Daily Picks

Woodbine Picks & Predictions — June 21, 2026

Sunday, June 21, 202610 racesWoodbine

Happy Father's Day from Woodbine. The horses are running, the turf is green, and the weather is about as good as it gets — partly cloudy skies and a comfortable 72°F mean we should see fast times and honest efforts across all 10 races today.

It's a well-rounded card mixing maiden races and allowances on the main track with a pair of five-furlong turf stakes to close out the afternoon. Two stakes races on the same card always raise the stakes (pun intended) for exotic players, and today's dual-stakes setup in Races 7 and 9 gives us some interesting multi-race sequence opportunities. TrackWiz has broken down all 10 races — three of them free for every reader, with the full card available to subscribers.

Best Bets

Race 1

5:00 PM EDT

Starter Allowance · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

A starter allowance at 1 1/16 miles on dirt that sets up as a battle between a clear class standout and a pair of live threats — the favorite looks tough to beat, but the price runners have enough to make exotics interesting.

win4Purrfect GirlML 6/5

Purrfect Girl heads our selections with the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 89.71, and her morning line of 6/5 reflects the market's respect for her profile. She sports a 27% career win rate, which is excellent at this level, and matches the field's best average speed figure at 53. Rafael Manuel Hernandez gets the call, and with a horse this well-rated in a starter allowance, that's a formidable combination. At short odds she's not a value play, but she's the horse to beat.

place3Bravo KateML 3/1

Bravo Kate is trained by the in-form Sid C. Attard barn and carries a solid 82.49 TrackWiz rating — second best in the field — with a 22% career win mark. She also posts the field's top average speed figure at 53, meaning she has the raw ability to compete with the favorite. At 3/1 on the morning line, she represents a sensible place wager and could easily flip the result if the pace sets up in her favor.

show2Talent ShowML 5/2

Talent Show at 5/2 brings a 31% career win percentage — actually the highest in the field — and a 73.58 rating that puts her solidly third in the TrackWiz rankings. Trainer Debra E. Rombis has a live horse here, and with Jeffrey Ian Alderson up, she's well-piloted. She rounds out the exotic tickets nicely as a show play or as a key in trifectas.

Race 2

5:29 PM EDT

Maiden Optional Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A wide-open maiden optional claiming sprint where every runner in the field is winless, making ratings and workout patterns the primary separators — expect pace pressure throughout the 5 1/2 furlongs.

win5Up N the AnteML 6/1

Up N the Ante is our top selection here at 6/1, which makes this a genuine value play in what is otherwise a murky maiden field. Our TrackWiz model has her rated at 82.71 — well clear of the rest of the field — despite a morning line that doesn't fully respect that edge. She posts an average speed figure of 54, matching several rivals, but the overall profile and rating gap give trainer Devon Gittens a meaningful advantage. Skye Chernetz takes the mount, and if this horse runs to her rating, she should be front and center at the finish.

place3Master StealML 9/2

Master Steal checks in with a 68.48 rating, second best in the field, and also shows an average speed figure of 54. Trainer John Mattine sends Kemarie Blackett out on a horse whose odds of 9/2 give fair value for place wagering in a maiden heat that could easily scramble. She's the logical spot to use behind the top pick in exacta combinations.

show2AteryaML 2/1

Aterya draws the 2-post with a 58.33 rating and a 54 average speed figure, and trainer Sharon Ceccato has her at a reasonable 2/1 on the morning line. In a maiden sprint where pace can be hectic, Leo Salles can get her settled and positioned for a late push into the money. She's the most logical show play given her accessible morning line and reasonable rating.

Race 3

6:00 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

This 6-furlong dirt allowance optional claimer looks like a two-horse show at the top, with Souped Up a heavy short-priced favorite and Baxley's remarkable career win rate making the race more than a rubber stamp.

win1Souped UpML 4/5

Souped Up carries the maximum TrackWiz rating of 90.00 in this field and posts the top average speed figure at 56, a full two points clear of most rivals. The 4/5 morning line tells you the market agrees, and trainer Ronald H. Sadler sends out a 30% career winner who clearly belongs at the top of this allowance optional claiming field. Rafael Manuel Hernandez takes the mount, which only strengthens the case — this is as confident a top selection as you'll find on the card.

