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Will Rogers Picks & Predictions — October 26, 2026

October 26, 20268 racesAll Will Rogers picks

Results are in — see the official Will Rogers chart and payouts (our top pick won 4 of 8)→

Happy Monday from Claremore — Will Rogers Downs has an 8-race quarter horse card lined up for October 26, and conditions couldn't be much more cooperative. Skies are partly cloudy and temperatures are sitting at a comfortable 72°F, which should mean a consistent, fast-playing dirt surface all afternoon. No weather drama to factor in today, so it comes down to pure handicapping.

The card runs exclusively on the short side — distances range from 250 yards all the way out to 400 yards — which is pure quarter horse country. Every race will be decided in a blink, and in sprint racing that tight, gate speed and draw matter enormously. Keep that in mind as you build your tickets today.

We've got three free races unlocked for everyone, with the full 8-race breakdown available to TrackWiz subscribers. Let's get into it.

Best Bets

Race 1

1:00 PM EDT

Claiming · 300 yd · Dirt

Two horses separate themselves from the field on ratings, but the morning line favorite isn't either of them — setting up a potential upset scenario in this 300-yard claiming opener.

win5Turnpike PrincessML 4/1

Turnpike Princess carries the top TrackWiz rating in this field at 85.62 and goes postward at a juicy 4/1 on the morning line — that's a price-to-power disconnect worth exploiting. Trainer Luis Villafranco sends her out with an 8% career win rate, which is respectable in this claiming tier, and jockey Randy Vega gives her a capable pilot. At 300 yards, this is blink-and-you'll-miss-it racing, and she has the edge in raw ability over everything else in here.

place4Mh Cold NightsML 2/1

Mh Cold Nights is the 2/1 morning line favorite for a reason — that 81.04 TrackWiz rating is second-best in the field and trainer Kevin Willis has horses that run to their numbers. A career win rate of 14% with jockey Cody Rodger Smith aboard makes this horse a sensible single underneath Turnpike Princess in the exacta.

show2Turnpikers SilosML 6/1

Turnpikers Silos at 6/1 is worth a look in the exotics as a show hedge. The 63.96 rating won't blow anyone away, but trainer Pedro Martinez and jockey Rolando Raudales combine for a workmanlike entry, and a 7% career win rate in a six-horse field means he'll find the board more often than his odds suggest.

Race 2

1:28 PM EDT

Maiden · 300 yd · Dirt

A wide-open maiden sprint at 300 yards where no horse has ever won, but the rating gap between the top two and the rest of the field is substantial enough to narrow the contenders quickly.

win4ClassncashML 2/1

Classncash owns the highest TrackWiz rating in this maiden field at 88.54 — a meaningful margin over the next contenders — and goes off as the 2/1 morning line choice with Cordarelton J. Benn up for trainer Harold L. Thomas. Benn has been a busy rider on this card, which tells you connections trust his judgment. In a maiden race where no one has a win on their card, you lean on the horse showing the best underlying form metrics, and that's Classncash.

place2Tommy GunnML 3/1

Tommy Gunn checks in at 72.51 on the TrackWiz scale and is assigned the 3/1 morning line, which makes him a logical place contender if Classncash fires. Trainer Jesus Ruben Ruiz also saddles Eyesa Fancy Fling in Race 5, showing barn confidence across the card. Roman Cruz takes the mount, adding another experienced hand to a first-time starter scenario.

show7Bernal Little GirlML 5/2

Bernal Little Girl at 5/2 on the morning line is interesting because her 71.53 rating is nearly identical to Tommy Gunn's, yet she's been assigned shorter odds — suggesting the morning line maker sees something in her profile. Jockey Cristian R. Esqueda gets the call from trainer Jose Hernandez-Martinez, and in a field where the cream is close at the top, she's a safe show inclusion in any exotic ticket.

Race 3

1:56 PM EDT

Allowance · 350 yd · Dirt

This allowance sprint at 350 yards features a legitimate ratings standout, but a horse with a 47% career win rate lurking at 6/1 makes the pace scenario and exotic tickets much more interesting.

win1Dash for PowerML 3/1

Dash for Power sits atop the TrackWiz ratings at 87.08 and draws the 3/1 morning line — a number that actually represents fair value given the edge he holds over this field. Cordarelton J. Benn, who has been one of the busiest and most trusted riders on today's card, takes the mount for trainer Juan M. Villa. An 11% career win rate is modest, but at the allowance level, it's the rating edge that matters most, and Dash for Power has it.

place2RebelutionaryML 5/2

Rebelutionary earned the 5/2 morning line favorite tag and backs it up with a 21% career win rate — the second-best in this field. Trainer Manuel Mojica Campos puts Giovany Estrada in the irons, and at 350 yards there's very little room for ground to be made up once the gates open. If Dash for Power stumbles out, Rebelutionary has the credentials to capitalize immediately.

show3Flying Nova 123ML 6/1

Flying Nova 123 is the most intriguing show-ticket inclusion in the race. That 47% career win rate is eye-popping — nearly one win in every two starts — and trainer Jesus Ruben Ruiz clearly knows how to get this horse to the wire. The 6/1 morning line seems to underestimate that kind of consistency. Roman Cruz rides, and if the price holds anywhere near that number, this is a must-use in the show spot.

