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Woodbine Picks & Predictions — August 15, 2026

August 15, 202613 racesAll Woodbine picks

It's a beautiful Saturday at Woodbine — clear skies, 75°F, and the kind of firm turf that rewards horses with tactical speed and clean trips. With 13 races on the card and five of them stakes-level events, this is one of the bigger days the Rexdale oval serves up all summer.

The turf is likely playing fast under these conditions, which matters a lot today — seven of the 13 races are contested on the grass, including a quartet of stakes that will keep your attention locked in from mid-card all the way through Race 11. On the dirt side, the feature distance stretches all the way out to 1¼ miles in Race 10, giving the classic types a chance to shine.

TrackWiz has a full card of picks and ratings ready for you. The first three races are on us — after that, premium subscribers get the complete breakdown through Race 13.

Best Bets

Race 1

4:30 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

A top-rated underdog clashes with a morning-line favorite in this one-mile allowance optional claiming turf opener — the TrackWiz ratings tell a different story than the oddsboard.

win4StratusML 6/1

Stratus posts the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 82.71 despite going off at 6/1 on the morning line — that's a meaningful gap over the 2/1 favorite. Rafael Manuel Hernandez gets the call, and the one-mile turf distance suits horses that can settle and build momentum. A 16% career win rate is modest, but TrackWiz analysis suggests this is the kind of undervalued angle that pays.

place5CiunasML 2/1

Ciunas is the morning-line favorite at 2/1 for good reason — a 42% career win rate is elite in this field and hard to dismiss. Pietro Moran aboard keeps the connections strong, and at a rating of 79, she's clearly talented. The concern is whether the market has her overbet to the point where the value shifts elsewhere for win purposes.

show2DewolfML 3/1

Dewolf brings Hall of Fame jockey John R. Velazquez to the gate, which immediately commands attention in any field. Trainer Kevin Attard has a strong Woodbine record, and a TrackWiz rating of 70.72 checks out as a legitimate contender. With a 18% career win rate and an average speed figure of 55, Dewolf is a reliable exotic anchor in the third slot.

Race 2

5:00 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

A full field of ten goes 6½ furlongs on the dirt in this claiming sprint, with three horses tightly bunched in TrackWiz ratings between 77 and 81 — pace and position out of the gate could be decisive.

win8Big Baby HenryML 4/1

Big Baby Henry tops the TrackWiz ratings at 80.7 and draws a dangerous-looking post with Keveh Nicholls taking the reins for trainer Michael Glazier. An average speed figure of 54 is right in line with the field median for this class level. At 4/1 on the morning line with the top rating, this is one of the better value-to-rating ratios in the race.

place1DissectologistML 8/1

Dissectologist is a fascinating place play at 8/1 — a rating of 79.79 puts him just a whisker below the top pick, yet he's priced like a longshot. Trainer Joe S. Russo has two horses entered today, which sometimes signals stable confidence, and Fraser Aebly is a capable dirt rider at Woodbine. If the pace gets hot up front, expect Dissectologist to be sitting close to the action.

show4Harper CityML 7/2

Harper City rates at 77.98 and draws Pietro Moran, who has multiple mounts on today's card suggesting the rider is in good form. Trainer Allen Desruisseaux has a workmanlike operation, and an average speed figure of 54 over 6½ furlongs on dirt is competitive. The 7/2 morning line makes Harper City a sensible show play or third leg in vertical exotics.

Race 3

5:31 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 1 1/8 mi · Dirt

A maiden special weight route on dirt with two closely matched favorites at the top of the TrackWiz board — the morning line and the ratings nearly mirror each other, setting up a fascinating exacta battle.

win2Crystal PearlML 8/5

Crystal Pearl breaks from post 2 for trainer Mark E. Casse, one of the most accomplished conditioners in Canadian racing, and that stable connection alone warrants attention in a maiden route. She rates at 59.0 — the top figure in the field — and an average speed figure of 52 at 1⅛ miles on dirt is solid for an inexperienced runner. Casse runners going to post as favorites tend to be well-prepared, and Fraser Aebly's experience gives her a tactical edge early.

