Century Mile Picks & Predictions — August 28, 2026

Whiskey Moon ties Just Like Rex for second in the ratings at 56.67 but gets the nod for place on the strength of a recorded average speed figure of 53 — something Just Like Rex doesn't have on record. Jose Mariano Asencio takes over for trainer Tim Rycroft, and the fact that Whiskey Moon has actual speed data on file in a field full of unknowns is a meaningful edge. In a sprint this short, a horse who's already shown she can run a number is a safer place investment.

Just Like Rex shares the 56.67 rating with Whiskey Moon but lands at 3/1 on the morning line, making this a relatively predictable show price for a horse in the top tier. Carson Frey has Brian Boodramsingh aboard, and the connection has options in this race. As a trifecta closer in a nine-horse field with several 12/1 shots, Just Like Rex is a logical inclusion.

Quinto Sol rates a near-identical 84.14 and is the 5/2 second choice — making this essentially a photo at the top of the ratings sheet. Dane Nelson pilots for Gonzalo Anderson, and at 5/2 this is closer to fair value than Lahun at 5/1. A career win rate of 13% suggests he can struggle to close the deal, which is why he slots in the place column behind Lahun, but his speed and rating make him dangerous enough to fill the exacta.

Longneck is the most interesting show option in this race — a career win rate of 27% is the highest in the field and speaks to a horse who actually knows how to finish the job. His TrackWiz rating of 58.45 lags well behind the top two, but at 5/1 there's value in a horse with proven closing ability. Mauricio Malvaez gets the mount for Lane Gardipy, and Longneck's speed figure of 54 ties for the field's best — he may be closer to the top two than the ratings suggest.

Chaotic Sky is the sleeper of the race — a career win rate of 40% is genuinely impressive and the highest in the field by a significant margin. Trainer Ron Grieves sends out N'Rico Prescod at 5/1, and a TrackWiz rating of 84.17 makes this one of the tightest top-two ratings splits on today's card. If Dontbringmedown gets pressured early and flattens out, Chaotic Sky has the profile to swoop in and steal the place money.

Mi Amigo is a curious case — a career win rate of 100% is listed, though that likely reflects a very small sample, and the morning line of 4/1 is reasonable for a horse with that kind of win profile. Brian Boodramsingh gets the mount for Mel Snow, and an average speed figure of 54 ties for the field's best alongside Chaotic Sky. At 4/1, Mi Amigo offers show-ticket value and could be a live price in the exacta underneath the top two.

Western Sunset has the second-best rating in the race at 69.62 and lands at 3/1 — a respectable price for a horse who brings genuine form to this spot. Mauricio Malvaez pilots for Ron Grieves, and a career win rate of 22% with an average speed figure of 53 says this is a consistent performer at this level. Western Sunset is the logical fill behind Last Harbor and is the kind of steady claimer who finds a way to hit the board.

Moonlit Courage at 5/2 is an interesting show option despite a TrackWiz rating of just 45.77 — the morning-line price is driven by reputation more than our model's numbers. Antonio Ambrosio Reyes takes the call for Tom Kenway, and a career win rate of 22% with a speed figure of 53 suggests this horse is competitive at the seven-furlong distance. In a race where the favorite looks overbet, Moonlit Courage at 5/2 could end up being the show-ticket value.

Raise Money opens at 3/2 and carries a TrackWiz rating of 57.64 — the second-best figure in the race by a meaningful margin. Amadeo Perez gets the mount for Carson Frey, and an average speed figure of 52 puts this horse in the hunt for the board. If Forced to Run hits a wall late, Raise Money is the most likely beneficiary given the ratings gap between this horse and the rest of the field.

Nineoclocksomewher is the third-rated horse in the field at 53.8 and draws a morning-line price of 7/2, which makes sense as a show option in a thin six-horse field. Brian Boodramsingh rides for trainer Makayla Edwards, and an average speed figure of 52 is consistent across the bottom half of this field. As a show ticket or trifecta closer, Nineoclocksomewher is a reasonable hedge if the top two run their races.

Taylorjoy rates second in the field at 65.46 and opens at 5/2, which puts this horse in a competitive place slot. Trainer Todd Kettleson gives the mount to Keihton Natera, and an average speed figure of 52 matches the pack. At 5/2, Taylorjoy offers fair value as a place horse and is the logical exacta partner with Benzene if our top pick fires.

Atta Boy Girl checks in at 57.5 on the TrackWiz scale — third in the field — and is installed at 5/2 on the morning line, tying Taylorjoy on price. Dane Nelson takes the mount for trainer Deanna Walper, and an average speed figure of 52 keeps this one right in the mix. In a field where several horses rate below 45, Atta Boy Girl's position in the top three makes her a natural trifecta consideration.

Stone House rates second in the field at 68.41 and opens at 9/2 — same price as our top pick, which tells you something about how wide-open this race looks on paper. Antonio Ambrosio Reyes handles the mount for James R. Brown, and a career win rate of 11% with a speed figure of 53 puts this horse squarely in the competitive mix. Stone House profiles as a strong place horse who could easily be first or second if Mr Miezie gets into trouble.

Fed Boy opens at 5/2 as a morning-line second choice but rates third in our model at 61.96 — still a legitimate figure in this field. Trainer Tim Rycroft doubles up in this race, also running Mr Miezie, which means the barn has multiple shots to hit the board. A career win rate of 21% is one of the better marks in the field, and an average speed figure of 54 ties for the field's best — Fed Boy's show ticket has real merit.