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Remington Park Picks & Predictions — September 12, 2026

September 12, 202610 racesAll Remington Park picks

It's a scorcher at Remington Park today — clear skies and 95°F on the thermometer as they load for a full 10-race card this Saturday afternoon. Heat like this can be a real factor, especially for horses breaking from outside posts in longer dirt routes, so pace collapse is something to watch all day long.

The card is a solid mix of claiming races, maiden events, and a pair of allowance features that give the card some real teeth. We've got turf action in Races 1, 4, and 9, which adds some surface variety — and with a dry, clear day, those turf courses should be playing fast and fair. Ten races, plenty of angles, and TrackWiz analysis covering every one of them.

Best Bets

Race 1

11:30 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 fur · Turf

An 11-horse turf sprint with a clear top-rated standout at the top, but live longshots lurk in the middle of the pack — this one could get messy in the stretch.

win8Bint Al DandyML 5/2

Bint Al Dandy enters as the morning-line favorite at 5/2 and backs it up with the field's highest TrackWiz rating at 87.81 — a meaningful gap over the next tier. The average speed figure of 56 is competitive for this level, and trainer Austin Gustafson puts a horse on the turf with purpose. Jockey Rene Diaz gets the call, and the combination of top rating plus fair morning-line price makes this the most logical win play on the card.

place6Long Long TimeML 5/1

Long Long Time (No. 6) owns a 20% career win rate — tied for the highest in the field — and slots in at a juicy 5/1 on the morning line. The TrackWiz rating of 75.83 actually edges out Storm After Dark for second-best in the field, making Jose L. Alvarez's mount a strong place candidate even if Bint Al Dandy takes the top spot.

show1Storm After DarkML 6/1

Storm After Dark (No. 1) rates third in the field with a 75.21 TrackWiz score and carries a 16% career win rate into this spot at 6/1. Jesse Sauceda trains and Ernesto Valdez-Jiminez rides — a familiar local combo — and the rail draw in a turf sprint isn't the worst place to be if traffic breaks clean.

Race 2

11:58 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A competitive six-furlong dirt claiming sprint where three horses are bunched within a fraction of a rating point at the top — pace scenario and post position could decide this one.

win7Shawk's Lil MiaML 7/2

Shawk's Lil Mia (No. 7) tops the TrackWiz ratings at 79.80 — barely nosing out Woman's Intuition — and brings a career win rate of 20% to a race where she's the morning-line third choice at 7/2. The average speed figure of 56 is the best in the field, which matters in a six-furlong dash where early speed often dictates the outcome. David Cabrera in the irons is a solid tactical rider who can place a horse wherever the pace demands.

place3Woman's IntuitionML 8/1

Woman's Intuition (No. 3) is the value play here — a 79.79 TrackWiz rating that's essentially identical to the top pick, yet she's listed at 8/1 on the morning line. Trainer Jody Pruitt sends her out with Obed Sanchez, and the 20% career win rate gives her legitimate credentials. If Shawk's Lil Mia draws early heat, this one could be lurking for the exacta.

show5NeutralizeML 9/2

Neutralize (No. 5) at 9/2 rates third overall with a 77.03 score and brings a 15% career win mark into this spot. An average speed figure of 55 matches the pace setters in this field, and Iram Vargas Diego handles the riding duties for trainer Mark C. Lee. At that price, Neutralize is a sensible show inclusion and a solid bottom leg for exotic plays.

Race 3

12:26 AM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A one-mile dirt claiming affair with a razor-thin margin between the top two rated horses — Grace Given and Kitty House are separated by less than half a point and should put on a show going two turns.

win1Grace GivenML 4/1

Grace Given (No. 1) tops the TrackWiz ratings at 85.62 despite a 9% career win rate that might give casual bettors pause — but at 4/1 on the morning line, the value is real. Trainer Oscar Flores sends out Tyler W. Bacon, who gets a horse that profiles as a closer-type that could benefit from the added distance of a full mile. The rating edge over the field is the primary driver here.

