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Mountaineer Picks & Predictions — June 22, 2026

June 22, 20268 racesAll Mountaineer picks

This card ran on June 22, 2026.

Best bets at Mountaineer, June 22, 2026

Race 13The Groom's JulML 3/17:00 PM EDT

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It's a wet one at Mountaineer Park today. Rain is falling and temperatures are sitting at 67°F, which means the dirt is going to play heavy and the turf courses could get soft in a hurry. Any time the weather gets involved like this, you've got to throw out some of your default assumptions and think carefully about which horses genuinely like to run through the slop — and which ones are going to be miserable out there.

We've got an 8-race card on tap, mixing Maiden Special Weight sprints with a string of Claiming routes and a couple of turf tests that may or may not even go off on the grass depending on how conditions develop. The surface calls are worth watching right up until post time.

TrackWiz analysis has identified strong top picks across all 8 races, with ratings ranging from the low 84s up to an 88.54 on Priority Lane in Race 6 — the highest-rated horse on the entire card. There's plenty to work with today, and the wet conditions actually open the door for some value plays that the crowd might sleep on.

Best Bets

Race 1

7:00 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 fur · Turf

A wide-open maiden special weight on the turf sees two standout TrackWiz ratings clustered at the top, but the morning line tells a different story — the public is leaning toward the 8/5 shot while our model favors the 3/1.

win3The Groom's JulML 3/1

The Groom's Jul earns the top TrackWiz rating in this field at 87.08, edging out the morning-line favorite in our model despite going off at 3/1. Trainer Devan Ewell Sr. also saddles Midnight Stroller in this same race, giving the barn a strong two-horse presence on the turf. With an average speed figure of 51 matching the field average, the edge here is in overall profile and race shape — if jockey Agustin Bracho can find a clean trip on the short five-furlong turf sprint, this one has the tools to wire or run down whoever goes to the front.

place8All Roads to DenisML 8/5

All Roads to Denis is the morning-line favorite at 8/5 and carries the second-highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 84.68, making this a legitimate contender even if our model slots it just behind The Groom's Jul. Jockey Elijah Greenidge gets the call for trainer Angelo G. Jackson, and an average speed figure of 52 — tied for the field's best — suggests this horse has the raw speed to hit the board in a maiden turf sprint. At 8/5, the value isn't overwhelming, but it's a safe place target in a volatile maiden field.

show6Midnight StrollerML 8/1

Midnight Stroller at 8/1 on the morning line is the standout value play in exotics here, posting a TrackWiz rating of 76.98 — third-best in the field and a meaningful gap above the mid-pack horses. Trainer Devan Ewell Sr. has two bullets in this race, and stable confidence is worth noting when a barn doubles up. For tri and superfecta construction, Midnight Stroller under Jorge A. Monserrate Jr. deserves a spot at a juicy price.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

7:25 PM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Turf

A sprawling 13-horse turf claiming field at seven furlongs sets up as a pace puzzle, but one horse's TrackWiz rating stands a full tier above the rest — the question is whether the morning line reflects that edge.

win13RemertonML 3/1

Remerton draws the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 87.08 and posts the top average speed figure at 54 — a tick faster than anything else in this field. At 3/1 on the morning line, trainer Juan Pablo Silva sends out a horse that our model clearly favors, and jockey Luis Negron is a sharp booking for a horse with this kind of profile. The seven-furlong turf distance rewards horses that can sustain pace, and Remerton's speed figure advantage sets this one up nicely to be involved late.

place2Toast to CoastML 6/1

Toast to Coast at 6/1 morning line represents real value in the place spot, carrying a TrackWiz rating of 71.46 that ranks fifth in the field but comes with a 13% career win rate that speaks to consistency. Trainer Jay P. Bernardini and jockey Brandon Whitacre team up here, and at a price well above the co-favorites, there's meaningful overlay potential if this horse runs to its number. In a field this large, a horse with solid ratings and a double-digit morning line is exactly the type to target in exacta and trifecta keys.

