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Will Rogers Picks & Predictions — October 25, 2026

October 25, 202610 racesAll Will Rogers picks

Will Rogers Downs is open for business on Sunday, October 25, and the track is serving up a tight 10-race card that quarter-horse fans are going to want to pay close attention to. Skies are cloudy with temperatures sitting at a comfortable 71°F — solid conditions for fast times on the dirt.

The early portion of the card is headlined by back-to-back Futurity Trials in Races 1 and 2, giving us our first real look at some of the younger talent in the region. From there, the card transitions through claiming, maiden, and allowance company, wrapping up with a Maiden finale in Race 10. Ten races, plenty of angles, and TrackWiz has you covered on every single one.

Best Bets

Race 1

1:00 PM EDT

Futurity Trial · 400 yd · Dirt

A tight Futurity Trial at 400 yards with two horses rated in the mid-to-upper 80s sitting just a step apart — expect a razor-thin finish at the wire between a pair of contenders with very different morning-line prices.

win7Kentucky OwlML 5/2

Kentucky Owl tops our ratings at 87.81 and draws the morning line at a reasonable 5/2 despite being our top selection — that combination of strong analytical score and fair price is exactly the spot we want to be. Jockey Aram S. Martinez gets the call for trainer Stacey L. Capps, a rider-trainer combo worth noting in a short sprint where confidence and a clean break mean everything. At 400 yards, there's no margin for error, and Kentucky Owl's profile suggests the horse is ready to fire a big effort today.

place3Big RotneyML 3/1

Big Rotney is no pushover here — an 85.40 TrackWiz rating pairs with an impressive 71% career win percentage, the highest in this field by a wide margin. Trainer Matt Whitekiller sends him out with Cody Rodger Smith up, and at 3/1 on the morning line, there's real value in keeping Big Rotney on your ticket. He's a horse who knows how to finish, and that win rate doesn't lie.

show2Bella BcML 2/1

Bella Bc checks in with a 67.73 rating and a 40% career win percentage — second-best in the field among horses with a meaningful sample. Randy Vega takes the mount for trainer Marco Adair Chavez-Gutierrez, and at 2/1 on the morning line, she'll likely be the public's choice. Including her in show position and exotics is sensible given her win rate, even if our ratings slot her third.

Race 2

1:25 PM EDT

Futurity Trial · 400 yd · Dirt

Zazas Coconut Cartel dominates the ratings in this second Futurity Trial section, but the question is whether a 2/1 favorite in a short field can be taken at face value or if there's enough underneath to make exotics interesting.

win4Zazas Coconut CartelML 2/1

Zazas Coconut Cartel carries the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 88.54 and shows a 28% career win percentage with Gonzalo Gutierrez up for trainer Kasey Willis — a pairing that has clearly done their homework at this distance. At 2/1, this is about as straightforward a top selection as you'll find on the card today; the rating gap between Coconut Cartel and the rest of the field is meaningful. In a six-horse sprint at 400 yards, breaking clean and asserting early could make this look very easy.

place5Wf ManfrediML 3/1

Wf Manfredi rates second in the field at 64.82 and brings a 30% career win percentage into the gate — that's a solid conversion rate for a horse that Mario Delgado rides for trainer Michael Moss. The morning line at 3/1 reflects some public respect, and if Coconut Cartel hits any trouble, Manfredi is positioned to capitalize. He's the logical key underneath in exactas.

show1Dw Showin Sin OffML 6/1

Dw Showin Sin Off rates third in the field at 59.02 despite being listed at 6/1 on the morning line — that's a potential price overlay if the public underestimates Jasten Pedraza and trainer Michael Moss, who also saddle Wf Manfredi in this same race. A dual-entry barn often brings extra preparation, and Showin Sin Off's rating justifies a spot on multi-horse tickets. At 6/1, the show return could be a nice bonus if things set up right.

Race 3

1:50 PM EDT

Claiming · 330 yd · Dirt

Three horses bunch tightly in the ratings between 80 and 88 in this 330-yard claiming sprint, setting up a genuine three-way battle and making exacta and trifecta construction the smart play for bettors.

win2Anna Jess ChachaML 5/2

Anna Jess Chacha tops the field with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating — matching the highest score we've seen on today's card — and Jasten Pedraza gets the call for trainer Valerie Torres in a race where the top three horses are separated by less than 10 rating points. At 5/2 on the morning line, the price is fair for the top-rated horse. Her 14% career win percentage is modest, but in a claiming field at this level, it's the rating edge that matters most.

