Daily Picks

Woodbine Picks & Predictions — June 25, 2026

Thursday, June 25, 20267 racesWoodbine

Rain is falling at Woodbine this Thursday and it's going to be a factor all card long. With temperatures sitting at 66°F and steady precipitation, expect the dirt to play wet and keep a close eye on any late scratches from the turf events — conditions like these can flip a race on its head before the gates even open.

Seven races are on the slate today, mixing claiming and maiden claiming routes with a couple of turf tests that'll hinge on just how much rain falls before post time. It's the kind of day where sharp handicappers earn their edge — the casual crowd leans on morning-line favorites, but wet-track form and surface versatility can unlock some serious value.

Three races are open to all TrackWiz readers today, and we think there's a strong best-bet thread running through them. Races 4 through 7 are reserved for subscribers, where the full card breakdown lives.

Best Bets

Race 1

7:00 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

A class standout looms large in this 1 1/16-mile dirt claimer, but the morning line suggests bettors will have to pay full price — the real question is whether the field has enough to make it competitive.

win3Bella ClassicaML 8/5

Bella Classica owns a TrackWiz rating of 89.12 — comfortably the highest in the field by more than 12 points — and her 8/5 morning line reflects the market's respect for her. Trainer Danny Yu sends her out with a 20% career win rate behind her, and jockey Juan Crawford gets the call. At a mile and a sixteenth on the dirt, she should have enough horse to put this away without a serious pace duel from the field.

place5McKenzie RoadML 7/2

McKenzie Road is our main danger at 7/2, posting a TrackWiz rating of 76.85 that separates her clearly from the bottom half of this field. Trainer Barbara J. Minshall has a solid book of claiming horses, and Austin Adams has the mount. If Bella Classica is bet down below her morning line, McKenzie Road offers legitimate place value.

show6Beautiful SkyML 5/2

Beautiful Sky checks in at 64.31 on our ratings and is a reasonable 5/2 on the morning line, suggesting she'll attract public money. Her 12% career win rate is modest, but in a race where the top two choices are likely to be heavily bet, she provides a sensible hedge in the exotics for show tickets and trifecta coverage.

Race 2

7:32 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

With every horse in this maiden claiming sprint still looking for their first win, this is wide-open territory — but two horses pull away from the pack on our ratings model, setting up a potential top-two battle.

win1Clear PositionML 9/5

Clear Position earns the top rating in this field at 88.83 and gets the slight nod over Sunnyville despite a nearly identical number. Trainer Abraham R. Katryan puts Kemarie Blackett in the irons, and the 9/5 morning line signals confidence from the morning clockers. At seven furlongs on the dirt, early pace is crucial, and Clear Position's positioning in post 1 could allow her to find a ground-saving trip.

place4SunnyvilleML 2/1

Sunnyville is only a point behind at 87.73 on the TrackWiz scale and is actually the morning line second choice at 2/1 — this one is razor close at the top. Trainer Andrew Smith has Keveh Nicholls in the saddle, and Sunnyville's slightly wider draw in post 4 gives her room to find her rhythm. In maiden company, these two could very well run 1-2 in either order.

show2Butterfly BillieML 4/1

Butterfly Billie is the third-best rated horse here at 71.44 and sits at 4/1 on the morning line, which makes her a fair price for show and exotics. Trainer Sylvain Pion is a familiar name at Woodbine, and Rafael Manuel Hernandez brings solid experience to the mount. If either of the top two encounter traffic in a bulky maiden field, Butterfly Billie is positioned to sneak into the exacta.

