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Parx Racing Picks & Predictions — November 12, 2026

November 12, 20269 racesAll Parx Racing picks

Best bets at Parx Racing today

Race 14Bliss StreetML 3/112:05 PM EST

Race 2 is free with an account, and the other 7 races are for members.

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Last 30 days at Parx Racing: our top pick won 28 of 99 races (28%) and finished in the money in 62.

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Bliss Street in Race 1 is your free best bet of the day — ranking first in recent race speed at 12.93 sec/furlong with a jockey who's cashed 60% of the time in the money over the past year, this 3/1 morning line claiming runner at a mile and 70 yards has the numbers to deliver right out of the gate.

The backdrop today at Parx Racing: rain is falling and temperatures are sitting at 60°F, which means that dirt surface is going to play wet all afternoon. Nine races are on the board, all on the main track, and the conditions are the kind that reward horses with legitimate recent form over ones who look good on paper but haven't been tested in slop. Keep that in mind as you work through the card.

What makes today interesting is the mix of race types — you've got straight claiming races, starter optional claimers, a maiden special weight sprint in Race 7, and a couple of longer routes that'll really test stamina in this weather. Our simulation models have flagged some genuine overlay opportunities in the premium races, including a couple of horses beating their morning line significantly. More on that for subscribers.

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Race 1

12:05 PM EST

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

A wide-open claiming mile with six horses rated within 48 points of each other and no clear dominant figure — the top-rated Bliss Street holds a slim edge but Spring St. Dreamer and America's Point make this a legitimate three-way battle at the top.

win4Bliss StreetML 3/1

Bliss Street earns the top TrackWiz rating in this field at 87.08 and ranks first for recent race speed at 12.93 seconds per furlong, which is the strongest recent form in the field. Jockey Mychel J. Sanchez carries an impressive 26% win rate and 60% in-the-money rate over the past year — elite numbers for this level. The horse has a win and three placings in six dirt starts, which fits today's surface well. Our simulations gave Bliss Street the highest win probability in the race at 25%, and while the 3/1 morning line is fair value, the speed edge is real.

place6Spring St. DreamerML 7/2

Spring St. Dreamer is our place pick and brings a compelling local angle — one win and three placings in four starts at Parx Racing specifically, which is exactly the kind of track-bias edge you want in a race like this. Ranked second for recent race speed at 12.94 sec/furlong and carrying a solid 37% career in-the-money rate, this horse has also hit the board in the last three consecutive races. Trainer Louis C. Linder, Jr. gets an A- grade and jockey Yan Rodriguez earns an A- as well, making the connections worth noting.

show2America's PointML 5/2

America's Point lands in our show slot with a TrackWiz rating of 75.14 and a noteworthy record of one win and two placings in three medium-distance races — today's one-mile trip fits the profile. The concern is a short 16-day rest between starts when this horse historically performs better with 30 or more days off, so bettors should factor that in for exacta and trifecta purposes. Still, a 24.67% simulation win share and a jockey posting 19% wins and 62% in-the-money over the past year keeps this horse firmly in the mix.

We ran Race 1 10,000 times. Most wins:

4Bliss Street25%
2America's Point25%
6Spring St. Dreamer20%

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Bliss Street is the anchor of today's free analysis for good reason. A 25.29% simulated win probability against a 3/1 morning line is exactly the kind of edge TrackWiz is built to surface — the market isn't giving this horse enough credit. The speed figure profile is the story here: best recent race speed in the field on a surface that, with rain in the forecast, should still reward horses who can generate early momentum without burning up. The jockey stats — 26% wins, 60% in the money over the past year — add a layer of confidence that this isn't just a numbers fluke.

One broader angle to watch across today's all-dirt card: wet conditions at Parx can create a slight bias toward horses with proven dirt records and sharp recent form, rather than ones returning off long layoffs. Bliss Street fits that profile cleanly. If you're playing the free race only, this is a straight win bet with solid value at the morning line price.

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

12:32 PM EST

Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

An intriguing claiming mile where the top TrackWiz rating belongs to a horse going off at 8/1 morning line odds, creating legitimate overlay potential and a chance for exotic players to cash big if the numbers hold up.

win5First TrumpetML 8/1

First Trumpet is a genuine overlay here — the morning line sits at 8/1 yet this horse carries the top TrackWiz rating in the field at 79.79 and ranks third for recent race speed at 12.78 sec/furlong. Jockey Jorge A. Vargas, Jr. has gone 20% in wins and 57% in-the-money over the past year, and the horse has gone one for three at Parx Racing specifically. Our simulations gave First Trumpet a 17.81% win share, which is a significant gap over what 8/1 odds imply — that's a core value play and worth anchoring your exotics around.

