Century Mile Picks & Predictions — August 3, 2026

Just Scarlett draws post one for trainer Erick Gutierrez and jockey Amadeo Perez, and a TrackWiz rating of 80.4 makes this horse the second-best option in the field by our numbers. The 20% career win rate isn't flashy, but an average speed figure of 53 keeps her competitive through six furlongs. At 5/2 on the morning line, she's a logical place play behind Prairie Sky and offers decent value for exacta construction.

Cranberry Chill at 8/1 is the value play worth circling in this spot. The TrackWiz rating of 79.79 is nearly identical to Just Scarlett's — a separation of just 0.61 points — yet the morning line is more than twice as long. The average speed figure of 54 ties Prairie Sky for best in the field, which is not what you'd expect from an 8/1 shot. Trainer Rick Hedge sends out Rafael Zenteno Jr. on a horse that may get overlooked in the market despite having legitimate contender numbers.

Raise Money breaks from post one for trainer Carson Frey and jockey Amadeo Perez, carrying a TrackWiz rating of 59.46 that puts this horse in a clear second tier behind Dr Broker. The average speed figure of 53 matches several others in the field, and at 9/2 on the morning line, there's enough value here to include in exactas. In a first-level maiden route where Dr Broker could be dominant, having a horse with a consistent rating profile in second is a reasonable approach.

Big Bad Bizooke is the second Tim Rycroft runner in this field and carries a 56.75 TrackWiz rating with an average speed figure of 54 — actually a tick higher than stablemate Dr Broker. At 2/1 on the morning line, the public has installed this as the second choice, but our ratings suggest Raise Money is the more likely place horse. Still, Rycroft having two horses in this race is a notable trainer angle — if the barn fires on both, Big Bad Bizooke is a live show contender worth including in tickets.

Broke an Broken is the play underneath at 5/1 for trainer Tim Rycroft and jockey Jose Mariano Asencio. A TrackWiz rating of 81.46 is the second-best mark in the race, and a 23% career win rate — highest among all starters today — tells you this horse has a history of getting the job done. The average speed figure of 54 matches Thompson, so there's no speed figure gap to explain the price difference. This horse is the value play of the race.

Right in Front opens at 9/2 for trainer Marvin Buffalo and jockey Kyle Carter, sitting third in our ratings at 69.17. The 11% career win rate is modest, but the average speed figure of 54 keeps this horse in the conversation at 1 1/16 miles. With Thompson likely controlling the pace scenario from the front, Right in Front figures to be in stalking position — and in a race where the top two might hook up early, a horse sitting off the pace at 9/2 has a legitimate show angle.

Ladyace of Speight is a razor-thin second in our ratings at 79.23, matching Unveil the Grace almost exactly in the speed figure column at 55. Trainer Ron Grieves gives the call to Mauricio Malvaez, and a 12% career win rate mirrors the top pick in almost every way — which tells you the rating model sees these as a near-coin flip. At the same 6/1 morning line, if you're building an exacta key, both the win and place picks are interchangeable enough to use in both directions.

Run as One at 10/1 is a legitimate show value angle in this nine-horse field. The TrackWiz rating of 70.61 sits in a third cluster behind the top two, but an average speed figure of 55 — matching Ladyace of Speight and Senecait for best in the race — suggests this horse has more ability than the odds reflect. Trainer Marvin Buffalo and jockey Jose Mariano Asencio are an active pair at Century Mile, and at double-digit odds, Run as One pays enough to justify inclusion in trifectas.

Stone House draws post one at 7/2 for trainer James R. Brown and jockey Richard Balgobin, carrying a 68.69 TrackWiz rating that puts this horse in a clear second-tier slot behind the heavy favorite. The 12% career win rate and an average speed figure of 54 show a consistent horse who runs his race reliably. At 7/2 on the morning line, Stone House is a fair exacta partner with Tennessee Moses — the price is fair and the numbers back up the position.

Fed Boy at 9/2 is the third piece of a logical trifecta here. Trainer Tim Rycroft gives the mount to Jose Mariano Asencio, and a 23% career win rate — the highest among all nine starters — suggests this horse has a genuine nose for the wire. The 62.61 TrackWiz rating and an average speed figure of 54 keeps Fed Boy in the conversation when the pace heats up over six furlongs. At 9/2, he's a solid show play behind the top two.

American Farmer at 6/1 is the value play underneath for trainer Craig Robert Smith and jockey Richard Balgobin. The 79.46 TrackWiz rating puts this horse in a tight cluster with You'reinthearmynow (78.53), but American Farmer edges it in the ratings by just under a point. A 17% career win rate and average speed of 53 suggest a horse who runs consistently at this level. At 6/1, the place price on American Farmer could be generous if the market shades heavily toward Snap to It.

You'reinthearmynow at 6/1 completes a trifecta that is almost perfectly tiered by TrackWiz ratings. Trainer Robert Van Overschot and jockey Antonio Ambrosio Reyes team up on a horse with a 78.53 rating and an average speed figure of 54 — the highest in the top three picks. A 15% career win rate at the allowance optional claiming level is workmanlike, and the extra tick of speed at a route distance gives this horse a slight edge in the stretch if the pace has been contested early. Worth including in trifecta wheels.