Century Mile Picks & Predictions — July 10, 2026

Bizness Account is the morning line favorite at even money with a 84.92 TrackWiz rating, which makes for an interesting dynamic — our win pick is Moon Mullins, but the crowd will likely back Bizness Account hardest. Trainer Deanna Walper saddles Dane Nelson, and the 53 average speed figure is the top mark in the race. There's a real case she wins, which is exactly why she makes sense underneath for place — you're covered either way at the top of the ticket.

Swift Kahuna is the longshot show play at 12/1 — the third-highest rating in this field at 51.67 and a 53 average speed figure that ties for best among the remaining horses. Trainer Deanna Walper doubles up here with both Swift Kahuna and Bizness Account in the same race, and when a trainer splits entries, both horses are live. At 12/1, Swift Kahuna represents the kind of price that makes a trifecta ticket worthwhile if she sneaks into the frame.

Perdition is the value angle here at 6/1 with a 77.91 TrackWiz rating and an impressive 23% career win rate. Trainer Joan Petrowski puts Keihton Natera up, and the 55 average speed figure is right there with the favorite. The morning line gap between Perdition and Stone Carver seems wider than the rating gap warrants — if Stone Carver gets caught in a pace duel, Perdition has the profile to benefit and hit the board at a rewarding price.

Winter Falcon at 10/1 is worth a look for exotics — a 66.08 TrackWiz rating puts her fourth in the field, and the 55 average speed figure is competitive with the top contenders. Trainer Colleen O'Hagan sends out Enrique Alonzo Gonzalez, and a 16% career win rate suggests a horse who participates but needs things to set up right. At double-digit odds, she's a viable show play that could pay nicely if the top two finish ahead of her as expected.

Socialization grades out second on our ratings at 56.67 and is listed at 3/1 on the morning line, making her the second choice in both the market and TrackWiz's model. Trainer James R. Brown teams with Silvino Morales, and in a debut sprint, trainer reputation for getting first-time starters ready to fire is crucial. She's close enough to the top pick that a place wager here feels like a solid safety net — you're not giving up much price for a horse that could easily beat out Reyna Mia.

Queen Astrid at 6/1 ties for the third-highest rating in the field at 51.67 alongside Max Charisma, but trainer Rodney J. Cone gets the nod for show consideration with Linton Leon Steadman aboard. In a maiden sprint with no prior form to evaluate, price becomes part of the equation — Queen Astrid offers enough rating support to justify a show inclusion in exotic wagers without burning up your ticket at short odds. She's speculative like everyone else here, but her rating puts her in the conversation.

Awesome Crusader brings an 84.09 TrackWiz rating and draws the rail for trainer Anderson Ward with Jose Mariano Asencio up. The 2/1 morning line makes him the co-favorite in the market's eyes, and a 55 average speed figure is solid for this class. He's our place pick rather than our top selection primarily because Wedge Pond's win rate and rating edge him out, but Awesome Crusader is very live here — an exacta keying either way makes sense.

Glava at 8/1 is the overlooked third wheel in what shapes up as a potentially two-horse race — a 79.79 TrackWiz rating puts him third in the field, and a 23% career win rate shows he knows how to compete. Trainer Gonzalo Anderson doubles up in this race with Tool Time as well, and Dane Nelson picks up the mount. The pace scenario between Awesome Crusader and Wedge Pond could set up perfectly for a horse with Glava's style to land a piece at a generous price.

Appreciate Today is the 2/1 morning line chalk for trainer Barbara Heads with Amadeo Perez up, and a 25% career win rate demands respect — she wins a quarter of her starts, which is legitimately elite at this level. Her 79.54 TrackWiz rating makes her a close second to our top pick, and the 55 average speed figure is consistent with what this race requires. The place position feels appropriate here — she's a serious horse, but at 2/1, you're not getting paid enough to back her on top given the rating edge My Munnings Model holds.

Knopfler at 6/1 rounds out the ticket with a 79.44 TrackWiz rating — essentially tied with Appreciate Today — and a 19% career win rate that shows he can close out races. Trainer Barbara Heads interestingly fields both Knopfler and Appreciate Today in this race, which means the barn has two live runners. Antonio Ambrosio Reyes handles the mount, and the 55 average speed figure is in line with the top contenders — at 6/1, Knopfler is an attractive show play that could easily move up if either of the top two don't fire.

Mendeljohn is the 5/2 morning line favorite with an 84.78 TrackWiz rating — just 0.84 points behind Deal Em — making this a legitimate photo finish on the ratings. Trainer Gonzalo Anderson teams with Dane Nelson, a combo that has been active throughout this card. The 55 average speed figure and 21% career win rate both give Mendeljohn a slight edge on the market will want to support, and at 5/2 he's a sound place play in what figures to be a two-horse show at the top.

Northern Force at 6/1 is worth including in the exotics — a 62.80 TrackWiz rating puts him third in the field with a 54 average speed figure. Trainer Robert Van Overschot puts Jose Mariano Asencio aboard, and a 15% career win rate is consistent for a claiming horse at this level. If the two top picks set a contested pace through the turn, Northern Force is the most logical beneficiary at a price that more than compensates for the risk.