place4Bob John RayML 4/1

Bob John Ray brings the second-best TrackWiz rating at 78.59 and a stellar 26% career win rate — by far the highest in this field. Ranked second for recent race speed at 12.62 sec/furlong, this horse has also gone seven for twenty-five on the dirt surface. The jockey has an 18% win rate and 62% in-the-money rate over the past year, keeping connections solid for this spot.

show6No Way CarlML 3/1

No Way Carl offers strong exotics appeal with six wins and 24 placings in 39 dirt starts and a 62% career in-the-money rate — that's a consistent horse who shows up. Jockey Mychel J. Sanchez is one of the meet's top pilots with a 26% win rate, and the horse has hit the board in four of the last six races. The one concern is recent race speed ranked last in the field at 12.91 sec/furlong, so this looks more like a place/show play than a win vehicle.

We ran Race 2 10,000 times. Most wins:

4Bob John Ray23%
6No Way Carl23%
5First Trumpet18%

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

12:59 PM EST

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Traffic Master heads the TrackWiz ratings from the outside post, but Mission First's blazing recent speed figures and a field full of class-question horses makes this a pace-scenario race where the fastest horse early could be the horse standing tallest at the wire.

win6Traffic MasterML 7/2

Traffic Master earns the top TrackWiz rating at 84.44 and brings a deep dirt record of seven wins and 24 placings in 43 starts — that's a proven winner on this surface. The horse has hit the board in four of the last six races and placed in each of the last two, suggesting current form is sharp. The concern is a claiming price bump from $5,000 to $7,500, which is a step up in class that merits watching. At 7/2 on the morning line and a 20.75% simulation win share, the value is reasonable.

place2Mission FirstML 6/1

Mission First is the speed horse in this race — ranked first for recent race speed at a sharp 12.25 sec/furlong, the fastest in the field by a wide margin. The horse has five wins and 13 placings in 25 dirt starts and has placed in four of the last six outings, showing consistent current form. The class question exists here too with a price jump from $5,000 to $7,500, but the raw speed figure is too good to ignore in the place slot.

show3Vance ScholarsML 5/2

Vance Scholars rounds out our ticket with a solid 79.04 TrackWiz rating and an excellent 55% career in-the-money rate — this horse finds the board consistently. Six wins and 20 placings in 35 dirt starts backs that up, and four hits in the last six races confirms current form. The knock is recent race speed ranked sixth in the field at 12.89 sec/furlong, so this is a horse that gets into the money on savvy rather than raw pace.

We ran Race 3 10,000 times. Most wins:

3Vance Scholars22%
6Traffic Master21%
5Praetorian Guard19%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 4

1:26 PM EST

Starter Optional Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Pretty Cecy and Chiquita's Way share the same barn, creating an interesting trainer dynamic at the top of the field — trainer Ernesto Padilla-Preciado saddles the top two rated horses in a Starter Optional Claiming sprint, and pace scenario will likely decide which one benefits more.

win4Pretty CecyML 3/1

Pretty Cecy is a standout pick, earning the top TrackWiz rating at 87.08 and posting the fastest recent race speed in the field at 12.22 sec/furlong — that's a significant speed advantage. The jockey-trainer combination of Ruben Silvera and Ernesto Padilla-Preciado has an extraordinary 35% win rate and 72% in-the-money rate over the past year, which is an elite pairing for any level. Two wins and five placings in eight dirt starts rounds out a balanced profile, and our simulations gave Pretty Cecy a 29% win share — highest in the race by a solid margin.

place5Chiquita's WayML 9/2

Chiquita's Way comes from the same barn and also brings strong numbers — ranked second for recent race speed at 12.34 sec/furlong and backed by a jockey-trainer combo posting 30% wins and 66% in-the-money over the past year. The concern is a thin record at this distance with just one placing in four attempts at six furlongs, and only four dirt placings in 19 total starts on the surface — the form cycle needs to come together today. At 9/2, there's value if Padilla-Preciado opts to let this one run freely.

show3Maclean's LullabyML 7/2

Maclean's Lullaby is the consistency play here — four placings in the last six races and three consecutive in-the-money finishes tell you this horse keeps showing up. Two wins and 13 placings in 21 dirt starts is a durable record, and the 7/2 morning line makes this a solid show and exotic anchor. Jockey Francisco Martinez earns an A- grade and the horse's recent form trend is quietly the most reliable in the bottom half of the field.

