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Century Mile Picks & Predictions — August 29, 2026

August 29, 202610 racesAll Century Mile picks

Results are in — see the official Century Mile chart and payouts (our top pick won 4 of 10)→

Happy Saturday from Century Mile. Ten races are on the board for August 29th, and the weather is about as cooperative as it gets — partly cloudy skies and a comfortable 71°F mean the strip should be consistent all afternoon. No weather excuses today; the horses that belong will show up.

The card opens with a trio of quarter horse sprints — two Trials at 400 yards and a 330-yard Allowance — before shifting into six-furlong and route action for the Thoroughbred portion of the card. That mix of disciplines makes for an interesting handicapping challenge and a handful of genuine betting opportunities across all skill levels.

Three races are fully unlocked for every TrackWiz reader. The remaining seven are reserved for subscribers, and trust us — this card rewards the deep dive.

Best Bets

Race 1

10:45 PM EDT

Allowance · 330 yd · Dirt

A short-field quarter horse sprint at 330 yards where the TrackWiz ratings tell a clear story — one horse stands well above the rest, though the morning line suggests the market already knows it.

win5Cervezas FireML 2/1

Cervezas Fire comes in with an 88.54 TrackWiz rating — the highest in the field by a comfortable margin — and backs it up with a 28% career win rate, easily the best among these five. Ricardo Moreno gets the call in the irons, and at 2/1 on the morning line, the market is aligned with our model here. In a 330-yard dash, there's almost no pace scenario to worry about — it's pure raw talent and gate speed, and this horse has both.

place2CyberellaML 3/1

Cyberella checks in with a 75.76 rating and an 18% career win rate, making her a legitimate threat to hit the board at 3/1. Trainer Buckey A. Stockwell keeps this one sharp, and jockey O. Amador Hernandez gives her a capable pilot in the short sprint format. She's the clear second choice on paper and offers solid place value.

show4Little PatriotML 10/1

Little Patriot is a longshot-ish play at 10/1 with a TrackWiz rating of 50.55 — middle of the pack — but the show spot is worth a look if you're building exotics. The 3% career win rate is thin, but in a five-horse field at 330 yards, anything can happen off the gates, and a single good break puts this one in the mix for third money.

Race 2

11:15 PM EDT

Trial · 400 yd · Dirt

Two powerhouse ratings sit nearly identical at the top of this 400-yard Trial, setting up a fascinating shootout between West Southwest and Jess the Train — with the rest of the field looking like afterthoughts on paper.

win3West SouthwestML 2/1

West Southwest earns an 88.54 TrackWiz rating — the top mark in the race — and carries a stellar 37% career win rate that signals a horse who knows how to get to the wire first. Trainer William H. Leech sends this one out with Ricardo Moreno aboard, a reliable combination at this meet. At 2/1 on the morning line, the value is modest but the confidence is high — our model sees this as the most complete horse in the field.

place1Jess the TrainML 5/2

Jess the Train is essentially a photo finish with the top pick on paper — an 85.71 rating and a matching 37% career win rate make this one a legitimate win threat in her own right. Trainer Buckey A. Stockwell and jockey O. Amador Hernandez have a solid working relationship, and at 5/2, there's a real argument for using this one on top in your exotics as well as underneath.

show4The Greek FreekML 4/1

The Greek Freek lands the show spot with a 56.95 rating and a respectable 22% career win rate — a significant step below the top two, but clearly the third-best horse in the field by our numbers. At 4/1, Silvino Morales gives trainer Wesley T. Oulton a fighting chance, and if the top two burn each other up out of the gate, there's a lane opening for this one to grab third.

