Prairie Meadows Picks & Predictions — August 16, 2026

Kiss Me I Am Famous (5/1) brings a 78.49 rating and a 13% career win rate with Cody Rodger Smith back in the irons for the Jones barn. The value angle here is real — she rates second-best in the field and is going off at morning-line odds that don't fully reflect her ability relative to the top pick.

Flyin Reba 123 (6/1) is impossible to ignore with a career win percentage of 40% — highest in this field — despite checking in at a 69.74 rating. Miguel Josue Ramirez pilots her for trainer Edward Ross Hardy, and horses with that kind of win rate tend to find the wire. She's the horse to beat if the favorite stumbles.

Dancing White Hawk (5/1) is the second-ranked horse by rating at 76.82, and Ryder Olmstead has the call for trainer Patrick E. Swan. She's the logical alternative if the top pick fails to fire — and in maidens, that's always a possibility. At 5/1, she's a fair price for the second-best number in the field.

Rockin Jessie (3/1) carries a 59.99 rating and is the morning-line second choice behind an extremely tight cluster of mid-range horses. Luis Luna Ramirez rides for Edward Ross Hardy, and as the market's second choice, she'll see plenty of action — including in exotic wagers where she makes a sensible safety net underneath the top two.

Tartarian (5/2) rates at 59.18 with an average speed of 55 — matching the favorite's speed figure — which is encouraging. Alfredo Triana, Jr. pilots for trainer Oscar Flores, and at 5/2 he represents real place value if Humorous Saint gets any pace pressure. He's the best of the rest in a race that otherwise falls off sharply.

Jamesons Chalk (6/1) offers a little extra value at morning-line 6/1 with a 44.98 rating and a 54 average speed figure. Elvin Gonzalez takes over for Edward Ross Hardy, and with a 7% career win rate, Chalk has found the wire before. He's a reasonable show play and trifecta anchor for those looking to structure an exotic around the heavy favorite.

Dontbesoogrouchy (8/5) is the morning-line chalk with a 78.50 rating and a 56 average speed — tied for the field's best. Israel Hernandez rides for Schuyler Condon, and the 10% career win rate is the only mild knock here. She'll be heavily bet and is clearly a live contender, making her the logical place backup in the top two if she can't quite get up to win.

Caution Cardinal (8/1) opens at a price that doesn't quite match her 61.67 TrackWiz rating, which is the third-best in the field. Orlando Mojica — one of the meet's key riders — takes over, and a 12% career win rate with a 55 average speed suggests she runs consistent races. She's worth including in exotics as a show option and could sneak into the frame if the pace gets honest.

Iowa Club (7/2) is nearly as well-rated at 69.71 and brings a strong 21% career win rate — one of the highest in this field. Ken S. Tohill is a steady presence in the saddle, and at a 53 average speed, he matches many rivals while offering a win rate that suggests he knows how to close deals. He's a solid place option underneath.

Aaron (5/2) is the morning-line second choice with a 67.47 rating and — critically — the best average speed figure in the race at 56. Alfredo Triana, Jr. rides for Oscar Flores, and that 56 speed number over a mile is worth noting; pure speed can be a decisive factor when the pace melts down in the stretch. A 20% career win rate rounds out a profile that belongs in your exotics.

Succession (5/2) is the morning-line second choice at a 75.45 rating with a strong 20% career win rate and a 54 average speed for trainer Todd James Jordan. Ronnie Huckaby gets the call, and this horse profiles as a horse that consistently hits the board. He'll be well-backed, and the numbers support that confidence — just not quite enough to overturn Last Diamond's rating edge.

Contact Tracing (4/1) slides in with a 67.08 rating and a 15% career win rate for trainer Kelli Martinez, who also saddles the top pick — giving the barn a meaningful two-pronged chance. Alberto Pusac handles the riding duties, and the 53 average speed over a mile is competitive. At 4/1, he's a smart trifecta include for bettors wanting coverage behind the top two.

Street Twirl (3/1) rates second-best at 69.00 with a 55 average speed — one of the faster figures in this field — and a 12% career win rate for trainer Logan Ashford. Alfredo Triana, Jr. is aboard, and the combination of solid speed and a measured win rate suggests a professional that runs his race almost every time. He's a logical place option at a fair price.

Sang (5/2) checks in at 67.52 with a 53 average speed and a 7% career win rate for trainer Kelli Martinez. Walter De La Cruz takes over, and the morning-line 5/2 suggests the market likes this horse despite the modest win rate. For show and trifecta purposes, that rating puts him squarely in the mix, and Kelli Martinez runners tend to be fit and ready.

Jackie Sparrow (2/1) rates at 82.85 — a razor-thin second behind Song Magic — with a 23% career win rate and a 54 average speed. Alex Birzer rides for Kelly R. Von Hemel, and the morning-line 2/1 reflects a horse who figures to be right there at the wire. If Song Magic hits any traffic, Jackie Sparrow looks fully capable of stealing the win outright.

Kanjeng (5/2) brings the best average speed figure in the field at 56 alongside a 79.27 rating and a team-best 26% career win rate. Alberto Pusac takes over for trainer Kelli Martinez, and that speed figure advantage over a flat six furlongs is meaningful — if this race gets honest early, Kanjeng's raw quickness could be the deciding factor in a tight photo.

Divine Celina (7/2) rates second-best at 69.12 with a 54 average speed and an 8% career win rate for trainer Oscar Flores. Alfredo Triana, Jr. takes the mount, and this is a horse with consistent enough figures to justify the 7/2 morning line. She's the chalk's main threat and a sensible place bet for those not comfortable backing the overlay winner.

Addy Up (8/1) checks in at 67.34 — third-best in a competitive field — with an 8% career win rate and a 54 average speed for trainer Brandi Jo Fett. Glenn W. Corbett handles the riding duties, and at 8/1 she offers genuine value in the exotics. Her rating is within striking distance of the top two, and in a nine-horse field where pace can get messy, she has the profile to sneak into the trifecta.