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Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Picks & Predictions — June 19, 2026

June 19, 20268 racesAll Los Alamitos Thoroughbred picks

This card ran on June 19, 2026.

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Best bets at Los Alamitos Thoroughbred, June 19, 2026

Race 11NaftisML 12/14:00 PM EDT

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It's a beautiful Friday evening at Los Alamitos — clear skies, 72°F, and a fast all-dirt surface that should reward speed horses all night long. Eight races are on the card, stretching from sprint distances as short as 5½ furlongs out to a full one-mile route in the opener. Good conditions, a honest track, and plenty of betting opportunities from the first post to the finale.

The card leans heavily toward the claiming and maiden ranks, which means class questions are front and center. When the field quality is uneven like this, sharp pace reading and trainer angles separate the serious players from the guessers — and TrackWiz analysis has you covered on both fronts.

We've got free picks in Races 1, 2, and 3 to get you started. The full-card breakdown — Races 4 through 8 — is available to TrackWiz subscribers and includes some of the more intriguing betting spots on tonight's program.

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Race 1

4:00 PM EDT

Claiming · 1 mi · Dirt

A wide-open mile on the dirt where the morning-line favorite is far from the most compelling horse on paper — TrackWiz ratings flip the script here with a 12/1 shot sitting at the top of the rankings.

win1NaftisML 12/1

Naftis opens at 12/1 on the morning line, but our TrackWiz rating of 73.96 makes this horse the top-rated entrant in the field — a significant gap over the rest. Trainer Genaro Vallejo also saddles J T's Watch, which tells you the barn is comfortable at this level, and jockey Cesar Belmont gets the call on the barn's higher-rated runner. At a mile on the dirt, a horse carrying this kind of rating edge at double-digit odds represents genuine overlay value — the kind of spot where the public is leaning on the morning line rather than the data.

place2Big CoupeML 6/1

Big Coupe brings a 26% career win rate to the gate, one of the highest in the field, and that kind of consistency in the winner's circle doesn't happen by accident. The 6/1 morning line likely reflects some public skepticism, but a horse who wins more than one in four starts in its career is a reliable exotics anchor. Trainer Angela Maria Aquino keeps this one competitive at the claiming level.

show6HabeasML 7/2

Habeas lands at 7/2 on the morning line with a solid TrackWiz rating of 66.63 and fits as a logical show contender in what projects to be a competitive mile. The 11% career win rate is modest, but trainer Brian J. Koriner has this one placed appropriately, and the horse's profile fits well as a pace-presser in a field that could get strung out. A nice hedge in the exotics underneath Naftis and Big Coupe.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

4:30 PM EDT

Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

The morning-line favorite here is not the horse our analysis likes most — Next Trick and Magic Connection both carry elite TrackWiz ratings at a combined 170-plus points and are poised to dominate this 6-furlong dirt claimer.

win4Next TrickML 7/2

Next Trick posts the field's top TrackWiz rating at 86.35 while going off at a very workable 7/2 morning line — that's a meaningful gap over the 9/5 favorite Kid Dynasty. Jockey Armando Aguilar gets the mount for trainer Jesus J. Uranga, and the 14% career win rate, while modest, is respectable in a field where several horses are clustered around the same number. At 6 furlongs on the dirt, pace dynamics often favor horses with strong overall ratings, and Next Trick checks that box convincingly.

place6Magic ConnectionML 7/2

Magic Connection is essentially a co-top-rated horse here at 84.46 on the TrackWiz scale with a 20% career win rate — one of the better marks in the field. Kyle Frey picks up the mount for trainer Hector O. Palma, and that combination has experience at this level. If Next Trick draws the early pressure, Magic Connection could be sitting right there to pounce at the top of the stretch.

show5What a GiftML 3/1

What a Gift opens at 3/1 on the morning line, which makes this horse the public's second choice, and the 65.29 TrackWiz rating supports a spot in the exacta-trifecta picture. Trainer Victor L. Garcia has this one fitted properly for a 6-furlong dirt sprint, and jockey Tiago Josue Pereira adds to the appeal as a capable hand at the local meet. A 14% career win rate mirrors the field average, so this isn't a standout — just a horse that figures to be competitive enough to earn a check.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

The first three races on tonight's card give us a nice cross-section of what Los Alamitos offers: a route on the dirt to open things up, then a pair of sprints to get the crowd buzzing. On a track playing this fast under clear conditions, pace pressure early could set up closers in Race 1, but the short-field sprint in Race 2 looks tailor-made for a front-runner — and Next Trick at 7/2 morning line is the name to know there with a TrackWiz rating of 86.35.

Race 3 is the third free look of the night, and Sir Nano at 4/1 fits the profile of a horse that gets overlooked at a fair price in a competitive claiming sprint. Naftis opens the card as our top selection in Race 1 at a generous 12/1 morning line — the kind of longshot number that makes the route worth a serious look before the public beats it down.

