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Los Alamitos Quarter Horse Picks & Predictions — November 7, 2026

November 7, 20268 racesAll Los Alamitos Quarter Horse picks

Best bets at Los Alamitos Quarter Horse, November 7, 2026

Race 13No More Ding DongsML 3/18:55 PM EST

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Results are in — see the official Los Alamitos Quarter Horse chart and payouts (our top pick won 2 of 6)→

No More Ding Dongs in Race 1 is your free best bet tonight — sitting at 3/1 on the morning line, our simulations give this horse a 29.9% win probability, and that gap between public price and projected edge is exactly the kind of spot we love to highlight. The jockey has cashed 52% of in-the-money finishes over the past year, and a recent speed figure of 11.70 sec/furlong ranks second in this allowance field — solid credentials for an 870-yard dirt sprint.

Conditions at Los Alamitos couldn't be much better: a clear Saturday night, 75°F, and a fast dirt strip that should reward horses with clean early speed. Eight races on the card, all on the dirt, all quarter-horse distances ranging from a lightning-quick 220 yards up to the longer 870-yard test in the opener. This is a fun, fast-moving card.

The maiden races dominate the middle of the card (Races 3 through 6), and with several horses showing competitive recent speed figures, there's legitimate betting interest throughout. The night caps with a Handicap Stakes in Race 8 — the class event of the evening — giving serious horseplayers a natural sequence to build multi-race tickets around.

Best Bets

Race 1

8:55 PM EST

Allowance · 870 yd · Dirt

An 870-yard allowance that looks like a two-horse battle on paper, with the top TrackWiz rating separated from the field by a wide margin — but the morning line favorite sits at even money, creating an interesting pricing dynamic worth exploring.

win3No More Ding DongsML 3/1

No More Ding Dongs tops the TrackWiz ratings at 87.08 — a full 21 points clear of the next horse — and that kind of gap in an allowance field is hard to ignore. The horse checks in with the second-fastest recent race speed in the field at 11.70 sec/furlong, and a 66% in-the-money rate across the career suggests this is a consistent performer. Jockey Ricardo S. Ramirez has posted an 18% win rate and landed in the money 52% of the time over the past year, a solid book of business. The one flag: only 21 days between races, and this horse historically prefers 30-plus days of rest — worth monitoring but not a dealbreaker given the class edge. Our simulations gave No More Ding Dongs a 29.9% share of 10,000 race runs, the highest in the field.

place1Comedy TownML EVN

Comedy Town at even money might actually be the most interesting pricing story here. The TrackWiz rating of 65.97 ranks second in the field, and the horse has cashed in 7 of 26 dirt starts with a 57% in-the-money mark — real consistency for this level. Edgar Payeras has been sharp over the past year at 24% wins and 55% in the money, and Comedy Town has hit the board in each of the last two races. The age concern (8 years old) is real — older horses can lose their edge — but the recent form suggests this one still has something left in the tank.

show2Instinct D' OroML 6/1

Instinct D'Oro brings a compelling local angle: 4 wins and placed in 8 of 10 starts at Los Alamitos Quarter Horse specifically, which is the kind of track-specific record you want to see when you're handicapping the exotics. The 6/1 morning line offers some value relative to the 12.85% sim win share. Trainer Sergio Morfin earns an A- grade, and while jockey Pedro Flores is a C-grade rider, the horse's comfort at this venue helps offset that concern.

We ran Race 1 10,000 times. Most wins:

3No More Ding Dongs30%
1Comedy Town27%
2Instinct D' Oro13%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 1 is the lone free look tonight, and No More Ding Dongs gives casual bettors a genuinely interesting spot to start the evening. This is an allowance — a step above claiming company, meaning these horses have shown enough ability to run without a price tag on them — and the 870-yard distance is the longest on tonight's card, which puts a premium on sustained speed rather than pure out-of-the-gate explosion. The 11.70 sec/furlong recent speed rate and an active jockey who wins at 18% make this more than just a name that gets your attention.

Even in the free race, the value angle is real: 3/1 morning line with a sim win percentage pushing 30% suggests the market may be underestimating this horse. That's the type of positive expected value that turns a fun night at the track into a profitable one.

