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Assiniboia Picks & Predictions — July 22, 2026

July 22, 20267 racesAll Assiniboia picks

This card ran on July 22, 2026.

Best bets at Assiniboia, July 22, 2026

Race 13No Show No CallML 5/28:30 PM EDT

Race 2 is free with an account, and the other 5 races are for members.

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Clear skies, 77°F, and fast dirt — conditions don't get much cleaner than this at Assiniboia Downs on Wednesday. The track is set up beautifully for a full seven-race card, and our TrackWiz models are firing on a handful of angles that should make for a productive afternoon.

The card mixes allowance company with claiming action across distances ranging from 5½ furlongs up to a flat mile, so there's something here for every type of bettor. Pace scenarios vary race to race, which means reading the track bias early — particularly through the free races — could pay real dividends in the back half of the card.

Three races are fully unlocked for every reader. The final four are reserved for TrackWiz subscribers, and honestly, that's where some of the most interesting pace set-ups live today.

Best Bets

Race 1

8:30 PM EDT

Allowance · 7 1/2 fur · Dirt

The morning-line favorite is beatable here — our top-rated horse sits at 5/2 and represents the most compelling number on the board in this 7.5-furlong allowance opener.

win3No Show No CallML 5/2

No Show No Call tops our TrackWiz ratings at 87.81 — a clear margin over the rest of this field — and backs it up with a career win rate of 42%, which is elite at any level. The 7.5-furlong trip is a distance that rewards tactical horses, and a 42% strike rate suggests this one knows how to close the deal when it matters. Trainer Mike Taphorn puts Damario Bynoe up, a capable duo, and the 5/2 morning line offers real value against a public that will flock to the chalk. This is our best bet of the race.

place2Al ReichertML 4/5

Al Reichert is the 4/5 favorite for a reason — a TrackWiz rating of 79.29 and a 28% career win rate make him a legitimate contender. He's the likeliest pace-setter or presser in this field, but at near-even money, the win price won't be appetizing. Slotting him for place keeps you covered without overpaying.

show1BetterlucknexttimeML 5/1

Betterlucknexttime opens at 5/1, which is generous for a horse carrying a 33% career win rate and a rating of 74.52 — third-best in the field. Jockey Javaniel R. Patterson gives this one a good chance to hit the board, and at those odds, tossing it into your exacta or trifecta wheel costs you very little for meaningful upside.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

9:00 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A wide-open 6-furlong claimer with a genuine pace scenario — the top TrackWiz pick is going off at 5/2, while a legitimate 8/1 shot lurks underneath and could torch the exacta pools.

win7Payton's IndianML 5/2

Payton's Indian rates as our top selection despite a modest 20% career win rate — it's the TrackWiz rating of 84.35 that stands out, the highest in this field by a comfortable margin. Trainer Jerry Gourneau teams with jockey Renaldo Cumberbatch, a combo that will be looking to put this one in a good spot early in a six-furlong sprint. The 5/2 morning line is fair but not generous, so if the odds drift post-program, grab it.

place3Big TippaML 8/1

Big Tippa is the value story in this race. An 8/1 morning line on a horse with a TrackWiz rating of 79.79 — second-best in the field — is the kind of overlay that serious bettors circle. Trainer Tom Gardipy Jr. knows this track well, and at those odds, Big Tippa makes for a strong place play and an attractive top to exactas.

show5East Coast CowgirlML 3/1

East Coast Cowgirl brings the best career win percentage in this field at 38%, and her TrackWiz rating of 74.97 gives her a realistic shot at the board. She's trained by Tom Gardipy Jr. — same barn as Big Tippa — which means connections are well-represented here. At 3/1, she's not a throwaway show price, but her consistency makes her worth anchoring in trifectas.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Our three free races span both allowance and claiming conditions, and TrackWiz analysis has identified solid top picks in all of them. No Show No Call opens the card in the allowance ranks at 7½ furlongs — an unusual distance that tends to reward horses with tactical speed rather than pure closers. At 5/2 on the morning line with an 87.81 rating, this one looks like a fair price for what could be a wire-to-wire performance on a quick track.

