Parx Racing Picks & Predictions — November 11, 2026

Little Gussie owns the fastest recent figure in this field at 12.79 sec/furlong and has an excellent record at this trip — 1 win and placed in 4 of 6 starts at 5½ furlongs. Her overall dirt form reads 1 win with 7 placings from 10 starts, and a 61% career in-the-money rate is among the best here. The only wrinkle is a short 10-day turnaround when she's historically performed better with 30-plus days between races — something to keep in mind.

Vorstin brings a compelling angle: a claiming price drop from $16,000 down to $7,500, which puts her significantly below the level she's been competing at. The Chuan-Ness combo behind her has combined for a 29% win rate and 79% in-the-money mark over the past year, and Vorstin's 33% career win rate reflects a sharp horse. At 2/1 on the morning line she's well-regarded by the public — use her confidently in exactas and trifectas.

Seismic Shift ranks second in our ratings at 62.57 and also comes in off a class drop — from $40,000 down to $25,000 — which is a meaningful concession in maiden ranks. Her workout ranks second in the field over the past month at 12.29 sec/furlong, backing up the fitness angle, and jockey Andrew Wolfsont has posted a 19% win rate over the past year. Three consecutive off-the-board efforts are a concern, but the class relief and sharp works suggest a turnaround is possible.

Peephole brings the strongest connections in the race — the Martin Chuan and Jamie Ness combo has combined for a 29% win rate and 79% in-the-money rate over the past year, numbers that stand out in any field. She ranks third in recent speed (13.38 sec/furlong) and her rating of 55 ties for third in the field. Exotics players should include her as a live show option on the strength of those elite connections alone.

Southern Dream ranks second in our model at 70.72 and owns the second-fastest recent figure in the field at 12.51 sec/furlong, which stands out in this sprint. She's also shown multiple wins at today's surface and distance combination — a spot-on form edge — and her workouts over the past month have been described as strong. At 5/1 on the morning line and with a 14.86% sim win share, she offers real value in exacta wheels.

Iron Sharpens Iron has gone in-the-money in 2 of 3 career tries at 6½ furlongs, making this distance a relative comfort zone. Dexter Haddock — an A- rated jockey — is a solid booking, and the horse's overall 47% career in-the-money rate suggests a reliable shot at the minor awards even when not winning. The concern is recent form — just 1 placing in the last 6 starts — so he's strictly a show and exotic inclusion here, not a win play.

Flirtin Again sits second in our ratings for this race at 56.79 and has placed in each of her last 3 starts, with 4 placings from her last 6 races showing reliable consistency. Her recent speed of 12.77 sec/furlong ranks third in the field, and Dexter Haddock is a sharp riding choice. She's available at 5/1 on the morning line, making her an attractive place-bet value if Honor Our Country runs as expected.

Gingersayschill has quietly built a terrific recent form line — placed in 5 of her last 6 races — and her record in medium-distance races (1 win and 3 placings from 4 starts) fits this 1-mile-70-yard trip perfectly. With a 56% career in-the-money rate and a 4/1 morning line, she offers solid value as a show selection and trifecta leg. If the top two hold, she's the most likely horse to complete the board.

Fromanothamutha sits second in our ratings at 71.61 and owns the fastest recent figure in the field at 12.61 sec/furlong — meaning he brings legitimate late speed to this route. He's placed in his last 2 starts and his sim win share of 18% outpaces his 7/2 morning line probability. The age concern (7 years old) and a claiming price bump from $5,000 to $7,500 are worth acknowledging, but the form figures argue he belongs.

Epic Luck is the 9/5 morning-line second choice, and while our model ranks him third in the field at 65.56, his dirt career résumé is extensive — 9 wins and 23 placings from 46 starts, with multiple wins at today's surface and distance. The age concern (7 years old) is real, and jockey Frankie Pennington grades out at C+, but that career record and a 43% in-the-money rate make him a reasonable show and exacta inclusion at likely short odds.

Nancy Made My Day is the horse to beat for the place, with a stellar record specifically at this trip — 4 wins and placed in 5 of 7 career starts at 6½ furlongs. Her overall dirt record of 10 wins from 34 starts with a 51% in-the-money rate shows a consistent performer, and her recent speed of 12.09 sec/furlong ranks second in the field. Dexter Haddock is a sound jockey choice, and her 15.55% sim win share makes the 6/1 morning line an attractive overlay.

Coach Bennett has been quietly putting together one of the better recent form lines in this field — placed in 5 of his last 6 starts and in each of his last 3 — with a 62% career in-the-money rate. His dirt record of 2 wins and 5 placings from 8 starts is respectable at the allowance level, and Abner Adorno is a solid pilot. At 7/2 on the morning line he won't pay huge, but his consistency makes him a reliable trifecta anchor.

Onishenko ranks second in our model at 72.08 and brings a 33% career win rate along with a 3-race in-the-money streak heading into today. His dirt record shows 2 wins and 3 placings from 6 starts, and the Demasi barn holds a B trainer grade. The knock is a recent speed figure that ranks seventh in the field, so he'll need pace help to find himself in position — but his current form trend is undeniable.

We Miss Neil sits third in our ratings at 71.25 and owns the fastest recent speed figure in the field at 12.59 sec/furlong — a meaningful edge in a 6½-furlong dirt sprint. He also won his most recent start on October 20th, bringing live winning form into this race, and jockey Silvestre Gonzalez is a capable A- rated pilot. At 4/1 on the morning line he's a solid show value and a natural trifecta leg behind the top two.