place6Kosmic LightsML 2/1

Kosmic Lights rates second at 83.42 and actually carries the best career win percentage of the top three contenders at 26% — that's a horse that knows how to close the deal. Javier Hernandez-Gallardo rides for trainer Michelle Hurdle, and the 2/1 morning line means the public is squarely behind this one too. In exactas, the Chacha-Kosmic Lights combination looks like the most logical structure.

show1Ivory LipsML 3/1

Ivory Lips is right in the mix at 80.49 on our ratings, and Roman Cruz is one of the busier riders on this card for trainer Jesus Ruben Ruiz — a barn that saddles multiple horses today, suggesting they're running their horses in form. The 3/1 morning line is reasonable, and Ivory Lips' inclusion in trifecta and show wagers is well-supported by the rating. Don't overlook this one as a sneaky live ticket.

We're giving away full analysis on the first three races today, and there's real playability across all three. In Race 1, Kentucky Owl (morning line 5/2, TrackWiz rating 87.81) draws our top mark in the Futurity Trial at 400 yards — a horse worth watching closely right out of the gate. Race 2 brings another Futurity Trial at the same distance, and Zazas Coconut Cartel comes in as our top-rated horse on the entire card at 88.54, posted at 2/1 on the morning line. That's the kind of number that gets our attention in a short-field sprint format where small edges can mean big separations at the wire.

Swing over to Race 3 — a Claiming sprint at 330 yards — and Anna Jess Chacha (5/2, 87.81) rounds out the free slate. The sprint distances today are unforgiving; there's no room to make up ground, so horses that break clean and rate well off the gate hold a significant edge. All three of our free picks fit that profile.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

2:15 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 300 yd · Dirt

An all-maiden claiming field going 300 yards with a wide spread in ratings — Gold Hearted Cartel stands head and shoulders above the pack on paper, but a buried longshot at 12/1 makes the exotics worth a deeper look.

win9Gold Hearted CartelML 3/1

Gold Hearted Cartel is the clear class of this maiden claiming field with an 87.08 TrackWiz rating — nearly 25 points clear of the next-best horse — and Jaime Mata takes the mount for trainer Manuel Carrillo Jr. At 3/1 on the morning line, there's a bit of overlay potential here given the magnitude of the rating advantage. In a maiden field where none of these horses have broken their maiden yet, the one with the highest analytical profile deserves to be a heavy favorite, and if the market hasn't caught up, that's free money.

place7Lookee Here DaddyML 12/1

Lookee Here Daddy is the longshot angle in our picks at 12/1 on the morning line, yet carries a 62.71 TrackWiz rating — second-best in the field. Angel O. Ramirez rides for trainer Guillermo Valdivia, and that 12/1 price against a rating that ranks second overall is exactly the kind of disconnect that makes exactas worth playing. If Gold Hearted Cartel handles the top spot, Lookee Here Daddy at big odds underneath turns a modest wager into a meaningful payout.

show2Hott ChaseML 2/1

Hott Chase rates third at 58.33 and holds the 2/1 morning line, making it the public's second choice — Bryan Candanosa and trainer Jed H. Vane are a combination that draws some respect. While the rating trails Gold Hearted Cartel by a significant margin, in a maiden field anything can happen, and a horse at 2/1 with the third-best profile provides some insurance in trifectas. Keep in mind: maiden races can be unpredictable, so coverage is key.

Race 5

2:40 PM EDT

Allowance · 250 yd · Dirt

A small allowance field at 250 yards delivers a clear one-two punch at the top of the ratings, but a 15/1 shot hiding in the mid-pack with a sneaky profile makes the show position genuinely interesting from a value standpoint.

win4Thirty Four BelowML 5/2

Thirty Four Below sits atop our TrackWiz ratings at 87.81 — tied for the highest mark on today's card — and Fernando Fonseca-Soto gets the mount for trainer Haley N. Hobbs at a generous 5/2 morning line. The horse's 6% career win percentage may look light, but in allowance company at 250 yards, the rating dominance is the story. At 5/2 for a top-rated horse in a seven-horse field, this is squarely in the best-bet conversation.

place5Th Golly ChiliML 2/1

Th Golly Chili rates second at 83.05 with a 16% career win percentage — the best conversion rate among the top two horses in this field — and goes as the 2/1 morning-line favorite for Giovany Estrada and trainer Manuel Mojica Campos. There's a real argument to be made that Th Golly Chili's experience winning races makes it as dangerous as Thirty Four Below despite the rating gap. An exacta combining these two in both orders is a strong consideration.

show2Seo Corazon SeparatML 15/1

Seo Corazon Separat is our show pick at a juicy 15/1 morning line, carrying a 69.03 rating — third best in the field — for Roman Cruz and trainer Jesus Ruben Ruiz, a barn well-represented throughout today's card. The 14% career win percentage is respectable, and at 15/1, there's genuine overlay potential if the public ignores this one in favor of the two obvious favorites. In trifectas, including Seo Corazon Separat underneath the top two could turn a small investment into a nice score.

