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Mountaineer Picks & Predictions — September 23, 2026

September 23, 20268 racesAll Mountaineer picks

Here's our expert breakdown of today's 8-race card at Mountaineer. We've identified 3 standout races with strong plays — see our analysis below. Full card picks for all 8 races are available to TrackWiz subscribers.

Best Bets

Race 1

11:00 PM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Turf

Imprudent towers over this field on our ratings — significant gap back to the rest of the shortlist.

win9ImprudentML 2/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 88.5 for Race 1. Ridden by Luis Alberto Batista, trained by Nestor R. Rivera. For past year, Jockey has a 17% win rate and finished in the money in 51% of races. Has placed in the last 3 races. Has placed in 5 of the last 6 races. 1 wins and placed in 4 of 5 races at Mountaineer. Has placed in 2 of 3 at Sprint races. Jockey & Horse combo has a 17% win rate and finished in the money in 51% of races. Placed in 2 of 3 races on Turf tracks. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place10Itza KittyML 5/1

Rating board at 72.5. Ridden by Luis Negron. For past year, Jockey has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 58% of races. Has placed in the last 2 races.

show3MazarnML 10/1

Rating board at 68.6. Ridden by Bailey Weatherly. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.38 sec/furlong. Has placed in the last 4 races.

Race 2

11:25 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 fur · Turf

Bet-down spot for Sneaky Sneaky — the rating gap is wide enough that we treat this as a key single.

win6Sneaky SneakyML 4/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 85.6 for Race 2. Ridden by Ricardo Barrios, trained by Jeff Fletcher. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.50 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 18% win rate and finished in the money in 48% of races. Has placed in the last 4 races. Has placed in 5 of the last 6 races. Has 1 wins and placed in 5 of 6 races at 5 fur. Placed in 4 of 4 races at Mountaineer.

place3BalamML 5/1

Rating board at 83.4 • 25% career wins. Ridden by Luis Alberto Batista. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 11.55 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 17% win rate and finished in the money in 51% of races.

show10Golden CookieML 2/1

Rating board at 70.8. Ridden by Michael Y. Pagan. Has placed in the last 3 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races.

Race 3

11:50 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 fur · Turf

Standout on paper: Miss Queue grades multiple points clear of the rest of the field.

win6Miss QueueML 2/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 88.5 for Race 3. Ridden by Erik Barbaran, trained by Jay P. Bernardini. For past year, Jockey has a 26% win rate and finished in the money in 68% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 26% win rate and finished in the money in 71% of races. Has placed in the last 2 races. Has placed in 5 of the last 6 races. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List. Jockey appears in today's Top 50 Jockeys List.

place2Bien FresaML 5/1

Rating board at 78.7 • 33% career wins. Ridden by Bailey Weatherly. Has placed in the last 4 races. Has placed in 2 of the last 2 races.

show4Aurora's MusicML 10/1

Rating board at 75.0. Ridden by Kevin Gonzalez. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.55 sec/furlong. Has placed in the last 2 races.

Our top picks for today focus on races with clear edges in speed figures, trainer form, and track bias. These are the spots where we see the most value on the board.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 4

12:15 AM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Johnny Lies is the class of the rating board here, with the next-best a meaningful step behind.

win7Johnny LiesML 5/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 87.8 for Race 4. Ridden by Deshawn L. Parker, trained by Anthony Farrior. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.69 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 21% win rate and finished in the money in 59% of races. 1 wins and placed in 5 of 10 races on Dirt tracks. Horse appears in today's Top 50 Horses List.

place3Crime LordML 3/1

Rating board at 85.5. Ridden by Charle Oliveros. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.72 sec/furlong. 1 wins and placed in 5 of 8 races on Dirt tracks.

show5One Step BeyondML 9/2

Rating board at 77.4. Ridden by Jose A. Leon. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 12.79 sec/furlong. 1 wins and placed in 11 of 20 races on Dirt tracks.

