Century Mile Picks & Predictions — August 8, 2026

Holiday's Again is our value play for place, grading out at 69.93 and posting a 26% career win rate that's competitive in this field. Trainer Tim Rycroft also saddles the top pick, making this a barn double worth tracking — when a trainer wheels multiple runners, the second horse often hits the board at a price. At 6/1 on the morning line, Enrique Alonzo Gonzalez has a live mount that's being underestimated by the odds.

Stonevicious rounds out our TrackWiz selections at a 66.35 rating, sitting just below Holiday's Again in our metrics but offering a similar profile in the claiming ranks. The 7/2 morning line makes him the third choice, and his 18% career win rate is modest — but in a 1 1/16-mile grind, closers can find their way into the frame late. Ridge Balgobin takes the mount for trainer James R. Brown, and he's worth including in trifecta and superfecta tickets.

Zip It Writ comes in with an 82.35 rating and a 53 average speed figure, presenting as a solid second option at 3/1. Trainer Karline Kingston sends him out with Kimal Santo up, and he has the kind of profile — high rating, middle-tier odds — that tends to hit the board in longer claiming routes. He grades out as our second-best horse in this race and represents sound place-ticket value.

Western Sunset at 5/1 brings a 25% career win rate that leads all horses in this field and a 54 average speed figure that's right in the mix. Trainer Ron Grieves puts Mauricio Malvaez up, and this horse's combination of solid rating (68.75) and best-in-field win percentage makes him a natural show play. At a price, he's worth slotting into exacta and trifecta coverage behind the top two picks.

Ah Touche opens as the 6/5 morning-line favorite, and while our rating (71.44) places her second in the field, the market price likely overstates her edge. Mauricio Malvaez and trainer Ron Grieves form a capable combination, and the 8% career win rate is modest for a horse this heavily supported. She's a legitimate place contender and probably the horse most likely to push Caravalla, so she belongs on tickets — just not at the price the board will likely reflect.

Everything to Gain at 10/1 is our longshot show play, carrying a 58.07 rating and a 52 average speed figure that's competitive in this group. The 4% career win rate looks thin, but in a claiming field at seven furlongs, a horse with even a modest pace presence can sneak into the third slot. Richard Henry gets the mount for trainer Cory Rumsey, and at double-digit odds, this is the kind of price overlay that makes trifectas worth playing.

Moon Mullins draws the 5/2 morning line and backs it up with an 80.71 TrackWiz rating — second best in the field and a legitimate threat to outrun her odds. Trainer Joan Petrowski sends her out with Keihton Natera, who has had multiple live mounts on today's card. A 53 average speed figure is competitive for this maiden claiming distance, and if Habadabadoo hits any trouble, Moon Mullins is right there to capitalize.

Artic Causeway at 9/5 is the public's choice but grades out third in our ratings at 46.2 — well behind the top two. That's a meaningful gap in a maiden field where form is still developing, and the 9/5 price makes her a risky win bet. That said, favorites in maiden claiming races hit the board at a high clip even when not winning, so she's a reasonable show coverage option — just don't let the morning line convince you she's the best horse here.

Dale's Legacy at 8/5 is the public's chalk and carries an 80.17 rating that puts him legitimately second in our model. Richard Balgobin gets the call for trainer Craig Robert Smith, a barn with multiple runners on today's card. He matches Benzene's 53 average speed figure, so this is a close matchup on the merits — and if the pace plays differently than expected, Dale's Legacy has every chance to flip the order of finish.

Atta Boy Girl at 5/2 slots in as our show selection with a 57.5 rating — a meaningful step below the top two but clearly above the cluster of 30/1 longshots filling out the bottom of this field. Trainer Deanna Walper puts Dane Nelson up, and with a 53 average speed figure, she's got the raw numbers to be competitive through the stretch. In a ten-horse maiden field, third place can come from almost anywhere, and Atta Boy Girl has the profile to stick around late.

Tigerito is our place pick, grading out at 66.67 with a 20% career win rate and a 54 average speed figure that matches the class standard here. Trainer Cory Rumsey sends him out with Ruja Lahoe, and at 6/1 on the morning line, there's value in including him in exacta tickets beneath Knopfler. In a nine-horse field where the middle of the ratings are tightly clustered, Tigerito's slight edge in our model makes him the right pick for second.

Vector comes in at 5/1 and posts a 66.58 rating — a whisker below Tigerito but well within the margin of a competitive race scenario. Trainer Gonzalo Anderson fields him with Dane Nelson up, and his 23% career win rate is actually the second-best strike rate among the horses our analysis covers in this race. The 55 average speed figure — tied for best in the field — suggests he can sit comfortably near the pace, which is an asset in a route that will stretch out any speed weaknesses.

Rip Riding Away is the most compelling place play on the card, bringing a 28% career win rate that leads this nine-horse field and an 81.59 TrackWiz rating that puts him clearly second in our model. Trainer Craig Robert Smith gives the mount to Dane Nelson, and this horse has consistently found the winner's circle — nearly a third of his career starts end in victory. At 5/2 on the morning line, he's not giving much away in price, but the win percentage justifies his place on every ticket.

Holy Belle opens at 5/1 and grades out at 70.26 in our model, which is a comfortable third in this field. Trainer Robert Henson sends her out with Silvino Morales, and a 21% career win rate means she's no stranger to the winner's circle. The 54 average speed figure matches the field average, and in a seven-furlong sprint where the pace can get honest quickly, a horse with her consistency profile is a sound show hedge against the top two.