Our free coverage kicks off with three races that give you a solid foundation for the afternoon. In Race 1, Turnpike Princess (4/1 morning line) draws our attention in a 300-yard claiming sprint — she carries an 85.62 TrackWiz rating and offers genuine value at that price. Race 2 is a 300-yard maiden event where Classncash stands out as the top-rated horse on the card at 88.54 — morning line 2/1, so the market already respects her, but our numbers suggest she deserves every bit of that favoritism. Rounding out the free races, Dash for Power tops Race 3 in the 350-yard allowance at 3/1 with an 87.08 rating — allowance runners stepping into a short sprint on a fast track is a spot where class typically shows up early, and we like his profile here.

A thread connecting today's free picks: on a dry, consistent surface like we're expecting, early speed is king at Will Rogers. Horses that can secure clean air out of the gate have a massive advantage in these ultra-short dashes. All three of our free top picks profile as front-runners or pace-pressers — that's not an accident.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

2:24 PM EDT

Claiming · 400 yd · Dirt

Trainer Samuel E. Valdivia sends out the top two horses in the ratings — a rare barn-controls-the-race setup that could make this 400-yard claimer a two-horse show from the jump.

win1Her Name in LightsML 3/1

Her Name in Lights tops the TrackWiz ratings at 87.08, matching the highest figure on the card today, and comes in with a 20% career win rate — a strong number for a claiming horse at this distance. Cody Rodger Smith gets the mount, and the fact that the same trainer, Samuel E. Valdivia, also has the second pick in this race suggests the barn is loaded and confident. At 3/1, she's priced right for a win single.

place2Jd Dashing DamselML 2/1

Jd Dashing Damsel runs for the same trainer as the top pick — Samuel E. Valdivia — and brings a 26% career win rate that's actually better than her stablemate's. That career win percentage is the best in this field, and Roman Cruz piloting a Valdivia horse at 400 yards is a reliable combination. She's the 2/1 morning line second choice, and if the barn splits the decision between their two horses, she could easily beat Her Name in Lights to the wire.

show7Lota Winnin Wave BcML 4/1

Lota Winnin Wave Bc at 4/1 is the best option outside the Valdivia barn. A 15% career win rate with a 59.77 TrackWiz rating gives her a puncher's chance in a field where the back half drops off sharply. Trainer Bryan H. Calloway sends her out with Jorge Torres in the irons, making this a solid show hedge if you're constructing a trifecta around the two favorites.

Race 5

2:52 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 250 yd · Dirt

A maiden claiming sprint at 250 yards — the shortest distance on the card — where the top two horses by rating are not the morning line favorites, creating real overlay potential.

win4Candys PursuitML 3/1

Candys Pursuit carries an 87.08 TrackWiz rating — tied for the highest figure on today's card — and goes off at 3/1, which is a reasonable morning line for a maiden claimer but may still represent value if that rating holds. Trainer Stacy Charette-Hill puts Cristian R. Esqueda up, who has been active all day at Will Rogers. At 250 yards there's almost zero room for tactical racing — it's about raw ability out of the gate, and the numbers say Candys Pursuit has it.

place7Js Dasher HeroML 5/2

Js Dasher Hero rates second in this field at 82.45 and is pegged at 5/2 — tighter than the win pick despite a slightly lower rating, suggesting the market may be overestimating this one slightly. Trainer Eddie D. Willis hands the reins to Jimmy Dean Brooks, and in a maiden sprint this short, any horse this close on ability deserves a place spot on your ticket.

show5Eyesa Fancy FlingML 10/1

Eyesa Fancy Fling is a TrackWiz value alert at 10/1 on the morning line with a 70.92 rating — the third-highest in the field. Trainer Jesus Ruben Ruiz, who has multiple horses on this card, clearly knows what he's doing at Will Rogers, and Roman Cruz gets the mount. If the two top-rated horses beat each other up out of the gate, Fling is right there to pick up the pieces at a price.

