our Souper Hero (9) brings a compelling 28% career win rate into this spot and earns a 69.65 rating for trainer Mark E. Casse — one of the sharper outfits in the Mid-Atlantic/Southeast corridor. Sonny Leon gets the call, and the 55 avg speed figure suggests this horse can compete on figures. At 8/1 on the morning line, the show position here is also an intriguing win-ticket flier for players hunting a price.

That Wasn't Me (5) is the 2/1 morning-line favorite and carries a 58.33 rating for trainer Kelsey Danner with Samuel Marin up. The avg speed of 54 matches several rivals, but the market is clearly backing this one — and in a maiden full of projected starters, when the public is this decisive, it's often worth leaning in underneath rather than against. She fits as a logical place horse if she can't quite close the gap on Sweet Little Lila.

Charlotte's Cay (2) is the second Trombetta runner in this race alongside Music Box, and at 3/1 the morning line suggests the barn has confidence in her. The 56.67 rating is third-best in the field, and while there's no avg speed figure to anchor the assessment, Mychel J. Sanchez is a reliable hand in these situations. She's a reasonable trifecta inclusion at a fair price.

Amie's Symphony (2) offers an interesting angle: a 76.63 rating, 20% career win rate, and a 55 avg speed figure that mirrors the top tier — but she's going off at 6/1 on the morning line, creating potential value. Trainer Michael J. Trombetta puts Horacio Karamanos up, a jockey who also showed well in Race 2. If Epic Style faces any traffic from the rail, Amie's Symphony is perfectly positioned to inherit the exacta.

Achieve (10) brings a 28% career win rate — the second-best in the field — and a 75.77 rating that makes her the third-best horse on our model. Trainer Mark E. Casse also saddles Minty in this race, but Sonny Leon takes the mount on Achieve, suggesting some preference within the barn. At 9/2 she's a solid price for a horse with demonstrated winning ability, and she's the kind of closer who can gobble up tiring horses on the final turn of a turf mile.

Light de Night (5) earns a 67.88 rating — second-best in the race — and goes to post at 5/1 alongside Hotter Than Fire on the morning line. Trainer Jorge Duarte Jr. puts Antonio A. Gallardo up, and while the 53 avg speed figure is middle-of-the-pack, the model likes her enough to slot comfortably in the exacta. She's the type who could track the pace and find a clean lane to grab second.

It's Fine (2) draws immediate attention with an avg speed figure of 56 — the highest in the race by two ticks — and a 55.83 rating that makes her a legitimate threat in the bottom half of the top tier. Trainer Ethan W. West sends Malcolm Franklin out at 7/2 morning line, which is near-favorite territory for a maiden claiming turf race. The speed figure edge suggests she might out-sprint the field early, and trifecta players should give her strong consideration.