Race 3

11:45 PM EDT

Trial · 400 yd · Dirt

A deep six-horse Trial at 400 yards featuring a legitimate top three with elite win percentages — this race projects tighter than the morning line spreads suggest, with multiple horses capable of winning outright.

win3She My Dulce GirlML 5/2

She My Dulce Girl tops our ratings at 87.81 with a jaw-dropping 50% career win rate — one of the most impressive profiles on today's card. Daniel Tavares picks up the mount for trainer Misael Moreno, and at 5/2 on the morning line, this filly is respected but not overbet. In a Trial where only the top finishers advance, her consistency is exactly what you want backing your ticket.

place1Lethal N RojoML 4/1

Lethal N Rojo is a fascinating angle here — an 82.89 rating combined with a 60% career win rate, which is actually the highest win percentage of any horse in the entire race. Trainer William H. Leech runs this one with Alexander Marti up, and the 4/1 morning line feels generous given that win rate. The rating puts her second overall, and she's the type that could easily steal this whole thing.

show6O SawyerML 2/1

O Sawyer rounds out the show spot with a 78.89 rating and a 25% career win rate — a solid profile in any field. At 2/1 on the morning line, this one is actually the market favorite, which creates an interesting tension with our model ranking. Trainer Wesley T. Oulton sends out Alejandro Jorge Angeles, and while the rating trails our top two, the public price makes this one a cornerstone of any exotic play.

The early quarter horse sequence is where today's card gets its pulse. Cervezas Fire draws our top grade in Race 1 at the morning line favorite price of 2/1, and the pattern continues with West Southwest (Race 2, 2/1) and She My Dulce Girl (Race 3, 5/2) topping their respective Trial fields. Short distances mean razor-thin margins — a clean break is everything — but our ratings back these three as the most likely winners in their fields based on the numbers available.

If you're building a multi-race ticket early, use these free picks as your foundation and watch how the track plays. Any consistent bias toward a post position or running style in Races 1–3 is information you can carry straight into the premium races that follow.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

12:15 AM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

A wide-open maiden special weight sprint at six furlongs where no horse has broken their maiden yet — speed figures are tight at the top and the 12-horse field makes this a prime exotic race with real upside.

win10Stole the LuteML 2/1

Stole the Lute draws the 2/1 morning line and backs it up with the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 58.33, posting an average speed figure of 53 from prior work. Jose Mariano Asencio takes the mount for trainer Milton Palma, and while maiden races are inherently unpredictable, our model consistently lands on this one as the most complete horse at the distance. In a race where everyone is looking for their first win, the horse with the best rating and the public's confidence is a reasonable anchor.

place6Midnight MooverML 9/2

Midnight Moover at 9/2 is an intriguing play for trainer William H. Leech, who keeps a busy and productive barn. The 54.17 rating slots in just behind the top trio, and Alexander Marti — a capable jockey at this meet — gets the call. Without published speed figures from prior races, this one represents a bit of an unknown, which actually adds to the appeal at a price that could drift even higher on the board.

show2Crypto FireML 5/1

Crypto Fire brings a 53.33 rating and the best average speed figure in the field at 54, which is a meaningful edge at six furlongs on the dirt. Trainer Cory Rumsey sends out Amadeo Perez, and at 5/1 on the morning line, this one offers real value in the exotics, especially in trifectas and superfectas. The combination of a legitimate speed figure and a fair price makes Crypto Fire a smart hedge in the third spot.

Race 5

12:45 AM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

A competitive maiden claimer at 6.5 furlongs where the top three horses are bunched within a single rating point — pace could be a critical factor in sorting out a narrow field that projects to run together throughout.

win7Golden PassML 3/2

Golden Pass leads our model with a 59.17 rating and posts an average speed figure of 53, carrying the shortest morning line in the field at 3/2. Antonio Ambrosio Reyes takes the mount for trainer Geovani Olalde, and the market is clearly on board with this selection. In a maiden claimer where class and consistency matter, a horse sitting at the top of both the ratings and the morning line is exactly the type to anchor your ticket.

place1All for HimML 2/1

All for Him is essentially a dead heat with our top pick on paper — a 58.33 rating and a 53 average speed figure give this one nearly identical credentials to Golden Pass. Trainer Makayla Edwards and jockey Kimal Santo team up here, and at 2/1, there's an argument this horse deserves even more respect than the morning line suggests. The razor-thin gap between first and second in our model means this one absolutely belongs in exactas.

show2Swift KahunaML 9/2

Swift Kahuna sneaks in with the highest average speed figure among the top three at 54, and a 58.30 rating that's functionally tied with the top two. Rafael Zenteno Jr. handles the riding duties for trainer Deanna Walper, and at 9/2, this one offers the best value of the three top picks. The speed figure edge gives Swift Kahuna a legitimate shot to outrun her morning line on race day.

