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Arapahoe Picks & Predictions — June 20, 2026

June 20, 20267 racesAll Arapahoe picks

This card ran on June 20, 2026.

Best bets at Arapahoe, June 20, 2026

Race 13Leading You OnML 5/23:00 PM EDT

Race 2 is free with an account, and the other 5 races are for members.

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It's a warm Saturday afternoon at Arapahoe Park — 88°F under partly cloudy skies — and the dirt strip should be playing fast and true all day. Seven races are on the card, and the variety is real: a pair of maiden specials to kick things off, a couple of claiming contests in the middle, and a Stakes race headliner in Race 6 to anchor the card. Plenty to work with.

With heat like this, hydration isn't just a tip for the fans in the stands — it matters for how horses come out of the gate in the later races too. Keep an eye on how the early speed holds up as the afternoon wears on. A surface that plays fast early can get a little bit tiring by the back half of the card.

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Race 1

3:00 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 fur · Dirt

A wide-open maiden special weight sprint where no horse has a prior win on the books — TrackWiz ratings separate the contenders in what figures to be a competitive five-furlong debut showcase.

win3Leading You OnML 5/2

Leading You On draws our top rating in this field at 57.5 and gets the 5/2 morning line from the oddsmakers — a reasonable price for the most highly regarded runner. Trainer Ryan Kenney puts this one in position to fire fresh, and Larren Delorme is a capable pilot for a horse making its mark in maiden company. In a field where none of these horses have broken their maiden, the ratings edge matters, and Leading You On holds the clearest one.

place4Arizona SqueezeML 3/1

Arizona Squeeze is right on the heels of the top pick with a TrackWiz rating of 56.67 and draws a competitive 3/1 morning line. Trainer Stacy Campo also saddles Coachlloyd'slegacy in this race, which tells you the barn is double-barreled and confident — and Arizona Squeeze is the stronger of the two by the numbers. Luis Ramon Rodriguez gets the call here, and in a race this tight, Squeeze offers real place value.

show1Champion LeviML 4/1

Champion Levi opens at 4/1 and carries a TrackWiz rating of 55 for trainer Mark N. Hibdon, who also has Gracie Baby in the field. Hibdon going two-deep in a maiden race is worth noting — he clearly likes his chances, and Levi's rating edges out Gracie Baby by over three points. David Cardoso gets the mount, and at 4/1, Levi looks like a sensible show anchor in exotics.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

3:30 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 7 fur · Dirt

Sophie's Heart looks like a dominant class standout in this maiden special weight route, carrying a TrackWiz rating nearly 30 points clear of the closest rival — but at 2/1, the real question is whether the price is right.

win3Sophie's HeartML 2/1

Sophie's Heart is simply in a different stratosphere here — her TrackWiz rating of 88.54 towers over Money Mitch's 59.91 and the rest of the field. Trainer Mark Jensen sends her out with Nathan Haar in the irons, and the 2/1 morning line reflects the market's awareness of her edge. Her average speed of 53 is middle-of-the-pack on paper, but it's the composite rating that sets her apart in a field where most rivals are clustered in the 47–55 range.

place4Money MitchML 3/1

Money Mitch is the clear second-best in our ratings at 59.91 and matches the field's top average speed figure at 54 alongside Linchpin Russ. Trainer Russell Vicchrilli puts Luis Ramon Rodriguez aboard at 3/1, which is a fair price for a horse that should be sitting comfortably in second if Sophie's Heart dominates. He's a solid play-back in exactas with the top pick.

show1Linchpin RussML 6/1

Linchpin Russ comes in at 6/1 with a TrackWiz rating of 51.67 and shares the top average speed figure of 54 with Money Mitch — so there's something here beyond what the morning line suggests. Trainer Ryan Kenney hooks up with David Cardoso, and at nearly three times the price of the favorite, Russ offers meaningful show value and a live exotic underneath. Don't ignore him in trifectas.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Three races are open to everyone today, and they cover a nice spread of the card. Leading You On draws our top nod in the opener — a maiden special weight sprint at 5 furlongs where first-time angles and pace shape matter most. Sophie's Heart steps up to 7 furlongs in Race 2 and carries an impressive TrackWiz rating of 88.54, which puts her among the top-rated horses on the entire card. Then in Race 3, No Soy Borracho takes on a claiming field at 5 furlongs — a pace-centric dash where our analysis likes the positional setup at 3/1 morning line.

