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Mountaineer Picks & Predictions — June 21, 2026

June 21, 20268 racesAll Mountaineer picks

This card ran on June 21, 2026.

Best bets at Mountaineer, June 21, 2026

Race 14A Little Bit CrazyML 7/17:00 PM EDT

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Happy Sunday from Mountaineer Park, where an 8-race card is on tap under cloudy skies and a comfortable 73°F. Conditions are about as cooperative as you'll get for a summer afternoon in West Virginia — no rain in the air, no brutal heat, and the turf course should be playing true.

What makes today's card interesting is the heavy dose of grass racing right in the heart of the card. Three of the first four races go on the turf, which means surface form is going to matter more than usual. If you've been tracking horses dropping onto grass or shipping in with turf pedigrees, today's a card worth paying close attention to.

We've got picks across all 8 races, with three races open to everyone and the full breakdown — Races 4 through 8 — available to TrackWiz subscribers. Let's get into it.

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Race 1

7:00 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Two horses separated from the field by TrackWiz ratings — but both sit near 81 — making this a legit battle at the top, with the morning line favorite well back in the ratings.

win4A Little Bit CrazyML 7/1

A Little Bit Crazy earns our top rating at 81.25 despite going off at 7/1 on the morning line — that's the kind of gap between public perception and our numbers that gets handicappers excited. Trainer Jami C. Poole sends out Elijah Greenidge, and with an 18% career win rate, this horse has shown it knows how to finish first. At 5.5 furlongs on dirt, horses who rate this highly at a claiming level tend to have the tactical speed to control their own destiny. The value here is real — don't let the odds fool you.

place2Sweet Queen BeeML 7/2

Sweet Queen Bee is the morning line choice at 7/2 and backs it up with a 23% career win rate — the best in the field — and a TrackWiz rating of 80.93, just a whisker behind our top pick. Luis Alberto Batista gets the call, and trainer Julie Stansbury has a horse with the consistency to hit the board even if she gets outdueled at the wire. In a race where the top two are this close in the ratings, Sweet Queen Bee makes a strong case for exacta inclusion.

show3StuboldML 6/1

Stubold at 6/1 is an intriguing show option with an average speed figure of 54 — tied for the field's best — even if the 11% career win rate is modest. Trainer Nestor R. Rivera puts Alexander Chavez up, and this is the kind of horse whose speed numbers suggest more talent than the win record reveals. In a three-way claiming scramble at 5.5 furlongs, pace can collapse quickly and a horse with Stubold's raw speed can pick up the pieces.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

7:25 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Turf

A mile on the turf brings out a genuine pace question — the field splits between two horses rated in the 80s and a cluster of mid-60s types, with the public's 3/1 favorite sitting just a fraction behind our top-rated horse.

win2Judge RulesML 5/1

Judge Rules earns the highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 84.17 despite a modest 9% career win rate — a signal that this horse has been running well without always closing the deal, and that could change in the right spot. Erik Barbaran gets the mount for trainer Jay P. Bernardini, a conditioner who places horses well in route turf situations. At 5/1 on the morning line, there's genuine overlay value if the rating holds up over a mile on the grass. This is a horse whose numbers say it belongs at the front of the exotics.

place5BosleyML 3/1

Bosley is the public's choice at 3/1 and very nearly matches Judge Rules in our ratings at 83.92 — the two are essentially a coin flip on paper. Trainer Denis Cluley sends out Kevin Gonzalez, and Bosley's 15% career win rate gives it a leg up in the reliability department. With both top horses bunched so tightly in the numbers, Bosley's place ticket looks like a near-lock in a competitive turf mile.

show1Silver FrontML 6/1

Silver Front opens at 6/1 and carries a TrackWiz rating of 69.0 — well clear of the mid-pack horses in this field. Alexander Chavez has been active on the Mountaineer turf, and trainer Shane Meyers has a horse that should handle the mile surface. As a show play, Silver Front offers a safety net in a race where the two top-rated horses could easily fight each other to a draw.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Our free analysis covers Races 1, 2, and 3 — and there's a nice thread connecting all three: pace. The early part of this card features scenarios where early speed either dominates or gets challenged hard, and reading that correctly is the difference between cashing and watching. A Little Bit Crazy kicks things off in Race 1 on the dirt sprint, where our ratings peg her as the top selection at a juicy 7/1 morning line. In Race 2, Judge Rules moves to the turf going a mile — a classic setup for a horse whose dirt form may have undersold their real ability. And in Race 3, New Age Bad Girl enters as our highest-rated free pick at 87.08, morning-lined at 3/1, which isn't a lot of value — but the rating says she's earned it.