In Race 2, Payton's Indian brings a matching 5/2 morning line into a six-furlong claimer, while Race 3 features the intriguing Preachers Secret at a juicy 5/1 in allowance company — that's the kind of price that gets our attention when the TrackWiz rating (84.17) suggests the horse belongs. If the bias is showing any front-runner friendliness through the early races, lean into these profiles hard.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

9:25 PM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

A competitive allowance mile — Banker Matt opens at 3/1 as a public choice, but our TrackWiz model says two longer-priced horses are the real threats, setting up a potential exotic bonanza.

win7Preachers SecretML 5/1

Preachers Secret is our top pick at 5/1, and the case is straightforward — a TrackWiz rating of 84.17, the highest in this field, combined with a 20% career win rate in allowance company. Trainer Jason Homer has a second runner in this race (Acquire, our place pick), suggesting the barn is engaged and conditions suit. Jockey Ciera Pruitt pilots here, and if this horse runs to its rating, that 5/1 morning line will look like a gift at the windows.

place3AcquireML 4/1

Acquire, Homer's other entrant, rates second in the TrackWiz model at 82.41 — essentially a dead heat with Preachers Secret at the top of the board. A 33% career win rate adds credibility. When the same trainer is doubling up in a race, it's worth noting both are legitimate; use Acquire confidently underneath in your exotics.

show8Banker MattML 3/1

Banker Matt is 3/1 on the morning line, which probably reflects a strong local reputation, and he sports a career win rate of 50% — the highest number in the field alongside Haggis and My Kinda Delite. His TrackWiz rating of 56.67 is a tier below the top two, but that 50% win rate isn't something you fade casually. He's a solid show anchor for your trifecta.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 4

9:50 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

This 6-furlong claimer has a clear standout — Prints Money opens as the 2/1 favorite and has the model backing it up, but there's legitimate secondary interest at 3/1 to keep exotics interesting.

win6Prints MoneyML 2/1

Prints Money is the top-rated horse on today's entire card at 88.54, and in a claiming field this size, that kind of separation is meaningful. Trainer Jerry Gourneau puts Sven Balroop in the irons — Balroop has been active across multiple races on this card and knows the Assiniboia surface well. A 2/1 morning line on the field's class leader in a claiming route is the textbook 'short price worth taking,' and TrackWiz analysis makes this our race-four best bet.

place7Rockets Red FlairML 3/1

Rockets Red Flair checks in second in our model at 79.78 and opens at 3/1 — making it the clear value alternative if you want to play against the favorite. A 25% career win rate is solid for a claimer, and with Javaniel R. Patterson up, this one has the tools to grab a piece. It's the logical place play and a natural exacta partner with Prints Money.

show3You Vee CeeML 7/2

You Vee Cee carries a 19% career win rate and a TrackWiz rating of 67.89 — third-best in the field — at a 7/2 morning line. Trainer Steve Keplin Jr. is represented here by Damario Bynoe, one of the busier riders on the Assiniboia meet. This horse profiles as a pace participant or stalker who could pick up the pieces if the top two set it up.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 5

10:15 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A one-mile allowance optional claimer with a heavy favorite — Jacks Spring Break dominates the morning line at 3/2, but two horses underneath offer legitimate exotic interest if the chalk is taken down.

win1Jacks Spring BreakML 3/2

Jacks Spring Break is the TrackWiz top-rated horse in Race 5 at 89.27 — highest of any horse on the card today — and trainer Steve Keplin Jr. sends out Rachaad Knights, a jockey who clearly fits the bill on a route horse. The 3/2 morning line tells you the public agrees, but the model strongly backs the sentiment; at a mile on the dirt, this one has the credentials to wire the field or press the pace and hold on. It's a short price, but when the top number is this dominant, you play it.

