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Thistledown Picks & Predictions — August 8, 2026

Saturday, August 8, 20269 racesThistledown

Here's our expert breakdown of today's 9-race card at Thistledown. We've identified 3 standout races with strong plays — see our analysis below. Full card picks for all 9 races are available to TrackWiz subscribers.

Best Bets

Race 1

4:10 PM EDT

Stakes · 1 1/8 mi · Dirt

Lionistic towers over this field on our ratings — significant gap back to the rest of the shortlist.

win9LionisticML 4/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 85.6 for Race 1. Career win rate of 32% shows consistency. Ridden by Luis Raul Rivera, trained by Jeffrey A. Radosevich. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.37 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 22% win rate and finished in the money in 60% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 65% of races. 15 wins and placed in 25 of 44 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 3 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races. Has 2 wins and placed in 8 of 10 of Medium Distance races. Jockey & Horse combo has a 22% win rate and finished in the money in 60% of races.

place1Silver KissML 3/1

Rating board at 84.8 • 66% career wins. Ridden by Chelsey Keiser. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.24 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 52% of races.

show3Candlelight HoursML 7/2

Rating board at 75.9 • 40% career wins. Ridden by T. D. Houghton. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.37 sec/furlong. 15 wins and placed in 34 of 36 races on Dirt tracks.

Race 2

4:45 PM EDT

Stakes · 6 fur · Dirt

Bet-down spot for Book Value — the rating gap is wide enough that we treat this as a key single.

win8Book ValueML 9/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 58.7 for Race 2. Career win rate of 100% shows consistency. Ridden by Erik Barbaran, trained by Robert M. Gorham. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.80 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 67% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 31% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races. Has placed in the last 2 races. Has placed in 2 of the last 2 races. Ranked 3rd in workouts over last month at 12.25 sec/furlong. Has WON 2 races in a row! Horse won last time it raced. 07/17/2026.

place5Breakheart PassML 2/1

Rating board at 58.3 • 100% career wins. Ridden by Santiago Gonzalez. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.17 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 51% of races.

show3Battle ReadyML 5/1

Rating board at 53.3 • 50% career wins. Ridden by Fernando De La Cruz. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.07 sec/furlong. Has placed in the last 2 races.

Race 3

5:20 PM EDT

Stakes · 1 1/4 mi · Dirt

Standout on paper: Ekati's Way grades multiple points clear of the rest of the field.

win6Ekati's WayML 3/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.1 for Race 3. Career win rate of 40% shows consistency. Ridden by Victor R. Fernandez, trained by Robert C. Cline. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.47 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 20% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 20% win rate and finished in the money in 71% of races. 10 wins and placed in 16 of 24 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 7 races. Has placed in 6 of the last 6 races. 6 wins and placed in 8 of 12 races at Thistledown. Jockey & Horse combo has a 20% win rate and finished in the money in 61% of races. Has WON 2 races in a row! Horse won last time it raced. 07/13/2026.

place4Who DeyML 8/5

Rating board at 74.6 • 50% career wins. Ridden by Irving Moncada. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.24 sec/furlong. 8 wins and placed in 13 of 16 races on Dirt tracks.

show1Fair and SquareML 4/1

Rating board at 71.1 • 41% career wins. Ridden by Rocco Bowen. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 60% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races.

Our top picks for today focus on races with clear edges in speed figures, trainer form, and track bias. These are the spots where we see the most value on the board.

Full Card Analysis

Race 4

5:50 PM EDT

Stakes · 6 fur · Dirt

Motownsnojoke is the class of the rating board here, with the next-best a meaningful step behind.

win7MotownsnojokeML 2/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 58.3 for Race 4. Career win rate of 50% shows consistency. Ridden by David J. Haldar, trained by Justin Radosevich. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 11.98 sec/furlong. Has placed in the last 2 races. Has placed in 2 of the last 2 races. Horse won last time it raced. 07/17/2026.

place4Panda ListenML 5/2

Rating board at 57.5. Ridden by Fernando De La Cruz. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.84 sec/furlong. Has placed in 1 of the last 1 races.

show6Maddy's FuryML 5/1

Rating board at 53.3 • 50% career wins. Ridden by Rocco Bowen. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.09 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 60% of races.

