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Century Mile Picks & Predictions — August 28, 2026

August 28, 20269 racesAll Century Mile picks

Results are in — see the official Century Mile chart and payouts (our top pick won 3 of 9)→

It's a beautiful Friday at Century Mile — clear skies, 70 degrees, and a fast dirt strip that should have horses running true all day. Nine races are on the board, and the conditions are about as good as it gets for handicappers who like reliable speed figures and clean pace scenarios.

The card is a mix of maiden races and claiming action, which means there's plenty of class movement to dig into. From the sprint-heavy early races to the 7-furlong test in Race 6, today's card rewards bettors who pay attention to pace shape and how horses are moving up or down the class ladder.

TrackWiz has full analysis across all nine races. Three races are available free today — Races 1, 2, and 3 — and our premium subscribers get the complete breakdown on the remaining six.

Best Bets

Race 1

12:15 AM EDT

Maiden Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A maiden optional claimer over six furlongs that's essentially a two-horse show at the top, with Devas Charm carrying a massive ratings edge and She's a Rowski the only other entrant within shouting distance.

win5Devas CharmML EVN

Devas Charm is the standout here by a wide margin — a TrackWiz rating of 90 towers over the rest of this maiden field, and the morning line of even money reflects that dominance. Trainer Rodney J. Cone has this one poised for a big effort, and jockey Keihton Natera should have little trouble maneuvering in a five-horse field. The six-furlong dirt sprint suits a horse with early energy, and nothing in this field has shown the kind of figure to challenge her.

place4She's a RowskiML 3/1

She's a Rowski draws the morning-line favoritism for place at 3/1 and backs it up with a TrackWiz rating of 72.12 — the second-best in the race by a healthy gap. Her average speed figure of 53 gives her a measurable edge over several rivals, and Linton Leon Steadman is a competent hand in the irons. If Devas Charm runs her number, She's a Rowski looks like the logical fill in your exotics.

show1Punch BizzML 7/2

Punch Bizz opens at 7/2 and carries the third-highest rating in the field at 55.83, making him a reasonable show option in a shallow five-horse field. His average speed figure of 52 is consistent with what's needed to hit the board here, and trainer Rick Hedge keeps this one eligible at the optional claiming level. At the price, he rounds out a straightforward exacta or trifecta.

Race 2

12:45 AM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 4 1/2 fur · Dirt

A wide-open maiden claimer at 4½ furlongs where none of the seven runners have posted standout speed figures, making the morning line a useful guide and the TrackWiz ratings the tiebreaker.

win7Bizness LetterML 2/1

Bizness Letter comes in as the TrackWiz top-rated runner at 58.33 and is installed as the 2/1 morning-line choice, so the public and our model are in agreement here. Trainer Gonzalo Anderson puts Dane Nelson aboard, a competent partnership at this level. In a field where several horses show no recorded speed figures at all, Bizness Letter's edge in the ratings column makes him the clear top selection in what should be a relatively honest pace scenario.

place2FivenofieldfiveML 3/1

Fivenofieldfive rates second in the field at 56.67 and is priced at 3/1 by the morning-line handicapper — solid value for a place slot in a wide-open maiden claimer. Antonio Ambrosio Reyes gets the call for trainer James R. Brown, and with several first-time or lightly raced horses in this field, any horse with a measure of experience could have a significant advantage. Fivenofieldfive's rating suggests she can hold a board position even if she can't match Bizness Letter wire-to-wire.

show3Rubies ShoesML 7/2

Rubies Shoes sits third in the TrackWiz ratings at 55.83 and lands at 7/2 on the morning line — essentially the same tier as the top two horses, which is encouraging for show-ticket purposes. Alexander Marti pilots for trainer Geovani Olalde, and at 4½ furlongs the race will be quick and decisive. Rubies Shoes fits neatly into any trifecta combination here.