The turf bias angle is worth noting across Races 2 and 3: watch for horses with grass breeding or prior turf experience even in cheaper claiming company. On a firm or near-firm course, that experience gap between turf-savvy runners and dirt converts tends to show up in the stretch.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

7:50 PM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Turf

A large twelve-horse turf field at seven furlongs creates a pace puzzle, but one horse stands clearly above the rest on our ratings — the question is whether the crowd notices before post time.

win6New Age Bad GirlML 3/1

New Age Bad Girl is the standout of this race with a TrackWiz rating of 87.08 — the highest by more than ten points over the next horse in line. She also posts the top average speed figure in the field at 55, a meaningful edge in a turf sprint where pace dynamics can get chaotic. Trainer Shane Meyers puts Alexander Chavez back up, and with an 18% career win rate, this filly has the profile of a horse that wins when pointed correctly. At 3/1 on the morning line, she's not a hidden gem, but the numbers fully justify the favoritism.

place5Girl ByeML 4/1

Girl Bye at 4/1 is an appealing alternative with a TrackWiz rating of 76.62 and an average speed figure of 54 — matching several of the top horses in raw pace. Trainer Jeff Fletcher sends Yuri Yaranga out in what figures to be a tactical turf sprint, and a horse with an 11% career win rate in a field this size has shown the ability to be competitive without always winning. The place ticket here offers solid value if New Age Bad Girl takes it straight to the wire.

show3Worldly BeautyML 9/2

Worldly Beauty opens at 9/2 and rates third on our numbers at 70.9 — a clear step ahead of the back half of this large field. Brandon Whitacre rides for Jay P. Bernardini, who already has two horses in this race and clearly likes the spot. The 13% career win rate is workmanlike, but in a twelve-horse field on turf, hitting the board is a realistic outcome for a horse of this caliber.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 12 runners

Race 4

8:15 PM EDT

Claiming · 7 fur · Turf

Fourteen runners spread across a wide morning line make this the most wide-open race on the card — our top-rated horse is going off at 8/1, which tells you everything about how much sorting out the public still has to do.

win1Why Not MeML 8/1

Why Not Me sits atop our ratings in Race 4 at 79.79 — and the 8/1 morning line makes this one of the more glaring value plays on the card. Trainer Chad T. Skelton sends out Rocco Bowen, a jockey who's no stranger to Mountaineer's turf course, and at seven furlongs there's room for a horse with a 12% career win rate to find its best position. When our ratings put a horse this clearly ahead of the field and the morning line is 8/1, it's worth doubling down in the win spot.

place13LouisianimalML 5/1

Louisianimal (post 13) brings the best average speed figure among our top picks in this race at 55, and trainer Ron G. Potts has a horse with a 20% career win rate that belongs in this conversation. Martina Rojas gets the mount, and at 5/1 on the morning line, this is one of the more straightforwardly priced place horses on the day. In a sprawling fourteen-horse field, horses with speed figures on the high end tend to stay near the front and hit the board.

show4LetmeknowbeforeugoML 3/1

Letmeknowbeforeugo at 3/1 rates third on our numbers at 73.52 and brings an average speed of 54 to a seven-furlong turf test. The unique angle here: Alejandro Gomez rides and trains this horse, which means the connections are completely aligned — the trainer knows exactly what he has. A 17% career win rate in a field this big is respectable, and the show ticket is a reasonable hedge in what figures to be a messy result.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 14 runners

Race 5

8:40 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Game Maker enters as a clear class standout by our ratings in a ten-horse dirt sprint, but Fernando's Gold and Doomed make this more than a one-horse show at realistic prices.

win7Game MakerML 7/2

Game Maker rates out at 86.35 — the top mark in this field by a comfortable margin — and Charle Oliveros gets the call for trainer Eric R. Reed. The 7/2 morning line reflects some public awareness, but the gap between Game Maker and the next-ranked horse is significant enough that this still looks like the right side. Average speed of 54 in a 5.5-furlong dirt sprint is exactly what you want to see, and while the 10% career win rate is lower than you'd like, the raw performance data is encouraging.

place2Fernando's GoldML 3/1

Fernando's Gold at 3/1 is the second-highest rated horse in the field at 78.19 and brings a 14% career win rate for trainer Geoffrey A. Dixon. Kevin Gonzalez is up, and this horse's average speed of 52 makes it a pace-friendly type that can sit just off the leaders and pounce. If Game Maker gets challenged early and ties up, Fernando's Gold has the profile to sweep past at the top of the stretch.

show4DoomedML 4/1

Doomed draws the 4/1 morning line and a TrackWiz rating of 66.58 — a clear third tier behind the top two but well ahead of the back half of this field. Trainer Anthony Farrior has a horse with an 11% career win rate and Luis Raul Rivera in the irons, which is a workmanlike combination for a competitive claiming sprint. As a show play in a race with a clear top two, Doomed is the logical safety valve.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

Race 6

9:05 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Maiden Special Weight on dirt at 5.5 furlongs — this is an inexperienced group where TrackWiz ratings and workout data carry extra weight, and one horse has separated itself convincingly from the field.

