Woodbine Picks & Predictions — August 20, 2026

Armada Rising is the most intriguing horse in the field for value players: a 50% career win rate that absolutely jumps off the page, even accounting for a small sample size. Her TrackWiz rating of 63.58 and average speed of 54 put her solidly in the frame, and trainer Philip Hall keeps her sharp. If the pace gets honest up front, this closer could be finishing fastest of all at a juicy 6/1.

That Girl Artemus slots in third at 56.01 on the TrackWiz scale and shows the best career win percentage among the mid-tier horses at 16%. Trainer Kerron Palmer runs two horses in this race — also saddling Makayla — which tells you the barn is feeling good about their chances. Eswan Flores is a solid pick-up in the irons, and a pace scenario favoring closers suits this profile well at 3/1.

Galley Head is the public's choice at 9/5 and not without merit — a 27% career win rate is the best in the field by a wide margin, and an average speed of 54 keeps her competitive on the figures. Trainer David Borsk clearly has her fit, and Keveh Nicholls aboard adds tactical versatility. She's a deserving second choice, but at short odds her place payoff won't be generous — factor that into your ticket-building.

Holiday With Amy at 10/1 is the price play worth stashing in your trifectas. Her TrackWiz rating of 63.75 is third-best in the field — above both Foxy Diva and Flying Black — and her average speed of 54 ties the best in the race. Trainer Patrick Dixon drops her in here and Jalon L. Samuel picks up the mount; if the two speed horses battle each other, she has the pace setup to be picking up the pieces late.

Secret Load rates just a whisker behind at 87.81 — essentially a dead heat with Bold Ripasso on the TrackWiz scale — and comes in with Emma-Jayne Wilson, who is outstanding on the turf at Woodbine. Trainer Richard G. Hayashi keeps this horse dialed in, and at 5/2 she's genuine value if the top pick hits any traffic. She's a near-automatic place selection and the key to any exacta.

North York at 4/1 rounds out our key selections with a 72.06 rating and a 16% career win rate, respectable in this company. Trainer Stuart C. Simon runs two horses in the race, which tells you the barn is loaded for bear today. David Moran grabs the mount, and with two speed figures of 53, North York has enough ability to stay competitive and collect a check if the top two have a heated battle.

Well Lit is the public's favorite at 7/5, and while she rates second at 75.86, the gap between her and Baccaro Point is notable — roughly 11 points on the TrackWiz scale. Trainer Krista Cole and jockey Christoff Douglas are a pairing worth respecting, and her average speed of 53 keeps her squarely in the mix. She's probably a vulnerable short-priced favorite, but she's talented enough to collect at least a place.

Cosa Tapa at 7/2 is worth a spot in your trifectas as the third-best rated runner at 55.83. Trainer Tino Attard has a proven record developing young horses at Woodbine, and Sahin Civaci is a journeyman who gets results when given a live mount. Without a recorded speed figure she carries some mystery, but that Attard connection in a maiden race is an angle worth a small investment.

Butterfly Billie is the morning-line favorite at 2/1 and rates second on our scale at 78.09 — a legitimate contender with a respectable average speed of 53. Trainer Sylvain Pion and jockey Jose Luis Campos make a capable combination, and in a maiden sprint she won't need to do anything fancy. If Featherweight doesn't break cleanly, Butterfly Billie has the profile to steal this.

No Mistake at 6/1 is the value show play in the field, posting a 67.25 rating that slots her comfortably into third among the nine runners. Trainer Joseph Humber has her competitive on the figures with an average speed of 53, and Luis R. Reyes is a capable hand in the irons. In a maiden sprint where pace can be chaotic, a horse with solid figures and a double-digit morning line is exactly the kind of runner that pops in exotic payoffs.