place5Super TomML 9/5

Super Tom comes in at a nearly identical rating of 58.67, making this essentially a two-horse race from a TrackWiz perspective. Leo Salles has been a consistent performer at Woodbine, and an average speed of 54 actually edges Crystal Pearl — suggesting Super Tom may have shown slightly sharper works. The 9/5 morning line means you won't find much value to win, but he belongs on the ticket.

show1KeepmypowderdryML 7/2

Keepmypowderdry adds some intrigue off a 7/2 morning line with a respectable rating of 55.83 for trainer Donald C. MacRae. Pietro Moran aboard ensures a professional trip, and in maiden routes the pace often goes slow early, setting up closers. This horse rates well enough to hit the board in a soft pace scenario, making it a worthwhile third-slot exotic play.

Our three free previews cover the opening half of the card across two surfaces, and there's some genuine interest here. Stratus (6/1) kicks things off in the mile turf Allowance Optional Claiming — a juicy morning line on a horse our model rates at 82.71, which suggests the public might be sleeping on this one. That's the kind of overlay that gets us excited early. On the dirt, Big Baby Henry (4/1) brings a strong TrackWiz rating of 80.70 into the 6½-furlong Claiming sprint in Race 2 — pace scenarios in short dirt sprints often funnel toward the horse with the best early kick, so watch the gate break closely.

Race 3 is a 1⅛-mile Maiden Special Weight on dirt, where Crystal Pearl (8/5) comes in as the morning line favorite — though her TrackWiz rating of 59 reflects the wide-open uncertainty typical of maiden routes. In these races, class and pedigree matter as much as recent form. All three free races give you a solid foundation for the early card before the stakes action heats up.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

6:03 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 1/2 fur · Turf

An eleven-horse maiden turf sprint with multiple first-time starters and a loaded Kevin Attard barn — the morning-line favorite carries the class advantage, but a wide-open bottom half of the field makes exotics appealing.

win5CattrallML 2/1

Cattrall lands the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 58.33 and draws Hall of Famer John R. Velazquez — a pairing that should have the field running scared. Trained by the in-form Kevin Attard, who saddles three horses in this race alone, Cattrall's average speed figure of 58 is the best in the field by a clear margin. In a maiden turf sprint, early position matters and Velazquez knows exactly how to secure it.

place8Worldly CharmML 4/1

Worldly Charm rates at 55.0 for Mark E. Casse — another top barn — and draws Emma-Jayne Wilson, who knows Woodbine's turf course as well as anyone. An average speed of 55 is competitive and puts her just below the top pick. At 4/1 on the morning line, she offers place value in what could develop as a two-barn battle between Attard and Casse.

show6Sunday FineryML 6/1

Sunday Finery gives trainer James Bentley Begg a legitimate contender at 6/1, rating at 51.67 with an average speed of 54. Rafael Manuel Hernandez piloting a Begg runner on the turf is a productive combination worth noting. In a large field where pace can get chaotic, a horse with clean form and a capable rider often sneaks into exotics at a tasty price.

Race 5

6:36 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 7 1/2 fur · Turf

Celebrity Warrior stands out dramatically from the rest of this maiden turf field — a massive TrackWiz rating gap makes the morning-line price look like genuine overlay territory.

win6Celebrity WarriorML 9/2

Celebrity Warrior's TrackWiz rating of 84.9 absolutely towers over the next closest horse (Dyna at 64.08) — that's a gap of nearly 21 points, which is enormous in any field. Pietro Moran is a smart tactical rider on Woodbine's turf, and trainer Kevin Attard consistently puts runners over this course in sharp condition. At 9/2 on the morning line, this horse looks meaningfully underpriced relative to what the numbers say.

place5DynaML 3/1

Dyna slots in at a TrackWiz rating of 64.08 for trainer Kevin Attard, who fields two horses in this race — a sign the barn has real confidence in both. John R. Velazquez picks up the mount, and at 3/1 on the morning line, Dyna is attractively priced for a horse that grades out as the clear second-best. The 53 average speed at 7½ furlongs on turf keeps her competitive through the stretch.

show4Souper Gin's WorldML 4/1

Souper Gin's World rates at 55.0 for the powerful Mark E. Casse operation, and Sahin Civaci is a reliable partner over this course. An average speed figure of 55 matches the rating, suggesting consistency in her training line. At 4/1 on the morning line, she's a sensible safety net in trifectas behind the two Attard horses.

