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Belmont Park Picks & Predictions — October 11, 2026

October 11, 20269 racesAll Belmont Park picks

Here's our expert breakdown of today's 9-race card at Belmont Park. We've identified 3 standout races with strong plays — see our analysis below. Full card picks for all 9 races are available to TrackWiz subscribers.

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Race 1

5:10 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

Majestic Moonlight towers over this field on our ratings — significant gap back to the rest of the shortlist.

win5Majestic MoonlightML 5/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 84.2 for Race 1. Ridden by Edgard J. Zayas, trained by Jorge R. Abreu. Has placed in the last 2 races. Has placed in 3 of the last 5 races. Has placed in 3 of 4 at Medium Distance races. Ranked 1st in workouts over last month at 11.72 sec/furlong. Placed in 3 of 4 races on Turf tracks.

place6Miss TwitterML 2/1

Rating board at 58.3. Ridden by Manuel Franco. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 63% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 22% win rate and finished in the money in 67% of races.

show1On Time DeliveryML 3/1

Rating board at 56.7. Ridden by Samuel Marin. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.76 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races.

Race 2

5:43 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Bet-down spot for Asset Light — the rating gap is wide enough that we treat this as a key single.

win4Asset LightML 7/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 86.3 for Race 2. Ridden by Ricardo Santana, Jr., trained by Chad C. Brown. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.62 sec/furlong. Has placed in 2 of the last 3 races.

place2Fairy TaleML 9/5

Rating board at 58.7. Ridden by Kendrick Carmouche. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 50% of races. Ranked 1st in workouts over last month at 11.75 sec/furlong.

show5Turn N BurnML 2/1

Race 3

6:16 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

Standout on paper: Karsten grades multiple points clear of the rest of the field.

win2KarstenML 3/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 78.2 for Race 3. Ridden by Edgard J. Zayas, trained by Jorge R. Abreu. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 11.99 sec/furlong. Has placed in 2 of the last 3 races.

place5Hurricane KazML 10/1

Rating board at 68.0. Ridden by Luis Raul Rivera, Jr.. Placed in 5 of 9 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races.

show4Tap RulesML 2/1

Rating board at 58.3. Ridden by Manuel Franco. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.10 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 63% of races.

Our top picks for today focus on races with clear edges in speed figures, trainer form, and track bias. These are the spots where we see the most value on the board.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

6:49 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 3/8 mi · Turf

Dividend Recap is the class of the rating board here, with the next-best a meaningful step behind.

win5Dividend RecapML 7/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 89.4 for Race 4. Career win rate of 33% shows consistency. Ridden by Manuel Franco, trained by Miguel Clement. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.23 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 63% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 67% of races. Has placed in the last 3 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 5 races. Has 3 wins and placed in 7 of 9 of Medium Distance races. Jockey & Horse combo has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 63% of races. 3 wins and placed in 7 of 9 races on Turf tracks. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place4Lisa JoyML 5/1

Rating board at 68.9 • 33% career wins. Ridden by Antonio Fresu. For past year, Jockey has a 22% win rate and finished in the money in 62% of races. Has placed in the last 2 races.

show7KiambaML 3/1

Rating board at 57.2. Ridden by Samuel Marin. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races. Ranked 2nd in workouts over last month at 12.23 sec/furlong.

Race 5

7:23 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Turf

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Rockabye looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win2RockabyeML 9/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 84.9 for Race 5. Ridden by Antonio Fresu, trained by Miguel Clement. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.61 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 22% win rate and finished in the money in 62% of races. Has placed in 2 of the last 3 races. Has placed in 2 of 3 at Sprint races. Placed in 2 of 3 races on Turf tracks.

place1CornichiwaML 4/1

Rating board at 55.0. Ridden by Manuel Franco. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 63% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 22% win rate and finished in the money in 67% of races.

show8BreakerML 5/1

Rating board at 53.3. Ridden by Kendrick Carmouche. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 11.75 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 50% of races.

Race 6

7:57 PM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

Escape Hall towers over this field on our ratings — significant gap back to the rest of the shortlist.

win2Escape HallML 6/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 82.7 for Race 6. Ridden by Jose Lezcano, trained by Linda Rice. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.39 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 52% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 27% win rate and finished in the money in 72% of races. 1 wins and placed in 4 of 6 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 3 of the last 5 races. Has not raced in 210 days, may just be looking for a race to tighten up. Ranked 3rd in workouts over last month at 12.08 sec/furlong. Claiming Price Decreased from $30000 to $20000.

place3Hot PropertyML 2/1

Rating board at 69.9. Ridden by Manuel Franco. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.38 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 63% of races.

show7BakutoML 5/2

Rating board at 65.8. Ridden by Samuel Marin. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races. Claiming Price Decreased from $35000 to $20000.

Race 7

8:31 PM EDT

Starter Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

Bet-down spot for Mobelladream — the rating gap is wide enough that we treat this as a key single.

win4MobelladreamML 6/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 82.7 for Race 7. Ridden by Christopher Elliott, trained by Melanie Giddings. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.40 sec/furlong. 1 wins and placed in 6 of 9 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races. Has 1 wins and placed in 6 of 7 of Sprint races. Ranked 3rd in workouts over last month at 12.10 sec/furlong.

place7Spun SizeML 6/1

Rating board at 81.1. Ridden by Dalila A. Rivera. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.34 sec/furlong. 3 wins and placed in 10 of 17 races on Dirt tracks.

show6Clap BackML 4/1

Rating board at 66.9. Ridden by Jose Lezcano. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 52% of races. Has placed in the last 3 races.

Race 8

9:05 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Turf

Standout on paper: Kuhner grades multiple points clear of the rest of the field.

win6KuhnerML 9/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 84.9 for Race 8. Ridden by Kendrick Carmouche, trained by W. Robert Bailes. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 11.88 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 50% of races. 1 wins and placed in 3 of 5 races on Turf tracks.

place9Printer's AlleyML 4/1

Rating board at 79.8. Ridden by Christopher Elliott. Has placed in the last 2 races. Has placed in 3 of the last 4 races.

show5MozambiqueML 5/1

Rating board at 76.1. Ridden by Antonio Fresu. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 11.81 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 22% win rate and finished in the money in 62% of races.

Race 9

9:38 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 7 1/2 fur · Turf

Perretti is the class of the rating board here, with the next-best a meaningful step behind.

win2PerrettiML 8/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 89.1 for Race 9. Ridden by Ricardo Santana, Jr., trained by Philip Antonacci. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.03 sec/furlong. Has placed in the last 2 races. Has placed in 1 of the last 1 races. Placed in 2 of 3 races on Turf tracks. Claiming Price Decreased from $55000 to $30000. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place4Authentic LegendML 4/1

Rating board at 74.1. Ridden by Jose Lezcano. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 52% of races. Ranked 1st in workouts over last month at 11.92 sec/furlong.

show3Notion in MotionML 12/1

Rating board at 73.5. Ridden by Dylan Davis. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.93 sec/furlong. Has placed in the last 3 races.

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