Race 3

1:15 AM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 4 1/2 fur · Dirt

A nine-horse maiden special weight at 4½ furlongs features a clear top cluster of three runners rated within a point of each other, while the rest of the field falls off sharply — pace scenario will be key in such a short sprint.

win2Guitars N CadilaxsML 2/1

Guitars N Cadilaxs tops the TrackWiz ratings at 58.33 and is the morning-line choice at 2/1, making this a case where our model and the oddsmaker align. Trainer Robert Van Overschot puts Antonio Ambrosio Reyes in the irons — a jockey who gets around well at Century Mile. In a short 4½-furlong dash, breaking clean and getting to the front early is critical, and this horse's rating edge gives us confidence she can do exactly that.

place5Whiskey MoonML 3/1

Whiskey Moon ties Just Like Rex for second in the ratings at 56.67 but gets the nod for place on the strength of a recorded average speed figure of 53 — something Just Like Rex doesn't have on record. Jose Mariano Asencio takes over for trainer Tim Rycroft, and the fact that Whiskey Moon has actual speed data on file in a field full of unknowns is a meaningful edge. In a sprint this short, a horse who's already shown she can run a number is a safer place investment.

show9Just Like RexML 3/1

Just Like Rex shares the 56.67 rating with Whiskey Moon but lands at 3/1 on the morning line, making this a relatively predictable show price for a horse in the top tier. Carson Frey has Brian Boodramsingh aboard, and the connection has options in this race. As a trifecta closer in a nine-horse field with several 12/1 shots, Just Like Rex is a logical inclusion.

Our free picks today are concentrated in the early maiden races, where we've identified some clear angles. Devas Charm headlines the morning as an even-money morning line shot in the Race 1 Maiden Optional Claiming sprint — a 90 TrackWiz rating is the top mark on the entire card, and on a fast, honest dirt track like this one, that kind of edge matters. In Races 2 and 3, Bizness Letter and Guitars N Cadilaxs are each sitting at 2/1 on the morning line, and both carry ratings right in line with each other. When two maiden fields look this evenly matched, pace scenario and post position become the tiebreakers — and on a 4½-furlong sprint, breaking cleanly is everything.

The early-race theme today is simple: speed on a fast track. All three free picks project well to the front or near it, and in short maiden sprints, that's exactly where you want to be. Get your tickets in early — these races can go off quickly.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

1:45 AM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The first claiming race of the card is a fascinating five-horse puzzle — the morning-line favorite is even-money Indio Mara, but two horses rated well above 80 by TrackWiz are hiding at 5/1 and 5/2, setting up a potential value opportunity.

win5LahunML 5/1

Lahun is our top pick despite going off at 5/1 in the morning line, and the value case is straightforward — a TrackWiz rating of 84.17 is the highest in the field, yet she's the third choice in terms of price. Trainer Joan Petrowski sends out Amadeo Perez, and with an average speed figure of 54 that matches the top runners in this field, Lahun has the raw tools to outrun her odds. The 5/1 price on the top-rated horse in a five-horse claimer is the kind of overlay we chase every day.

place3Quinto SolML 5/2

Quinto Sol rates a near-identical 84.14 and is the 5/2 second choice — making this essentially a photo at the top of the ratings sheet. Dane Nelson pilots for Gonzalo Anderson, and at 5/2 this is closer to fair value than Lahun at 5/1. A career win rate of 13% suggests he can struggle to close the deal, which is why he slots in the place column behind Lahun, but his speed and rating make him dangerous enough to fill the exacta.

show2LongneckML 5/1

Longneck is the most interesting show option in this race — a career win rate of 27% is the highest in the field and speaks to a horse who actually knows how to finish the job. His TrackWiz rating of 58.45 lags well behind the top two, but at 5/1 there's value in a horse with proven closing ability. Mauricio Malvaez gets the mount for Lane Gardipy, and Longneck's speed figure of 54 ties for the field's best — he may be closer to the top two than the ratings suggest.