place2BaxleyML 2/1

Baxley is a fascinating place play at 2/1 with a staggering 50% career win percentage — easily the best in the field by a wide margin. Trainer Steve Bryant has this horse primed, and Prayven Badrie is a capable pilot at this level. The average speed figure of 54 sits slightly below the top contenders, but a win rate that high suggests Baxley finds a way to compete when conditions are right, and 2/1 is fair for a place ticket.

show3Gilt EdgeML 6/1

Gilt Edge at 6/1 offers the best value of the show contenders with a 62.60 rating and an average speed figure of 55 — just a tick below the leaders. Trainer Darwin D. Banach spots this horse in a winnable spot, and Pietro Moran can engineer a pace-tracking trip that gets Gilt Edge into the mix late in a 6-furlong dirt sprint. Worth including in trifecta wheels at that price.

Our three free races today cover a solid slice of the card — a Starter Allowance stretcher at 1 1/16 miles to kick things off, a 5½-furlong maiden sprint in Race 2, and the one we keep circling back to: Race 3, where Souped Up opens at 4/5 on the morning line and carries a TrackWiz rating of 90 — the highest on the card. Short prices aren't always worth playing, but when the numbers back it up this convincingly, you lean in. Purrfect Girl in Race 1 and Up N the Ante in Race 2 round out our free selections, with Up N the Ante offering genuine overlay potential at 6/1 in a wide-open maiden field.

The dirt looks like the primary surface today with seven of ten races run over the main track. No rain in the forecast means we shouldn't expect any sudden surface shifts — what you see on the morning line is what you get. That consistency favors horses with proven dirt form, and all three free picks have exactly that.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

6:30 PM EDT

Maiden Optional Claiming · 4 1/2 fur · Dirt

Nine first-time starters or maiden hopefuls collide in a short 4 1/2-furlong dash, and with no speed figures to rely on, the TrackWiz ratings and connections become the key differentiators in what figures to be a wide-open race.

win9Longshot LeoML 5/2

Longshot Leo tops our selections with a field-best 57.50 TrackWiz rating and a 5/2 morning line that makes this an accessible win bet despite the maiden chaos. Rafael Manuel Hernandez — one of the more accomplished jockeys on this card — gets the leg up for trainer Dale A. Desruisseaux, and in a field of newcomers, elite jockey bookings often signal a barn that believes in the horse. Without published speed figures for any runner, the rating edge and rider quality are the strongest signals available.

place7HesatrooperML 3/1

Hesatrooper sits just behind at a 56.67 rating and draws a 3/1 morning line under Pietro Moran for trainer John A. Ross. The rating separation between the top three is razor thin, which makes Hesatrooper a prime place pick — if the race devolves into the expected maiden scramble off the gate, any of the top horses could hit the board, and this one's connections keep her squarely in the conversation.

show2Royal RaleighML 4/1

Royal Raleigh comes in at a 55.00 rating with Romero Ramsay Maragh in the saddle for trainer Barbara J. Minshall — a reliable conditioner who knows how to spot a maiden right. At 4/1, there's real show value here in a sprint where even the best-rated horses are unknowns. Minshall's history of placing first-timers competitively makes this worth including in trifecta and superfecta combinations.

Race 5

7:00 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 1 1/16 mi · Turf

The turf mile-and-sixteenth allowance optional claimer features three horses rated within two points of each other at the top, setting up a genuinely competitive race where pace scenario and surface form will separate the field.

win4PerfectworksML 8/1

Perfectworks is our top selection at 8/1, making this the best value play among the top-rated horses in the race. The TrackWiz model has her at 79.79 — the highest rating in the field — with a 16% career win rate and a 55 average speed figure that matches the best turf runners here. Trainer Kelly L. Callaghan spots David Moran on a horse who looks undervalued at double-digit odds in an allowance optional claimer on a surface where pace dynamics often shuffle the order. This is the kind of overlay our analysis looks for.

place1Side StreetML 2/1

Side Street holds the 2/1 morning line and a 74.37 rating, with an 11% career win percentage that reflects consistent competitiveness without always closing the deal. Trainer Rachel Halden sends Jose Luis Campos out on a horse that figures to be prominent early over the turf, and at a mile-and-sixteenth there's plenty of opportunity for a closer to find the place spot if the pace gets hot up front. Good exotic anchor at a reasonable price.

show3Ashley's ArcherML 9/5

Ashley's Archer at 9/5 brings a 74.22 rating and a Mark E. Casse training angle — Casse consistently places horses well on the Woodbine turf. With Fraser Aebly up and a 53 average speed figure, this horse is well-equipped for this distance and surface, and the tight morning line suggests the barn is happy with where she landed. She's worth using in show and exacta positions even if the win price won't excite.