show3VersatileML 9/2

Versatile slots in at 9/2 on the morning line with a TrackWiz rating of 71.05 and an average speed figure of 53 — competitive figures in a wide field. Trainer Shane M. Spiess sends this one out with an 11% career win rate, nothing flashy but serviceable, and the price is fair for show coverage. In a 13-horse field on turf, horses with consistent speed figures tend to find the board more often than the chaos-prone longshots.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 13 runners

Our three free picks today span the early part of the card and each one comes with its own story. In the opener, a 5-furlong turf Maiden Special Weight, The Groom's Jul draws our top rating and opens at a fair 3/1 on the morning line — though keep an eye on whether that turf course holds up under the rain before you commit. Race 2 shifts to 7 furlongs on the turf, where Remerton carries an identical 87.08 TrackWiz rating and the same 3/1 price. Then in Race 3 we're back on the dirt for a 5½-furlong Claiming sprint, and that's where Alfie Solomons jumps out as a 5/1 morning line shot worth circling — that price suggests the crowd may be underestimating him, and on a wet track where speed figures can get scrambled, overlays like this are exactly what you want to be hunting.

The common thread across these three free picks? All of them figure to benefit from a clear read on pace — none of these are deep-closer lotto tickets. They're horses our model likes at the numbers, in conditions where the right tactical position early can be the difference between a win photo and an also-ran.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

7:50 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

The top of this dirt claiming field is genuinely competitive with four horses bunched tightly in the TrackWiz ratings — but the 5/1 morning line on our top pick signals there may be some value hiding in plain sight.

win5Alfie SolomonsML 5/1

Alfie Solomons leads our TrackWiz model with an 84.17 rating and posts an average speed figure of 53, consistent with the top horses in this field. Trainer Crystal Richison has this one going off at 5/1 on the morning line, which feels generous given where the model lands, and jockey Kevin Gonzalez gets the call on a horse that figures to be within striking distance throughout the 5½-furlong dirt trip. A 14% career win rate is modest but the speed and ratings edge is what drives this selection.

place4Post FactoML 5/2

Post Facto is the morning-line favorite at 5/2 and backs it up with a TrackWiz rating of 81.9 — second-best in the field — along with a strong 26% career win rate, best among the top contenders. Trainer/jockey combo Alejandro Gomez doing double duty here is an angle worth noting; when a trainer is confident enough to put himself up, that's a form of stable conviction. The speed figure of 52 is a touch below Alfie Solomons, which is why we slot Post Facto second, but this is a legitimate win threat and a must-use in your exotics.

show3Jedi's WayML 4/1

Jedi's Way at 4/1 rounds out our top three with a TrackWiz rating of 78.81 and a career win rate of 20% — the second-highest among the top contenders in this spot. Ricardo Barrios aboard for trainer Denis Cluley gives this one a quality rider, and an average speed of 53 matches the top of the field. For trifecta players, Jedi's Way is a flexible piece that could easily finish anywhere in the top three.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 4

8:15 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 fur · Dirt

This five-furlong dirt claiming sprint has three horses separated by just over four points in the TrackWiz model, setting up a tight top-tier battle — but only one of them is priced at 3/1.

win7Joe PhillipsML 3/1

Joe Phillips tops our TrackWiz model for Race 4 with an 84.31 rating and carries a 3/1 morning line that offers solid value given the edge our analysis sees. Jockey Norberto Arroyo Jr. is a strong booking for trainer Juan Pablo Silva, a barn that also had the win pick in Race 5 — a pattern worth following on a card. The average speed figure of 53 matches the top cluster of this field, and in a five-furlong sprint on dirt, clean early positioning from a skilled rider can be the difference.