Race 5

12:40 AM EDT

Claiming · 5 fur · Dirt

Clear separation at the top of the rating board — Bohemian Style looks standout with daylight to the rest.

win3Bohemian StyleML 7/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 83.1 for Race 5. Ridden by Elijah Greenidge, trained by Jami C. Poole. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 19% win rate and finished in the money in 56% of races. 3 wins and placed in 17 of 27 races on Dirt tracks.

place7Holy SaintML 9/2

Rating board at 80.1 • 22% career wins. Ridden by Miguel L. Martinez. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.68 sec/furlong. 14 wins and placed in 36 of 60 races on Dirt tracks.

show2Smart CoverageML 8/1

Rating board at 79.8. Ridden by Norberto Arroyo, Jr.. For past year, Jockey has a 20% win rate and finished in the money in 64% of races. 2 wins and placed in 7 of 14 races on Dirt tracks.

Race 6

1:05 AM EDT

Claiming · 5 fur · Dirt

Flight Control towers over this field on our ratings — significant gap back to the rest of the shortlist.

win2Flight ControlML 2/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 86.5 for Race 6. Career win rate of 31% shows consistency. Ridden by Jose A. Leon, trained by Juan Pablo Silva. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 11.78 sec/furlong. 6 wins and placed in 10 of 16 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 4 races. Has placed in 5 of the last 6 races. 1 wins and placed in 3 of 3 races at Mountaineer. Horse won last time it raced. 09/14/2026.

place5Crystal ProofML 5/2

Rating board at 86.2 • 27% career wins. Ridden by Juan Pablo Silva, Jr.. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.29 sec/furlong. 5 wins and placed in 11 of 16 races on Dirt tracks.

show3StuboldML 9/2

Rating board at 84.9. Ridden by Brandon Tapara. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 29% win rate and finished in the money in 71% of races. 4 wins and placed in 19 of 30 races on Dirt tracks.

Race 7

1:30 AM EDT

Allowance · 1 mi · Dirt

Bet-down spot for Doom Loop — the rating gap is wide enough that we treat this as a key single.

win7Doom LoopML 8/1

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 79.8 for Race 7. Ridden by Deshawn L. Parker, trained by Eddie Clouston. Ranked 3rd for recent race speed at 13.17 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 21% win rate and finished in the money in 59% of races. 2 wins and placed in 6 of 9 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 4 races. Has placed in 4 of the last 6 races. Jockey & Horse combo has a 21% win rate and finished in the money in 59% of races. Horse won last time it raced. 08/30/2026.

place3Trust the ClimbML 5/2

Rating board at 77.3. Ridden by Luis Negron. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.71 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 25% win rate and finished in the money in 58% of races.

show2MitoteML 3/1

Rating board at 76.3 • 28% career wins. Ridden by Luis Alberto Batista. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.83 sec/furlong. For past year, Jockey has a 17% win rate and finished in the money in 51% of races.

Race 8

1:55 AM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

Standout on paper: Romantic Jewel grades multiple points clear of the rest of the field.

win3Romantic JewelML 7/2

Tops the TrackWiz rating board at 86.3 for Race 8. Ridden by Kyle Gilbert, trained by John T. Brown. Ranked 1st for recent race speed at 12.78 sec/furlong. 5 wins and placed in 36 of 63 races on Dirt tracks. Has placed in the last 3 races. Has placed in 5 of the last 6 races. Jockey & Horse combo has a 9% win rate and finished in the money in 33% of races. More than 1 win on today's surface/distance. Horse won last time raced at today's surface/distance.

place5Photo FinishML 3/1

Rating board at 79.6 • 22% career wins. Ridden by Erik Barbaran. For past year, Jockey has a 26% win rate and finished in the money in 68% of races. For past year, Jockey & Trainer Combo has a 26% win rate and finished in the money in 71% of races.

show4Seems to WhisperML 8/1

Rating board at 75.1. Ridden by Maikol Vilchez. Ranked 2nd for recent race speed at 12.79 sec/furlong. 6 wins and placed in 19 of 37 races on Dirt tracks.

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