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Century Mile Picks & Predictions — August 1, 2026

August 1, 20269 racesAll Century Mile picks

It's a beautiful Saturday at Century Mile — clear skies, 87°F, and what looks like a lightning-fast dirt surface to match. Those conditions set the table for some big speed figures, and with nine races on the card today, there's plenty of action from first post to finale.

The headliner is a Stakes sprint in Race 8 at 5½ furlongs, where heavy favorite Centella draws the eye. But don't sleep on the rest of the card — we've got a pair of maiden and claiming battles early that could produce some real overlay value, and a deep Allowance Optional Claiming closer in Race 9 to send you home happy.

TrackWiz analysis covers all nine races today. First three are on the house — Races 4 through 9 are full premium breakdowns for subscribers.

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Race 1

10:45 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

A maiden sprint where one horse stands head and shoulders above the field on paper — but first-time starters with zeroes in the win column always carry an X-factor, so watch the tote board early.

win3Riptide BeautyML 8/5

Riptide Beauty posts a TrackWiz rating of 89.12 — more than 20 points clear of the second-best horse in the field. That's a meaningful gap in a maiden field where any edge matters. Trainer Kevin N. Scott sends her out with Antonio Ambrosio Reyes in the irons, a solid pairing at this level. At 8/5 on the morning line, she's the clear form choice and we're comfortable trusting that rating advantage at six furlongs.

place2Queen PatML 5/2

Queen Pat checks in with a 67.56 TrackWiz rating — the second-highest mark in the race — making her a logical place contender behind the top pick. Trainer Craig Robert Smith has a second runner in the field (So Sorry), so he's clearly engaged in this race. At 5/2 morning line, she offers fair value for a spot finish.

show5See Me Do ItML 5/1

See Me Do It sits right on Queen Pat's heels with a 67.52 rating, essentially a dead heat on the numbers for the third slot. The 5/1 morning line gives her a touch of overlay potential in the exotics. Trainer Gonzalo Anderson and jockey Dane Nelson are a workmanlike combo, and if the pace scenario sets up kindly, she's capable of hanging on for a piece.

Race 2

11:15 PM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

Last Harbor brings a massive class edge and a 28% career win rate into this claiming field, but Border Song at even money could make the pace scenario interesting if the two speed horses tangle early.

win2Last HarborML 2/1

Last Harbor is the standout of this field, carrying a 88.54 TrackWiz rating while logging a 28% career win rate — the best among any horse in this field by a wide margin. Trainer Tim Rycroft saddles her with Jose Mariano Asencio, and at 2/1 she's fairly priced without being a steal. Seven furlongs gives a horse with her profile plenty of room to work, and that win percentage tells you she closes out races when she gets into contention.

place1Barberry BanditML 5/1

Barberry Bandit at 5/1 is an intriguing place play — the 67.91 TrackWiz rating puts her solidly in the mix for a spot finish, and that morning line price offers a touch of value if Last Harbor draws all the action. Trainer Pat Jarvis sends her out from the rail with Reyes up, and even with a modest 6% career win mark, this is the kind of price where a place hit pays nicely.

show4Border SongML EVN

Border Song comes in at even money on the morning line but posts only a 54.83 TrackWiz rating — the odds feel a bit short for the form profile. That said, trainer Robert Van Overschot has two horses entered here, which suggests stable confidence, and a 22% career win rate gives her legitimate finishing ability. She's worth including in show and exacta coverage, especially if she saves ground from the four hole.

Race 3

11:45 PM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

Gigi's Addiction and Jackpot Bar look like a clear top two in this seven-furlong claimer, but Stay Risque at 6/1 has the kind of win percentage that suggests she belongs closer to the top of the program than her odds imply.

win5Gigi's AddictionML 2/1

Gigi's Addiction posts an 88.54 TrackWiz rating — matching the top mark we've seen from several pace-setters today — and backs it up with a 20% career win rate that's respectable at the claiming level. Jockey Kimal Santo gets the call, and from the five hole, the outside post shouldn't be a problem in a seven-furlong race with a full break. Trainer Rodney J. Cone keeps her sharp, and the numbers say this is her race to lose.

place2Jackpot BarML 5/2

Jackpot Bar is the clear second choice here with an 80.64 TrackWiz rating and a 22% career win rate — genuinely live to beat the top pick on a good trip. At 5/2, trainer Carson Frey has her set up with Keihton Natera, and while the morning line makes her vulnerable to being overlaid on the win, she's a near-lock for a place check based on her form profile.

show1Stay RisqueML 6/1

Stay Risque at 6/1 is a value play in the show spot — a 69.74 TrackWiz rating paired with a 25% career win rate gives her legitimate credentials that aren't reflected in those odds. Kyle Carter gets a live mount from post one, and if she can get a clean trip near the front, she has the win percentage history to suggest she'll be competitive deep into the stretch.

