Will Rogers Picks & Predictions — November 3, 2026

Fabulous Philomena owns the fastest recent race speed in this entire field at 11.71 sec/furlong, and in a 300-yard sprint that kind of raw early foot can carry you across the wire before anyone reacts. She sits second in the ratings at 74.21 and her 2/1 morning line reflects her speed advantage. A 36% in-the-money rate is modest but acceptable, and a jockey-trainer combo at C+/C is the main knock — she doesn't have elite connections, but she has elite speed.

One Valiant Alibi rates third in the field at 71.15 and jockey Jacob Cardenas brings a solid 18% win rate and 48% in-the-money figure over the past year — respectable numbers in a claiming sprint. She carries a 36% in-the-money figure of her own and at 3/1 is a reasonable anchor for the show slot in a trifecta. Not the flashiest play here, but a steady horse with decent connections is all you need in the third spot.

Jr Walkingonthemoon comes in with a 50% in-the-money rate and the third-fastest recent race speed in the field at 12.60 sec/furlong. Trainer Julio Rascon-Almanza earns an A- grade, adding quality connections behind this horse. The one concern is a claiming price jump from $7,500 to $10,000 — that's a step up in class for a maiden, which is worth monitoring — but the in-the-money rate and trainer grade are enough to keep her in the exacta. Our sims gave her a 13.7% win share, second among all non-Redd Kingdom horses.

Ts Extra Cash has a 3/1 morning line and rates third in the field at 49.23, but the concern flags are real — she hasn't placed in her last six races and has zero career placings on dirt. What she does have is jockey Giovany Estrada, who earns a B+ grade, and our sims gave her 15% of the wins — a touch higher than her odds-implied share. She's a speculative show play at best, and bettors should go in eyes open, but in a field this thin she can sneak into the third spot.

Ajs Secret Cash rates second in the field at 64.17 with a 50% in-the-money rate and has placed in 7 of 14 career starts on dirt. Trainer Jason L. Olmstead earns a solid B+ grade, and the family-stable jockey connection (Ryder Olmstead) adds a layer of familiarity. The concern is only 22 days of rest when this horse performs better on 30-plus days off — a legitimate flag, but not disqualifying in a field where she's the clear second option at 5/2 on the morning line.

Atlas Rise rates third in the field at 47.80 with a 35% in-the-money rate and a 3/1 morning line. The concerns are real — only 1 in-the-money finish in the last 6 tries, and she ranks sixth in recent race speed at 11.73 sec/furlong. Trainer Janessa Lee Muniz earns just a C grade. At 3/1 she's not a value overlay, but in a seven-horse field where the first two picks are legitimate, someone has to fill the show spot, and Atlas Rise's rating edge over the bottom half of the field makes her the logical third.

Rrelentless Doll brings serious credentials to this spot — a 37% career win rate and 3 wins in 8 career starts on dirt, which is exceptional. Jockey Bryan Candanosa earns an A- grade, and the Candanosa-Davis trainer combo has connected at a 27% win rate and 52% in-the-money rate together over the past year. She clocked the second-fastest recent race speed at 11.77 sec/furlong. Our sims gave her 18.2% of the wins — good for second in the field — and at 5/1 she's a fair-value place play.

Shaundas Quick Dash has built legitimate credentials at this exact track — 2 wins and 4 in-the-money finishes in 6 starts at Will Rogers Downs specifically, which is the kind of course familiarity you can lean on. She's also placed in 8 of 15 career dirt starts. The concerns are real: she's run without Lasix when 7 others in the race are using it, and she's just 1-for-5 at the 250-yard distance specifically. Still, a 53% in-the-money rate and a proven track record here make her a solid show play at 6/1.

Triple R Cartel is the speed figure standout here — the fastest recent race speed in the field at 11.99 sec/furlong, and he's dropping dramatically in claiming price from $25,000 down to $10,000. That's a sharp class relief, and in short sprints where early speed matters most, a big class drop combined with top raw speed is an angle worth respecting. He has a 33% in-the-money rate to go with the speed, and Mario Delgado rides. At 5/1 he's a legitimate place contender and represents the best value among the non-favorites.

B Especially Famous clocked the second-fastest recent race speed at 12.20 sec/furlong and rates third in the field at 60.21. The concern is a rough recent form cycle — just 1 in-the-money finish in her last 6 races and a thin 1-for-7 record in sprint races. Trainer Juliana Mancillas earns a B- grade. At 6/1 on the morning line, she's not a strong show play on paper, but if the top two split the exacta market, she's the logical trifecta fill given her speed figure and rating.

Miss Alitical owns the fastest recent race speed in the field at 11.98 sec/furlong — a real edge in a race decided in a matter of seconds. Jockey Juan Pulido is on a serious roll: a 30% win rate and 58% in-the-money rate over the past year, and he shows up on today's top jockeys list. The concern is a spotty in-the-money history — just 1 of her last 6 races and 1 of 6 sprint starts — which is why she's the place pick rather than the top. Our sims gave her 22.9% of the wins, actually edging the win pick, making her worth the action at 2/1.

Lookee Here Daddy brings one angle that neither of the top two can claim: she's placed in all 3 of her career starts at the 300-yard distance and placed in 2 of 3 starts at Will Rogers specifically. That kind of track and distance familiarity is a real edge when the rest of the form cycle is competitive. The concern is just 9 days of rest when she performs better with 30 or more days off — that's a real flag and the main reason she's the show rather than a win contender. At 6/1, she's a worthwhile exotic inclusion.

They Call Me Larry has a 6/1 morning line and rates second in the field at 82.71, but arguably the most compelling angle is this: he posted the fastest recent race speed in the field at 11.56 sec/furlong and has placed in each of his last four races. A 66% in-the-money rate over his career backs up the current form streak. The knock is that jockey Oscar Jaquez earns just a C grade, which limits the connections upside — but when your horse is running the fastest times in the field and placing consistently, the jockey grade matters less. At 6/1, this is genuine place value.

Golden Nine Eleven rates third in the field at 77.67 and has placed in 3 of his last 4 races with a 75% career in-the-money rate — one of the steadier form profiles on tonight's card. He's also placed in 3 of 4 career starts on dirt. At 5/1, he's a reasonable show play to round out a trifecta behind the top two, and his consistency makes him a safer anchor than most alternatives. Jockey Jonathan Dominguez and trainer Luis A. Dominguez handle the connections — a family unit that knows this horse well.

Im Jess a Valentine rates second in the field at 67.83 and clocked the third-fastest recent race speed at 12.18 sec/furlong. She's placed in 3 of 3 career starts at 300 yards, which directly mirrors Captains Dynasty's distance record at a similar level of consistency. The concerns are a pair of recent misses — she hasn't placed in her last two or three starts — suggesting she may be past a form peak. At 3/1, she's the logical exacta partner for the top pick given her distance record.

Betta Tambien rates third in the field at 65.49 with a 40% career in-the-money rate and jockey Javier Hernandez-Gallardo earns a B grade. The concern is she hasn't placed in any of her three career starts at 300 yards, and she's running without Lasix when five others in the race are using it. Those are real flags. At 5/1, she's a speculative show play at best — her rating and in-the-money history are the case for including her in trifectas, but the distance and medication concerns keep her below the top two.