Race 5

2:15 AM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Dontbringmedown looks like a heavy chalk in this six-furlong claiming affair, but don't sleep on Chaotic Sky — a 40% career win rate and a strong TrackWiz score mean the favorite could face a genuine test.

win1DontbringmedownML 3/5

Dontbringmedown is the overwhelming morning-line choice at 3/5 and backs up that favoritism with the field's top TrackWiz rating of 86.44. Antonio Ambrosio Reyes has the call for trainer Karline Kingston, and with an average speed figure of 53, this horse has the kind of consistent profile that holds up in six-furlong dirt sprints. At 3/5 there's no value to speak of, but if you need a single in a multi-race sequence, Dontbringmedown is the obvious anchor.

place3Chaotic SkyML 5/1

Chaotic Sky is the sleeper of the race — a career win rate of 40% is genuinely impressive and the highest in the field by a significant margin. Trainer Ron Grieves sends out N'Rico Prescod at 5/1, and a TrackWiz rating of 84.17 makes this one of the tightest top-two ratings splits on today's card. If Dontbringmedown gets pressured early and flattens out, Chaotic Sky has the profile to swoop in and steal the place money.

show5Mi AmigoML 4/1

Mi Amigo is a curious case — a career win rate of 100% is listed, though that likely reflects a very small sample, and the morning line of 4/1 is reasonable for a horse with that kind of win profile. Brian Boodramsingh gets the mount for Mel Snow, and an average speed figure of 54 ties for the field's best alongside Chaotic Sky. At 4/1, Mi Amigo offers show-ticket value and could be a live price in the exacta underneath the top two.

Race 6

2:45 AM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

Here's your upset special — Cairo Cowboy opens as the 6/5 morning-line favorite but carries the second-lowest TrackWiz rating in the race, while Last Harbor at 7/2 is sitting on the field's top figure and offers a genuine overlay.

win5Last HarborML 7/2

Last Harbor is the TrackWiz top pick at a juicy 7/2 morning line, boasting a field-best rating of 86.35 — a number that stands well above any rival in this seven-furlong claiming race. Jose Mariano Asencio gets the mount for Tim Rycroft, and a career win rate of 25% paired with an average speed figure of 54 builds a compelling case. The pace scenario favors a closer here, and if Cairo Cowboy is pressed early, Last Harbor could be flying late at a price that makes the risk worthwhile.

place2Western SunsetML 3/1

Western Sunset has the second-best rating in the race at 69.62 and lands at 3/1 — a respectable price for a horse who brings genuine form to this spot. Mauricio Malvaez pilots for Ron Grieves, and a career win rate of 22% with an average speed figure of 53 says this is a consistent performer at this level. Western Sunset is the logical fill behind Last Harbor and is the kind of steady claimer who finds a way to hit the board.

show3Moonlit CourageML 5/2

Moonlit Courage at 5/2 is an interesting show option despite a TrackWiz rating of just 45.77 — the morning-line price is driven by reputation more than our model's numbers. Antonio Ambrosio Reyes takes the call for Tom Kenway, and a career win rate of 22% with a speed figure of 53 suggests this horse is competitive at the seven-furlong distance. In a race where the favorite looks overbet, Moonlit Courage at 5/2 could end up being the show-ticket value.

Race 7

3:15 AM EDT

Maiden Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Forced to Run is a significant class and ratings standout in this six-furlong maiden optional claimer, but the morning-line price of 8/5 means you're paying for what you get — value hunters will need to look at the exotics.

win1Forced to RunML 8/5

Forced to Run carries a massive TrackWiz rating of 89.12 — by far the highest in this six-horse field — and trainer Kevin N. Scott sends out Antonio Ambrosio Reyes, one of the sharper jockey-trainer combos at Century Mile this meet. With an average speed figure of 53 and a morning line of 8/5, this horse is expected to dominate and the ratings back up that expectation. In maiden optional claiming company at six furlongs, a horse rated 89 is simply in a different tier than the competition.

place3Raise MoneyML 3/2

Raise Money opens at 3/2 and carries a TrackWiz rating of 57.64 — the second-best figure in the race by a meaningful margin. Amadeo Perez gets the mount for Carson Frey, and an average speed figure of 52 puts this horse in the hunt for the board. If Forced to Run hits a wall late, Raise Money is the most likely beneficiary given the ratings gap between this horse and the rest of the field.

show4NineoclocksomewherML 7/2

Nineoclocksomewher is the third-rated horse in the field at 53.8 and draws a morning-line price of 7/2, which makes sense as a show option in a thin six-horse field. Brian Boodramsingh rides for trainer Makayla Edwards, and an average speed figure of 52 is consistent across the bottom half of this field. As a show ticket or trifecta closer, Nineoclocksomewher is a reasonable hedge if the top two run their races.