Race 3

8:04 PM EDT

Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

The turf mile sets up as a potential upset spot — the morning line favorite isn't our top-rated horse, and there's a pace question in a field that's split between closers and mid-packers.

win4Holiday SnoozeML 2/1

Holiday Snooze earns the highest TrackWiz rating in this optional claiming turf mile at 88.54, comfortably ahead of the field despite going off at 2/1 — not the shortest price. Trainer Danny Yu, who also runs Bella Classica in Race 1, has a knack for placing horses well, and the 18% career win rate for Holiday Snooze backs the form. At a clean mile on the turf, a horse with this rating advantage should be controlling her own destiny in the stretch.

place6Awesome RainbowML 9/5

Awesome Rainbow is the morning line favorite at 9/5 with a 62.5 rating, which actually puts her behind Holiday Snooze in our model — that's an interesting gap between the public's opinion and ours. Romero Ramsay Maragh, one of the busier jockeys on the card today, picks up the mount for trainer William Tharrenos. She's a fair inclusion on the place side given her market support, even if we think Holiday Snooze is the stronger horse.

show3DewolfML 6/1

Dewolf sits at 61.2 on our ratings and offers the best morning line value among the horses we're including at 6/1. Trainer Kevin Attard is a Woodbine staple with a consistent operation, and Christoff Douglas gets the call. Private Label (3/1) has a strong career win rate at 22%, but Dewolf's slightly higher rating makes him the more defensible show play in the exotics.

Our free selections center on Bella Classica in Race 1, Clear Position in Race 2, and Holiday Snooze in Race 3 — three horses our ratings model has separated from their respective fields with scores ranging from 88.54 up to 89.12. Bella Classica is the top-rated horse on the card at 89.12 and gets the nod in a dirt claiming mile-and-a-sixteenth where a wet, tiring track could play right into her hooves if she has any wet-track back class.

Clear Position draws our attention in the maiden claiming sprint at 7 furlongs — pace scenarios in maiden dirt sprints tend to get messy in the rain, and horses with tactical speed or a clean outside post can steal races that chalk favorites give away. Holiday Snooze gets the nod in Race 3's optional claimer on the turf at a mile, though that one is the most weather-dependent play of the trio. Watch for any surface switch notices before you commit.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

8:36 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

A contested pace setup looks likely in this 6.5-furlong dirt claimer, and the horse with the best early speed figures may be able to steal this before the closers get organized.

win1Wild RedML 5/2

Wild Red tops our ratings at 87.81 and sports the highest average speed figure in the race at 55, which stands out in a field where several others are clustered at 53-54. Rafael Manuel Hernandez, who's been busy throughout this card, rides for trainer Darwin D. Banach. At 5/2 on the morning line, Wild Red is fairly priced for a horse with this kind of speed edge, and if he can get a clean trip from post 1, he's got the raw ability to dictate terms.

place4ChargethatmountainML 4/1

Chargethatmountain brings the second-best TrackWiz rating at 81.78 and the standout career win rate in this field at 20%. Romero Ramsay Maragh takes the mount for trainer Richard M. Davis, a pairing worth noting. At 4/1, there's genuine place value here — if Wild Red gets pressured early and backs up, Chargethatmountain could easily be the one flying late.

show3Olivia's MelodyML 2/1

Olivia's Melody is the morning line second choice at 2/1 despite a 64.94 rating that sits noticeably below our top two selections, which tells you the public is higher on her than our model. A 5% career win rate is modest for a horse at this price, but trainer Kerron Palmer places Xarel Forde in the irons and the 2/1 morning line suggests there may be a workout or recent sharp form behind this confidence. She's worth including in trifectas.

Race 5

9:08 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

This allowance optional claimer features a fascinating pricing disconnect — our top-rated horse isn't the morning line favorite, setting up genuine win value at a number the public may be sleeping on.

win6I Got MurphedML 7/2

I Got Murphed tops the TrackWiz ratings at 86.35 and carries an eye-catching 42% career win rate — that's not a misprint, and it's the kind of number that commands attention in any field. Pietro Moran rides for Tino Attard, a respected Woodbine conditioner. At 7/2 on the morning line in a race where the public favors Dolce Fortuna at 7/5, this is a case where our model sees significant value against the crowd.

