Monmouth Park Picks & Predictions — September 13, 2026

Into It checks in with the second-best rating in the race at 61.65 and brings a 17% career win rate that stands out in a claiming field. Trainer Kelly J. Breen consistently gets horses fit, and Jose Antonio Gomez navigates the turf course well. The 5/2 morning line makes Into It the public's second choice, so the place price may be modest, but as a key underneath horse in exactas and exotics it earns its spot.

Magical Marriage is the morning line favorite at 2/1 and carries a 15% career win rate, so it's not being included here as a fade — it's a legitimate contender. What drops it to the show position in our picks is the rating gap versus Denying and Into It. Charlie Marquez has ridden this horse well, and trainer Patrick B. McBurney keeps stock sharp on the turf. At 2/1, the show price won't be worth writing home about, but it's a natural trifecta key in the bottom slot.

Regal Rules is the clear second choice on our ratings at 68.07, a significant step up from the rest of the field once you remove Bet On Beth. Noel Herman handles the mount from post 3, a clean draw in a six-furlong sprint, and trainer Alberto Plaza has shown an ability to have runners ready. If Bet On Beth faces any early pressure and flattens out, Regal Rules profiles as the most likely beneficiary.

Tarzan's Niece opens at 6/1 and rates third in the field at 51.67 — not eye-popping numbers, but in a shallow maiden claiming field that's enough to earn a show ticket. Trainer Juan Carlos Avila also saddles Lovely Cause in this race, which is worth noting as a potential barn factor. Angel Morales is a live rider on this circuit, and at 6/1 this horse gives trifecta players a little overlay in the third slot.

Khetam rates second in the field at 83.12 and brings a 16% career win rate along with trainer Michael Dini, who clearly has this stable rolling — he also saddles Fully Authorized in the same race. Francisco Martinez takes the mount, and the avg speed of 52 on turf at this distance is workable. The 9/2 morning line gives you a little return on the place end while backing the second-most analytically supported horse in the race.

More Power checks in with a 74.91 rating and a 15% career win rate, making it a legitimate contender rather than a throw-in for the show spot. Wayne Potts trains, and Noel Herman handles the mount at 9/2 — the same morning line as Khetam but with a slightly lower rating, which is why it slots to show here. In a 10-horse turf field where the pace could get complicated, More Power's profile as a closer gives it a natural late-running angle.

Red Head Italian rates just below the top at 83.19 and flashes a 19% career win rate that speaks to consistent competitiveness. Luis Raul Rivera, Jr. gets the mount for trainer Kelly J. Breen, who has been a reliable presence at this meet. The avg speed of 55 matches the best in the field, and in a race where My Two Sophia's might draw most of the action, Red Head Italian could offer some overlay on the place end at 4/1.

Pat'schromecompass opens at 8/1 with a 73.71 rating and a 13% career win rate, making it the most interesting price in the race from a value standpoint. Jose Antonio Gomez rides for trainer Patrick B. McBurney, who has a solid record placing horses in this class range. The avg speed of 55 ties for the race's best figure, and at 8/1 this horse is a natural live longshot underneath in exactas and trifectas — the kind of overlay that makes a winning trifecta actually pay.

Rerally carries a 78.18 rating and a 23% career win rate, making it the second-most consistent winning horse in the analysis. Jose Antonio Gomez handles the mount from post 14 — an outside post on turf that can actually be an advantage in a field this large, avoiding early traffic. At 9/2, the morning line matches our win pick, so shop for the best number, but Rerally profiles as a strong place play with closing ability at a useful price.

Grouch rates at 77.67 with a 15% career win rate and gets star power in the saddle with Paco Lopez — one of the best in this jockey colony. Trainer Jose Lozano Sanchez also saddles Thorsness in this race, which means the barn has two live horses at potentially overlaid prices. On a turf course where pace control matters, a horse trained by the same stable as the top pick often benefits from complementary tactics — Grouch is a legitimate show play and an interesting exacta piece underneath Thorsness.

Rogue Prince checks in at 80.73 with Paco Lopez in the irons and a 5/2 morning line that makes it the betting public's early favorite. The Wayne Potts barn clearly has both horses fit, and Lopez is rarely cold at Monmouth — he's one of the most dangerous jockey angles on the circuit. At 5/2, the place price won't be huge, but in a field this short, a Rogue Prince–Why Me Lord exacta in both directions is a legitimate structure for the race.

My Little Nico G slots into the show position with a 77.59 rating and an avg speed of 54, tying the best figure in the field. Trainer Silvino Ramirez sends this one out at 5/1 with Charlie Marquez in the irons, a pairing that has been effective at this level. In a maiden claimer where the top two horses are closely matched, getting My Little Nico G underneath in a trifecta at a price that offers real return is exactly the kind of spot TrackWiz analysis looks for.