Remington Park Picks & Predictions — September 17, 2026

Senor Rojo is nearly a dead heat with the win pick at 84.05 in the ratings, and that 33% career win percentage is also elite — this horse finds the winner's circle. Richard E. Eramia rides for the well-regarded Todd W. Fincher barn, which is always worth noting. At 7/2, Senor Rojo is actually bet more aggressively than Good Lovin, making it a prime candidate to steal the win outright — the place spot feels like a floor.

Sawasdee comes in third on our model at 69.35 but posts the highest average speed figure in the field at 57 — a number worth paying attention to in a five-furlong sprint where early fractions are king. The 21% career win rate is respectable for a claimer, and Leandro D. Goncalves is a solid booking. At 5/2, the morning line suggests the market likes this one more than we do for the win, but at show odds in a trifecta it's a natural inclusion.

Sand Creek runs second on our ratings at 85.17 and draws the Asmussen barn with Erik Asmussen up — that's an in-form team that will have this horse ready. A 15% career win rate is modest, but Sand Creek's average speed of 54 fits the pace and the 5/2 morning line suggests the market sees a live contender here. Use on top in exactas if you think the favorite slips up.

Woodspoint posts a solid 70.60 TrackWiz rating — comfortably third in this field — and the 9/2 morning line offers fair value for exotic plays. Tyler W. Bacon takes the mount for Oscar Flores, and an average speed of 55 is second-best in the race. With the top two likely trading blows on the front end, Woodspoint could be the beneficiary running into a soft pace setup late.

Fly Red Bird Fly is right on Oban's heels at 86.62 in the ratings but carries a very low 4% career win rate — a flag that this horse has had trouble closing the deal despite strong form numbers. That profile actually makes the place spot more appealing than the win bet; the talent is there, but converting may require things to set up just right. Javier Padron-Barcenas for trainer Karen E. Jacks at 3/1 is solid value if you're structuring exactas with Oban on top.

Copperjacket ranks fifth in the field on ratings at 75.90 but carries a useful 7% career win rate for a horse at this price point — Fernando Jara gets the mount for Briannah McDaniel in what should be a tactical mile. The 5/1 morning line gives you a reasonable return in trifectas, and Copperjacket's average speed of 53 keeps this one honest off a pace that figures to be moderate with two strong favorites at the front of the market.

How About That comes in second on our model at 54.17 with an average speed figure of 53 — one of only a handful in this field to show any prior speed data, which is an edge in a race full of unknowns. Lane J. Luzzi rides for Tristan Ashford, and the 9/2 morning line is reasonable. In a twelve-horse field, having any benchmark speed figure to hang your hat on is meaningful.

Mister Okie slots third in our ratings at 53.33 and is trained by Scott E. Young, who also has Flat Out Prime in this same race — when a barn splits entries, it often means they feel confident in both. Weston Hamilton takes the mount at 5/1, and while there's no speed data to lean on, the rating and morning line both point to a horse expected to run creditably. In a wide-open maiden, getting show coverage on a 5/1 shot is a sensible exotic strategy.

Cafezinho checks in at 69.81 on the TrackWiz model and brings a 17% career win rate with Stewart Elliott in the saddle for Mindy J. Willis — a turf-savvy combination. The 4/1 morning line makes this a fair-priced place contender, and an average speed of 54 is competitive for this level. Elliott is particularly effective in turf routes, and Cafezinho fits the closing profile that often emerges in a ten-horse turf field.

Cactus Blossom draws the 3/1 morning line — shorter than our show pick position suggests — but a TrackWiz rating of 63.57 ranks third and a 15% career win rate is honest. Francisco Bravo sends out Floyd Wethey Jr. in what should be a competitive trip, and the average speed of 54 matches the field. At 3/1, the show return is modest, but Cactus Blossom earns a trifecta spot as a horse the market clearly respects.

Why Not Him brings real credentials to this spot with a 25% career win rate — best in the field — and a TrackWiz rating of 75.96 that puts this horse comfortably in the mix. Stewart Elliott for Justin R. Evans is a pairing that has produced results at Remington, and the 3/1 morning line suggests bettors aren't sleeping on this one. If Joe's Candy faces any pace pressure, Why Not Him is positioned to capitalize.

Rev's Tomb is an intriguing show play at 12/1 on the morning line with a TrackWiz rating of 73.45 — third-best in the field and honestly underpriced for what the model says this horse can do. A 10% career win rate in a tough seven-furlong claiming field is nothing alarming, and Deshawn L. Parker for Shea Stuart could be a live longshot booking. In trifecta coverage, Rev's Tomb at 12/1 represents genuine overlay value.

Lady Beau is the value play in this race — a 82.71 TrackWiz rating that's second only to Kenz in a competitive allowance field, but priced at 6/1 on the morning line. David Cabrera for C. R. Trout brings a 20% career win rate into the mix, and the average speed of 53 suggests this one settles nicely before making a late run. The gap between Lady Beau's rating and her odds is where the value lives today.

Private Debbie is the third Asmussen entry in this race — Erik Asmussen up — with a TrackWiz rating of 63.79 and a 14% career win rate. The 5/2 morning line is a touch short given the rating, but the barn management of running two horses in the same race suggests they believe in both. In exotic play, stacking Asmussen entries in the show slot is a reliable approach when the barn is firing.

J. P. Race brings the highest average speed in this field at 56 and matches Heroic Move's 28% career win rate — making the 6/1 morning line look like genuine overlay. Tyler W. Bacon rides for Oscar Flores, and while the TrackWiz rating of 82.71 ranks second, the speed figure edge in a one-mile contest could become decisive if the pace collapses late. This is a strong place bet and worth singling underneath in your trifecta.

Skate Away enters at 12/1 on the morning line with a 33% career win rate — the highest in this field — which is a number that demands attention even at a lower overall rating of 73.96. Geovanni Franco rides for Robertino Diodoro, which means this barn has two live horses in the race and will likely set up tactics to maximize both. At 12/1, Skate Away represents legitimate trifecta value for players willing to take a shot.

Departure is the most fascinating horse on the entire card — a 35% career win rate (tops in the race by a mile) paired with an average speed of 57, also best in the field, all at 4/1 on the morning line. Leandro D. Goncalves rides for Isaiah Ortiz, and the TrackWiz rating of 82.50 is comfortably second in the field. If this horse was simply bet down from a higher-rated spot or is returning to a distance it loves, Departure could easily beat Tres Soles outright — the place spot might undersell it.

Casa Cielo enters at 3/1 on the morning line with a 25% career win rate and is in the capable hands of Erik Asmussen for Steven M. Asmussen — a barn that treats turf routes seriously. The TrackWiz rating of 74.58 is a touch below the top two, but an average speed of 54 is competitive, and the Asmussen stable's turf record at regional tracks tends to beat the price. In a ten-horse field, show coverage on a 3/1 morning-line horse is smart bankroll management.