Race 6

3:20 PM EDT

Claiming · 300 yd · Dirt

The ratings tell a different story than the morning line here — the horse with the top TrackWiz number is a 3/1 play while the 2/1 favorite ranks fifth in the field on our metrics, setting up a potentially mispriced favorite scenario.

win6Lets Go FancyML 3/1

Lets Go Fancy leads this field with an 82.08 TrackWiz rating and goes at 3/1, which is a better number than her underlying metrics might suggest the market would assign. Trainer Samuel E. Valdivia, who has been sending out winners all over this card, gives Roman Cruz the call — that's a sharp combo at any level. With a 16% career win rate matching several others in the field, the differentiator is the rating edge, and Fancy has it by a clear margin over the next contender.

place2Rippin LindyML 10/1

Rippin Lindy is the value standout in this race. She rates second in the field at 76.88 — a full 5-point gap over the next horse — yet she's hanging out at 10/1 on the morning line while horses well below her on ratings are getting shorter numbers. Trainer Joe M. Davis and jockey Edwin G. Escobedo don't have the same marquee status as some connections on this card, but the numbers speak louder here. This is a prime overlay situation in the place spot.

show7Summer ChanceML 15/1

Summer Chance at 15/1 rounds out a speculative show ticket with a 55.42 rating that places her fourth in the field — not bad for a horse at that price. Trainer Valerie Torres has shown patience with her horses at Will Rogers, and Mario Delgado takes the mount on a horse that could easily sneak into the trifecta at a price that would pay handsomely.

Race 7

3:48 PM EDT

Claiming · 300 yd · Dirt

The deepest field on the card at nine horses, but the ratings paint a picture of one standout at the top and a tight cluster of contenders below — exacta and trifecta players have plenty to work with here.

win9Dyna BeaML 3/1

Dyna Bea owns the top TrackWiz rating in this nine-horse field at 87.08 and goes at 3/1 in a race where several horses are priced below her on the morning line. Trainer Samuel Gaytan Jr. puts Angel O. Ramirez up for what should be a powerful combination in this 300-yard claimer. At 11% career win rate, she's not flashy on paper, but it's the rating dominance that drives this selection — nobody else in this race comes close to her number.

place4Fancy JessieML 5/1

Fancy Jessie brings a 21% career win rate — the best in this field — combined with a 71.54 TrackWiz rating that makes her a natural place contender. Trainer Stacy L. Capps gives Cody Rodger Smith the mount, and at 5/1 there's real value in using her to fill out the exacta underneath Dyna Bea. In a sprint this short, horses that know how to win — and a 21% rate shows she does — tend to run true.

show7Tres FessML 2/1

Tres Fess is the 2/1 morning line second choice, which is interesting because her 70.78 rating is actually the third-best in the field — not second. Trainer Anselmo Cruz sends her out with Mario Delgado, and while the morning line may be slightly generous, the 15% career win rate keeps her in the mix. She's the sensible hedge in the show slot if you believe the top two hold their form.

Race 8

4:16 PM EDT

Maiden · 250 yd · Dirt

A ten-horse maiden sprint at 250 yards to close out the card, and the morning line favorite is also the clear ratings leader — but the gap to the rest of the field is large enough to make exacta construction the real game here.

win1Jt Country BoyML 2/1

Jt Country Boy tops this field with an 88.54 TrackWiz rating — the highest on today's entire card — and draws the 2/1 morning line for trainer Jeffrey A. Tyer. Roman Cruz, one of the most active and successful jockeys on today's program, gets the assignment. At 250 yards, this race will be over before anyone can blink, and a horse with this kind of ratings edge in a maiden field is exactly the type of play that converts on the front end of exotics.

place2Corona Moon PrizeML 7/2

Corona Moon Prize rates second in this field at 55.83 — a significant drop from the top, but still the clear second option — and trainer Samuel E. Valdivia has been one of the dominant connections all day at Will Rogers. Cody Rodger Smith, who has been reliable throughout the card, handles this one at 7/2. If you're building a place parlay or a straight exacta, she's the logical underneath piece.

show7Hurrikane HarveyML 4/1

Hurrikane Harvey brings a 55.00 TrackWiz rating that's nearly identical to Corona Moon Prize, making the 4/1 morning line an interesting spot to separate them. Trainer Juan M. Villa gives Jaime Mata the call in a maiden field that drops off sharply after the top tier. Harvey is a natural show play in a trifecta if you're stacking value behind the heavy top two.

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It's a sharp, fast little card today at Will Rogers — 8 races, clean weather, and some genuinely compelling horses to dig into. Start with Turnpike Princess, Classncash, and Dash for Power in the free races, and let the TrackWiz ratings guide your confidence levels. The full-card breakdown — including pace maps, exotic structures, and premium picks for Races 4-8 — is waiting for subscribers. Good luck out there, and may your breaks go the right way.

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