Race 6

7:11 PM EDT

Stakes · 6 1/2 fur · Turf

Stakes company on the Woodbine turf at 6½ furlongs — a morning-line favorite priced tighter than her rating advantage and an intriguing overlay just above her at 5/2 make this a nuanced betting race.

win8Through the YearsML 2/1

Through the Years tops the TrackWiz ratings at 58.33 and draws John R. Velazquez — arguably the most decorated jockey in the sport — for trainer Wesley A. Ward, who is renowned internationally for producing elite turf sprinters. A 50% career win rate and an average speed of 56 back up the 2/1 morning line. Ward-Velazquez on a turf course is about as strong a trainer-jockey angle as you'll find anywhere.

place7De la RentaML 5/2

De la Renta has a perfect career win rate — 100% — and rates at 57.5 for the Kevin Attard barn, who also runs Quipster in this spot. Fraser Aebly takes the mount and the 5/2 morning line actually makes this horse a legitimate win threat as well. In a stakes sprint where small fields create cleaner trips, a horse with unblemished form is worth respecting heavily.

show5Uncle DodoML 4/1

Uncle Dodo carries a 50% career win rate into this stakes spot for trainer Barbara J. Minshall, rating at 55 with an average speed of 55. Romero Ramsay Maragh gives the horse a professional ride, and at 4/1 the morning line offers some value. Minshall has been around the Woodbine circuit long enough to know when a horse is ready to fire in stakes company.

Race 7

7:46 PM EDT

Stakes · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Western Whirl and Poulin in O T separate themselves from the dirt stakes field with dominant TrackWiz ratings — this shaping up as a top-two show with a value play lurking in third.

win6Western WhirlML 2/1

Western Whirl owns the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 88.54 and carries an average speed figure of 57 — the best in the race — for trainer Stuart C. Simon. Fraser Aebly gets the call, and the 2/1 morning line is short but defensible given the numbers. At 6½ furlongs on dirt, a horse with legitimate top-end speed and the best figures tends to control the pace conversation.

place2Poulin in O TML 5/2

Poulin in O T rates at 82.34 — a full six points behind Western Whirl but well clear of the rest of the field — with a 34% career win rate that reads as elite in a stakes dirt sprint. Ryan Munger takes the mount for trainer Steven Owens, and an average speed of 56 keeps this horse in the mix through every turn. At 5/2 on the morning line, he's priced to challenge and should be comfortable finishing in the exacta.

show7Souped UpML 8/1

Souped Up goes at 8/1 despite a TrackWiz rating of 60.33 and a strong 31% career win rate — that combination makes Emma-Jayne Wilson's mount one of the more intriguing value plays on the board. Trainer Ronald H. Sadler has shown an ability to get horses ready in stakes spots, and an average speed of 56 matches the pace of the top contenders. In a race where the top two might battle each other into the ground, Souped Up could be rolling late at a paying price.

Race 8

8:40 PM EDT

Stakes · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

A compact but deep seven-horse turf stakes at 1 1/16 miles — the top three in TrackWiz ratings are separated by less than 16 points, setting up a genuine three-way battle for the win.

win4Eponine (IRE)ML 5/2

Eponine (IRE) tops the field with a TrackWiz rating of 87.81 and a 33% career win rate in what's presumably graded company given the Irish suffix — international form translates well on Woodbine's world-class turf course. Rafael Manuel Hernandez pilots her for trainer Kevin Attard, who excels with turf routers, and an average speed of 55 is right in the pocket for a one-turn mile. At 5/2 on the morning line, she's appropriately priced as the top pick.

place6Proctor StreetML 2/1

Proctor Street rates at 81.66 and sports a 38% career win rate for trainer Brendan P. Walsh — a name that resonates in graded turf company. Pietro Moran is an astute rider on the Woodbine turf and knows how to rate a horse in a route. At 2/1 on the morning line, Proctor Street is nearly co-favorited and could easily reverse the order with Eponine depending on the pace shape.

show1LupaML 3/1

Lupa brings a 42% career win rate to the gate — the best in the field — and trainer Josie Carroll knows how to win turf routes at this level. Fraser Aebly has a strong partnership with the Carroll barn and should get a clean trip from post 1. A TrackWiz rating of 74.79 and an average speed of 53 keeps her firmly in the show conversation, and the 3/1 morning line is fair value for what could be a photo-finish race.

