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Remington Park Picks & Predictions — September 17, 2026

September 17, 202611 racesAll Remington Park picks

It's a blazing Thursday afternoon at Remington Park — clear skies, 97 degrees, and eleven races on the card. That kind of heat puts a premium on horses who've shown they can handle Oklahoma's late-summer conditions, and it's worth keeping an eye on pace scenarios all day. Horses that get away cheap on the front end and avoid a speed duel could look a lot more dangerous than their numbers suggest.

The card covers a nice range of conditions — Maiden Claiming openers, a pair of Allowance closers to wrap things up, and a couple of turf routes in Races 7 and 11 to break up the dirt grind. Seven furlongs, one-mile routes, sprint distances — there's something here for every handicapping style. Our TrackWiz models have rated every contender on the full card, and a few prices stand out as genuinely beatable.

Best Bets

Race 1

11:30 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

A maiden claiming opener where TrackWiz ratings draw a sharp line between the top two and the rest of the field — expect Pass the Roses and Red Hot Shot to set the terms in this 7-furlong dash.

win2Pass the RosesML 7/5

Pass the Roses carries the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 89.42 and an average speed figure of 54, both tops among contenders in this maiden claimer. The 7/5 morning line tells you the market agrees, but the rating gap between this one and third-best is significant enough to justify the short price. Erik Asmussen gets the mount for trainer Steven M. Asmussen, a barn that consistently sends debut horses out ready to fire. In a maiden field full of unknowns, that stable edge matters.

place3Red Hot ShotML 5/1

Red Hot Shot (81.78 rating, avg speed 53) is the clear second choice in TrackWiz's model and checks in at 5/1 on the morning line — solid place value if Pass the Roses wins as expected. Trainer Francisco Bravo has a capable student in Floyd Wethey Jr., and the numbers suggest this horse can hold a placing spot against this maiden field. At 5/1 to place, the price is more than fair.

show8Di Risata MoltoML 6/1

Di Risata Molto sits third in our ratings at 71.26 — a meaningful gap above the rest of the field — and David Cabrera is a reliable pilot who knows Remington's dirt. The 6/1 morning line gives you a small overlay for show exotics, and in a race where the top two are clearly separated from the pack, getting a 71-rated horse at show odds makes Di Risata Molto a useful exotic anchor.

Race 2

11:58 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Blame Da Stoops towers over this claiming field on TrackWiz ratings, but Wild Jewels flashes an eye-catching 33% career win rate that could make the exotics interesting.

win6Blame Da StoopsML 3/1

Blame Da Stoops is the class of this six-furlong claiming field with a TrackWiz rating of 87.08 — nearly 13 points clear of the next-best horse. The 3/1 morning line is fair for a horse this dominant in the model, and a 20% career win rate shows this runner actually converts when the conditions are right. Floyd Wethey Jr. gets the call, and he's been active and effective at Remington. The speed figure of 54 ties for best in the field and pairs well with the short sprint distance.

place8I'm Wide AwakeML 5/2

I'm Wide Awake comes in second on TrackWiz ratings at 74.09 with an average speed of 55 — the best in the race — and David Cabrera gives this one a strong pilot at 5/2 on the morning line. The 17% career win rate is honest, and with Blame Da Stoops likely controlling the pace, a closer profile like this one could be primed to pick up the pieces for a solid placing.

show7Wild JewelsML 8/1

Wild Jewels is the show value angle here with a career win rate of 33% — highest in the field — aboard Stewart Elliott at 8/1. The TrackWiz rating of 62.88 ranks third, and with the best average speed in the race (55), this mare could be dangerous if the pace sets up honest. At 8/1, she's more than worth a shot in exacta and trifecta exotics.

Race 3

12:26 AM EDT

Claiming · 5 fur · Dirt

A tight battle shapes up at the top of this five-furlong claiming sprint, with Good Lovin and Senor Rojo virtually inseparable on the ratings — pace and post position could decide it.

win7Good LovinML 9/2

Good Lovin leads all horses in this field with a TrackWiz rating of 84.90 and carries a 34% career win rate — the highest among contenders — which suggests this is a horse that consistently turns form into results. The 9/2 morning line is a mild overlay given the model's confidence, and Ramon A. Vazquez is a capable hand at five furlongs where quick-breaking ability matters most. An average speed figure of 56 ties for second-best in the field and keeps this one in range of any pace scenario.

place3Senor RojoML 7/2

Senor Rojo is nearly a dead heat with the win pick at 84.05 in the ratings, and that 33% career win percentage is also elite — this horse finds the winner's circle. Richard E. Eramia rides for the well-regarded Todd W. Fincher barn, which is always worth noting. At 7/2, Senor Rojo is actually bet more aggressively than Good Lovin, making it a prime candidate to steal the win outright — the place spot feels like a floor.

show5SawasdeeML 5/2

Sawasdee comes in third on our model at 69.35 but posts the highest average speed figure in the field at 57 — a number worth paying attention to in a five-furlong sprint where early fractions are king. The 21% career win rate is respectable for a claimer, and Leandro D. Goncalves is a solid booking. At 5/2, the morning line suggests the market likes this one more than we do for the win, but at show odds in a trifecta it's a natural inclusion.