Race 2: Free with an Account

Race 2

9:23 PM EST

Maiden Claiming · 4 1/2 fur · Dirt

A wide-open nine-horse maiden claimer with no clear speed standout and a big gap in TrackWiz ratings at the top — the top-rated horse goes off at 6/1 while the morning line favorite checks in with a lower rating, setting up a potential overlay situation.

win1Karma's RevengeML 6/1

Karma's Revenge tops the TrackWiz ratings at 82.71 in a field where nothing else cracks 75, and that's a meaningful edge in a maiden claimer. The horse posts the fastest recent race speed in the field at 12.40 sec/furlong and has placed in 3 of 6 dirt starts — not flashy numbers, but solid for this company. Jockey Justine Klaiber has been excellent over the past year with a 25% win rate and 65% in-the-money mark, one of the better books in this race. The one concern worth flagging: the claiming price actually increased from $3,500 to $5,000, which can sometimes signal connections testing a higher level — keep that in mind. Still, our simulations gave Karma's Revenge a 19.07% win share, tops in the field.

place8Bretts AcclaimML 10/1

Bretts Acclaim is a sneaky inclusion at 10/1 morning line. Ranked second in TrackWiz ratings at 73.06, the horse has placed in 4 of 8 dirt starts and has hit the board in 4 of the last 6 races — that's a consistent in-the-money profile you want underneath in the exacta. The recent race speed ranks second in the field at 12.41 sec/furlong, nearly matching the top pick. The jockey (Pedro Flores, C grade) is a mild concern, but the form trend is pointing in the right direction.

show4Tight DallyML 8/5

Tight Dally is the morning line favorite at 8/5 but ranks only third in our ratings at 63.19 — that pricing makes this more of a show-slot inclusion than a win bet for us. The massive class drop from a $50,000 claiming price down to $5,000 is an angle that always draws attention, though the recent form has been cold with just one placing in the last six starts. Payeras (B+ jockey grade, 24% wins, 55% ITM) gives this one capable handling. If the class drop wakes this horse up, the show spot is likely, but the recent form is hard to get past at a short price.

We ran Race 2 10,000 times. Most wins:

4Tight Dally21%
1Karma's Revenge19%
5Rostron14%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

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Full Card Analysis

Race 3

9:51 PM EST

Maiden · 300 yd · Dirt

A short 300-yard maiden sprint where the top two TrackWiz-rated horses are separated by nearly 19 points, and our ratings strongly suggest this comes down to a two-horse affair despite a seven-horse field.

win3Getting HigherML 2/1

Getting Higher checks in with the top TrackWiz rating at 88.54 and an extraordinary 87% in-the-money career rate — that figure stands well above anything else in this field and demands respect. The horse posts the second-fastest recent race speed at 11.92 sec/furlong and jockey Gabriel Angel Gomez Lara has a 17% win rate with a 56% in-the-money mark over the past year. The jockey-trainer combo with Scott Willoughby has also clicked at 17% wins and 55% ITM. Our sims had Getting Higher winning 34.83% of 10,000 races — the top mark by a comfortable margin. At 2/1 morning line, this is a fair price for what the numbers support.

place2Shes Jess ShinningML 7/5

Shes Jess Shinning is the morning line favorite at 7/5 and ranks second in our ratings at 69.67 — the top recent race speed in the field at 11.81 sec/furlong is a real weapon over just 300 yards where early quickness matters most. The horse has a 42% in-the-money career rate and jockey Henry Reynoso Lopez has posted a 20% win rate over the past year. This one is a legitimate contender, but we lean Getting Higher on ratings — Shes Jess Shinning is the right horse to put underneath in the exacta.

show5Gifted DivaML 5/1

Gifted Diva at 5/1 is a speculative third choice for the exotics, backed by a trainer in Lindolfo Diaz who earns an A- grade and a 33% career in-the-money rate. The concern is a recent race speed that ranks seventh in the field at 13.68 sec/furlong — that's a significant gap to close against the top two. At this distance, speed out of the gate is everything, so Gifted Diva will need a career-best effort to get involved. It's a hedge play for trifecta coverage rather than a confident stand-alone show bet.

We ran Race 3 10,000 times. Most wins:

3Getting Higher35%
2Shes Jess Shinning26%
5Gifted Diva12%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 4

10:19 PM EST

Maiden · 350 yd · Dirt

A five-horse maiden at 350 yards that sets up as a clear top-two race on the numbers, with the top-rated horse carrying a 100% in-the-money career mark into the gate — the rest of the field has a lot of ground to make up on paper.

win2VentureML 7/5

Venture is as dominant a top pick as you'll find on this card, carrying the highest TrackWiz rating at 89.42 and a perfect 100% in-the-money career mark. The horse posts the second-fastest recent race speed at 11.93 sec/furlong, and jockey Gabriel Angel Gomez Lara continues his busy day with a 17% win rate and 56% ITM over the past year. The jockey-trainer combo with Scott Willoughby registers 17% wins and 55% ITM as well. Our sims gave Venture 37.07% of 10,000 runs — the top figure in this field. At 7/5 morning line, the price reflects the talent, but this one has the numbers to justify favorites support.