win6Intel AgentML 2/1

Intel Agent comes in with a 77.99 TrackWiz rating — nearly 23 points clear of the next horse in our rankings — and while all seven runners in this MSW have zero career wins (that's what maiden races are), Intel Agent's average speed figure of 54 shows she's already posted competitive numbers against horses. Ricardo Barrios gets the mount for trainer Virginia Demczyk, and the 2/1 morning line suggests the public agrees this is the one to beat. In maiden races, backing the horse with the most reliable performance data is usually the right call.

place1Independent StreakML 4/1

Independent Streak is an interesting place option — she draws the rail, carries a 4/1 morning line, and earns a 55.0 TrackWiz rating built on potential rather than a posted speed figure, which suggests strong workout or physical profile signals. Trainer J. Michael Baird puts Angel I. Diaz up, and a first-out runner on the inside at 5.5 furlongs could get a ground-saving trip and surprise. In maiden company, debut runners with strong underlying ratings often run big.

show4Something SweetML 9/2

Something Sweet at 9/2 rates 54.17 on our model — close enough to the top to warrant show consideration in a small field. Trainer Jennifer A. Johnson has two horses in this race (also sending Offthe Beaten Path), which is a meaningful angle — trainers who double up in maiden races often have one they're particularly confident in, and the morning line suggests Something Sweet is the preferred entry. Norberto Arroyo, Jr. is an experienced hand who can nurse a green maiden into a board finish.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 7

9:30 PM EDT

Starter Allowance · 5 fur · Dirt

A short-field Starter Allowance at five furlongs sets up as a two-horse battle at the top, with the rest of the field struggling to get within 20 rating points of the frontrunners.

win2Zealous StormML 2/1

Zealous Storm earns the top TrackWiz rating in Race 7 at 88.54 — the highest mark among all our win picks today — and the 2/1 morning line reflects that the public is on board. Trainer Jami C. Poole sends out Elijah Greenidge, and with a 33% career win rate, this horse has been doing exactly what winners do: winning. At five furlongs, a horse this sharp in the ratings can burst to the lead and never look back, and the Starter Allowance conditions should keep the competition manageable.

place1Abundant EnergyML 5/2

Abundant Energy is nearly as impressive at 81.94 on our ratings and comes in with the most eye-catching career win rate in the entire race — 50%. That's a horse that wins half the time it runs, and trainer Julie Stansbury also handles Curb That Tiger in this spot, showing dual confidence in the barn. Luis Alberto Batista is a solid booking, and even if Zealous Storm wins this going away, Abundant Energy's consistency profile makes a place finish the expected outcome.

show4Union BranchML 4/1

Union Branch opens at 4/1 and has the third-highest TrackWiz rating in the field at 64.1 — well behind the top two but clearly a cut above the rest of a seven-horse field. Brandon Whitacre gets the mount for trainer John R. Shuler, and a 12% career win rate in a Starter Allowance suggests this horse has been competitive at this level before. If the top two horses burn each other up through a hot pace, Union Branch is the most logical beneficiary for the show slot.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 8

9:55 PM EDT

Starter Allowance · 1 mi · Dirt

An eleven-horse Starter Allowance mile on dirt features a clear top-rated horse that the public has installed as the 3/1 favorite, but the second and third tier are close enough that exotics players should be rewarded for digging deeper.

win4Force of JusticeML 3/1

Force of Justice earns an 87.08 TrackWiz rating and is the standout in this mile field — the 3/1 morning line is fair given the strength of the number. Ricardo Barrios rides for trainer Virginia Demczyk, and a 32% career win rate is among the most impressive figures on the entire card today. With an average speed of 53 over a route distance, this is a horse built for a mile — patient enough to sit off the pace and powerful enough to run down whatever is left.

place9KhozandoML 6/1

Khozando at 6/1 is a strong value play for the place spot — a 78.39 TrackWiz rating is actually higher than several horses the public prefers, and the 22% career win rate shows genuine consistency. Trainer Jeff Fletcher has Yuri Yaranga up, and the 6/1 morning line suggests this one could be an overlay when the money hits. In a deep field like this, backing a horse this well-rated at a price is exactly how you squeeze value out of exacta and place tickets.

show5PaceML 7/2

Pace draws a 7/2 morning line and rates 77.71 on our model — the third-highest figure in the field and a horse with an intriguing name for a route race. Alexander Chavez gets the call for trainer Michelle Winters, and while the 17% career win rate is modest, the average speed of 51 over a mile distance is appropriate for a horse rated this well. Pace figures to be near the front early and could hold on for the show money even if the top two have too much in the tank.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 11 runners

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Eight races, a cooperative afternoon, and a card that rewards homework — especially on the turf. Our top plays to watch: New Age Bad Girl in Race 3, Zealous Storm in Race 7, and Force of Justice rounding out the card in Race 8. Free analysis is live now for Races 1–3, and subscribers can access the complete breakdown for the full card. Good luck out there — race smart.

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