We're opening the card with three free best bets across Races 1, 2, and 3 — all on the dirt sprint side of the card where the heat and track conditions are most familiar territory. Pass the Roses draws our top rating of 89.42 in the Race 1 Maiden Claimer at 7 furlongs, posted as the 7/5 morning-line favorite. That kind of number at that price demands respect. In Race 2, Blame Da Stoops comes in at 87.08 and offers real value at 3/1 in a 6-furlong claiming spot — the kind of price where you can build tickets without breaking the bank. Round it out with Good Lovin in Race 3, a 9/2 shot in the 5-furlong claiming sprint who our models peg as the most undervalued horse of the early card.

One theme to watch across all three: with temps near triple digits, horses breaking from outside posts may face extra pressure early. Pace shape is everything on a day like today — cheap early fractions could set up closers, while a lone front-runner drawing clear in the right spot is a dangerous animal. Keep that in mind as you build your wagers.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

12:54 AM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Pali Kitten enters as the clear top-rated horse in this six-furlong claiming affair, but Sand Creek's Asmussen connection ensures the betting will be competitive at the top.

win3Pali KittenML 2/1

Pali Kitten is the top-rated horse in Race 4 at 88.54 — one of the higher marks you'll see in a claiming event — and a 28% career win rate confirms this is a horse that gets the job done regularly. Ramon A. Vazquez in the irons for Robertino Diodoro is a sharp combo, and Diodoro has a knack for placing horses well in claiming company. The average speed of 56, best in the field, is a critical edge in a six-furlong dirt sprint where early positioning matters.

place2Sand CreekML 5/2

Sand Creek runs second on our ratings at 85.17 and draws the Asmussen barn with Erik Asmussen up — that's an in-form team that will have this horse ready. A 15% career win rate is modest, but Sand Creek's average speed of 54 fits the pace and the 5/2 morning line suggests the market sees a live contender here. Use on top in exactas if you think the favorite slips up.

show6WoodspointML 9/2

Woodspoint posts a solid 70.60 TrackWiz rating — comfortably third in this field — and the 9/2 morning line offers fair value for exotic plays. Tyler W. Bacon takes the mount for Oscar Flores, and an average speed of 55 is second-best in the race. With the top two likely trading blows on the front end, Woodspoint could be the beneficiary running into a soft pace setup late.

Race 5

1:22 AM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Two horses — Oban and Fly Red Bird Fly — pull away from the pack on TrackWiz ratings in this one-mile claiming test, setting up a potential top-two trifecta battle with a big field behind them.

win4ObanML 5/2

Oban leads our model at 87.81 and draws David Cabrera for trainer Justin R. Evans — a barn that has been active and effective with route horses at Remington. A 14% career win rate is workmanlike for a miler in claiming company, and the 5/2 morning line reflects legitimate market confidence. In a nine-horse field at a mile, the ability to settle and run late is crucial, and our ratings suggest Oban profiles best for this distance.

place1Fly Red Bird FlyML 3/1

Fly Red Bird Fly is right on Oban's heels at 86.62 in the ratings but carries a very low 4% career win rate — a flag that this horse has had trouble closing the deal despite strong form numbers. That profile actually makes the place spot more appealing than the win bet; the talent is there, but converting may require things to set up just right. Javier Padron-Barcenas for trainer Karen E. Jacks at 3/1 is solid value if you're structuring exactas with Oban on top.

show8CopperjacketML 5/1

Copperjacket ranks fifth in the field on ratings at 75.90 but carries a useful 7% career win rate for a horse at this price point — Fernando Jara gets the mount for Briannah McDaniel in what should be a tactical mile. The 5/1 morning line gives you a reasonable return in trifectas, and Copperjacket's average speed of 53 keeps this one honest off a pace that figures to be moderate with two strong favorites at the front of the market.

