Penn National Picks & Predictions — May 22, 2026
Penn National kicks off the Friday card under a cloudy sky with temperatures sitting right around 61°F — cool enough to keep the horses comfortable and, more importantly, cool enough to keep the turf playing honest. With no rain in the picture, expect a firm-to-good surface on the grass, which tends to favor horses that can rate off the pace and kick late.
Seven races are on the board today, and the card has a little of everything: three turf routes to start things off, a pair of dirt sprints in the middle, and a longer dirt route tucked in at Race 6. Our TrackWiz ratings span from the low 80s up to 88.83, meaning there's legitimate competitive separation across most of these fields — always a good sign for bettors looking to cash.
Races 1 through 3 are free for all TrackWiz readers, and they happen to form a nice turf sequence worth playing vertically. Races 4 through 7 are unlocked for subscribers, and that's where some of the card's sharpest angles live.
Best Bets
Race 1
Starter Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Turf
A tale of two standouts atop the TrackWiz ratings with Azami and Kazd'or separating themselves from the field, but the morning-line favorite Dale sits as a potential pace factor that could shake things up on the Penn turf.
Azami is the class of this field and it isn't particularly close — an 85.11 TrackWiz rating leads all entrants, and a career win rate of 50% is frankly elite for this level. Jockey David Cora gets the call and should have this mare sitting in a comfortable spot with a field that doesn't project as blazing-fast early. At 7/2 on the morning line, there's real value here against a chalk (Dale) whose rating trails by double digits.
Kazd'or at 5/1 is our place pick and arguably the second-best horse in the race on TrackWiz numbers with an 84.17 rating. Trainer Dimitrios K. Synnefias sends this one out with a 25% career win rate — solid for this circuit — and Julio A. Hernandez is a capable pilot who should keep this horse in striking range. If Azami has any trouble, Kazd'or is right there to pounce.
Dale is the morning-line favorite at 9/5 and carries a 75.45 rating — third-best in the field. Trainer Robert Mosco and jockey Francisco Martinez team up with a horse that has won 25% of its career starts, making it a dependable exotics piece even if we think the top two are stronger on pure ratings. A show ticket here is solid insurance in your trifecta.
Race 2
Starter Optional Claiming · 1 mi · Turf
Whiskey Lullaby stands out as a clear class edge atop the ratings in a wide-open turf mile, but Happy This Day and Song to Remember make this a competitive three-way battle for the top spots on your ticket.
Whiskey Lullaby owns the top TrackWiz rating in this field at 87.08 — a meaningful gap above Song to Remember at 75.67 — and Lydee Shea is a trainer worth noting on this circuit. Emilio Flores gets the mount from the rail, and with a 15% career win rate that speaks to consistency, this horse knows how to get it done. At 3/1 on the morning line, you're not getting crushed on the price either, making this a comfortable top pick.
Song to Remember comes in at 7/2 on the morning line with a strong 22% career win rate and a 75.67 rating that makes it the clear second choice in our analysis. David Cora is a reliable hand in the irons, and trainer Bruce M. Kravets puts horses in spots to succeed. This is a horse that should be factoring late in a one-mile turf test.
Happy This Day sits at 5/2 morning line but our rating of 73.75 has it slotting just behind Song to Remember — a horse worth using in the show spot of any trifecta. The 25% career win percentage is the second-best in this field, and Taylor Kingsley has shown the ability to get the most out of this kind of turf miler. A legitimate contender that could easily surprise.
Race 3
Maiden Special Weight · 1 mi · Turf
This full field maiden special weight on the turf is wide open — all career win percentages are zero, making ratings and projected pace the primary tools, with Rosie Outlook holding a meaningful edge in our numbers over a deep twelve-horse field.
Rosie Outlook tops the TrackWiz ratings at 82.11 in a maiden field where sorting out form is inherently tricky. Trainer Robert Mosco and jockey Francisco Martinez are a combo that Penn National bettors should respect, and a morning line of 4/1 suggests the market agrees this filly has real credentials. In a maiden race where everyone has a zero in the win column, leaning on the top-rated horse with a trusted connections setup is the logical move.
Thisishowwedoit draws the rail and carries a 74.75 rating — second-best in the field — with trainer Mark V. Salvaggio sending out what looks like a well-prepared first-or-second-timer. Jomar Torres gets the mount and the inside post could be a tactical advantage in a large field on the turf mile. At 8/1 on the morning line, this horse offers solid value in your exacta if Rosie Outlook gets the job done up front.
Ruby Ruby at 8/1 morning line slots third in our ratings at 73.76, nearly identical to the place pick, which is what makes this race a genuine puzzle. Trainer John T. Kirby has an eye for placing maidens, and Martin Chuan should be able to give this one a clean trip from post 7 in a wide field. Use Ruby Ruby in your trifectas — the price makes it worth the ticket.
The free portion of today's card is all grass, all routes — three consecutive one-mile turf races to open the afternoon. That's rare enough that it's worth paying attention to as a unit. Azami (R1, morning line 7/2, TrackWiz rating 85.11) gets things started as a mid-priced play with room to outrun her odds if the pace sets up favorably. Race 2 brings our highest-rated free pick in Whiskey Lullaby (3/1, 87.08) — she's the one we feel best about in the opener trio, projecting as a legitimate top choice even at a fair morning-line number. Rosie Outlook (4/1, 82.11) carries the flag in the Maiden Special Weight in Race 3, and while maiden turf races always carry uncertainty, she profiles well for the conditions.
One turf angle worth noting on a cool, cloudy day like this: horses making their first or second turf start often improve dramatically when they're not battling heat or a firm-baked surface. Keep that in mind as you dig into the maiden field in Race 3 — form can look underwhelming on paper and still translate perfectly to the grass.
Full Card Analysis
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Bottom line: a seven-race Friday card at Penn National with firm turf, a cooperative temperature, and legitimate top selections in nearly every race. Whiskey Lullaby is our standout among the free picks, while Walkers Beach carries our highest TrackWiz rating on the full card. Free best bets for Races 1–3 are live now — subscribers can unlock the complete card, pace scenarios, and exotic strategies for Races 4–7 at /pricing. Good luck, and let's find some winners.