The connecting thread across these free picks is pace. All three of today's top free selections project favorably in how the early fractions should set up for them. On a day where the dirt is likely to be fast and speed-friendly, that's not a coincidence — it's an edge worth leaning into.

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Race 3

4:00 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 fur · Dirt

No Soy Borracho brings the top TrackWiz rating into this five-furlong claiming sprint but faces a pair of solid rivals — Gutfield and Feist — that make this race more than a one-horse show.

win5No Soy BorrachoML 3/1

No Soy Borracho tops the field with a TrackWiz rating of 87.08 and lands in the hands of David Cardoso for trainer Mark N. Hibdon, one of the barn's most reliable combinations on the Arapahoe circuit. At 3/1, the value is there for a horse rated more than 12 points above Gutfield, the second-best in the field. His average speed of 51 is modest, but the composite rating tells a more favorable story — this is the one to beat.

place2GutfieldML 5/2

Gutfield checks in at a rating of 74.62 with an average speed of 54 — the top speed figure in this field — making a strong case that he could give No Soy Borracho a race on raw numbers. Trainer Kerry Kemper sends him out at 5/2, and Brandon Mendez Guevara is an active hand at Arapahoe. If No Soy Borracho has any issues from the gate or in traffic, Gutfield has the turn of foot to capitalize.

show3FeistML 2/1

Feist opens as the 2/1 morning line favorite despite coming in third in our ratings at 70.46, which is an interesting disconnect worth noting. With a 10% career win rate — the best in this field — trainer Kayla Warren clearly has a consistent runner, and Larren Delorme knows how to get horses home. She's a bit of a conflicting signal: higher odds implied by TrackWiz ratings, lower odds implied by the public, so she rounds out the show position as a hedge.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 4

4:30 PM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

Northwind carries the top TrackWiz rating but goes against a morning line favorite in Herecomegeorgieboy who boasts the highest career win percentage in the field — expect a genuine pace battle over seven furlongs.

win2NorthwindML 5/2

Northwind's TrackWiz rating of 87.81 leads this field and comes with trainer Trevor Rushton, who unusually has two horses here — Northwind and Requisition. That Rushton goes to Adrian B. Ramos on Northwind at 5/2 likely signals which of the two he considers the main chance. An average speed of 52 may look unimpressive, but it's the composite rating that drives our selection, and Northwind is clearly the barn's A-team entry.

place1El Diamante NegroML 3/1

El Diamante Negro posts a 13% career win rate — second only to Herecomegeorgieboy — and carries a TrackWiz rating of 70.75 with a solid average speed of 55, the best in the field. Trainer O. A. Martinez Jr. gives the mount to Nathan Haar, and at 3/1 he's a logical stalker who can benefit if the pace heats up. The speed figure edge is a real factor over seven furlongs, and he's worth keying underneath in exotics.

show4Wheeler DealerML 6/1

Wheeler Dealer at 6/1 is a price worth grabbing in trifectas — a 12% career win rate and an average speed of 54 put him solidly in the mix despite the longer odds. Trainer Stetson Rushton puts Larren Delorme up, and the combination has the tools to navigate a seven-furlong scenario. If the pace duel between the shorter-priced rivals gets heated, Wheeler Dealer could be closing late for a piece.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 5

5:00 PM EDT

Starter Optional Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

A tightly bunched starter optional claiming field where four of the five horses are rated within three points of each other — but Perceptive emerges as the TrackWiz top selection in what figures to be a close seven-furlong grind.

win5PerceptiveML 3/1

Perceptive tops this field with a TrackWiz rating of 87.08 and comes in with a 19% career win rate — the best in the race and a legitimate standout stat when you factor in the competitive nature of optional claiming conditions. Trainer Mark N. Hibdon, who saddles three horses in this race, puts David Cardoso on Perceptive — suggesting this is the stable's best shot. At 3/1, the morning line is fair for a horse with both the top rating and the top win percentage.