Race 6

1:15 AM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

One horse towers over this claiming field at six furlongs — Just Scarlett's rating gap is the widest of any race on the card today, making this a top-heavy affair where the real betting interest lies in the exacta and trifecta underneath.

win6Just ScarlettML 4/1

Just Scarlett is the standout of the day at 85.62 — a massive 24-point gap over the second-rated horse in the field. Trainer Erick Gutierrez sends this one out with Amadeo Perez, and at 4/1 on the morning line, the price is actually generous given the ratings dominance. A 16% career win rate is modest, but the model suggests this horse is operating well above the level of this claiming field right now.

place3Dare to CompareML 8/5

Dare to Compare is the morning line favorite at 8/5 and earns that distinction with a 61.32 rating and a 14% career win rate. Alexander Marti — one of the more active jockeys at Century Mile this meet — takes the mount for trainer Jennifer Reichling. The interesting handicapping note here is that our win pick beats the favorite on ratings by over 24 points, which sets up a potential overlay situation in the exacta using Just Scarlett on top.

show5Brodys SouvenirML 6/1

Brodys Souvenir brings the best career win rate in this race at 20% and posts an average speed figure of 54 — tied for the top mark in the field. Trainer Pat Jarvis sends out N'Rico Prescod, and at 6/1, this one is worth using in trifectas as a value piece. The win percentage shows a horse that competes consistently, even if the overall rating trails the top two.

Race 7

1:45 AM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A route-distance claiming race at over a mile where two horses dominate the ratings and figure to separate from the field — the pace scenario over 1 mile 70 yards will be crucial, and the closer types look to have an advantage.

win7AintafraidtodreamML 2/1

Aintafraidtodream leads the field with an 85.59 rating and a 17% career win rate, drawing the 2/1 morning line that confirms this is the horse to beat. Trainer Daryl Snow has this one in excellent form, and Kimal Santo gets the mount. At the longer route distance, horses with class and stamina tend to sort themselves out late, and our model's top rating here suggests this one has the tools to handle the extra ground.

place4Crown of CairoML 5/1

Crown of Cairo is right behind the top pick at 84.17 — essentially a photo finish in our ratings — with a 15% career win rate and a consistent 52 average speed figure. Trainer Ron Grieves sends N'Rico Prescod to the post, and at 5/1, this one is offering legitimate overlay value relative to the quality suggested by the ratings. In a race that figures to set up for closers, Crown of Cairo is an excellent exacta partner with the top pick.

show5NovelML 6/1

Novel enters with a 76.8 rating and the best average speed figure in the field at 54 — a meaningful advantage at route distances where sustained pace matters. Trainer Jerri R. Robertson puts Keihton Natera up, and at 6/1, the price is fair for a horse that projects to be running hard late. The speed figure edge over similarly rated rivals gives Novel legitimate show potential and a live trifecta shot.

Race 8

2:15 AM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

A Starter Optional Claiming sprint at seven furlongs with a clear ratings leader but a tricky pace setup — Starfall's massive 40% career win rate is the eye-catcher in the field, even if our model lands elsewhere for the top spot.

win5Somthing ElusiveML 6/1

Somthing Elusive earns the top TrackWiz rating at 82.71 and posts the highest average speed figure in the field at 54 — a telling combination at seven furlongs on the dirt. Trainer Tom Rycroft sends Enrique Alonzo Gonzalez to the post, and at 6/1, this is a genuine value play against a more heavily favored morning line horse. The combination of top rating, top speed figure, and a generous price is exactly the situation our model was built to find.