Race 6

1:50 AM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A wide-open maiden special weight with twelve runners and no dominant figure — this is a race where trainer angle and jockey booking could matter more than form, with several horses showing no prior speed data.

win9Dan GoldenML 7/2

Dan Golden tops our TrackWiz ratings in this crowded maiden field at 55.83 and draws Erik Asmussen for trainer Kari Craddock — the Asmussen name alone tends to attract sharp money in maiden races at Remington. The 7/2 morning line makes this one of the better-priced top picks we'll see all card in a maiden race. With no prior speed data showing, we're leaning heavily on trainer intent and model rating here, which is standard for first-out maidens.

place1How About ThatML 9/2

How About That comes in second on our model at 54.17 with an average speed figure of 53 — one of only a handful in this field to show any prior speed data, which is an edge in a race full of unknowns. Lane J. Luzzi rides for Tristan Ashford, and the 9/2 morning line is reasonable. In a twelve-horse field, having any benchmark speed figure to hang your hat on is meaningful.

show5Mister OkieML 5/1

Mister Okie slots third in our ratings at 53.33 and is trained by Scott E. Young, who also has Flat Out Prime in this same race — when a barn splits entries, it often means they feel confident in both. Weston Hamilton takes the mount at 5/1, and while there's no speed data to lean on, the rating and morning line both point to a horse expected to run creditably. In a wide-open maiden, getting show coverage on a 5/1 shot is a sensible exotic strategy.

Race 7

2:18 AM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

Race 7 heads to the turf for a one-mile claiming event, and Stone Cold Lover stands well clear of the field on TrackWiz ratings in a surface switch that could expose pretenders.

win4Stone Cold LoverML 9/2

Stone Cold Lover is the standout in this turf mile at 84.90 in our ratings — a significant gap over the third-best horse in the race. A 22% career win rate shows this is a horse that wins its share, and Iram Vargas Diego aboard for Scott Corderman is a crafty booking on a one-turn turf mile where pace sense is everything. The 9/2 morning line is an overlay given how far this horse separates from the field on the numbers.

place3CafezinhoML 4/1

Cafezinho checks in at 69.81 on the TrackWiz model and brings a 17% career win rate with Stewart Elliott in the saddle for Mindy J. Willis — a turf-savvy combination. The 4/1 morning line makes this a fair-priced place contender, and an average speed of 54 is competitive for this level. Elliott is particularly effective in turf routes, and Cafezinho fits the closing profile that often emerges in a ten-horse turf field.

show5Cactus BlossomML 3/1

Cactus Blossom draws the 3/1 morning line — shorter than our show pick position suggests — but a TrackWiz rating of 63.57 ranks third and a 15% career win rate is honest. Francisco Bravo sends out Floyd Wethey Jr. in what should be a competitive trip, and the average speed of 54 matches the field. At 3/1, the show return is modest, but Cactus Blossom earns a trifecta spot as a horse the market clearly respects.

Race 8

2:46 AM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Dirt

Joe's Candy enters as a short-priced favorite with a commanding rating advantage in this seven-furlong claiming test, but Why Not Him at 3/1 with a 25% win rate adds legitimate heat to the exacta.

win4Joe's CandyML 2/1

Joe's Candy posts a 88.54 TrackWiz rating — tied for the highest mark we've seen today at this class level — and the Steven M. Asmussen / Erik Asmussen partnership is formidable at Remington. The 2/1 morning line reflects the market's confidence, and an average speed of 54 with a 11% career win rate tells you this is a horse still climbing its win curve. In seven-furlong claiming, a horse this sharp on ratings usually doesn't stay off the board.

place5Why Not HimML 3/1

Why Not Him brings real credentials to this spot with a 25% career win rate — best in the field — and a TrackWiz rating of 75.96 that puts this horse comfortably in the mix. Stewart Elliott for Justin R. Evans is a pairing that has produced results at Remington, and the 3/1 morning line suggests bettors aren't sleeping on this one. If Joe's Candy faces any pace pressure, Why Not Him is positioned to capitalize.

show2Rev's TombML 12/1

Rev's Tomb is an intriguing show play at 12/1 on the morning line with a TrackWiz rating of 73.45 — third-best in the field and honestly underpriced for what the model says this horse can do. A 10% career win rate in a tough seven-furlong claiming field is nothing alarming, and Deshawn L. Parker for Shea Stuart could be a live longshot booking. In trifecta coverage, Rev's Tomb at 12/1 represents genuine overlay value.