Race 5

6:20 PM EDT

Stakes · 6 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Superwolf looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win8SuperwolfML 5/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.8 for Race 5. Career win rate of 62% shows consistency. Ridden by Erik Barbaran, trained by Robert M. Gorham. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.78 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 67% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 31% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races. 10 wins and placed in 13 of 15 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 6 races. Has placed in 6 of the last 6 races. Has 6 wins and placed in 8 of 9 races at 6 fur. 3 wins and placed in 4 of 5 races at Thistledown. Jockey & Horse combo has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 67% of races. Has WON 6 races in a row! More than 1 win on today's surface/distance. Horse won last time it raced. 06/26/2026. Horse won last time raced at today's surface/distance.

place2Boots MaloneML 5/1

Rating board at 68.7 • 38% career wins. Ridden by Fernando Salazar Becerra. For past year, Jockey has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 56% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 22% win rate and finished in the money in 54% of races.

show4FortissimoML 8/1

Rating board at 68.1 • 37% career wins. Ridden by Rocco Bowen. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 60% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races.

Race 6

6:50 PM EDT

Allowance · 1 mi · Dirt

Mia's Go towers over this field on our ratings — significant gap back to the rest of the shortlist.

win2Mia's GoML 8/5

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 89.1 for Race 6. Career win rate of 25% shows consistency. Ridden by Alexander Chavez, trained by Nestor R. Rivera. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.60 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 63% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 32% win rate and finished in the money in 75% of races. 3 wins and placed in 8 of 12 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 6 races. Has placed in 6 of the last 6 races. 1 wins and placed in 5 of 5 races at Thistledown. Has placed in 4 of 4 races at 1 mi. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place5Dos AmoresML 3/1

Rating board at 76.7. Ridden by Erik Barbaran. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.52 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 67% of races.

show3Creator of MagicML 2/1

Rating board at 61.1 • 50% career wins. Ridden by Charle Oliveros. 3 wins and placed in 4 of 6 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 3 races.

Race 7

7:20 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Bet-down spot for Florida Gator — the rating gap is wide enough that we treat this as a key single.

win5Florida GatorML 5/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 84.2 for Race 7. Ridden by Deshawn L. Parker, trained by Johanna Urieta. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.28 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 59% of races. 9 wins and placed in 31 of 50 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races. Has placed in 3 of 3 races at 5 1/2 fur. Jockey & Horse combo has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 59% of races. Claiming Price Decreased from $12500 to $5000.

place4Dream On BabyML 2/1

Rating board at 63.7. Ridden by Jason Simpson. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.19 sec/furlong. Has placed in 5 of the last 6 races.

show6Hey CueML 7/2

Rating board at 52.6 • 25% career wins. Ridden by T. D. Houghton. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.07 sec/furlong. 4 wins and placed in 7 of 13 races on Dirt tracks.

Race 8

7:50 PM EDT

Allowance · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Standout on paper: Suzie Q's Sister grades multiple points clear of the rest of the field.

win1Suzie Q's SisterML 8/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 71.9 for Race 8. Career win rate of 25% shows consistency. Ridden by Luis Alberto Batista, trained by Jason DaCosta. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.52 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 52% of races. 1 wins and placed in 3 of 4 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 3 of the last 4 races. Has 1 wins and placed in 3 of 4 of Sprint races. Ranked 2nd in workouts over last month at 12.20 sec/furlong.

place2Honduras PassionML 3/1

Rating board at 68.1. Ridden by Luis Antonio Gonzalez. For past year, Jockey has a 27% win rate and finished in the money in 70% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 35% win rate and finished in the money in 81% of races.

show3RoughnthepassengerML 9/5

Rating board at 58.7 • 50% career wins. Ridden by Rocco Bowen. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.13 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 23% win rate and finished in the money in 60% of races.

Race 9

8:20 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

River Bye is the class of the rating board here, with the next-best a meaningful step behind.

win4River ByeML 5/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.8 for Race 9. Ridden by Luis Antonio Gonzalez, trained by Kim A. Puhl. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.62 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 27% win rate and finished in the money in 70% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 35% win rate and finished in the money in 81% of races. 2 wins and placed in 8 of 13 races on Dirt tracks. Jockey & Horse combo has a 27% win rate and finished in the money in 70% of races. Claiming Price Decreased from $50000 to $7500. More than 1 win on today's surface/distance.

place1Secret CallerML 7/2

Rating board at 84.5. Ridden by Humberto Haldar. 2 wins and placed in 9 of 12 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races.

show8Balki BartokomousML 9/2

Rating board at 82.1. Ridden by Jose A. Bracho. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.51 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 24% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races.

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