Race 6

7:31 PM EDT

Starter Allowance · 1 1/16 mi · Dirt

A starter allowance going 1 1/16 miles on dirt where one horse's TrackWiz rating towers over the field — but the pace scenario and a pair of competitive mid-priced threats ensure this won't be a walkover.

win7Sunrise DriveML 2/1

Sunrise Drive heads our card with an 88.54 TrackWiz rating, far ahead of any competitor in this starter allowance field, and a morning line of 2/1 that reflects genuine favoritism without being a skinny chalk price. Trainer Darren C. Glennon has Pietro Moran in the irons — a capable hand for a 1 1/16-mile dirt route. The career win percentage of 17% isn't flashy, but in a starter allowance field where the rating gap is this wide, the model strongly favors this runner as the most likely winner.

place2ComptonML 5/2

Compton carries a 73.39 rating and a 21% career win mark, and trainer Darwin D. Banach sends Rafael Manuel Hernandez — arguably the meet's premier jockey — out on a horse that figures to be competitive at 5/2. In a route race where pace can string out the field, Compton's profile suggests she can sit a comfortable trip and be there at the business end for the place spot.

show5I Lucked OutML 7/2

I Lucked Out brings the field's second-best career win percentage at 29%, and that kind of in-the-money consistency is valuable in show wagering. Trainer Michael Wright Jr. has a live stable, and Eswan Flores picks up the mount at a workable 7/2 morning line. The 52.32 rating puts her solidly mid-pack, but a horse that wins nearly 30% of the time knows how to hit the board.

Race 7

8:02 PM EDT

Stakes · 5 fur · Turf

A stakes sprint on the Woodbine turf that features a dominant statistical standout in Wine After Whiskey, but with multiple runners posting respectable figures, the exotics could get interesting if the pace creates a setup for closers.

win2Wine After WhiskeyML 9/5

Wine After Whiskey is as strong a top pick as you'll find in today's stakes races, with an 88.83 TrackWiz rating and a jaw-dropping 66% career win percentage — by far the most accomplished record in the field. Trainer Michelle M. Love has this filly or mare primed, and Ryan Munger gets the call in a five-furlong turf sprint that should suit a horse this talented. At 9/5 on the morning line, the price isn't generous, but a 66% career win rate in stakes company speaks for itself.

place6Gone With DuwynML 6/1

Gone With Duwyn at 6/1 represents solid place value with a 73.19 TrackWiz rating and a 25% career win mark in stakes-quality company. Trainer Barbara J. Minshall is a proven commodity at Woodbine, and Fraser Aebly can pilot a tactical trip in a tight five-furlong sprint. If the top pick draws a wide trip or encounters trouble, Gone With Duwyn is well-positioned to capitalize for the place spot.

show1QuadzillaML 5/2

Quadzilla holds a 69.64 rating and an impressive 37% career win percentage, suggesting this horse routinely puts in competitive efforts. Trainer John Mattine sends out Romero Ramsay Maragh from the rail, and in a short turf sprint where early position matters, the one-post could be an advantage rather than a liability. Worth using in trifectas underneath the top two.

Race 8

8:34 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Six-furlong dirt claiming race with a clear model standout at the top, though Red Pharaoh's elite win percentage and Pine Knoll's market support keep the race from being a one-horse show.

win7Last American ExitML 2/1

Last American Exit tops the field with an 88.54 TrackWiz rating — the same elite mark shared by a handful of today's best selections — and draws a 2/1 morning line that puts her as the market favorite. Trainer Donald C. MacRae sends Fraser Aebly out on a horse with a 17% career win mark and a consistent 55 average speed figure that matches the field's best. In a six-furlong claiming sprint, pace is everything, and this horse's rating edge suggests she has the tools to control or press the tempo and still come home with something.