place1You Have No IdeaML 5/2

You Have No Idea sits just behind Perceptive with a rating of 76.04 and an average speed of 54 matching the field's best. Nathan Haar gets the call for trainer Mark N. Hibdon, making this an intra-stable 1-5 situation with the same barn — they could effectively one-two this race. At 5/2, the morning line makes You Have No Idea a natural place bet and a strong exacta partner with your win pick.

show2Right of RefusalML 8/1

Right of Refusal opens at 8/1 despite a 15% career win rate that is second in the field and an average speed of 54 that matches the top horses. Trainer Trevor Rushton puts Adrian B. Ramos up, and at those odds, Right of Refusal represents clear value for show bettors and trifecta builders. The gap between the morning line and the career numbers here suggests the market may be underestimating this one.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 6

5:30 PM EDT

Stakes · 6 fur · Dirt

The stakes feature brings out a fascinating clash between It's Notmyproblem — the TrackWiz top-rated horse with a jaw-dropping 55% career win rate — and a multi-horse field that includes 50% career winners and a 25% winner in Marking Broadway.

win5It's NotmyproblemML 2/1

It's Notmyproblem carries a TrackWiz rating of 88.54 and a 55% career win rate that is simply staggering in a stakes context — this is a horse that has been winning more than half the time over its career. David Cardoso takes the mount for trainer Mark N. Hibdon, and at 2/1 the morning line reflects market respect without being a wager-squashing price. The combination of the top rating and elite win percentage makes this the most compelling win play on the card.

place2Briggs ArmypowerML 3/1

Briggs Armypower at 3/1 pairs a TrackWiz rating of 79.28 with a remarkable 50% career win rate — in virtually any other race on this card, that horse would be the heavy favorite. Trainer Mark Jensen saddles him with Nathan Haar aboard, and the consistent winning profile at the stakes level makes him a near-lock for the place spot in our view. He's the natural second choice and a strong exacta key.

show3Marking BroadwayML 8/1

Marking Broadway at 8/1 brings a 25% career win rate and the top average speed figure in the field at 55 — that speed edge over six furlongs is not something to ignore. Adrian B. Ramos gets the mount for trainer Dewey Williams, and at a generous morning line price, Broadway offers excellent trifecta value. If the pace scenario sets up for a closer, that top speed number could be the difference.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 7

6:00 PM EDT

Allowance · 5 fur · Dirt

Page dominates the TrackWiz ratings in this nine-horse allowance sprint, but a deep field with multiple high-ceiling horses — including an intriguing unbeaten entrant in Sparkley Barkley — makes the exotics potentially very rewarding.

win1PageML 2/1

Page checks in with the top TrackWiz rating of 88.54 and a 33% career win rate that stands well above the field average — she's been winning a third of her starts, which is elite at any level. Nathan Haar gets the mount for trainer Ryan Kenney, and the combination of the highest rating, top average speed of 55, and a proven win percentage makes this the clearest top selection of the day. At 2/1, the price isn't exciting, but the case for her is genuinely strong.

place5Arizona RoseML 5/2

Arizona Rose at 5/2 brings a TrackWiz rating of 77.39 and matches Page's top average speed of 55 — she is the only horse in this field that can match the win pick stride-for-stride on raw speed figures. Pedro Gonzalez takes the mount for trainer Alexis Leon, and at a slight overlay to the favorite, Arizona Rose is a natural place bet and exacta partner. She could make this a real race if Page doesn't break sharply.

show8Sparkley BarkleyML 4/1

Sparkley Barkley is a fascinating inclusion — her career win percentage shows as zero, indicating she may be making her debut or has a limited sample, yet she earns a TrackWiz rating of 72.45 and matches the field's top average speed of 55. Trainer Bill Mooney puts Adrian B. Ramos aboard at 4/1, which is a fair price for a horse with those underlying numbers regardless of the win percentage gap. In a nine-horse allowance field, a horse with this kind of composite profile at 4/1 is exactly the type to round out your trifectas.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

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Bottom line for today: the free card gives you three pace-positive plays with real upside, led by Sophie's Heart and No Soy Borracho. The premium card delivers a Stakes headliner in It's Notmyproblem and a deep closer look at every remaining race. It's a tight, action-packed seven-race card on a fast Arapahoe afternoon — the kind of day where good handicapping pays off. Full analysis is available to TrackWiz subscribers at /pricing. Good luck out there.

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