Zia Park Picks & Predictions — November 14, 2026

Steel Rimes is second in TrackWiz ratings at 79.66 and has earned a 60% in-the-money rate across recent starts — the highest of any horse in this race. The jockey has a 22% win rate and 55% in-the-money rate over the past year, and Steel Rimes has placed in 3 of 5 starts on dirt and 3 of the last 5 races overall. That combination of recent form and jockey quality makes the place spot very appealing at 3/1.

Je King of Hearts ranks third in the TrackWiz model at 78.49 and brings solid credentials with a 50% career in-the-money rate and 5 placings in 10 dirt starts. The second-fastest recent race speed (11.51 sec/furlong) puts this horse in good positional shape, and trainer Albert Valles draws an A- grade. Coming off back-to-back in-the-money finishes, Je King of Hearts is a natural show anchor and exotics piece at 5/1.

Aj Prestige ranks second in TrackWiz ratings at 74.48 and clocks the second-fastest recent speed figure in the field at 11.63 seconds per furlong. With a B+ jockey and B-grade trainer, the connections are respectable, and a 33% career in-the-money rate provides some backing. Our sims had Aj Prestige winning just over 20% of runs — the second-highest in the field — which makes the 5/2 morning line look fair and the place spot very playable.

Jess Easter Candy comes in at 55.07 on the TrackWiz scale (third-ranked among the picks) and brings the third-fastest recent race speed at 11.76 seconds per furlong, which keeps this horse competitive in what projects as a speed-driven sprint. The 40% in-the-money rate is a reasonable foundation for a show play. The concern is a jockey who has won at only a 6% rate over the past year — that's a real drag — but at 12/1 on the morning line, the exotic value is worth the risk in a wide field.

Sweet Sweet Candy is second in ratings at 81.11 and owns the second-fastest recent speed figure at 11.24 seconds per furlong. The dirt record is strong — 2 wins and placed in 7 of 12 starts — and the horse has cashed in each of the last 2 races. With a 58% career in-the-money rate and a B+ jockey, this is one of the more consistent horses in the field. The 3/1 morning line offers solid place value behind One Rosie Girl.

Tempting Mariah ranks third in ratings at 61.87 and has the third-fastest recent race speed at 11.27 seconds per furlong, putting this horse right in the speed conversation for this 400-yard sprint. Trainer Heber Deyta-Melendez holds an A grade, which is an underappreciated edge in allowance company. With a 28% career win rate and reasonable connections, Tempting Mariah is a solid show anchor and trifecta piece at 5/1.

Nap is fractionally behind at a 86.94 TrackWiz rating and brings the most imposing in-the-money rate in this field — 70% across recent starts, with 5 placings in 7 dirt starts and a streak of 4 consecutive in-the-money finishes. The trainer earns an A grade and the jockey a B+. The only real concern is a recent race speed figure that ranks sixth in the field, suggesting this may be a horse that gets beaten for speed early but is relentlessly consistent late. At 2/1, the morning line may leave the place price thin, but the form is real.

Dollarwaitinonadime sits third in ratings at 65.87 and leads the field in both recent race speed (11.72 sec/furlong) and workout times (best of the past month at 11.40 sec/furlong) — that's a sharp combination heading into a race off a brief freshener. The jockey has a 22% win rate and 55% in-the-money rate over the past year. The concern is a 0-for-4 recent stretch on the in-the-money front, so the horse has underperformed relative to its figures. That layoff-and-workout angle, though, makes the 4/1 show price worth a look in exotics.

Hott Favorite is second in ratings at 79.85 and leads the entire field in recent race speed at 10.94 seconds per furlong — in a 400-yard sprint, that kind of blazing early foot is a genuine weapon. The career record underscores the ability: 25% win rate, 66% in-the-money, 3 wins in 12 dirt starts, and in-the-money in each of the last 4 races. The 9/2 morning line may offer some place value given the speed figures. At 16% of our simulations, Hott Favorite is a serious contender.

B a Dynasty ranks third in the picks at 67.43 on the TrackWiz scale and has been a model of consistency — placed in 3 of the last 4 races, 2 wins and 7 placings in 12 dirt starts, and the third-fastest recent speed at 10.99 sec/furlong. That speed figure is essentially identical to One Valiant Dude's, which means B a Dynasty is running at a genuinely elite level. At 10/1 on the morning line, there's real value here for exotics coverage if the top two set up a pace duel.

Shezdanstyforsure is second in ratings at 65.12 and owns a remarkable 350-yard record — 3 wins and placed in 4 of 4 starts at today's exact distance. The career win rate of 27% and overall in-the-money rate of 54% speak to a horse that consistently delivers. The concern is a cold streak of three consecutive off-the-board efforts and a short rest angle that doesn't play to this horse's historical strengths. That said, the distance form is too strong to dismiss at 3/1.

Nurse Hot Lips ranks third in ratings at 64.26 and has the fastest recent race speed in the field at 11.16 seconds per furlong — a tick ahead of Honey Bunny at 11.17. The 350-yard record is elite: 3 wins and placed in 7 of 9 starts at today's distance. The concern is only a single Zia Park placing in 4 tries and a very short rest that historically hasn't suited this horse. Still, the speed figures and distance record make Nurse Hot Lips a legitimate show and exotic piece at 8/1.

Pablote ranks second in this race's picks with a 73.98 TrackWiz rating and leads the field in recent race speed at 11.17 seconds per furlong — in a short sprint, that early zip is essential. The career record shows a 33% win rate and 66% in-the-money rate, plus 2 of 3 dirt starts in the money. Our simulations gave Pablote a nearly 18% win share. The only note is that this horse runs without Lasix while 8 competitors use it, which is worth monitoring. At 9/2, there's real place value here.

Kj Ace in the Hole is third-rated in the picks at 69.83 and benefits from a strong jockey-trainer partnership — both the jockey and the jockey-trainer combo carry a 19% win rate and 51-53% in-the-money rate over the past year. The jockey-horse combination itself mirrors that quality. With a 20% career win rate and 40% ITM, this horse has shown the ability to compete. At 3/1 on the morning line, the show price won't be generous, but Kj Ace in the Hole is a legitimate exotics anchor.

Passion for Rings is second in ratings at 75.85 and owns the fastest recent race speed in the entire field at 11.27 seconds per furlong — that's a sharp figure heading into a 350-yard sprint. This horse returns off a 218-day freshener, which is always a flag, but back-to-back in-the-money finishes before that layoff suggest the form was real. Our sims gave Passion for Rings an 18% win share. The concern is a modest 2-for-9 record specifically at 350 yards, but the speed is undeniable at 3/1.

Renegade Reba is third in the picks at 66.66 on the TrackWiz scale and brings two of the most compelling contextual angles in this race: a perfect 2-for-2 in-the-money record at Zia Park specifically, and a career record of 1 win and 6 placings in 11 dirt starts. The A-grade jockey and A-grade trainer combination from the Dominguez barn is as strong as any in this field. At 10/1 on the morning line, Renegade Reba is a genuine overlay in the show spot and a must-use in trifecta tickets.