Race 6

3:05 PM EDT

Allowance · 250 yd · Dirt

An eight-horse allowance at 250 yards where the top-rated horse is going off at 6/1 — classic overlay territory — while the morning-line favorite rates fifth on our board, creating a prime opportunity to beat the public's choice.

win8First Gentry LarkML 6/1

First Gentry Lark tops our ratings in this field at 82.71 yet sits at 6/1 on the morning line, which is exactly the kind of value spot TrackWiz analysis is built to find. Roman Cruz rides for trainer Samuel E. Valdivia, and a 14% career win percentage in allowance company is perfectly respectable. When our top-rated horse is being underestimated by the morning-line makers, that's worth doubling down on — First Gentry Lark is our best-value play of the early evening.

place6Fleeting HeartML 10/1

Fleeting Heart rates second in the field at 71.13 with a 22% career win percentage — best among the contenders — and goes at 10/1 on the morning line for Mario Delgado and trainer Michael Moss. That win conversion rate combined with a second-best rating and a double-digit price is the definition of a value play. Fleeting Heart underneath First Gentry Lark in the exacta at big odds could return very well.

show1The Sweetest SignML 3/1

The Sweetest Sign holds a 61.71 rating with an 18% career win percentage — the second-best conversion rate in the field — and Giovany Estrada rides for trainer Manuel Mojica Campos at a 3/1 morning line. While the rating places this one third, the win efficiency is a real positive in a race where the top two horses might go off at generous prices. The Sweetest Sign is a logical trifecta anchor in third.

Race 7

3:30 PM EDT

Claiming · 330 yd · Dirt

A deep nine-horse claiming field at 330 yards with legitimate top-end firepower — two horses rated in the mid-to-upper 80s square off while the morning-line favorite at 2/1 actually rates third on our board, setting up a potential upset scenario.

win6Tiptoeing TulipML 3/1

Tiptoeing Tulip leads our TrackWiz ratings at 87.08 and goes at a fair 3/1 morning line for Cody Rodger Smith, the well-traveled rider who's had multiple mounts on today's card, training under Matt Whitekiller. An 18% career win percentage in claiming company shows this horse competes consistently, and the rating advantage over the field's depth is real. Trainer Whitekiller has sent out solid performers today, and Tiptoeing Tulip looks like a prime opportunity for the barn.

place7Hogs Big PlanML 7/2

Hogs Big Plan is right on Tiptoeing Tulip's heels at 83.46 on our ratings and posts a 15% career win percentage at 7/2 on the morning line — Roman Cruz rides for trainer Samuel E. Valdivia, a combination that has been active throughout this card. The rating gap between these two is narrow enough that race conditions could easily flip the result, making Hogs Big Plan a smart exacta partner in both directions. At 7/2, this is fair value for a horse that legitimately could win.

show1CandygrammML 2/1

Candygramm draws the morning-line favorite role at 2/1 but rates third on our board at 76.94 — not a bad horse by any means, but potentially overbet. Randy Vega rides for trainer Marco Adair Chavez-Gutierrez, and a 22% career win percentage is the best among all nine horses in this field. If the top two ratings hold up, Candygramm's crowd support might make the show price unplayable, but in trifectas, the consistency implied by that win percentage earns a spot.

Race 8

3:55 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 330 yd · Dirt

A wide-open ten-horse maiden claiming field at 330 yards where two horses are virtually tied at the top of the ratings — this is a wide exacta race where the show position at 8/1 morning line adds genuine trifecta depth.

win7Pevs Jess an EagleML 3/1

Pevs Jess an Eagle carries an 87.08 TrackWiz rating — the top mark in this field — and Mario Delgado gets the call for trainer Tyler Cole Crawford at a generous 3/1 morning line in what is a maiden field with no wins on the board for anyone. The separation between Pevs Jess an Eagle and the rest of the field outside of the second choice is substantial enough to command confidence. In maiden claiming races, the highest-rated horse with a sharp jockey is always the right starting point, and Delgado is well-acquainted with this distance.