place6Kitty HouseML 5/2

Kitty House (No. 6) is nearly inseparable from Grace Given in the ratings at 85.14, and a 15% career win rate gives her a solid foundation. Robertino Diodoro is one of the more reliable trainers on the Remington circuit, and Geovanni Franco is an experienced hand who knows how to settle a horse through two turns. At 5/2, she's the morning-line second choice for good reason.

show4Payton's BeautyML 3/1

Payton's Beauty (No. 4) checks in at 80.98 on the TrackWiz scale and offers the highest average speed figure in the race at 54. David Cabrera — one of the busiest riders at this meet — climbs aboard for trainer Gene Jacquot, and a 10% career win rate in a six-horse field isn't discouraging. At 3/1, she's priced for exacta/trifecta play rather than outright win.

Our three free best bets today span both surfaces and give you a nice cross-section of the card. Bint Al Dandy kicks things off on the turf in Race 1 — she's our top-rated horse in the opener with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating and draws a favorable morning line of 5/2. In Race 2, Shawk's Lil Mia steps onto the dirt for a 6-furlong claiming sprint — a pace scenario that should set up well given the kind of field we're projecting. Then Grace Given closes out the free card in Race 3, tackling a one-mile dirt route at 4/1 on the morning line with an 85.62 rating that makes her a legitimate threat at a fair price.

One theme connecting all three free picks: each figures to benefit from front-running or pace-pressing trips in races where the pace could get hot early and set up for closers — or vice versa, depending on who wants to go to the front. In 95-degree heat, horses that clear a wall of pressure early are worth a second look in the final furlong.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

12:54 AM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 fur · Turf

A maiden claiming turf sprint populated entirely by first-time winners, making form thin — the Asmussen barn drops a short-priced runner in here that looms as the class of the field by raw numbers.

win5Cowboy SkinsML 7/5

Cowboy Skins (No. 5) leads all maiden claimers here with a 59.33 TrackWiz rating and draws the powerful Steven M. Asmussen-Erik Asmussen trainer-jockey combo — a family operation that knows how to spot a maiden in the right spot. The morning line of 7/5 screams confidence from the connections, and an average speed figure of 53 on a horse that hasn't won yet suggests there's more in the tank. In a field of unknowns, backing the barn with the sharpest reputation is the percentage play.

place2Get in DareML 3/1

Get in Dare (No. 2) rates second in the field at 56.67 and shows an average speed of 55 — the highest among the horses with a figure on record. Trainer Austin Gustafson sends him out with Ramon A. Vazquez at 3/1, and the combination of solid prep work and fair pricing makes him the natural place pick if Cowboy Skins doesn't fire.

show1Triple BlessingsML 4/1

Triple Blessings (No. 1) opens at 4/1 with a 55.00 TrackWiz rating in a race where every horse is breaking their maiden. Trainer Justin R. Evans saddles David Cabrera, and the rail draw in a five-furlong turf sprint can be an advantage if the inside path stays clean. Thin on data but reasonably priced for exotic coverage.

Race 5

1:22 AM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A wide-open ten-horse maiden special weight sprint on the dirt where no horse has a race win to their name — expect fireworks early as green horses sort themselves out.

win2Sweet CharlotteML 5/2

Sweet Charlotte (No. 2) tops the TrackWiz ratings in this maiden field at 57.50 despite carrying no speed figure on record, which tells you her workouts and trainer profile are doing the talking. Erik Asmussen gets the mount for trainer Kari Craddock, and the 5/2 morning line suggests the connections are sending her out with real expectations. In maiden specials, the horse with the best underlying profile at a fair price is the right side to be on.

place4Ozark PearlML 3/1

Ozark Pearl (No. 4) is right on Sweet Charlotte's heels with a 56.67 rating and shows an average speed of 53 — one of the better figures among horses with data in this field. Jesse Sauceda trains and Mario Fuentes gets the call at 3/1, offering fair value for the second slot. A five-and-a-half furlong distance suits a horse with some pace capability.

show10Bella SiouxML 5/1

Bella Sioux (No. 10) doesn't have a speed figure on record but posts a 53.33 TrackWiz rating — solid for this field — and opens at 5/1 with Iram Vargas Diego aboard for Mark C. Lee. Lee is a trainer who routinely lands debut runners in competitive spots, and without a prior figure to judge, there's natural uncertainty — but that's exactly what makes the show slot the right play at this price.