place6ScratchoffML 9/2

Scratchoff at 9/2 sits just behind Joe Phillips at a TrackWiz rating of 82.12 and posts an average speed of 53, making this a neck-and-neck matchup on the numbers. Trainer Jami C. Poole sends this one out with an 8% career win rate — the same as Joe Phillips — so neither has a significant edge in that department, but the price gap is notable. Scratchoff is a natural place to slot in your exactas beneath Joe Phillips, and at 9/2, the odds are live enough to justify a win play as well.

show4Courthouse CoveML 7/2

Courthouse Cove at 7/2 morning line carries an 80.24 TrackWiz rating — third-best in the field — and a 13% career win rate that speaks to a horse capable of hitting the board consistently. Trainer Crystal Richison, who also has the top pick in Race 3, saddles Courthouse Cove here under jockey Deshawn L. Parker. With an average speed of 53 and a fair price, this one is a solid show anchor and a reasonable piece in trifecta combinations.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 5

8:40 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A one-mile dirt claiming route features a clear TrackWiz standout at the top, but the pace scenario could favor a speedball sitting just off the early fractions — watch the early splits closely.

win3Sip'n' SpeedML 3/1

Sip'n' Speed carries our top TrackWiz rating at the maximum 87.08 and is the clear model top-choice in a field where no one else comes particularly close at the top. Trainer Jay P. Bernardini puts Brandon Whitacre up, a solid connection, and while the 5% career win rate is something to note, that figure can be misleading in routes where horse form cycles matter more than raw hit rates. At 3/1 on the morning line, this is a fair price for the top-rated horse in the field and our best bet of the race.

place5J RiversML 5/2

J Rivers at 5/2 on the morning line posts the best average speed figure in the entire field at 55 — a meaningful advantage over a group that averages around 50 — and carries a TrackWiz rating of 72.81. Trainer Ramon Preciado sends this one out with Norberto Arroyo Jr. in the irons, and a 11% career win rate is respectable for a one-mile claiming spot. If the pace collapses or Sip'n' Speed faces a hard trip, J Rivers' speed edge late could steal the show.

show7Handle On YouML 4/1

Handle On You at 4/1 brings a 70.07 TrackWiz rating and an 8% career win rate, sitting comfortably in the third tier of this field's rankings. Trainer Juan C. Vazquez has the 4/1 morning line suggesting the barn is pointing this one toward a competitive effort, and jockey Michael Y. Pagan is a capable handler for a route race. In a nine-horse field going a mile, this horse has enough rating support to anchor your trifecta's show slot with confidence.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 6

9:05 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

Priority Lane looms as a heavy favorite in this one-mile dirt claimer — but the real intrigue is whether the 10/1 place pick can outrun expectations and make the exacta worth chasing.

win6Priority LaneML 2/1

Priority Lane is the clear standout in Race 6, topping the TrackWiz model at 88.54 and drawing the 2/1 morning line — the shortest price on the card for a non-maiden race. Trainer Jay P. Bernardini teams up with Francisco Garcia, and an average speed figure of 53 is tied for best in the field. The one caution flag is a 6% career win rate, but at a mile on dirt in a claiming field, the overall profile here is commanding enough that we're confident in this as our best bet of the evening.

place3TizawhitefacecatML 10/1

Tizawhitefacecat at 10/1 morning line is the value play in the place spot, sporting a TrackWiz rating of 66.59 — a clear third-best in the field — and an average speed figure of 53 that ties the top of the group. Trainer Denis Cluley puts Kevin Gonzalez aboard, and a 14% career win rate suggests this horse knows how to find the board. At double-digit odds, if Tizawhitefacecat runs to its rating, the exacta payout with Priority Lane on top could be a very worthwhile ticket.

show1Hard AstrayML 4/1

Hard Astray at 4/1 morning line is anchored by the best career win rate in this field at 25% — a genuine indicator that this horse has found the winner's circle before and competes consistently. Trainer Jeff Fletcher sends this one out with Yuri Yaranga aboard, and a TrackWiz rating of 62.93 puts this solidly in the conversation for show in an eight-horse field. For players building a trifecta around the 2/1 favorite, Hard Astray is a sensible third leg at a reasonable price.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 7

