Free Arapahoe Picks & Predictions

Unusual Win sits second in the TrackWiz ratings at 80.47 and comes in at 5/2 on the morning line, making it the public choice — but our model says it's a notch below the top pick. A 13% career win rate is respectable in this claiming company, and Daniel Aguilar in the irons is a sound fit. If Three Echoes has any trouble out of the gate, Unusual Win is well-positioned to sweep up a piece.

Aux Arcs at 7/2 offers a bit of value for exotic players looking to round out their tickets. The TrackWiz rating of 66.15 places it third in the field, and while a 6% career win rate is low, this type of race can see frontrunners get caught in an honest pace duel — leaving room for a closer like Aux Arcs to loom for a share. Adrian B. Ramos is a capable hand in the saddle for trainer Rodney L. Davis.

Big Jimmy is our place pick and brings a 23% career win rate to the table — matching Looks Rare but with a slightly stronger TrackWiz rating of 77.64. Trainer O. A. Martinez, Jr. is familiar with this circuit, and Larren Delorme aboard at 3/1 gives this one a legitimate shot at hitting the board. If Bettys Cash is compromised by early pressure, Big Jimmy has the profile to clean up late.

Looks Rare at 5/2 is interesting because the morning line actually favors this horse more than our third-place rating suggests — a 67.81 TrackWiz score puts it behind both the top picks. However, a 23% career win rate is among the best in the field, and Mike T. Luark for trainer Russell Vicchrilli is worth respecting. Use it underneath in exactas and trifectas as a live closer.

Lone Ryder is a strong runner-up play here, sitting just off the top with a 83.68 TrackWiz rating. At 5/2, this one is actually the morning-line favorite, and trainer Stetson Rushton has two horses in the field — with Mike T. Luark taking the call on Lone Ryder. That's a barn that knows this track well, and the speed figure of 54 is the co-best in the field. The separation between this one and Arizona Moon Beam is thin enough that the exacta with both could pay nicely.

Kalahari King at 5/1 is worth adding to your exotics at a price — the 79.06 TrackWiz rating makes this the third-ranked horse in a field where several others are bunched below 50. Trainer Stetson Rushton also runs this one, giving the barn a three-horse presence in the race. Larren Delorme takes the mount, and in a maiden field where anything can happen over a mile of dirt, getting this at 5/1 for a trifecta slot is solid value.