Our three free races set the tone nicely. Race 1 is a 6-furlong Maiden Special Weight on dirt, and Riptide Beauty (ML 8/5, TrackWiz rating 89.12) tops our board — a strong number for a debut or lightly raced maiden going short on a surface that should be playing quick today. In Races 2 and 3, we've got a pair of 7-furlong claiming contests, and both carry the same TrackWiz rating of 88.54 — Last Harbor (ML 2/1) in Race 2 and Gigi's Addiction (ML 2/1) in Race 3. When we see two claiming fields graded identically, pace scenario and post position become the tiebreakers, and with the heat baking this track all afternoon, early speed figures could be especially rewarded.

The common thread across the free races: this is a dirt-speed-friendly card. Clear weather, no moisture to tamp down the surface, and distances in the 6–7 furlong range where front-runners thrive. That's worth keeping in mind as you build your tickets today.

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Race 4

12:15 AM EDT

Starter Allowance · 1 1/4 mi · Dirt

A Starter Allowance at a mile and a quarter tests stamina and class — A Man's Man holds the top rating but Curlin Rocks' 31% career win rate makes this a genuine two-horse battle worth watching.

win2A Man's ManML 7/2

A Man's Man carries an 86.35 TrackWiz rating into this field and a solid 25% career win rate, giving trainer Joan Petrowski every reason to be confident here. Ridge Balgobin takes the mount, and at 7/2 on the morning line there's genuine value for a horse with these numbers. The mile and a quarter trip rewards horses that settle early, and A Man's Man's profile fits that mold — the distance could be a strong suit.

place4Curlin RocksML 2/1

Curlin Rocks is the one to watch in the place slot — a 31% career win rate is the highest in this field and speaks to a horse that consistently gets the job done. Trainer James R. Brown and Richard Balgobin pair up from post four, which gives a natural stalking position at this distance. At 2/1 morning line, the odds say he's a serious contender, and TrackWiz analysis says he's a prime candidate for the exacta.

show3Buck's FizzML 9/2

Buck's Fizz slides into the show position with a 76.19 TrackWiz rating — third-best in the field — under trainer Paul LeMasurier, who also saddles Overly Fast. Having two entries in the same race typically signals trainer confidence, and Mauricio Malvaez is a capable hand from post three. A 15% career win rate is modest, but at 9/2 on the morning line, the price compensates nicely for a third-place ticket.

Race 5

12:45 AM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

All Run looks like a class above in this Starter Optional Claiming field, but Mala and Perdition are close enough on the numbers to keep things honest in the stretch.

win5All RunML 2/1

All Run sits at the top of this field with an 88.54 TrackWiz rating and the highest average speed figure (55) tied with Gucci Boy — but her rating makes her the clear form pick. Amadeo Perez gets the call for trainer Deanne Davies, and from post five she has the option to settle just off the pace or press to the front. At 2/1, the morning line is fair for the class of the field — she's the horse to beat.

place3MalaML 4/1

Mala brings a 76.10 TrackWiz rating to the table and pairs nicely with trainer Tom Kenway and jockey Brian Boodramsingh, a solid working combination at this level. She carries a 20% career win rate and draws post three, which sets up favorably for a stalking trip in a six-and-a-half furlong race. At 4/1, she's a good place bet — the form difference between her and the top pick is real, but she has the raw ability to be right there at the wire.

show4PerditionML 7/2

Perdition checks in with a 71.0 TrackWiz rating and a 22% career win rate, making her a legitimate show contender from the four hole. Trainer Joan Petrowski — active on today's card — sends out Keihton Natera, and 7/2 odds give her a bit of overlay value for exotic plays. She's close enough on the numbers to be a real threat for a piece of the purse.

Race 6

1:15 AM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Mendeljohn looks like the class of this six-furlong claimer and posts the top TrackWiz score on the card, but the even-money price means you're laying a short price on a dirt sprint where early pace can upset anyone.

win5MendeljohnML EVN

Mendeljohn carries a 90.0 TrackWiz rating — the highest single-race score on today's entire card — and backs it up with a 23% career win rate and a top average speed figure of 55. Trainer Gonzalo Anderson saddles him alongside Our Bold Prince, and Antonio Whitehall gets the leg up on the one you actually want. At even money, you're not getting rich here, but the rating dominance makes him hard to fade.

place1Somthing ElusiveML 4/1

Somthing Elusive posts a 74.95 TrackWiz rating — a meaningful second in this field — and trainer Pat Jarvis has Kimal Santo booked from the rail. A 12% career win rate isn't flashy, but at 4/1 morning line she offers genuine overlay value for the place slot, especially if Mendeljohn draws heavy action from the chalk crowd. The inside post can be an asset in a short six-furlong sprint.

show6ShashashakemeupML 4/1

Shashashakemeup at 4/1 morning line is an interesting show play — a 57.40 TrackWiz rating and 17% career win rate slot her in nicely behind the top two on paper. Trainer James R. Brown puts Dane Nelson up from post six, and the outside draw gives her a clean trip with no traffic concerns early. If the pace gets hot between the leaders, she's the type to run into the frame late.