9:30 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

An intriguing maiden special weight on dirt features a heavy TrackWiz favorite going off at just 3/1, while several first-time starters cloud the form picture — unknown quantities make this one tricky to handicap beyond the top two.

win7Doom LoopML 3/1

Doom Loop sits at the peak of our TrackWiz model with an 87.08 rating — well clear of everyone except Candy for Cynthia — and is trained by J. Michael Baird, who also saddles Califragilistic in this race, signaling stable confidence in the barn's entries. Francisco Garcia picks up the mount, and an average speed figure of 53 is best among horses with available data in this field. At 3/1 on the morning line, Doom Loop is a fair-priced top choice that TrackWiz analysis clearly backs.

place3Candy for CynthiaML 7/2

Candy for Cynthia at 7/2 on the morning line posts an 81.77 TrackWiz rating — second-best in the field — and an average speed of 51 for trainer John R. Shuler. Michael Y. Pagan gets the mount, a solid combination in a maiden dirt sprint where pace and handling can matter as much as raw ability. The tight gap between Doom Loop and Candy for Cynthia suggests a potential one-two finish, and the place ticket here is a logical complement to our win pick.

show8Shook Me All NightML 5/1

Shook Me All Night at 5/1 brings a TrackWiz rating of 68.11 — a clear step above the mid-pack — and is trained by Lawrence E. Perry Jr. with jockey Sunday Diaz Jr. in the irons. No average speed figure is available, which adds some uncertainty, but the overall rating profile puts this one squarely in the discussion for a board finish in an eight-horse maiden field. For trifecta players looking to spread the third slot, Shook Me All Night at 5/1 offers a workable price with model-backed upside.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 8

9:55 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

A full field of 12 in this dirt claiming sprint features two horses rated in the mid-80s that stand well above the rest — this shapes up as a two-horse race at the top with a deep supporting cast vying for the show.

win1Princess AzaraML 7/2

Princess Azara earns the top TrackWiz rating in Race 8 at 86.35, landing just ahead of Mariette in our model despite going off at 7/2 on the morning line compared to Mariette's 5/2. Trainer Jay P. Bernardini, who has had significant success on this card, sends out Princess Azara with Francisco Garcia aboard — a sharp jockey-trainer duo. A 9% career win rate is modest, but the overall rating edge and a speed figure of 52 in a 5½-furlong dirt sprint puts this one in the driver's seat for our top selection.

place12MarietteML 5/2

Mariette at 5/2 is the morning-line favorite and backs it up with an 85.06 TrackWiz rating and the best average speed figure in the field at 54 — a genuine raw speed advantage in a sprint. Trainer Juan Pablo Silva puts Luis Negron up, a combination that has been in the thick of the action on this card, and a 14% career win rate is the best among the top contenders. If the pace sets up in Mariette's favor, this horse has every tool to flip the script on Princess Azara and win outright.

show3Dream LifeML 9/2

Dream Life at 9/2 morning line represents the best value in the show slot with a TrackWiz rating of 59.48 and a 20% career win rate — the highest among any horse in this race outside the top two picks. Trainer Eric R. Reed sends this one out with Charle Oliveros aboard, and while the speed figure of 51 trails the top duo, in a wide field of 12 the third-place spot is very much in play for a horse with a 20% hit rate. For trifecta players, Dream Life is a solid bottom-leg inclusion at a price that pays.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

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Bottom line: Mountaineer's wet card today offers real opportunity for the prepared bettor. The Groom's Jul, Remerton, and Alfie Solomons headline our free analysis, and Priority Lane stands out as the day's marquee selection at the top of our ratings. For pace projections, exotic breakdowns, and the full 8-race write-up, subscribers can access everything at TrackWiz Premium. Good luck out there — and watch those surface reports before you fire.

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