place7StarfallML 5/2

Starfall comes in at a 74.83 rating but carries an extraordinary 40% career win rate — the highest of any horse anywhere on today's card. Trainer Cory Rumsey and jockey Jose Mariano Asencio are a live combination, and the 5/2 morning line reflects the public's respect for that win percentage. Even slotting this one for place, the career record suggests a horse who finds a way to run into the money with regularity.

show4Overly FastML 5/1

Overly Fast sits at 65.56 in our ratings — a comfortable step above the lower half of the field — with a 17% career win rate and a 53 average speed figure. Alexander Marti gives trainer Paul LeMasurier a capable pilot at 5/1, and the name is an interesting one in a seven-furlong race where pace control could be valuable. This one's the right price to use broadly in trifectas as the third piece behind our top two.

Race 9

2:45 AM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

A loaded Allowance Optional Claiming field at 6.5 furlongs where the top horse is clear on ratings but a trio of mares with elite win percentages makes this a race full of dangerous pretenders to the crown.

win2Red CharityML 5/2

Red Charity tops the field with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating — the highest mark in the race — and posts a 33% career win rate to back it up. Trainer Carson Frey sends Jose Mariano Asencio to the post, and at 5/2, the market is properly aligned with our model's top selection. With an average speed figure of 54, Red Charity also brings the fastest raw numbers to the table, making this one a strong anchor in any exotic structure.

place5Magic MollyML 7/2

Magic Molly is a compelling place play with a 72.03 rating and a sterling 40% career win rate — the highest in this field. Trainer Mel Snow has this filly firing, and Brian Boodramsingh handles the riding duties at 7/2 on the morning line. The win percentage alone tells you this is a horse who competes hard every time out, and the 54 average speed figure means she has the raw ability to back up that record.

show7Lil Miss AddyML 2/1

Lil Miss Addy draws the 2/1 morning line — making her the public choice — and earns a 71.77 rating with a 20% career win rate. Trainer Gonzalo Anderson has Dane Nelson up, and at this price, she's absolutely a key part of any exacta or trifecta structure. The gap between our ratings leader and this morning line favorite is the most interesting handicapping puzzle in the race, and using both in the exotics covers that uncertainty well.

Race 10

3:15 AM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

The finale is a six-furlong Allowance battle where two horses rated nearly identically in the mid-80s figure to dominate, but a third live threat lurks underneath — this sets up as the best exotic race of the night.

win2River SevenML 4/1

River Seven carries an 85.62 rating to lead the field and posts the best average speed figure in the race at 55 — a genuine edge at six furlongs. Trainer Joan Petrowski sends Antonio Ambrosio Reyes to the post, and at 4/1 on the morning line, this one is the type of overlay our model loves: top rating, top speed figure, and a price above the co-favorite. The 11% career win rate is on the modest side, but in allowance company, it's the recent form that matters most and the numbers here are strong.

place9Genie's RideML 5/2

Genie's Ride is right on River Seven's heels at 85.05 — practically identical in our model — and draws the 5/2 morning line, making this one the public's choice. Trainer Dino K. Condilenios has Kimal Santo up, and with a 54 average speed figure, the speed is clearly present. The fractional edge in rating goes to our win pick, but Genie's Ride is absolutely a legitimate win contender and a cornerstone of any exacta play.

show5Ride At DawnML 5/1

Ride At Dawn slots in with a 64.51 rating and a 33% career win rate — the second-highest win percentage in the field — and represents real value at 5/1 with Brian Boodramsingh up. Trainer Robert Van Overschot keeps this one competitive in allowance company, and a 52 average speed figure won't light the world on fire but is workable at six furlongs. The combination of a solid win percentage and a fair price makes Ride At Dawn the right value piece to complete trifecta tickets behind the top two.

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Bottom line for August 29th at Century Mile: Cervezas Fire, West Southwest, and She My Dulce Girl are your free best bets to kick things off, and the value angle of the day is Just Scarlett at 4/1 in Race 6. Full card analysis — pace scenarios, exotics, and all ten races — is available now for TrackWiz subscribers. Good luck at the windows.

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