We ran Race 4 10,000 times. Most wins:

4Pretty Cecy29%
5Chiquita's Way19%
3Maclean's Lullaby18%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 5

1:53 PM EST

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

No Mor Stones is a heavy favorite in a wide-open claiming sprint, but Sweet Winner's top speed figure and 28% simulation win share mean this isn't a one-horse race — there's legitimate value underneath for players willing to use multiple horses in exotics.

win7No Mor StonesML 6/5

No Mor Stones is the clear top choice with the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 89.71 and the third-fastest recent race speed at 12.86 sec/furlong. The jockey-trainer combo of Jean Aguilar and Miguel Penaloza has gone 24% wins and 60% in-the-money over the past year — a sharp combination. The horse has placed in each of the last three races, confirming excellent current form, and our simulations backed the morning line strongly with a 38% win share. At 6/5, there's not much value to chase here, but this is the horse to beat.

place1Sweet WinnerML 5/2

Sweet Winner makes a compelling place pick as the top speed-figure horse in the field — ranked first for recent race speed at 12.42 sec/furlong, faster than the favorite. With nine placings in 15 dirt starts and four in-the-money finishes in the last six races, this horse is remarkably consistent for a 60% in-the-money career rate. The 5/2 morning line offers real value in the place and exacta slots, and our sims gave this horse a 28% win share — close enough to the favorite to be a serious threat.

show3InmateML 9/2

Inmate is the speculative show pick here — the top workout in the field over the last month at 12.45 sec/furlong suggests the horse is working sharply coming into this spot. The concern is a cold recent form cycle with no placings in the last five races and a blank record in two starts at Parx Racing. At 9/2, this is a horse for the third slot in trifectas and exacta boxes rather than a straight-up win play — the workout angle is the hook.

We ran Race 5 10,000 times. Most wins:

7No Mor Stones38%
1Sweet Winner28%
3Inmate11%

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Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 6

2:20 PM EST

Starter Optional Claiming · 1 mi 70 yd · Dirt

Guaponess and Dreaming of Gerry lead a seven-horse Starter Optional Claiming field over a mile and 70 yards, with the top-rated horse coming from the six post and a sharp jockey-trainer combination giving the morning-line second choice a legitimate edge.

win6GuaponessML 4/1

Guaponess tops the TrackWiz ratings at 85.62 and ranks second for recent race speed at 12.60 sec/furlong — a strong combination of overall rating and sharp recent form. Nine wins and 29 placings in 44 dirt starts is an impressive career record that speaks to this horse's durability and class, and four placings in the last six races confirms the current form is very much alive. Jockey Francisco Martinez earns an A- grade and trainer Felix L. Flores-Coba also grades out at A-, making this a well-connected horse. At 4/1 with a 22.43% simulation win share, this is solid value at today's price.

place1Dreaming of GerryML 3/1

Dreaming of Gerry is our place selection and brings the second-highest TrackWiz rating at 83.43 along with a compelling jockey-trainer connection — the Martin Chuan/Jamie Ness combo has gone 29% wins and 79% in-the-money over the past year, one of the strongest pairings on the card today. The horse has a 59% career in-the-money rate and ranks third for recent race speed at 12.66 sec/furlong. The age concern at eight years old is worth acknowledging, but the connections and pace figures argue this horse will be right there in the stretch.

show3Recker PointML 7/2

Recker Point earns the show spot on the strength of an outstanding record at today's exact distance — one win and five placings in six starts at a mile and 70 yards. That's exceptional course-and-distance form. Six wins and 16 placings in 29 dirt starts adds to the profile, and three consecutive in-the-money finishes show the horse is in a good form cycle right now. At 7/2, this is a natural exotics addition for anyone playing the top two.

We ran Race 6 10,000 times. Most wins:

1Dreaming of Gerry26%
6Guaponess22%
3Recker Point18%

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Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 7

2:47 PM EST

Maiden Special Weight · 6 fur · Dirt

A Maiden Special Weight sprint where most of the field has little or no prior race experience — this is a workout and connections race, and the morning lines are tightly bunched between 5/2 and 6/1, signaling genuine uncertainty across the board.

win5VitalML 5/2

Vital gets the top TrackWiz rating at 57.5 and draws in at a 5/2 morning line, making this the implied choice of both the market and our model. With no published career win percentage or average speed figure available — this appears to be a horse with extremely limited or no prior race data — the pick leans heavily on connections and the model's overall rating. At 19.22% in our simulations, Vital leads the field in win probability, though in a maiden race with this much uncertainty, that's a slim edge. Worth anchoring your ticket but not betting heavily on.

place6ItsagrandplacetobeML 3/1

Itsagrandplacetobe draws the second-best TrackWiz rating at 56.67 and comes from trainer Louis C. Linder, Jr., who earns an A- grade. Similar to the top pick, available race data is limited, so the model is weighting connections and other factors heavily here. The horse holds an 18.61% simulation win share — nearly identical to Vital — making this a natural exacta pairing with the top pick at 3/1 morning line odds.

show2Sir PatrickML 7/2

Sir Patrick brings the most race data of the top picks — an average speed of 54 and recent race speed ranked first in the field at 12.80 sec/furlong. The Mychel J. Sanchez/Robert E. Reid, Jr. combination has gone 33% wins and 62% in-the-money over the past year, which is a sharp pairing for a maiden race. There's one recent non-placing to acknowledge, but the speed figures and elite jockey numbers make Sir Patrick a natural third-ticket option in trifectas.