Race 8

3:45 AM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Benzene is a rare case where the top TrackWiz rating belongs to a horse going off at 3/1 rather than the favorite — that kind of disconnect between the morning line and our model is where overlay opportunities live.

win1BenzeneML 3/1

Benzene tops the TrackWiz ratings at 87.08 in a six-furlong maiden claimer and does so at a morning-line price of 3/1 — that's a significant overlay when the top figure in the race is not the chalk. Ridge Balgobin gets the call for trainer David Nicholson, and an average speed figure of 52 is solid for this level. In maiden claiming company, a horse carrying an 87-rating figure should have every advantage at six furlongs if he breaks cleanly.

place5TaylorjoyML 5/2

Taylorjoy rates second in the field at 65.46 and opens at 5/2, which puts this horse in a competitive place slot. Trainer Todd Kettleson gives the mount to Keihton Natera, and an average speed figure of 52 matches the pack. At 5/2, Taylorjoy offers fair value as a place horse and is the logical exacta partner with Benzene if our top pick fires.

show2Atta Boy GirlML 5/2

Atta Boy Girl checks in at 57.5 on the TrackWiz scale — third in the field — and is installed at 5/2 on the morning line, tying Taylorjoy on price. Dane Nelson takes the mount for trainer Deanna Walper, and an average speed figure of 52 keeps this one right in the mix. In a field where several horses rate below 45, Atta Boy Girl's position in the top three makes her a natural trifecta consideration.

Race 9

4:15 AM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The nine-race finale is a loaded claimer with nine runners and a wide spread in the ratings — Mr Miezie stands out as a significant overlay at 9/2, sitting on the field's top TrackWiz score while sharing a price tag with several lesser horses.

win7Mr MiezieML 9/2

Mr Miezie tops the TrackWiz ratings at 84.9 in a nine-horse field and opens at 9/2 — that's the kind of price discrepancy our model is designed to find. Jose Mariano Asencio gets the call for trainer Tim Rycroft, and a career win rate of 17% with an average speed figure of 53 gives this horse legitimate credentials in a six-furlong dirt claimer. When the top-rated horse in a full field is going off at 9/2 while a less accomplished rival opens at 5/2, you have to take the overlay seriously.

place9Stone HouseML 9/2

Stone House rates second in the field at 68.41 and opens at 9/2 — same price as our top pick, which tells you something about how wide-open this race looks on paper. Antonio Ambrosio Reyes handles the mount for James R. Brown, and a career win rate of 11% with a speed figure of 53 puts this horse squarely in the competitive mix. Stone House profiles as a strong place horse who could easily be first or second if Mr Miezie gets into trouble.

show5Fed BoyML 5/2

Fed Boy opens at 5/2 as a morning-line second choice but rates third in our model at 61.96 — still a legitimate figure in this field. Trainer Tim Rycroft doubles up in this race, also running Mr Miezie, which means the barn has multiple shots to hit the board. A career win rate of 21% is one of the better marks in the field, and an average speed figure of 54 ties for the field's best — Fed Boy's show ticket has real merit.

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Bottom line: Century Mile is running under ideal conditions today, Devas Charm is the marquee play of the morning, and the full card has legitimate betting interest from top to bottom. Free picks for Races 1–3 are ready to go right now. For pace projections, exotic ticket breakdowns, and picks on all nine races, unlock the full analysis with a TrackWiz subscription — see our plans at /pricing. Good luck out there, and let's have a big Friday.

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