place1Red PharaohML 3/1

Red Pharaoh is a fascinating place play with a 42% career win percentage — the highest in this field by a significant margin — and a 70.56 TrackWiz rating that ranks second. Trainer Danny Yu has Leo Salles up from the inside post, and a horse that wins 42% of the time is well-versed in hitting the board. At 3/1 on the morning line, this is excellent place value and a must-use in exactas.

show4Pine KnollML 5/2

Pine Knoll draws the 5/2 morning line with a 67.31 rating and a 55 average speed figure, sitting comfortably in the top tier for trainer William Tharrenos. Rafael Manuel Hernandez pilots this entry, and the Tharrenos barn has two horses in this race — which can sometimes signal a stable that knows its horse well enough to split coverage. Pine Knoll's market support at 5/2 is a useful confirming signal for the show slot.

Race 9

9:06 PM EDT

Stakes · 5 fur · Turf

The second stakes sprint on the turf features a fascinating form inversion — the morning-line favorite carries the third-highest rating while our top selection goes off at 5/1, setting up a potential overlay that sharp bettors should not overlook.

win4Vegas RoadML 5/1

Vegas Road at 5/1 is our top pick in what could be the best value play of the day in a stakes race. Our TrackWiz model rates this horse at 84.17 — the highest figure in the field — while the market's 4/5 chalk comes in notably lower at 65.07. Trainer Tara Neigel has Ryan Munger in the irons, and Vegas Road brings a 33% career win percentage and a field-best average speed figure of 56. That combination of top rating, top speed figure, and double-digit odds is the kind of overlay our analysis is built to surface.

place7Sipping HistoryML 3/1

Sipping History at 3/1 is a strong place pick with an 80.64 TrackWiz rating — second best in the field — and a 54 average speed figure. Trainer James Bentley Begg sends Keveh Nicholls to the gate on a horse that has only won 12% of career starts, but in a five-furlong stakes sprint, pace tactics often elevate a stalker into the placings even if the win doesn't come. A horse rated this high at 3/1 is worth using in exactas and trifectas.

show6Souper DivaML 4/5

Souper Diva draws the 4/5 morning line — the favorite — but our model ranks her third at 65.07, behind both Vegas Road and Sipping History. That doesn't mean she can't compete; a 25% career win mark and a 55 average speed figure are respectable, and Jose Luis Campos from the inside post can secure early position in a short turf sprint. We're using her for show coverage given the rating disconnect with her odds.

Race 10

9:38 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

The final race of the night is a 6 1/2-furlong dirt allowance optional claimer featuring the two highest-rated horses on the same morning line, setting up a compelling head-to-head between Wagner and Shadow Realm while several price runners lurk.

win1WagnerML 2/1

Wagner tops our selections with an 88.54 TrackWiz rating and a 2/1 morning line that makes this a reasonable win price given the quality of the field. Sofia Vives gets the mount for trainer Sylvain Pion, and Wagner brings the field's best average speed figure at 56 — a meaningful edge going 6 1/2 furlongs on dirt where early pace and sustained speed both matter. A 16% career win rate is modest, but the raw figures say this horse runs fast enough to win, and the ratings back that up.

place4Shadow RealmML 5/2

Shadow Realm at 5/2 is nearly as well-rated as the top pick at 85.52, and trainer Katerina Vassilieva sends out Rafael Manuel Hernandez — one of the most effective riders at the meet. A 20% career win percentage and a 55 average speed figure confirm this horse belongs, and the proximity in ratings between the top two suggests exacta box coverage between Wagner and Shadow Realm is a smart play. At 5/2, Shadow Realm offers real place value.

show2Yacht BoyML 8/1

Yacht Boy at 8/1 makes for an intriguing show play with a 75.66 TrackWiz rating — third in the field — and trainer Robert P. Tiller is a sharp conditioner who rarely runs horses without a plan. A 14% career win rate and a 55 average speed figure keep Yacht Boy competitive in this field, and if the top two horses get tangled up in a pace duel going 6 1/2 furlongs, a well-rested stalker can swoop in for third. Worth a shot in trifectas at 8/1.

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It's a clean, crisp Father's Day card at Woodbine, and Souped Up in Race 3 is our marquee free play of the afternoon. Purrfect Girl and Up N the Ante round out the free card nicely. For the full story — pace projections, exotic tickets, and every race on the card — subscribers can access it all now. Check out TrackWiz premium plans here and make the most of today's card. Good luck, and happy betting.

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