Santa Anita Picks & Predictions — May 24, 2026
It's a beautiful Sunday at Santa Anita Park — clear skies, 75 degrees, and the kind of afternoon that makes you remember why you love this game. Nine races are on the board today, mixing dirt claimers, turf sprints, and a pair of maiden special weights that could surface some interesting debut angles.
The turf is where a lot of the action is concentrated today. Three of the nine races run on the grass, including a 5-furlong opener and a mile-and-an-eighth route in Race 5 — two very different tests that should draw out distinct pace scenarios. On the dirt side, we've got back-to-back 6-furlong claimers in Races 2 and 3 that offer some nice contrast in terms of class levels and recent form.
TrackWiz analysis has flagged several strong figures across the card, headlined by Matt At Five in Race 7 and Lorenzo Bernini in Race 8 — two of the highest-rated horses we've seen on a mid-week Southern California card in a while. More on those in the premium section.
Best Bets
Race 1
Starter Optional Claiming · 5 fur · Turf
A short-field turf sprint with a clear top two on paper, but the morning line tells a close story between the favorite and the even-money shot — value could be hiding right underneath.
Famous Forza draws the rail in this 5-furlong turf opener and comes in as our top-rated horse in the field with an 89.12 TrackWiz rating. A 25% career win rate is strong for any claiming/starter company, and the average speed figure of 56 is the best in this field. At 8/5, the morning line respects this horse as the one to beat — trainer Bill McLean sends this one out with Cesar Belmont up and the profile screams 'win or close.'
A Great Shaking is the even-money morning line horse, which tells you the market sees a tight race at the top. Trainer Ryan Hanson also saddles the distant Pantages in this race, so this barn clearly has a presence — and A Great Shaking's 85.96 rating suggests real talent even without a career win on the ledger yet. At EVN odds in a starter optional claiming spot, there's not much value to win, but landing a piece of the purse looks highly probable.
Tiny Prancer is the logical third wheel here at 5/1 on the morning line with a 53.99 rating — a decent step below the top two but clearly the next tier in this short field. A 12% career win rate is modest, but in turf sprints with pace pressure up front, closers can pick up the pieces if the top horses set each other up. Worth including in exacta and trifecta keys.
Race 2
Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt
The morning-line favorite Bessie Coleman looks vulnerable on ratings, with Elsa Dutton posting a significantly higher TrackWiz number at a generous price — this could be a prime overlay situation on the dirt.
Elsa Dutton tops this field on TrackWiz analysis with an 86.35 rating, yet the morning line has her at 7/2 — a full horse behind the 6/5 favorite. Kent J. Desormeaux gets the call for trainer Aggie Ordonez, and Desormeaux is a proven big-race pilot who can manage pace scenarios in 6-furlong dirt sprints. A 14% career win rate is respectable in claiming company, and with an average speed figure of 55, she's right in the mix on pure numbers.
Bessie Coleman draws the favorite's role at 6/5 and while our analysis puts her second behind Elsa Dutton on ratings (72.4 vs. 86.35), she's not without merit. Trainer Steven Miyadi sends her out with Antonio Fresu up, and an average speed figure of 56 is actually the best in the field. She's likely to be overbet, so we'd lean toward using her underneath rather than on top.
Donde Esta Jefe offers a sneaky third-place profile at 6/1 with a 66.55 rating — comfortably clear of the rest of the field outside the top two horses. Kazushi Kimura is a live rider who can find the right trip from off the pace, and a 12% career win rate in this claiming class is workable. A solid show or exacta inclusion if the top two dominate up front.
Race 3
Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt
The morning line sets up as a three-horse race between Harney Lane, Rousing Jewel, and Legal Fiction — but our ratings say look elsewhere, with Falabella posting the highest score in the field at a price.
Falabella enters as our TrackWiz top pick with an 84.17 rating despite being listed at 5/1 on the morning line — a clear overlay against the lower-rated favorites. A 28% career win rate is excellent in dirt claiming company and speaks to a horse who knows how to close out a race. Cristobal Herrera takes the mount for trainer Lorenzo Campuzano, and the speed figure of 55 keeps Falabella right in the competitive range for this 6-furlong sprint.
Harney Lane is the 9/5 morning-line favorite and while our ratings slot her second (71.78), that's still a strong number. A 23% career win rate is consistent, trainer Isidro Tamayo keeps her sharp, and Abel Lezcano is a reliable pilot who tends to get good position early in sprints. She'll likely set or stalk the pace — making her a safe place ticket even if Falabella ends up stealing the show.
Rousing Jewel sits at 2/1 on the morning line and posts a 70.4 rating — essentially in a dead heat with Harney Lane. Antonio Fresu gets the call and the speed figure of 53 is slightly below the leaders, but trainer Steve R. Knapp has a horse that competes every time out. A 19% career win rate in this kind of company keeps her very much in the exotic conversation for the trifecta.
The first three races are open to everyone today, and honestly, it's a solid trio to kick things off. Famous Forza opens the day on the turf at 5 furlongs — a surface and distance combo that suits horses who like to press or stalk a quick pace, and at 8/5 on the morning line, the market agrees with our read. Races 2 and 3 shift to the dirt for a pair of 6-furlong claimers, where Elsa Dutton (7/2 ML) and Falabella (5/1 ML) both earn solid TrackWiz ratings in the mid-80s — that 5/1 morning line on Falabella is worth flagging if you're looking for a touch of value to start your day.
One thing to watch across all three free races: with the track playing fast and conditions pristine, expect early speed to be rewarded, especially on the dirt. Horses that can get a clean trip near the lead without burning up early should have a big edge. Keep an eye on pace flow before you finalize any tickets.
Full Card Analysis
Premium Content
Get the Full Card Analysis
Unlock expert picks for every race, detailed speed figures, trainer angles, and our SmartBet recommendations.
Today's best bets start with Famous Forza on the turf and Elsa Dutton on the dirt — two horses with strong TrackWiz ratings and favorable race shapes. Falabella at 5/1 deserves a second look for value hunters. For the full nine-race breakdown, pace projections, and exotic strategies, it's all available to TrackWiz subscribers. Good luck today — let's cash some tickets.