Thistledown Picks & Predictions — October 8, 2026

Fanti slots in second on the TrackWiz model at 70.73, and notably posts the best average speed figure in the field at 56 — a meaningful edge over six furlongs of Thistledown dirt. Trainer Jacinto Lopez deploys Mauro Cedillo, a combination that has shown up ready in similar spots. At 5/2, Fanti is priced to be competitive, and if Whiskey Point takes any heat early, Fanti's raw speed gives him a path to the top of the exacta.

Total Silence checks in third among the top picks at 60.99 on the ratings, and at 4/1 offers a touch of value given his position in the order. Trainer Jeffrey A. Radosevich has him pointed at this spot with Luis Raul Rivera up, and an average speed of 54 keeps him viable over the distance. He's not flashy, but horses that rate third in the field tend to fill out the trifecta more often than the big-priced longshots, making him a sensible exotic anchor.

My Pink Event opens at 3/1 under trainer Robert C. Cline with Victor R. Fernandez in the irons, and her 56.67 TrackWiz rating puts her comfortably in the middle of the contender cluster. A 50% career win rate shows she's more than competitive when conditions suit, and her average speed of 53 keeps her in striking distance of the top two. She's the logical place play for exacta builders who want to side with Rosie B on top.

Bee Boppin rates at 55.83 and, like Rosie B, carries a 100% career win rate into stakes company for trainer Robert M. Gorham. Erik Barbaran gets the mount, and at 7/2, there's a shred of value if the pace scenario sets up for a closer. Her average speed of 52 is a tick below the leaders, but in a field this compact on the ratings, she's firmly in the mix for a piece.

Imprudent comes in second on the TrackWiz model at 85.54 and opens at 7/2 — offering genuine value relative to his rating standing. Trainer Nestor R. Rivera gives the mount to Fernando Salazar Becerra, and a 10% career win rate in allowance company is offset by the strength of his rating. He's the most logical target for exacta and trifecta players looking to beat the chalk across the board.

Suzie Q's Sister rates at 79.54 — third-best in the race — and opens at 2/1, which means the public likes her despite the TrackWiz model preferring Bend My Ear. Trainer Jason DaCosta teams with Luis Alberto Batista, and her average speed of 54 is right there with the top contenders. The market attention is understandable given her credentials, and she's a natural exotic anchor in a race where the top three ratings are separated by fewer than 10 points.

Isa Fortress sits second on the ratings at 68.28 and opens at 7/2 under trainer Loren Huepenbecker with T. D. Houghton up. Her average speed of 52 is a tick below Youngandfree, but in maiden company, the place slot is often about staying competitive — and a 68-point rating in this field does exactly that. She's the natural exacta partner with the favorite.

Fabulous Song rates at 61.27 — third in the field — and is listed at 4/1 on the morning line with trainer Danny R. Bird and jockey Jose A. Leon. His average speed of 51 is lower than the top two, but the 4/1 price relative to his third-best rating suggests some value in the show spot and trifecta. In a wide-open maiden field, getting a 4/1 shot in the show hole is a reasonable risk-reward proposition.

My Valentino is right behind at 86.30 on the ratings with a 20% career win rate that gives him a real shot at the top spot. Trainer Marco Ibarra sends him with Erik Barbaran, and his average speed of 53 matches Redden. The difference between these two horses on the model is just 2.24 points — meaning in a fair race, My Valentino can absolutely turn the tables, making him a prime place play and a must-use in exactas.

Little Shance checks in third on the ratings at 83.33 with the second-best career win percentage in the field at 23% — a combination that signals a reliable performer. Trainer Jevon D. Crumley pairs him with Ricardo Feliciano, and an average speed of 54 actually edges Redden and My Valentino by a tick. He's a serious threat to outrun his 7/2 morning line and land in the trifecta at minimum.

Some Kinda Warrior rates second in the field at 57.50 and draws a favorable 5/2 morning line, though he comes in without a published average speed figure — a reminder that his form cycle is limited. Trainer Benny R. Feliciano saddles him with Ricardo Feliciano up, a tight family connection that sometimes signals extra motivation. He's the logical place play, but the missing speed data is worth noting when building exotic tickets.

J. J. Zucchero rates at 55.83 — third in the field — and also carries no published average speed figure into this maiden spot. Trainer Joseph M. Poole deploys Jose A. Bracho, and the 7/2 morning line suggests the market sees him as a legitimate contender. His rating edges out the rest of the field, and in a race with limited hard data, a third-best score is enough to make him worth including in trifectas.

Rollin Freedom is the 2/1 morning line choice for trainer Saul M. Morales with Jefferson Skerrett, and he backs his favoritism with a 75.00 rating and the best average speed figure in the field at 54. A 17% career win rate is modest, but his raw speed edge over six furlongs is real. He's the most likely horse to push Kettle Kiss, and exacta players should look hard at the 5-6 combination.

Diamonds N Dew rates at 71.94 — third in the field — and opens at 7/2 with trainer Shane Meyers and Jose A. Bracho up. A 20% career win rate shows she's been competitive at this level, and her average speed of 52 keeps her within range of the leaders. She's the natural show selection for conservative bettors and a sensible trifecta leg in a race that could produce an honest pace.

Worthy Opponent slots in second at 77.47 on the TrackWiz model and brings the best career win percentage in the field at 20%. Trainer Candace M. Huffman sends him with Jefferson Skerrett, and his average speed of 54 is actually the highest in the race — a speed advantage that could be decisive late in a six-furlong dirt sprint. At 3/1, he's a legitimate place bet and a natural exacta partner with Gray Day.

Gapper opens as the 2/1 morning line second choice, suggesting the public sees him as a serious win contender — but the TrackWiz model puts him third at 75.43. Trainer Enrique Lopez Jr teams with Luis Antonio Gonzalez, and a 10% career win rate is modest for a horse drawing this much market attention. That gap between public opinion and model output makes him a solid show play — take the generous implied probability and use him as a trifecta anchor.