place5Twin FallsML 2/1

Twin Falls brings the fastest recent race speed in this field at 11.76 sec/furlong and ranks second in our ratings at 76.8. The horse has placed in 2 of 4 dirt starts and carries a 50% career in-the-money rate — solid for a maiden. Joseph Belloc Jr. is a strong jockey choice with a 23% win rate over the past year, and the 2/1 morning line makes this a fair price for the place slot in an exacta underneath Venture.

show3J La PoderosaML 4/1

J La Poderosa adds an interesting consistency angle — this horse has placed in each of the last three races, which is exactly the kind of recent form trend you want to include in exotics. The third-fastest recent race speed at 12.00 sec/furlong and a TrackWiz rating of 65.5 (third in the field) support the show inclusion. Jockey Jesus Rios Ayala holds an A- grade, giving this one capable handling. For trifecta tickets, J La Poderosa is a logical bottom piece.

We ran Race 4 10,000 times. Most wins:

2Venture37%
5Twin Falls26%
3J La Poderosa17%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 5 runners

Race 5

10:47 PM EST

Maiden · 220 yd · Dirt

A seven-horse 220-yard maiden where the ratings are led by a heavy favorite who is significantly outscoring the field — the real handicapping interest is finding the best value underneath.

win7Cowboy Down PerryML 8/5

Cowboy Down Perry leads all horses with a 89.12 TrackWiz rating and has posted a 57% career in-the-money rate across starts — strong numbers for a maiden at this level. The horse checks in with the second-fastest recent race speed at 11.97 sec/furlong and jockey Irving Lara has a 17% win rate and 52% ITM over the past year. The jockey-trainer combo with Jose Antonio Flores has clicked at 19% wins and 56% ITM — consistent workmanlike numbers. Our sims gave Cowboy Down Perry the top win share at 35.05%. The 8/5 morning line is fair given the rating advantage.

place4El ExecutivoML 3/1

El Executivo ranks second in our ratings at 68.5 and brings a jockey in Martin Arriaga who has been one of the better pilots on the circuit with a 22% win rate and 62% in-the-money mark. The horse posts the third-fastest recent race speed at 12.12 sec/furlong and has placed in 1 of 3 career starts — limited record but the speed figures are pointing in the right direction. At 3/1 morning line, there's real value here for the place slot in exactas.

show5Val CamelML 4/1

Val Camel owns the fastest recent race speed in the entire field at 11.81 sec/furlong — that speed figure leads everyone and over just 220 yards, early quickness is paramount. The 4/1 morning line and a 28% career in-the-money rate make this a speculative but defensible show inclusion. Jockey Salvador R. Vargas holds an A grade, and the top speed figure is a tangible edge worth respecting in the exotics.

We ran Race 5 10,000 times. Most wins:

7Cowboy Down Perry35%
4El Executivo19%
5Val Camel15%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 7 runners

Race 6

11:15 PM EST

Maiden · 350 yd · Dirt

A six-horse 350-yard maiden with two horses clearly separating themselves at the top of the ratings — the top-rated horse at 9/5 carries the fastest recent speed figure, setting up what looks like a compelling two-horse showdown.

win5Mr ShelbyML 9/5

Mr Shelby tops the TrackWiz ratings at 88.83 and posts the fastest recent race speed in the field at 11.84 sec/furlong — a combination that is very hard to fade in a short sprint maiden. The horse has placed in 3 of 6 dirt starts and has hit the board in each of the last three races, which is excellent recent form heading into this spot. Trainer Felix L. Gonzalez earns a solid B+ grade. Our sims gave Mr Shelby the top win share at 33.15%. One note: jockey Damian Diaz Cruz grades out as a C, which is the only blemish on an otherwise strong profile.

place2Bye PolarML 2/1

Bye Polar is the natural exacta partner at 2/1 morning line, ranking second in our ratings at 81.11 with a 50% career in-the-money mark and two consecutive in-the-money finishes. Jockey Ruben Lozano earns an A grade and has posted a 19% win rate and 52% ITM over the past year — strong credentials for a rider pairing with a horse in good form. The horse has placed in 2 of 4 dirt starts, adding surface confidence. At 2/1, the price is right for the second spot.

show3Redd LineML 3/1

Redd Line offers the second-fastest recent race speed in the field at 11.86 sec/furlong and jockey Gabriel Angel Gomez Lara continues his strong day with a 17% win rate and 56% ITM. The concern here is a cold recent form line — only 1 placing in the last 6 races and no placings in the last 5 is a real red flag. That said, the speed figure is legitimate, trainer Sergio Morfin grades A-, and in a short 350-yard dash the speed can carry horses that have been unlucky or misused. A speculative trifecta inclusion at 3/1.