Race 9

9:20 PM EDT

Stakes · 6 1/2 fur · Turf

A ten-horse turf stakes at 6½ furlongs packed with perfect win records and overlays everywhere — the ratings suggest a tighter race than the field size implies, with the top three picks spanning less than three points.

win5Ghost MeML 5/2

Ghost Me carries a 100% career win rate into this stakes spot for trainer George Weaver, a significant name in top-level turf racing. Sahin Civaci is a polished jockey who excels in turf sprints, and an average speed of 56 sits comfortably atop the field. At 5/2 on the morning line, a perfect record in what are presumably competitive starts makes this the most defensible pick on the board.

place3MeloniML 3/1

Meloni is another perfect-record horse — 100% career win rate — for trainer Kevin Attard, and John R. Velazquez takes a mount that the barn clearly believes in at 3/1. An average speed of 55 matches the field standard, and the Attard-Velazquez combination in a turf sprint at Woodbine has proven dangerous time and again. This is a horse that could easily flip with the top pick in the win spot.

show2Royal FoxtrotML 4/1

Royal Foxtrot draws trainer Mark E. Casse, rates at 55.0, and carries an average speed figure of 58 — the best in the race by two ticks. Fraser Aebly takes the mount for a barn that doesn't run horses idly in stakes company. The 4/1 morning line makes Royal Foxtrot an attractive show play, and if the pace gets honest early, that blazing average speed could turn into a late surge.

Race 10

10:12 PM EDT

Stakes · 1 1/4 mi · Dirt

Luster goes off as an even-money chalk in a twelve-horse dirt stakes at 1¼ miles — the field is enormous but the rating gap between the top contenders is substantial, making the top of the ticket fairly clear.

win1LusterML EVN

Luster is the clear standout here with a TrackWiz rating of 84.27 and an eye-popping 80% career win rate for trainer Josie Carroll — numbers that virtually never appear together in a stakes field. John R. Velazquez takes the mount, giving this horse the best jockey in the race, and an average speed of 54 over 1¼ miles on dirt is workmanlike for this distance. Even at even money, the combination of elite win rate, top trainer, and top jockey makes Luster nearly impossible to leave off the ticket.

place8HighwaytothemoonML 6/1

Highwaytothemoon rates at 82.71 — just below Luster — with a 57% career win rate that is genuinely impressive in route company. Rafael Manuel Hernandez rides for trainer Dale A. Desruisseaux, who also fields Dixie Law in this race, signaling real stable depth today. At 6/1 on the morning line, this horse is a massive value play for place and a legitimate win contender in her own right.

show9BrachettoML 5/1

Brachetto rates at 75.17 with a 40% career win rate for trainer Julia Carey, and Ryan Munger brings solid tactical awareness over Woodbine's main track. An average speed of 54 at the 1¼-mile distance matches Luster stride for stride on that metric. At 5/1 on the morning line, Brachetto is the logical third wheel in a full-field dirt route where stamina questions often separate horses late.

Race 11

11:00 PM EDT

Stakes · 1 mi · Turf

Gas Me Up looms as a standout in a six-horse turf stakes mile — the rating and price make this one of the strongest single-horse plays of the entire Woodbine card.

win3Gas Me UpML 8/5

Gas Me Up rates at 85.38 — top of the field by nearly three points — and comes in for Kevin Attard with a 38% career win rate that legitimizes the performance history. Fraser Aebly is the natural choice in these spots for Attard, and an average speed of 57 is the best figure in the race by two full ticks. At 8/5 on the morning line, this is a case where the favorite is actually the right play — the gap between Gas Me Up and the field is real.