Race 7

1:45 AM EDT

Allowance · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

The morning line underestimates King Elvis — the best speed figure in the field at 56 and a top TrackWiz score make him the play at a generous 9/2 against an allowance group where Sunbird figures to be heavily wagered.

win5King ElvisML 9/2

King Elvis posts the highest average speed figure in this field at 56 and a TrackWiz rating of 84.9 — the top mark in the race — yet the morning line has him at 9/2, likely because Sunbird will absorb a lot of public money at 7/5. That's the kind of overlay TrackWiz analysis loves to exploit. Trainer Tom Rycroft and jockey Enrique Alonzo Gonzalez combine well, and from post five at six and a half furlongs, he has room to find his best position.

place2SunbirdML 7/5

Sunbird is the public's horse at 7/5 morning line with a 75.57 TrackWiz rating and a strong 42% career win rate — that win percentage is legitimately elite and earns her a spot in every exotic ticket. Trainer Geovani Olalde and Antonio Ambrosio Reyes are a reliable pairing, and she belongs in the place slot even if King Elvis is the value play on top.

show1Chi Chi TimeML 2/1

Chi Chi Time is the wildcard here — a 100% career win rate is eye-catching, though it's worth noting that sample size matters in racing. At 2/1, she'll be well-bet, and trainer Pat Jarvis has Kimal Santo from post one, which is a favorable spot in a six-and-a-half furlong race. The 65.18 TrackWiz rating lags behind the top two, but a perfect win record and inside post make her a credible show play.

Race 8

2:15 AM EDT

Stakes · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A stakes sprint that looks like a short-field formality on paper — Centella goes off at 4/5 with a 100% career win rate — but several horses in here have uncharted speed figures, which adds a layer of genuine uncertainty.

win1CentellaML 4/5

Centella is the obvious public choice at 4/5 morning line — trainer Milton Palma and jockey Jose Mariano Asencio put a 100% career win rate on the table in a stakes field. The 60.0 TrackWiz rating isn't overwhelming on its face, but with the top rating in the field and an unblemished record, it's hard to argue against her. Short-priced favorites in stakes races win at a solid clip, and her profile justifies the chalk.

place2Bakken TownML 5/2

Bakken Town draws post two with trainer Tim Rycroft and Enrique Alonzo Gonzalez, posting a 57.5 TrackWiz rating that makes her the second-best figure in the field. At 5/2, she's reasonably priced for a horse who figures to track the favorite through the five-and-a-half furlong trip. If Centella faces any traffic or stumbles early, Bakken Town is positioned to capitalize.

show3Let's Get RowdyML 6/1

Let's Get Rowdy at 6/1 offers a bit of value in a thin stakes field — trainer Robert Van Overschot sends her out with Antonio Ambrosio Reyes, and she ties Beyondthesun for third on the ratings at 51.67. The pace scenario could play into her hands if Centella goes to the front alone and the field compresses behind her. At that price, she's worth a spot in your show tickets as a hedge against chalk burnout.

Race 9

2:45 AM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

The closer this race is handicapped, the more it looks like a four-horse affair — Twickenham is the public choice, but Bakk N Beautiful and Tranquil Tundra at generous morning line prices could make this exacta pay beautifully.

win2TwickenhamML 7/5

Twickenham tops the field with an 86.31 TrackWiz rating and a 25% career win rate — trainer Dino K. Condilenios has him well-spotted in this Allowance Optional Claiming spot at six and a half furlongs. Kimal Santo takes the call from post two, a clean draw that lets the horse settle without traffic concerns. At 7/5, he's a deserving favorite, and the numbers back the chalk here.

place5Bakk N BeautifulML 6/1

Bakk N Beautiful at 6/1 is the most compelling value play in this race — an 82.71 TrackWiz rating that nearly matches the favorite, but with odds more than four times longer. Trainer Makyla Edwards sends her out with Amadeo Perez, and a 20% career win rate shows she hits the board consistently. If the pace scenario sets up for a closer, she's got the form to sweep past horses in the final furlong.

show6Tranquil TundraML 5/1

Tranquil Tundra rounds out the TrackWiz top three with an 81.06 rating and a 16% career win rate — solid credentials for a show play at 5/1 morning line. N'Rico Prescod gets the mount for trainer Craig Robert Smith, and from post six she'll have a clear view of the field developing. This is a race where the numbers cluster tightly between spots two through six, making Tranquil Tundra a smart hedge in your trifecta coverage.

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Nine races, fast dirt, and a card that ranges from wide-open maiden sprints to a Stakes headliner — Century Mile on August 1st has something for every handicapper. Start with our free best bets on Riptide Beauty, Last Harbor, and Gigi's Addiction, then let TrackWiz subscribers unlock the full picture including Mendeljohn's Race 6 and the closing sequence. Good luck out there — let's make it a winning Saturday.

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