place9Another RowndML 2/1

Another Rownd is essentially a co-favorite in the ratings at 86.95 — just 0.13 points behind our top selection — and Roman Cruz picks up the mount for trainer Samuel E. Valdivia at 2/1 on the morning line. The public is actually making Another Rownd the slight market favorite despite it being a fraction behind Pevs Jess an Eagle in our analysis. Playing both in the exacta in both orders is a reasonable approach given how tight the two profiles are.

show1Not Yo TioML 8/1

Not Yo Tio rates third in this field at 60.2 — a meaningful 27-point gap below the top two — but Jonathan Dominguez rides for trainer Gerardo Quinones-Sarmiento, and that 8/1 morning line offers genuine trifecta value. In a maiden field where anyone can have a bad gate break or a troubled trip, having the third-best rated horse at 8/1 in the show slot is exactly the kind of edge that builds profitable tickets over time. Don't ignore Not Yo Tio in wider exotic constructions.

Race 9

4:20 PM EDT

Allowance · 300 yd · Dirt

Zoomin Capo dominates the ratings in this 300-yard allowance, but one horse in the field carries a 100% career win percentage — a detail that demands closer inspection even if the overall profile is mixed.

win8Zoomin CapoML 3/1

Zoomin Capo leads the field with an 87.08 TrackWiz rating for Gonzalo Gutierrez and trainer Gerardo Quinones-Sarmiento at a 3/1 morning line — the same barn also enters Big Hero Monday, so this is clearly the stable's primary weapon. A 16% career win percentage is steady in allowance company, and the rating margin over the field outside the two 60s-rated horses is significant. Gutierrez has been busy throughout tonight's card, and riding the top-rated horse in allowance conditions at a fair price is a green light situation.

place3ElijahML 8/1

Elijah rates second in the field at 65.88 with a 20% career win percentage — tied for the best conversion rate in the field — and Angel O. Ramirez rides for trainer Everardo N. Escamilla-Gonzalez at 8/1 on the morning line. That price against a second-best rating and strong win efficiency is genuine overlay territory. If Zoomin Capo is the banker, Elijah at 8/1 underneath is the value play that turns a win bet into a profitable exacta.

show1Painted HighML 5/1

Painted High checks in at 64.90 — just a hair behind Elijah — with Roman Cruz up for trainer Samuel E. Valdivia at 5/1 on the morning line. The 14% career win percentage is modest but consistent, and Valdivia's barn has shown up with live horses throughout tonight's program. In a race where our top selection is clear, Painted High's proximity in the ratings makes it a natural trifecta component at a workable price.

Race 10

4:45 PM EDT

Maiden · 300 yd · Dirt

The finale features a ten-horse maiden field at 300 yards with two horses well clear of the field in the ratings — Cyber Star and Tiny Temptress look like the class of the bunch, while a 12/1 outsider sneaks into our show spot for trifecta value.

win9Cyber StarML 2/1

Cyber Star tops the entire final field with an 88.54 TrackWiz rating — tied for the highest mark on today's full card — and Mario Delgado rides for trainer Michael Moss at a 2/1 morning line that's the shortest price of the race. The rating advantage over the third-best horse in the field is enormous, nearly 25 points, which in maiden company is as decisive a separation as you'll see. Moss has maintained an active presence throughout tonight's card, and closing with a top-rated horse at the public's price still makes Cyber Star the right call to win.

place2Tiny TemptressML 3/1

Tiny Temptress is the clear second choice in the ratings at 86.12 — just 2.4 points off Cyber Star — and Miguel Josue Ramirez takes the mount for trainer Stacy Charette-Hill at a morning line of 3/1. In a maiden field, the two top-rated horses are often the exacta, and that's exactly the structure our analysis supports here. Playing Cyber Star over Tiny Temptress and the reverse is the core exotic play in the nightcap.

show4The Best FreightrainML 12/1

The Best Freightrain shows a 64.28 rating — third best in the field — and goes at 12/1 on the morning line for Juan Arellano and trainer Hernesto Ramirez, which represents genuine trifecta overlay. The gap between the top two and The Best Freightrain is real, but in a ten-horse maiden field, anything can happen behind the top pair. At 12/1, including The Best Freightrain in your trifecta tickets costs very little and could add significant upside to the payout.

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Will Rogers is a track where speed figures and clean breaks win races, and today's card has a handful of horses that check both boxes. Zazas Coconut Cartel in Race 2 is our marquee free play, while Cyber Star and First Gentry Lark headline the premium value angles deeper in the card. As always, nothing is guaranteed at the track — but our analysis gives you every edge we can find. Subscribers can access the complete 10-race breakdown and exotic ticket strategy right now at TrackWiz Premium. Good luck out there.

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