place5Super SicilyML 3/1

Super Sicily comes in at 74.95 on our ratings and brings a 19% career win rate with an average speed figure of 55 — matching the top figure in the race. Leo Salles gets the mount for trainer Michael P. De Paulo, and at 3/1, there's real place upside if I Got Murphed handles the pace as expected. Super Sicily looks like the most likely beneficiary if the favorite has any issues.

show2Dolce FortunaML 7/5

Dolce Fortuna is the public's choice at 7/5 and a 100% career win rate makes her look unbeatable on paper — but that figure almost certainly reflects a very small sample size, and a 59.33 TrackWiz rating puts her well below our top two selections. She's worth including on the show end of your tickets to protect against a maiden-style upset, especially with Ryan Munger up for Josie Carroll, but we'd rather beat her than bet her.

Race 6

9:39 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

Nine horses go to post in this 1 1/16-mile turf claimer, creating a wide-open look on paper — but our ratings model carves out a clear top three that separates from the pack significantly.

win5Lady IzzyML 2/1

Lady Izzy earns the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 88.54 and goes as the 2/1 morning line favorite for trainer Sid C. Attard with Fraser Aebly aboard. Her average speed figure of 53 leads the field alongside a few others, but her overall rating cushion is substantial. In a nine-horse turf field where traffic can be a factor, drawing post 5 gives her a clean look without being buried on the rail.

place3VranaML 6/1

Vrana is the hidden gem in this race at 6/1 morning line with a TrackWiz rating of 80.1 — second best in the field by a comfortable margin. Trainer Sarah Ritchie sends her out with Luis Contreras, one of the more accomplished riders on the Woodbine circuit. A 5% career win rate seems misleading given the rating, and at 6/1, she represents the kind of overlay our model loves to identify.

show8You Be the JudgeML 4/1

You Be the Judge catches the eye with the best average speed figure in the race at 55, a number that stands alone in a field where most are running in the 50-53 range. Jose Luis Campos rides for trainer Steven Owens, and the 4/1 morning line reflects some public interest. A 4% career win rate is a concern, but the raw speed figure suggests she's capable of threatening on the right trip.

Race 7

10:09 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 fur · Dirt

First-time starter energy is high in this five-furlong dirt maiden claimer — one horse has broken away from the field on our model, but a couple of lightly-regarded rivals have the figures to make the stretch interesting.

win9SilverdartML 2/1

Silverdart tops the TrackWiz ratings at 88.54 — the highest mark in this race by more than 13 points — and gets the nod as the morning line favorite at 2/1. Fraser Aebly picks up the mount for trainer Kevin Attard, a Woodbine barn that knows how to get maiden horses ready to fire. At five furlongs on the dirt, pace is everything, and a horse with this rating edge in a maiden field should be capable of clearing the field before the wire.

place3Midnite SadieML 3/1

Midnite Sadie is our place selection with a 75.29 rating and a 3/1 morning line, making her the clear second choice on both our model and the morning line. Trainer William Tharrenos saddles her with Austin Adams in the irons — a combination that's represented well on this card. Her 53 average speed figure ties several others, but the overall rating sets her apart from the mid-pack.

show7Can't Argue ThatML 4/1

Can't Argue That checks in with a 55.0 TrackWiz rating and a 4/1 morning line for trainer Allen Desruisseaux, with David Moran getting the call. Notably, we have no average speed figure on record for this horse, which typically indicates a first-time starter with workout-based projections — that adds a layer of mystery and also some upside if the maiden breaks sharp. The 4/1 price is fair for a show play in a field this unsettled.

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Today's Woodbine card is compact but loaded with decisions, and the rain makes every pick a little more interesting. Our top plays on the free side are Bella Classica, Clear Position, and Holiday Snooze — three horses our model rates well above their fields. For the full-card breakdown including pace projections, exotic strategies, and all four premium races, TrackWiz subscribers have everything they need. Good luck at the windows — stay sharp and stay dry.

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