Los Alamitos Quarter Horse Picks & Predictions — November 8, 2026

Dragon Kat sits second on the board at 67.06 and ranks second in recent speed at 12.08 sec/furlong, which keeps her firmly in the win conversation. Edgar Payeras (24% wins, 55% in-the-money this year) is a confident booking, and trainer Lorenzo Campuzano earns an A grade. The concern worth flagging: only 21 days since last out for a horse that prefers 30-plus days of rest — that's the reason she grades below the top pick rather than alongside her.

Toulouse Detrac is an interesting third-place dart at 7/2 morning line. This horse has placed in each of the last two races, showing fresh current form, and while the recent speed figure ranks sixth in the field, that consistency in form is exactly the kind of angle you want when building a trifecta. At 41.35 on the TrackWiz scale, the rating is modest, but the recent form trend earns a spot on the ticket.

Savannahs Big Girl is second on the board at 74.40 and brings the top jockey in this race — Edgar Payeras, who's won at 24% and hit the board 55% of the time over the past year. She ranks third in recent speed at 12.33 sec/furlong and owns a perfect 2-for-2 in-the-money record at Los Alamitos Quarter Horse, which is exactly the kind of track bias angle you want on the bottom of a ticket. The claiming price bump from $3,500 to $5,000 is a mild concern, but her local form is hard to dismiss.

Sheza Gemini Jewel sneaks into the show spot at 73.28 on the TrackWiz scale despite an 8/1 morning line — that's a gap in the market worth noting. She ranks second in recent speed at 12.18 sec/furlong and has placed in 9 of 15 dirt starts, which is a quietly solid record. The short rest concern (21 days, prefers 30-plus) is real, but at that price in a contentious claiming race, she earns a trifecta spot.

Daddys Curl is the value here at 6/1 morning line despite sitting second on the TrackWiz board at 75.58. He ranks third in recent speed at 11.87 sec/furlong and has placed in 3 of 5 dirt starts, while jockey Martin Arriaga has been sharp this year — 22% wins and 61% in-the-money. If Ximenarey stumbles, Daddys Curl is the most likely beneficiary, and at that morning line, he deserves to be on your tickets.

Perikina leads the entire field in recent speed at 11.54 sec/furlong, which is an angle that can't be ignored in a 220-yard dash where there's almost no time to recover. She's rated third on the board at 75.12 and owns a 62% in-the-money rate across her career. The concern is a three-race non-placing streak going into today, but that raw speed figure keeps her relevant as a show play and trifecta piece.

Boardwalk is second on the TrackWiz board at 67.42 and brings a jockey-trainer combination that has clicked at an 18% win rate and 56% in-the-money rate over the past year. He's placed in 11 of 21 dirt starts — a durable, consistent type — and at 3/1 morning line, there's real value if Mission Possible draws most of the attention. The age flag (two years older than the field average) is noted, but the form record keeps him squarely in the mix.

Fireworks Over Paris ties Mission Possible for the top recent speed figure at 11.48 sec/furlong and ranks third on the TrackWiz board at 67.07. What stands out is the local record — 8 of 12 at Los Alamitos Quarter Horse in the money — suggesting this track suits her well. At 7/2 morning line she's not a screaming overlay, but that speed figure and local affinity make her a logical trifecta closer.

Shine Ellyn is the main threat to the top pick at 74.81 on the TrackWiz scale, with the second-best recent speed figure in the field at 11.78 sec/furlong. Henry Reynoso Lopez has been one of the meet's better riders — 20% wins and 55% in-the-money this year — and the Jones-Reynoso Lopez pairing hits at 23% wins and 51% in-the-money, which is a live combination. At 3/1 morning line, she's a realistic win horse and the natural exacta target.

Val Baby earns the show spot by owning the best recent speed figure in the entire field at 11.54 sec/furlong — in a sprint, that number is not irrelevant. She's rated third in the field at 60.06, and while the jockey grade is B- and the trainer is C, raw speed in a 350-yard race can overcome a lot. At 4/1 morning line, she's a live trifecta play if she can replicate that speed off the break.

Flying Chance is the most dangerous horse in this field on pure speed — the top recent figure in the entire field at 10.80 sec/furlong. She's rated second at 79.99, with a 37% career win rate and 75% in-the-money, and Joseph Belloc Jr. is a qualified rider at 23% wins this year. Her sim win share of 23% is second-best in the field, confirming she's the most logical exacta partner. At 5/2 morning line, she's not an overlay, but she's the right horse to use underneath the favorite.

Warmly is the most interesting show play on the card at 12/1 morning line given a TrackWiz rating of 65.64 and a third-best recent speed figure at 11.18 sec/furlong. She's placed in 3 of her last 4 races and has 3 wins in 9 dirt starts — a solid record for a 12/1 shot. In a full stakes field, the price is worth taking a shot on this consistent type for the trifecta.

Brother Ray is second on the TrackWiz board at 79.79 and brings a solid 400-yard speed figure of 10.99 sec/furlong — third in the field. He's placed in 9 of 12 dirt starts and owns a 75% in-the-money rate, which is exactly the kind of consistent closer profile you want underneath a hot favorite. The short rest concern (21 days, prefers 30-plus) is a real flag, but at 8/1 morning line, the value case is clear for the exacta and trifecta.

Doodah Cartel is third on the TrackWiz board at 77.49 and brings the most impressive dirt record in the field beyond the top two — 8 wins and 12 of 17 starts in the money. Henry Reynoso Lopez (20% wins, 55% in-the-money) and trainer Paul C. Jones (A- grade) form a sharp combination, and the Jones-Reynoso Lopez pairing has connected at 23% wins this year. At 9/2 morning line in a 10-horse Derby, Doodah Cartel is a logical trifecta anchor.