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

5:01 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Sir Nano and Grey Power hold a clear class edge in this 5.5-furlong claiming sprint, but both are in the 4/1 range on the morning line — making this a race where the top two horses in our ratings are priced as overlays against a morning-line favorite we're fading.

win7Sir NanoML 4/1

Sir Nano tops the TrackWiz ratings at 85.62 and goes at a fair 4/1 morning line with Edgar Payeras in the irons for trainer Jesus Nunez. The 7% career win rate is the one blemish on the profile, but that number can reflect tough competition or a horse that's been competitive without breaking through — and the rating suggests this one has the tools to get the job done. At 5.5 furlongs on the dirt, horses with strong overall ratings often overcome positional disadvantages, and Sir Nano fits as the horse to beat here.

place4Grey PowerML 4/1

Grey Power checks in at 78.81 on our scale — second-best in the field — and while the career win rate at 6% is low, this is a horse that TrackWiz analysis identifies as significantly underestimated by the 4/1 morning line when you factor in the rating advantage. Trainer Sergio Morfin has Grey Power pointing here, and jockey Pedro Flores provides a steady hand in what could be a pace-pressured sprint.

show5Do It for DaveML 5/2

Do It for Dave draws the 5/2 morning-line chalk but carries a 56.45 TrackWiz rating — third in the field — and a career win rate of just 3%, which is a real concern for anyone making this their win bet. That said, in a short sprint where pace can be chaotic, a horse positioned as the public choice will have a clear path and a shot to fill out the trifecta. Trainer Steve R. Knapp has a track record at this level, and the show slot is the most comfortable fit for this profile.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 4

5:32 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Maiden claimers at 6.5 furlongs on the dirt are always a puzzle, but Charmz Away stands apart from this field in the ratings and offers the clearest profile heading into the gate.

win5Charmz AwayML 4/1

Charmz Away carries the field's top TrackWiz rating by a wide margin at 85.62 — over 16 points clear of the next-best horse — and goes at 4/1 morning line despite that edge. Trainer Luis Mendez saddles both Charmz Away and the longer-shot Whiz Kidd, and the fact that Alfredo L. Bautista rides Charmz Away tells you which one Mendez is treating as the main event. In maiden claiming company at 6.5 furlongs, this kind of rating separation often holds up, and the value at 4/1 is real.

place6Still BulletproofML 5/1

Still Bulletproof draws a 5/1 morning line with a 68.92 TrackWiz rating, second-best in the field, which makes this the logical follow-up to Charmz Away in the exacta. Trainer Andy Mathis has this one placed in maiden claiming company where the rating advantage should translate, and Ricardo Gonzalez is a capable jockey who can navigate a first-turn break at 6.5 furlongs. At 5/1, there's real value in using this horse underneath.

show3AgrowestML 2/1

Agrowest is the 2/1 morning-line favorite, which means the public will heavily support this one — but the TrackWiz rating of 58.33 ranks only third in the field, and with no average speed figure available, there's some opacity to the profile. Trainer Dean Pederson has fielded competitive maidens at this level before, and Tiago Josue Pereira on the mount adds appeal. As a show play in the trifecta, the public backing keeps Agrowest relevant even if our ratings suggest better options at the top.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 5

6:03 PM EDT

Maiden Special Weight · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

A fascinating Maiden Special Weight with a Bob Baffert-trained even-money shot drawing attention, but TrackWiz analysis points to a legitimate upset candidate who is priced at 8/1 and has the field's best rating by nearly 20 points.

win5Joyful MischiefML 8/1

Joyful Mischief sits at the top of this field with a 79.79 TrackWiz rating — nearly 20 points ahead of the heavily bet Rabeeba — and goes at 8/1 on the morning line for trainer Melanie W. McDonald with Francisco Monroy up. In Maiden Special Weight company, breeding and connections often drive betting, which is how a horse rated this much higher than the field ends up at 8/1. If the TrackWiz analysis holds, this is a meaningful overlay that bettors ignoring the ratings will regret.

place3RabeebaML EVN

Rabeeba is the 3 horse trained by Bob Baffert, opening at even money — and that barn's presence alone will drive this horse to the shortest price on the board. The 60.0 TrackWiz rating is respectable but sits well below Joyful Mischief, so we'd rather use this one as a place horse than a win bet at the expected short price. The Baffert first-out angle is real and worth respecting as a secondary piece of the ticket.

show4Helen's TimeML 4/1

Helen's Time lands at 4/1 on the morning line with a 55.0 TrackWiz rating and no average speed figure available, which is a reminder that this is an unpredictable maiden race. Trainer James W. Glenn, Jr. has this one priced in the mid-pack range where a clean trip could produce a show effort. With jockey Cesar Ortega in the irons, Helen's Time is a reasonable show anchor in the trifecta beneath Joyful Mischief and Rabeeba.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 8 runners

Race 6

6:34 PM EDT

Allowance Optional Claiming · 6 1/2 fur · Dirt

Sir Rocket is the clear class horse in this Allowance Optional Claiming sprint, posting the field's top TrackWiz rating and the highest average speed figure — this one sets up as a confident top selection with legit exotics underneath.