We ran Race 7 10,000 times. Most wins:

5Vital19%
6Itsagrandplacetobe19%
2Sir Patrick18%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 8

3:14 PM EST

Starter Optional Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Formaggio heads the TrackWiz ratings in a Starter Optional Claiming sprint, but Mo Attitude's blazing recent speed and an in-the-money rate north of 65% make this a two-horse race at the top with Costa Amalfitana lurking as a dangerous third option.

win6FormaggioML 3/1

Formaggio earns the top TrackWiz rating at 83.75 and ranks third for recent race speed at 12.49 sec/furlong — solid but not the fastest in the field. The encouraging sign is consistency: three wins and nine placings in 17 dirt starts, plus two straight in-the-money finishes, suggest the horse is in a good groove. Jockey Dexter Haddock grades out at B and trainer Miguel A. Rodriguez at B-, which are workmanlike connections. Our simulations gave Formaggio a 24.61% win share, the highest in the race, and the 3/1 morning line makes this a fair-value top selection.

place3Mo AttitudeML 6/1

Mo Attitude is a fascinating overlay in the place slot — ranked second for recent race speed at 12.35 sec/furlong, this horse has gone three for seventeen on the dirt and placed in five of the last six races, one of the most consistent recent form cycles in today's card. A 65% career in-the-money rate is elite. The concerns are real: this horse is reportedly older than the field average and comes back on a short 22-day turnaround when it prefers more rest. At 6/1, those concerns are priced in, making Mo Attitude a legitimate exotics play.

show5Costa AmalfitanaML 5/2

Costa Amalfitana rounds out our ticket with the top recent race speed figure in the field at 12.28 sec/furlong — the fastest horse by that measure. The Mychel J. Sanchez/Jamie Ness connection has gone 29% wins and 67% in-the-money over the past year, one of the sharper pairings on today's card. Jockey Sanchez himself grades at A. The 5/2 morning line is tight but the speed edge and connections make this a natural place/show component in any exotics structure.

We ran Race 8 10,000 times. Most wins:

6Formaggio25%
5Costa Amalfitana23%
3Mo Attitude18%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 9

3:41 PM EST

Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Nicole's King tops the TrackWiz ratings at the top of a claiming sprint, but Liberte de Bayeux's extraordinary dirt record and 72% career in-the-money rate make this a race where the second-rated horse is arguably just as dangerous — sharp bettors should use both.

win4Nicole's KingML 4/1

Nicole's King leads all horses with the top TrackWiz rating at 85.62 and posts the fastest recent race speed in the field at 12.19 sec/furlong — that's a double-barreled advantage. The horse has placed in each of the last two races and hit the board in four of the last six outings, showing sharp current form coming into today. With a 23% simulation win share and a 4/1 morning line, this is the best value at the top of the race — better price than the numbers might suggest.

place1Liberte de BayeuxML 5/1

Liberte de Bayeux is one of the most accomplished horses on today's entire card — six wins and 16 placings in just 20 dirt starts, translating to an extraordinary 72% career in-the-money rate. Ranked second for recent race speed at 12.21 sec/furlong — essentially tied with the top pick — and with four placings in the last six races, the form is current and sharp. The trainer grades out at C, which is the one soft spot, but at 5/1 with a 21% simulation win share, this horse offers tremendous place and exacta value.

show3Amazing WooML 5/1

Amazing Woo holds the third-best TrackWiz rating at 73.37 and brings an outstanding overall dirt record — five wins and 23 placings in 32 starts, good for a 71% in-the-money rate that rivals Liberte de Bayeux's. The horse has placed in five of the last six races and in each of the last two outings, confirming excellent current form. The class bump from $5,000 to $7,500 is a concern worth noting, but at 5/1, this is a natural exotics piece and a strong show bet.

We ran Race 9 10,000 times. Most wins:

4Nicole's King23%
1Liberte de Bayeux21%
3Amazing Woo17%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

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Bottom line for November 12 at Parx: Bliss Street is the free play of the day — speed figures, jockey stats, and sim numbers all pointing the same direction at a price worth taking. Beyond Race 1, this is a card where the rain adds intrigue and our models have uncovered some real overlay spots in the premium races. Subscribers get the full picture — pace projections, exotic tickets, and the complete nine-race breakdown. Good luck out there, and as always, bet smart.

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