Race 9

3:14 AM EDT

Allowance · 6 fur · Dirt

An allowance sprint at six furlongs where Kenz dominates on the model but Lady Beau lurks as a serious value threat — the exacta could be the play of the afternoon.

win2KenzML 2/1

Kenz leads our allowance field convincingly at 88.15 on the TrackWiz model and carries a 20% career win rate that fits nicely in allowance company. Stewart Elliott takes the mount for Steven M. Asmussen — a trainer who targets allowance conditions purposefully and rarely wastes a good horse at the wrong level. The 2/1 morning line is short but defensible given the rating margin, and an average speed of 54 is consistent with a horse ready to fire.

place5Lady BeauML 6/1

Lady Beau is the value play in this race — a 82.71 TrackWiz rating that's second only to Kenz in a competitive allowance field, but priced at 6/1 on the morning line. David Cabrera for C. R. Trout brings a 20% career win rate into the mix, and the average speed of 53 suggests this one settles nicely before making a late run. The gap between Lady Beau's rating and her odds is where the value lives today.

show4Private DebbieML 5/2

Private Debbie is the third Asmussen entry in this race — Erik Asmussen up — with a TrackWiz rating of 63.79 and a 14% career win rate. The 5/2 morning line is a touch short given the rating, but the barn management of running two horses in the same race suggests they believe in both. In exotic play, stacking Asmussen entries in the show slot is a reliable approach when the barn is firing.

Race 10

3:42 AM EDT

Allowance · 1 mi · Dirt

Heroic Move stands out on TrackWiz ratings in this allowance mile, but J. P. Race's top average speed figure and 28% career win rate make this race deeper than the morning line implies.

win7Heroic MoveML 5/2

Heroic Move tops the field at 87.81 on our model with a 28% career win rate — a strong conversion number for allowance mile company. Ramon A. Vazquez aboard for Robertino Diodoro is a high-powered combo, and Diodoro has a well-documented record of developing distance horses at this level. The 5/2 morning line is competitive, and an average speed of 54 across a career suggests a consistent, reliable performer rather than a one-hit wonder.

place6J. P. RaceML 6/1

J. P. Race brings the highest average speed in this field at 56 and matches Heroic Move's 28% career win rate — making the 6/1 morning line look like genuine overlay. Tyler W. Bacon rides for Oscar Flores, and while the TrackWiz rating of 82.71 ranks second, the speed figure edge in a one-mile contest could become decisive if the pace collapses late. This is a strong place bet and worth singling underneath in your trifecta.

show3Skate AwayML 12/1

Skate Away enters at 12/1 on the morning line with a 33% career win rate — the highest in this field — which is a number that demands attention even at a lower overall rating of 73.96. Geovanni Franco rides for Robertino Diodoro, which means this barn has two live horses in the race and will likely set up tactics to maximize both. At 12/1, Skate Away represents legitimate trifecta value for players willing to take a shot.

Race 11

4:10 AM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

The closing turf mile features a loaded ten-horse field with Tres Soles holding the rating edge, but Departure's elite 35% career win rate and top speed figure make this a genuine multi-horse trifecta puzzle.

win6Tres SolesML 9/2

Tres Soles leads the TrackWiz model at 84.90 in this turf-mile claiming closer and draws Ramon A. Vazquez for Robertino Diodoro — arguably the sharpest trainer-jockey duo on today's card. A 14% career win rate is modest but explainable if this horse has been competing at tougher levels, and the 9/2 morning line is an overlay given the rating advantage. On a turf course where rating edges tend to hold up more reliably than on dirt, Tres Soles is a confident top selection.

place1DepartureML 4/1

Departure is the most fascinating horse on the entire card — a 35% career win rate (tops in the race by a mile) paired with an average speed of 57, also best in the field, all at 4/1 on the morning line. Leandro D. Goncalves rides for Isaiah Ortiz, and the TrackWiz rating of 82.50 is comfortably second in the field. If this horse was simply bet down from a higher-rated spot or is returning to a distance it loves, Departure could easily beat Tres Soles outright — the place spot might undersell it.

show5Casa CieloML 3/1

Casa Cielo enters at 3/1 on the morning line with a 25% career win rate and is in the capable hands of Erik Asmussen for Steven M. Asmussen — a barn that treats turf routes seriously. The TrackWiz rating of 74.58 is a touch below the top two, but an average speed of 54 is competitive, and the Asmussen stable's turf record at regional tracks tends to beat the price. In a ten-horse field, show coverage on a 3/1 morning-line horse is smart bankroll management.

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Bottom line: Pass the Roses, Blame Da Stoops, and Good Lovin are the free plays you can dig into right now. If you want the full picture — pace maps, exotic tickets, and all eight premium races including Kenz and Heroic Move in the Allowance finales — the complete TrackWiz breakdown is available to subscribers. Check out our plans at /pricing and get locked in before first post. Good luck out there — it's going to be a hot one.

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