place8QuarryML 5/2

Quarry offers an interesting counter-angle — a TrackWiz rating of 77.39 and the highest average speed figure in the race at 54. That speed number is meaningful in a mile race where late runners can be tested by the stretch. The 5/2 morning line is workable for place, and Damario Bynoe is one of the meet's most active jockeys, giving this horse a live rider.

show6Golden BuckML 4/1

Golden Buck opens at 4/1 and rates third in the TrackWiz model at 73.78, with a 20% career win rate that shows he can compete at this level. Trainer Mike Taphorn puts Dario Dalrymple up, and the combination of that rating and a reasonable morning line makes Golden Buck a sensible show play and trifecta inclusion.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 6

10:40 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A deep, ten-horse claiming field with a genuine upset angle — our top pick Hyper Holiday opens at 5/1 despite owning the best model rating, and a 20/1 show play adds real longshot intrigue to the exotics.

win5Hyper HolidayML 5/1

Hyper Holiday has a TrackWiz rating of 76.60, tops in this crowded ten-horse field, despite opening at only 5/1 — that's the kind of gap between public perception and model assessment that we love to exploit. The 3% career win rate may give casual bettors pause, but TrackWiz analysis suggests the recent form cycle is trending sharply upward. Trainer Devon Gittens puts Rashawn Brewster in the irons, and in a pace-heavy claiming field at 6 furlongs, a horse with this rating advantage sitting outside the chalk deserves to be your win single.

place10NeytiriML 2/1

Neytiri is the 2/1 public favorite with a solid rating of 69.63 and a 12% career win rate — respectable in a ten-horse field. Trainer Lise Pruitt teams with jockey Ciera Pruitt in what appears to be a family connection, and that kind of stable confidence often translates to positive performance. She's the horse to beat if you're fading Hyper Holiday, and she's a logical place key.

show8Worthy SpiritML 20/1

Worthy Spirit at 20/1 is our value show play here. A TrackWiz rating of 62.29 — third-best in the race — is flying under the radar at that morning line price. Trainer Craig Robert Smith sends out Rachaad Knights, one of the busier Assiniboia jockeys on the day, and with a 8% win rate that doesn't reflect the model's confidence in this runner's current form. A small investment on the show ticket or a trifecta key could pay handsomely.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 7

11:05 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A nine-horse claiming sprint at 5.5 furlongs — the model loves Calming Force as a win play, but the morning-line favorite is second in our ratings, setting up a tight top two with a live longshot lurking at 12/1.

win6Calming ForceML 3/1

Calming Force is our Race 7 top selection — a TrackWiz rating of 84.31 leads the field, and that 37% career win rate is the most impressive win percentage among any horse in this race. Trainer Tom Gardipy Jr. is having a strong presence across the card today, and Sheldon Chickeness gets the call in what looks like a well-spotted runner. At 3/1, the price is fair for the class edge this horse appears to hold.

place1Hay Scooby DooML 2/1

Hay Scooby Doo goes as the 2/1 morning-line favorite, backed by a TrackWiz rating of 76.77 and an 18% career win rate. Trainer Jerry Gourneau has a second runner in the race as well, and Neville Stephenson takes the mount. As the public choice, the win odds will be thin, but using Hay Scooby Doo underneath Calming Force in exactas makes a lot of sense given the model separation.

show9Red Road RunnerML 12/1

Red Road Runner is the longshot angle worth including in your trifecta at 12/1. A TrackWiz rating of 73.96 — third in the field — is surprisingly strong for a horse at that price, and trainer Michael Nault gives Antonio Whitehall his shot here. A 22% career win rate adds further credibility to the idea that this one is live at a price that could juice up a modest trifecta investment considerably.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

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A clean, fast track at Assiniboia and a seven-race card with legitimate standouts at multiple price points — today has the makings of a solid play day. Start with No Show No Call, Payton's Indian, and Preachers Secret in the free races, then let Jacks Spring Break (89.27 rating) headline your premium selections. Full card breakdowns, pace projections, and exotic ticket strategies are available to TrackWiz subscribers at /pricing — good luck out there.

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