place4Seminole ChiefML 6/1

Seminole Chief rates at 82.71 with a strong 41% career win rate for trainer Joe Sharp, giving this horse legit stakes credentials. Rafael Manuel Hernandez is a quality jockey pick-up, and the 55 average speed at one mile on turf is right in the wheelhouse. At 6/1 on the morning line, Seminole Chief is materially underpriced relative to the ratings and win percentage — this is the value play of the race.

show2G T Five HundredML 8/1

G T Five Hundred rates at 72.29 with a 25% career win rate for trainer Dale A. Desruisseaux, who also fields this horse in Race 7 today — a barn comfortable running their horses hard on a card. Jose Luis Campos gets a mount with an average speed of 56, second only to Gas Me Up in the field. At 8/1 on the morning line, the trifecta payoff with Gas Me Up on top could be significant if G T Five Hundred holds third.

Race 12

11:31 PM EDT

Optional Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

Two horses with near-identical top TrackWiz ratings separated by just 0.36 points headline this optional claiming mile on dirt — one is the morning-line favorite, and one is priced like a mid-tier contender.

win9Awesome BeatML 5/2

Awesome Beat tops the field at a rating of 87.44 for trainer Sid C. Attard and will be guided by Eswan Flores, a jockey who handles Woodbine's main track well. An average speed of 53 at 1 1/16 miles on dirt is steady and consistent. At 5/2 on the morning line, the top rating combined with a capable trainer-jockey pairing makes Awesome Beat the most straightforward selection on the late portion of the card.

place4Big Screen BossML 3/1

Big Screen Boss is separated from Awesome Beat by a mere 0.36 rating points — at 87.08 — yet goes off at 3/1 for Pietro Moran and trainer Tedston Holder. The 7% career win rate is low and worth noting, but TrackWiz analysis focuses on current form cycles and speed figures rather than career totals alone. If pace turns contentious early, Big Screen Boss could be the fresh horse late.

show8Lonny's GambleML 4/1

Lonny's Gamble rates at 70.75 with Josie Carroll training — a barn that wins in optional claiming company regularly at Woodbine. Fraser Aebly picks up the mount, and a 4/1 morning line gives this horse outsized value relative to the rating drop from the top two. The 6% career win rate is modest, but Carroll horses tend to be live at fair prices and Aebly knows how to get a horse in the right spot at the turn.

Race 13

12:01 AM EDT

Maiden Optional Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

A massive fourteen-horse maiden optional claiming turf route closes out the Woodbine card — two horses stand well above the field on TrackWiz ratings, and there's legitimate place and show value spread across a deep and wide-open field.

win14Baltic SeaML 8/1

Baltic Sea owns the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 79.79 — a significant 13-point gap over the next closest rival — and draws Pietro Moran, one of the busiest and most effective jockeys on today's card. Trainer Patrick Dixon also fields Beach Factor in this race, demonstrating real stable confidence. At 8/1 on the morning line, Baltic Sea is one of the strongest overlays of the night relative to the TrackWiz numbers.

place5Beach FactorML 10/1

Beach Factor rates at 66.44 for the same Patrick Dixon barn, and Jalon L. Samuel handles the mount. An average speed of 52 in a turf route at 1 1/16 miles fits the distance profile, and in a maiden field this large, pace can get ragged — which benefits horses that rate kindly and finish well. At 10/1 on the morning line, Beach Factor is a genuine value play in a wide-open race.

show12Keynote SpeakerML 5/1

Keynote Speaker rates at 66.0 for Kevin Attard — one of the few trainers on this card whose maiden runners are always worth following — and Romero Ramsay Maragh gets the call. An average speed of 53 fits a one-mile-plus turf route, and Attard runners in maiden optional claiming company typically arrive fit and ready. The 5/1 morning line is palatable value for a show ticket in a field this deep.

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Today's Woodbine card is deep, stakes-rich, and set up beautifully by the weather. Our top plays across the card include Stratus as an early value angle on turf, Western Whirl as the highest-rated horse on the dirt stakes side, and Eponine IRE as the one to beat in the marquee turf route. The free picks get you started — subscribe to get every angle, every race, every ticket structure we're playing today.

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