win5Sir RocketML 2/1

Sir Rocket leads this field across every major metric: an 87.64 TrackWiz rating (field-best), a 27% career win rate (field-best), and a 58 average speed figure that stands well above the rest of the field. Trainer Neil D. Drysdale places this horse in allowance optional claiming company with Kazushi Kimura picking up the mount — a strong combination at the local level. At 2/1 on the morning line, the price is fair given the profile, and there's no obvious reason to look elsewhere for the win here.

place1Mr. DisrespectfulML 3/1

Mr. Disrespectful brings a 26% career win rate — right behind Sir Rocket's field-best 27% — along with an 83.48 TrackWiz rating and a 3/1 morning line. Trainer Craig Dollase and jockey Armando Ayuso form a dependable pairing in this spot, and the high win percentage means this horse regularly shows up ready to compete. As the place horse behind Sir Rocket, Mr. Disrespectful is the logical exacta partner.

show6Zeus' WarML 8/1

Zeus' War opens at 8/1 with a 79.79 TrackWiz rating and a 56 average speed figure — putting this horse solidly in the mix despite the longer morning-line price. Trainer Tim McCanna has Zeus' War primed for a return, and a 18% career win rate shows the horse has been in the winner's circle before. At 8/1, if the top two both hit the board, Zeus' War rounding out the trifecta would be a very satisfying payout.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 7

7:05 PM EDT

Claiming · 5 1/2 fur · Dirt

Nine horses enter this 5.5-furlong claiming sprint and the field is competitive top to bottom, but Falabella and A Kitten for Sue stand out as the class of the group while Rock N Roll Song offers a credible third option at a fair price.

win9FalabellaML 7/2

Falabella carries the top TrackWiz rating in this nine-horse field at 86.35, along with a 27% career win rate — the best in the race — and a consistent 55 average speed figure. Trainer Lorenzo Campuzano sends this one out with Cristobal Herrera in the irons, and in a 5.5-furlong sprint, a horse with both a high win percentage and a top rating is exactly the profile you want at the top of your ticket. At 7/2, the morning line is reasonable, though the public might underestimate this one.

place6A Kitten for SueML 6/1

A Kitten for Sue brings a 23% career win rate and the field's second-best TrackWiz rating at 82.3, with trainer Francisco Rodriguez and jockey Francisco Monroy teaming up in a spot that looks very favorable. This horse's profile screams 'runs well in sprints at claiming level' — the combination of a high win rate and a strong rating at 6/1 morning line makes it a standout value play in the exacta. Don't overlook this one at a price.

show8Rock N Roll SongML 7/2

Rock N Roll Song checks in at 76.45 on the TrackWiz scale with a strong 22% career win rate and a 54 average speed figure, all at a 7/2 morning line. Trainer Jesus J. Uranga and jockey Edgar Payeras combine here in a pairing with experience at Los Alamitos, and in a wide-open sprint this horse fits naturally as an exotics anchor. Third-best in the ratings at a price that matches the second choice — solid show value.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 8

7:36 PM EDT

Maiden Claiming · 6 fur · Dirt

A full field of maiden claimers going 6 furlongs on the dirt, and Cammy's Girl is the standout — the highest TrackWiz rating in the race by a meaningful margin, with Salty Siss offering real value as the place pick at 8/1.

win10Cammy's GirlML 5/2

Cammy's Girl tops this entire card in race-specific terms with an 87.81 TrackWiz rating — the highest of any horse in Race 8 — and goes at 5/2 morning line with Kazushi Kimura aboard for trainer Daniel Dunham. In a maiden claiming sprint where many entrants have limited form or questionable speed figures, a horse posting a rating this far above the field stands out sharply. Kimura is one of the meet's top riders, and the combination of top rating and top jockey makes this a confident top selection.

place2Salty SissML 8/1

Salty Siss opens at 8/1 but carries a 71.65 TrackWiz rating — second-best in this field by a clear margin — which makes this horse a genuine overlay in the win spot and an excellent value in the exacta. Trainer Vann Belvoir also saddles Una Mirada, but Salty Siss holds a significant rating edge over that stablemate, and Edgar Payeras gets the mount on the higher-rated horse. A 55 average speed figure is among the better numbers in the field, and at 8/1, this is the kind of price that makes exactas very attractive.

show6Mashie NiblickML 7/2

Mashie Niblick draws 7/2 on the morning line for trainer Steven Miyadi with Kyle Frey riding, and a 55.83 TrackWiz rating slots this one in as a reasonable third in the field hierarchy. In maiden claiming routes — even short ones — horses trained by established barns and ridden by recognized jockeys tend to run their races, and this combination fits that bill. The show slot is a comfortable landing spot, and including Mashie Niblick in trifectas beneath Cammy's Girl and Salty Siss gives the ticket some depth at a fair price.

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 11 runners

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Tonight's Los Alamitos card is clean and fast — exactly the kind of program where preparation pays off. Start with Naftis in Race 1 for longshot value, lean on Next Trick in Race 2, and keep Sir Nano on your ticket in Race 3. For the complete picture — including Sir Rocket and Cammy's Girl in the back half of the card — full analysis is waiting for subscribers. Good luck, and let's find some winners.

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