Race 6

1:50 AM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

The Asmussen barn drops a short-priced powerhouse into a maiden claiming field — Bird of Prey is the class of this race on paper, but Helene's Power offers legitimate upside at a generous price.

win6Bird of PreyML 6/5

Bird of Prey (No. 6) enters as the heavy morning-line favorite at 6/5 and justifies every bit of it with a commanding 86.31 TrackWiz rating — the highest in the race by a wide margin. The Steven M. Asmussen-Erik Asmussen combination is a formidable pairing, and an average speed of 55 at the maiden claiming level gives this filly a physical edge over most of her rivals. When the rating gap is this large, fading the favorite is a tough sell.

place3Helene's PowerML 6/1

Helene's Power (No. 3) at 6/1 is the standout value angle in this race — a 72.99 TrackWiz rating that's second in the field by a clear margin, nearly 14 points clear of the third-ranked horse. Trainer Danny Pish puts Weston Hamilton up on a horse with a speed figure of 55, matching the favorite's mark. If Bird of Prey encounters any traffic or has an off day, Helene's Power is the most logical alternative.

show1Greely's GoldML 5/2

Greely's Gold (No. 1) opens at 5/2 from the rail with the field's highest average speed figure of 57 — a number that stands out in a race where several horses are light on data. Austin Gustafson trains and Ramon A. Vazquez rides, a combination that's reliable at Remington. A 57.50 TrackWiz rating and the best pure speed number in the field makes this one worth including in exotics as protection.

Race 7

2:18 AM EDT

Claiming · 5 fur · Dirt

The morning-line favorite here isn't our top-rated horse — Raspberry Martini is the TrackWiz pick at 5/1, setting up a potential overlay situation against the heavily-backed Miss Arlington.

win5Raspberry MartiniML 5/1

Raspberry Martini (No. 5) carries the top TrackWiz rating in this field at 84.17 — a full 23 points clear of the morning-line favorite — and opens at 5/1, making her one of the better value plays on the card. A 25% career win rate is solid for a claiming level sprinter, and Jose L. Alvarez gets a horse trained by Juan Padilla who profiles well at five furlongs on the dirt. When the TrackWiz leader is priced like a mid-range contender, that's a spot to get involved.

place2Filly CrystalML 9/2

Filly Crystal (No. 2) brings an eye-catching 31% career win rate into this race — one of the highest in the field — and rates second overall at 70.61. David Cabrera has the mount for trainer Justin R. Evans, and an average speed of 56 matches the best pace numbers on the board. At 9/2, she's a logical place play and a key exacta partner with the top pick.

show3Stormy's RevengeML 6/1

Stormy's Revenge (No. 3) matches Filly Crystal's impressive 31% career win rate and checks in at 64.14 on the TrackWiz scale. Boyd Caster trains and Floyd Wethey Jr. gets the call at 6/1 — fair value for a horse who clearly knows how to find the winner's circle. An average speed of 55 keeps her competitive with the field's pace setters, and she's worth slotting into trifecta tickets.

Race 8

2:46 AM EDT

Allowance · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

An allowance sprint that features two eye-popping 50% career win rates from horses priced well above the favorite — the TrackWiz leader here isn't the morning-line chalk, creating a potential overlay.

win7West Code MischiefML 3/1

West Code Mischief (No. 7) leads the field with an 87.08 TrackWiz rating and opens at 3/1 — not a true overlay, but fair value for the top-rated horse in an allowance field. Trainer Joe S. Offolter and jockey Richard E. Eramia team up on a horse with a 16% career win rate and an average speed of 54. In an allowance spot, the combination of high rating and competent connections is the clearest path to cashing.