We ran Race 6 10,000 times. Most wins:

5Mr Shelby33%
2Bye Polar29%
3Redd Line16%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 6 runners

Race 7

11:43 PM EST

Allowance · 350 yd · Dirt

A nine-horse allowance at 350 yards where the top TrackWiz rating belongs to a horse going off at 6/1 — a potential overlay situation in a race where the morning line favorite doesn't match up as well on our numbers.

win6Tres WavesML 6/1

Tres Waves tops the TrackWiz ratings at 82.71 and owns the fastest recent race speed in this nine-horse field at 11.46 sec/furlong — a figure that stands well clear of the second-fastest (11.65). The horse has placed in 3 consecutive races coming in, and has 4 placings in 7 dirt starts. At 6/1 morning line, our model sees a clear value overlay — the top rating and top speed figure rarely go off at this price. Jockey Damian Diaz Cruz is a C-grade rider, which is the main concern, but the horse's form and speed profile are strong enough to overcome connections that aren't elite.

place4Bear DownML 9/2

Bear Down ranks second in our ratings at 77.48 and jockey Justine Klaiber is one of the best in the barn with a 25% win rate and a 65% in-the-money mark over the past year — that's elite territory. The horse has placed in 1 of 10 dirt starts and shows the third-fastest recent race speed at 11.68 sec/furlong. The flag here: only 21 days since the last race, and this horse performs better with 30-plus days of rest. Worth noting, but Klaiber's strong book of business can often compensate for a short turnaround.

show2Elmer RomeroML 4/1

Elmer Romero has been quietly consistent, placing in 4 of the last 5 races and landing in the money 58% of the time across the career. The 4/1 morning line and third-place rating (69.8) make this a logical show play for trifecta coverage. The concern is the ninth-fastest recent race speed in the field at 12.22 sec/furlong — in a 350-yard sprint, that kind of speed gap is significant and could leave Elmer Romero scrambling from behind. The recent form trend is the reason to include this horse in exotics despite the speed figure concern.

We ran Race 7 10,000 times. Most wins:

4Bear Down18%
6Tres Waves18%
2Elmer Romero15%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 9 runners

Race 8

12:11 AM EST

Handicap Stakes · 350 yd · Dirt

The day's marquee race — a 10-horse handicap stakes at 350 yards with a deep, talented field where the top two TrackWiz-rated horses are closely matched and both offer solid morning line prices in a race with no clear prohibitive favorite.

win8Cm Jessa Blue MondayML 4/1

Cm Jessa Blue Monday leads all horses with an 85.62 TrackWiz rating and brings an impressive profile: a 33% career win rate, a 66% in-the-money mark, and 3 wins in 9 dirt starts. Most importantly, this horse posts the co-fastest recent race speed in the field at 11.24 sec/furlong — tied with Slatedtoshine, our place pick — which matters enormously in a short dirt sprint. Jockey Ruben Lozano earns an A grade and has a 19% win rate over the past year. Our sims gave Cm Jessa Blue Monday a 22.11% win share, tops in the field. At 4/1 morning line, we see legitimate value for the top-rated horse in a stakes race.

place7SlatedtoshineML 5/2

Slatedtoshine is the natural exacta partner, ranking second in our ratings at 76.44 with a 33% career win rate and the co-fastest recent race speed in the field at 11.24 sec/furlong. The horse has placed in 2 consecutive races and has 5 wins and 8 placings in 15 dirt starts — a strong career dirt record. Jockey Jesus Rios Ayala holds an A- grade and trainer Roman Figueroa earns an A. At 5/2 morning line, this is appropriately priced as the second choice. The sim win share of 20.72% is nearly as strong as our top pick.

show6Went to LondonML 6/1

Went to London fills out the trifecta picture with a 73.31 TrackWiz rating and a 54% career in-the-money mark — real consistency for a stakes field. The horse has 2 wins and 6 placings in 11 dirt starts, and the jockey-trainer combo of Gomez Lara and Scott Willoughby has posted 17% wins and 55% ITM over the past year. At 6/1 morning line, there's some overlay value for a horse that shows up in the money more often than not. The show slot in a 10-horse stakes field is exactly the right spot for Went to London.

We ran Race 8 10,000 times. Most wins:

8Cm Jessa Blue Monday22%
7Slatedtoshine21%
3Walk When I Walk15%

Full sims: exotics, pace scenarios, 3D replay

Live odds, scratches and ratings for all 10 runners

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Tonight's Los Alamitos card is tight, fast, and full of angles. Start with No More Ding Dongs in Race 1 as your free best bet — the value is real at 3/1. If you want the full picture from Race 2 through the Handicap Stakes finale, our complete analysis is waiting for subscribers. Good luck tonight — and as always, bet smart.

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