place1Den's DazzlerML 7/2

Den's Dazzler (No. 1) is a fascinating profile — a 33% career win rate that towers over most of this field, paired with an 81.67 TrackWiz rating and a morning-line of 7/2. Trainer Mark W. Buehrer sends Floyd Wethey Jr. out from the rail, and an average speed of 54 keeps her right in the mix pace-wise. A one-in-three win rate says this horse knows how to close — and if she fires, the exacta could pay nicely.

show2Gift of GraceML 5/1

Gift of Grace (No. 2) at 5/1 offers a different angle — a 67.43 TrackWiz rating that slots comfortably third in the field, with Luis S. Quinonez up for trainer C.R. Trout. The 10% career win rate is modest, but in a race where the top two are close in price, Gift of Grace is sensible show insurance and a bottom-end trifecta play at a price that won't crush the payout.

Race 9

3:14 AM EDT

Allowance · 7 1/2 fur · Turf

The turf route to close the main sequence of graded races features a dominant morning-line favorite who also leads the TrackWiz ratings by a clear margin — this may be the strongest single-horse race on the card.

win2HelicityML 2/1

Helicity (No. 2) is the standout of the night — an 88.54 TrackWiz rating, the highest of any horse in Race 9, paired with a 16% career win rate and the best average speed in the field at 56. Trainer Robertino Diodoro is a perennial Remington presence and Ramon A. Vazquez is one of the sharpest tactical riders at the meet. At 2/1, the price isn't generous, but when a horse leads on every meaningful metric, the play is straightforward.

place7Austin CruiseML 6/1

Austin Cruise (No. 7) opens at 6/1 and rates third in the field at 70.24 — making him a genuine overlay for the place slot. Trainer J.R. Caldwell and jockey Rene Diaz team up on a horse with a 14% career win rate who could benefit from a contested pace up front if the favorites go at each other. Seven-and-a-half furlongs on turf rewards horses who can settle and close, and Austin Cruise's profile fits that mold.

show8Sweet RetreatML 5/2

Sweet Retreat (No. 8) brings a compelling 33% career win rate into this field — second only to Colleague among the nine runners — and rates at 70.10, essentially even with the place pick. Erik Asmussen rides for Steven M. Asmussen, and the barn typically sends horses out fit and ready. At 5/2, the price is compressed, but the win rate is a real data point — this horse has found the winner's circle at a high clip and should factor in the exotics.

Race 10

3:42 AM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A 10-horse maiden special weight to close the card with every horse still looking for career win number one — the Asmussen barn gets one more shot with a lightly-raced runner while a handful of others keep the outcome uncertain.

win3Satawa's EchoML 5/2

Satawa's Echo (No. 3) leads the field with a 57.50 TrackWiz rating and draws the Steven M. Asmussen-Stewart Elliott connection — a trainer who dominates maiden spots at Remington with regularity. No speed figure is on record, but the morning line of 5/2 reflects genuine barn confidence, and Asmussen's operation rarely sends a maiden out short without a strong reason. This is the logical top pick in a race where the edge is razor-thin.

place6Jules of JonesML 7/2

Jules of Jones (No. 6) rates second in the field at 55.83 and opens at 7/2 with Ramon A. Vazquez in the irons for trainer Travis Swan Murphy. An average speed figure of 52 gives her some foundation among the several horses in this field without a published figure. She's the natural place companion for Satawa's Echo in a race where the top two are closely matched.

show10Miss AlvaML 9/2

Miss Alva (No. 10) comes in at 9/2 with a 54.17 TrackWiz rating — third in the field — though she carries no published speed figure. Trainer Scott E. Young gives the call to Richard E. Eramia, and in a ten-horse maiden field where uncertainty is the only certainty, having a third rated horse at a fair price in the show slot makes sense for trifecta coverage.

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Bottom line for September 12 at Remington Park: Bint Al Dandy, Shawk's Lil Mia, and Grace Given are your free best bets to get the day started — all three carry strong TrackWiz ratings and offer fair value at their respective morning lines. The real fireworks come later in the card, especially in that Race 9 turf allowance. Full analysis, pace scenarios, and exotic ticket breakdowns are waiting for subscribers — good luck out there, and let's cash some tickets.

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